% a do-nothing command that serves a purpose
@preamble{ " \newcommand{\noop}[1]{} " } 

@inproceedings{Airoldi:2009,
	Author = {Airoldi, E. and Blei, D. and Fienberg, S. and Xing, E.},
	Booktitle = {Neural Information Processing Systems},
	Date-Added = {2008-12-20 13:05:43 -0500},
	Date-Modified = {2008-12-31 10:06:13 -0500},
	Keywords = {graphs},
	Title = {Mixed Membership Stochastic Blockmodels},
	Year = {2009}}

@inproceedings{Akaike:1973,
	Address = {Budapest},
	Author = {Akaike, H.},
	Booktitle = {Proceedings of the Second International Symposium on Information Theory},
	Editor = {B. N. Petrov and F. Csaki},
	Note = {Reprinted in Breakthroughs in Statistics(pages 610--624) , edited by S. Kotz, published by Springer-Verlag , New York in 1992},
	Pages = {267--281},
	Publisher = {Akademiai Kiado},
	Title = {Information theory and an extension of the maximum likelihood principle},
	Year = {1973}}

@article{AlbertChib:1993,
	Author = {Albert, J. H. and Chib, S.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {669--679},
	Title = {Bayesian analysis of binary and polychotomous response data},
	Volume = {88},
	Year = {1993}}


@article{Andrieu:2008,
 title={A tutorial on adaptive {MCMC}},
 author={Andrieu, C. and Thoms, J.},
 journal={Statistics and Computing},
 volume={18},
 number={4},
 pages={343--373},
 year={2008},
 publisher={Springer}
}

@article{Betancourt:2012,  
  title={A General Metric for {R}iemannian Manifold {H}amiltonian {M}onte {C}arlo},
  author={Michael Betancourt},  
  year={2012},
  Journal = {arXiv},
  Volume = {1212},
  Number = {4693},
  Version = {1},
  url = {http://arxiv.org/pdf/1212.4693.pdf}
}


@article{Betancourt:2010,
  author = {Michael Betancourt},
  title = {Cruising The Simplex: {H}amiltonian {M}onte {C}arlo and the 
           {D}irichlet Distribution},
  journal = {arXiv},
  year = {2010},
  volume = {1010},
  number = {3436},
  version = {3},
  pages = {1--5}
}



@article{Betancourt-Stein:2011,
  author = {Michael Betancourt and Leo C. Stein},
  title = {The Geometry of {H}amiltonian {M}onte {C}arlo},
  journal = {arXiv},
  year = {2011},
  volume = {1112},
  number = {4118},
  version = {1},
  pages = {1--9}
}

@article{BleiNgJordan:2003,
  author = {David M. Blei and Andrew Y. Ng and Michael I. Jordan},
  year = {2003},
  title = {Latent {D}irichlet Allocation},
  journal = {Journal of Machine Learning Research},
  volume = {3},
  pages = {993--1022}
}

@article{BleiLafferty:2007,
  author = {David M. Blei and John D. Lafferty},
  year = {2007},
  title = {A Correlated Topic Model of \emph{{S}cience}},
  journal = {The Annals of Applied Statistics},
  volume = {1},
  number = {1},
  pages = {17--37}
}


@MISC{Boost:2011,
   author={Sch\"aling, Boris},
   year = {2011},
   title = {The {B}oost {C++} Libraries.},
   publisher = {XML Press},
   howpublished = {{\\ \url{http://www.boost.org/}}}
}

@article{BowlingEtAl:2009,
  author={Shannon R.\ Bowling
          and Mohammad T.\ Khasawneh 
          and Sittichai Kaewkuekool 
          and Byung Rae Cho},
  year={2009},
  title={A logistic approximation to the cumulative normal
         distribution},
  journal={Journal of Industrial Engineering and Management},
  volume={2},
  number={1},
  pages = {114--127}
}
  

@techreport{ChungRabe-HeskethGelman:2011,
	Author = {Yeojin Chung and Sophia Rabe-Hesketh and Andrew Gelman and Vincent Dorie and and Jinchen Liu},
	Date-Added = {2011-10-11 09:19:22 -0400},
	Date-Modified = {2011-10-11 09:20:18 -0400},
	Title = {Avoiding Boundary Estimates in Linear Mixed Models Through Weakly Informative Priors},
	Year = {2011}
}

@incollection{Clayton:1992,
  author={D. G. Clayton},
  year = {1992},
  title = {Models for the analysis of cohort and case-control studies 
           with inaccurately measured exposures},
  editor = {James H. Dwyer and Manning Feinleib and Peter Lippert and
            Hans Hoffmeister},
  booktitle = {Statistical Models for Longitudinal Studies of Exposure
               and Health},
  publisher = {Oxford University Press},
  location = {New York},
  pages = {301--331}
}


@book{Congdon:2003,
	Address = {London},
	Author = {Congdon, P.},
	Publisher = {Wiley},
	Title = {Applied Bayesian Modelling},
	Year = {2003}}

@book{Congdon:2005,
  author={Congdon, Peter},
  year={2005},
  title={Bayesian Models for Categorical Data},
  publisher={Wiley}
}

@book{Congdon:2007,
  author = {Congdon, Peter},
  year = {2007},
  title = {Bayesian Statistical Modelling},
  edition = {Second},
  publisher = {Wiley}
}

@book{Congdon:2010,
  author={Congdon, Peter},
  year = {2010},
  title = {Applied Bayesian Hierarchical Modeling},
  publisher = {Chapman and Hall/CRC}
}

@article{CookGelmanRubin:2006,
	Author = {S. R. Cook and A. Gelman and D. B. Rubin},
	Journal = {Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics},
	Number = {3},
	Pages = {675--692},
	Title = {Validation of Software for {B}ayesian Models Using Posterior Quantiles},
	Volume = {15},
	Year = {2006}}

@article{Curtis:2010, 
         Author = {S.~McKay Curtis},
         Year = {2010},
         Title = {{BUGS} Code for Item Response Theory},
         Journal = {Journal of Statistical Software},
         Volume = {31} }

@techreport{DaumeIII:2007,
        Author = {Daum{\'e}, III, Hal},
        Title = {{HBC}: Hierarchical {B}ayes Compiler},
        Url = {http://hal3.name/HBC},
        Year = {2007},
        Institution = {University of Utah}
}
       

@MISC{Doxygen:2011,
  author = {van~Heesch, Dimitri},
  howpublished = {{\\ \url{http://www.stack.nl/~dimitri/doxygen/index.html}}},
  title = {Doxygen: Generate Documentation from Source Code},
  year = {2011}
}

@article{Duane:1987,
  title={Hybrid {M}onte {C}arlo},
  author={Duane, AD and Kennedy, A. and Pendleton, B. and Roweth, D.},
  journal={Physics Letters {B}},
  volume={195},
  number={2},
  pages={216--222},
  year={1987},
  publisher={Elsevier}
}

@book{DurbinKoopman:2001,
  author={Durbin, J. and Koopman, S. J.},
  title={Time Series Analysis by State Space Methods},
  year={2001},
  publisher={Oxford University Press},
  address={New York}
}

@article{Engle:1982,  
  author={Robert F. Engle},
  year={1982},
  title={Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity with Estimates
         of Variance of {U}nited {K}ingdom Inflation},
  journal={Econometrica},
  volume={50},
  pages={987--1008}
}


@Article{EddelbuettelFrancois:2011,
  title = {{Rcpp}: Seamless {R} and {C++} Integration},
   author = {Dirk Eddelbuettel and Romain Fran\c{c}ois},
   journal = {Journal of Statistical Software},
   year = {2011},
   volume = {40},
   number = {8},
   pages = {1--18},
   url = {http://www.jstatsoft.org/v40/i08/},
 }

@BOOK{Efron:2012,  
  author = {Bradley Efron},
  year = {2012},
  title = {Large-Scale Inference: Empirical Bayes Methods for 
           Estimation, Testing, and Prediction},
  series={Institute of Mathematical Statistics Monographs},
  publisher = {Cambridge Univesity Press}
}
  

@MISC{Eigen:2013,
 author = {Ga\"{e}l Guennebaud and Beno\^{i}t Jacob},
 title = {Eigen {C}++ Library, Version 3.2},  
 howpublished = {{\\ \url{http://eigen.tuxfamily.org/}}},
 year = {2012}
}

@book{FowlerEtAl:1999,
  author={Martin Fowler 
          and Kent Beck 
          and John Brant 
          and William Opdyke
          and Don Roberts},
   year={1999},
  title={Refactoring: Improving the Design of Existing Code},
  publisher={Addison-Wesley}
}

@incollection{Gay:2005,
        Author = {David Gay},
        Year = {2005},
        BookTitle = {Automatic Differentiation: Applications, Theory, and Implementations},
        Editor = {H.~Martin B\"ucker and George F. Corliss and Pual Hovland and Uwe Naumann and Boyana Norris}, 
        Title = {Semiautomatic Differentiation for Efficient Gradient Computations},
        Series = {Lecture Notes in Computational Science and Engineering},
        Volume = {50},
        Publisher = {Springer},
        Address = {New York}
}


@book{GelmanCarlinSternRubin:2003,
	Address = {London},
	Author = {Andrew Gelman and J.~B.~Carlin and Hal S.~Stern and Donald B.~Rubin},
	Edition = {2nd},
	Publisher = {CRC Press},
	Title = {Bayesian Data Analysis},
	Year = {2003}}

@book{GelmanHill:2007,
	Address = {Cambridge, United Kingdom},
	Author = {Andrew Gelman and Jennifer Hill},
	Publisher = {Cambridge University Press},
	Title = {Data Analysis Using Regression and Multilevel-Hierarchical Models},
	Year = {2007}}

@article{GelmanRubin:1992,
	Author = {Gelman, Andrew and Rubin, Donald B.},
	Year = {1992},
	Title = {Inference from iterative simulation using multiple sequences},
	Journal = {Statistical Science},
	Pages = {457--472},
	Volume = {7},
	Number = {4},
	Issn = {0883-4237}
}

@techreport{Giesler:2000,
    Author = {Gregg C. Giesler},
    Title = {{MCNP} Software Quality: Then and Now},
    Year = {2000},
    Institution = {Los Alamos National Laboratory},
    Number = {LA-UR-00-2532}
}


@article{GirolamiCalderhead:2011,
  title={Riemann manifold {L}angevin and {H}amiltonian {M}onte {C}arlo methods},
  author={Girolami, Mark and Calderhead, Ben},
  journal={Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series B (Statistical Methodology)},
  volume={73},
  number={2},
  pages={123--214},
  year={2011}
}


@MISC{GoogleTest:2011,
  author = {Google},
  howpublished = {{\\ \url{http://code.google.com/p/googletest/}}},
  year = {2011},
  title = {Google {T}est: {G}oogle {C}++ Testing Framework}
}

@article{Hastings:1970,
    Author = {Hastings, W.~K.},
    Year = {1970},
    Title = {Monte {C}arlo Sampling Methods Using {M}arkov Chains and Their Applications},
    Journal = {Biometrika},
    Volume = {57},
    Number = {1},
    Pages = {97--109}
}

@article{Hoffman-Gelman:2011,
    Author = {Matthew D. Hoffman and Andrew Gelman},
    Title = {The No-{U}-Turn Sampler: Adaptively Setting Path 
             Lengths in {H}amiltonian {M}onte {C}arlo},
    Journal = {arXiv},
    Volume = {1111},
    Number = {4246},
    Version = {1},
    url = {http://arxiv.org/abs/1111.4246},
    Year = {2011}
}

@article{Hoffman-Gelman:2013,
    Author = {Matthew D. Hoffman and Andrew Gelman},
    Title = {The No-{U}-Turn Sampler: Adaptively Setting Path 
             Lengths in {H}amiltonian {M}onte {C}arlo},
    Year = {2013},
    Volume = {in press},
    Journal = {Journal of Machine Learning Research},
}

@inproceedings{Hoffman:2010,
	Author = {Hoffman, M.D. and Blei, D.M. and Cook, P.R.},
	Booktitle = {ICML},
	Location = {Haifa, Israel},
	Title = {{B}ayesian Nonparametric Matrix Factorization for Recorded Music},
	Year = {2010},
}

@book{HuntThomas:99,  
  author = {Andrew Hunt and David Thomas},
  year = {1999},
  title = {The Pragmatic Programmer},
  publisher = {Addison-Wesley}
}

@article{Lambert:1992,  
  author = {Diane Lambert},  
  year = {1992},
  title = {Zero-Inflated {P}oisson Regression, With an Application to
           Defects in Manufacturing},
  journal = {Technometrics},
  volume = {34},
  number = {1},
  page = {1--14}
}
@article{Lecuyer:1999,
  author = {{L'Ecuyer}, Pierre},  
  year = {1999},
  title = {Good parameters and implementations for combined multiple
  recursive random number generators},
  journal = {Operations Research},
  volume = {47},
  pages = {159--164}
}

@article{LewandowskiKurowickaJoe:2009,
       Author = {Daniel Lewandowski and Dorota Kurowicka and Harry Joe},
       Year = {2009},
       Title = {Generating random correlation matrices based on vines and extended onion method}, 
       Journal = {Journal of Multivariate Analysis},
       Volume = {100},
       Pages = {1989--2001}
}      

@article{KimShephardChib:1998,
  author = { Sangjoon Kim and Neil Shephard and Siddhartha Chib },
  year = { 1998 },
  title = { Stochastic Volatility: Likelihood Inference and Comparison with {ARCH} Models },
  journal = { Review of Economic Studies },
  volume = { 65 },  
  pages = { 361--393 }
}

@book{McConnell:2004,
  Author = {Steve McConnell},
  Year = {2004},
  Title = {Code Complete: A Practical Handbook of Software
           Construction},
  Edition = {Second},
  Publisher = {Microsoft Press}
}

@article{Metropolis:1953,
	Author = {Metropolis, N. and Rosenbluth, A. and Rosenbluth, M. and Teller, M. and Teller, E.},
	Date-Modified = {2007-06-11 11:46:55 -0400},
	Journal = {Journal of Chemical Physics},
	Pages = {1087--1092},
	Title = {Equations of State Calculations by Fast Computing Machines},
	Volume = {21},
	Year = {1953}}

@article{MetropolisUlam:1949,
    Author = {Metropolis, Nicholas and Ulam, Stanislaw},
    Title = {The {M}onte {C}arlo Method},
    Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
    Year = {1949},
    Volume = {44},
    Number = {247},
    Pages = {335--341}
}

@article{Neal:1994,
   Author = {Neal, Radford M.},
   Year = {1994},
   Title = {An improved acceptance procedure for the hybrid Monte Carlo algorithm},
   Journal = {Journal of Computational Physics},
   Volume = {111},
   Pages = {194--203}
}

@book{Neal:1996,
  author = {Neal, Radford M.},
  year = {1996},
  title = {Bayesian Learning for Neural Networks},
  series = {Lecture Notes in Statistics},
  number = {118}, 
  publisher = {Springer},
  location = {New York}
}

@techreport{Neal:1997,
  author = {Neal, Radford M.},
  year = {1997},
  title = {Monte {C}arlo Implementation of {G}aussian Process Models
           for {B}ayesian Regression and Classification},
  institution = {University of Toronto, Department of Statistics},
  number = {9702}
}
  
  

@article{Neal:2003,
    Author = {Neal, Radford M.},
    Year = {2003},
    Title = {Slice Sampling},
    Journal = {Annals of Statistics},
    Volume = {31},
    Number = {3},
    Pages = {705--767} 
}

@incollection{Neal:2011,
  Author = {Neal, Radford},
  Year = {2011},
  Title = {{MCMC} Using {H}amiltonian Dynamics},
  Booktitle = {Handbook of {M}arkov Chain {M}onte {C}arlo},
  Editor = {Brooks, Steve and Gelman, Andrew and Jones, Galin L. and Meng, Xiao-Li},
  Publisher = {Chapman and Hall/CRC},
  Pages = {116--162}
}
  

@book{Neal:1996,
   author = {Neal, Radford},
   title = {Bayesian Learning for Neural Networks},
   year = {1996},
   publisher = {Springer},
   address = {New York},
   series = {Lecture Notes in Statistics},
   volume = {118}
}

@article{Nesterov:2009,
 title={Primal-dual subgradient methods for convex problems},
 author={Nesterov, Y.},
 journal={Mathematical Programming},
 volume={120},
 number={1},
 pages={221--259},
 year={2009},
 publisher={Springer}
}

@article{numpy:2011,
author = {Walt, Stefan van der and Colbert, S. Chris and Varoquaux, Gael},
title = {The NumPy Array: A Structure for Efficient Numerical Computation},
journal = {Computing in Science and Engg.},
issue_date = {March 2011},
volume = {13},
issue = {2},
month = {March},
year = {2011},
issn = {1521-9615},
pages = {22--30},
numpages = {9},
url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/MCSE.2011.37},
doi = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/MCSE.2011.37},
acmid = {1957466},
publisher = {IEEE Educational Activities Department},
address = {Piscataway, NJ, USA}
} 

@article{papa-et-al:2007,
  author = {Omiros Papaspiliopoulos and Gareth O. Roberts and Martin Sköld},
  year = {2007},
  title = {A General Framework for the Parametrization of Hierarchical Models},
  journal = {Statistical Science},
  volume = {22},
  number = {1},
  pages = {59--73}
}


@article{PinheiroBates:1996,
    author = {Jos{\'e} C. Pinheiro and Douglas M. Bates},
    title = {Unconstrained Parameterizations for Variance-Covariance Matrices},
    journal = {Statistics and Computing},
    year = {1996},
    volume = {6},
    pages = {289--296}
}

@Manual{R:2012,
   title = {R: A Language and Environment for Statistical Computing},
   author = {{R Development Core Team}},
   organization = {R Foundation for Statistical Computing},
   address = {Vienna, Austria},
   year = {2012},
   note = {{ISBN} 3-900051-07-0},
   url = {http://www.R-project.org},
}

@book{RasmussenWilliams:2006,  
  author={Carl Edward Rasmussen and Christopher K.~I.\ Williams},
  title={Gaussian Processes for Machine Learning},  
  year={2006},  
  publisher={MIT Press}
}

@article{RichardsonGilks:1993,  
  author = {Sylvia Richardson and Walter R. Gilks},
  year = {1993},
  title = {A {B}ayesian approach to measurement error problems in
           epidemiology using conditional independence models}, 
  journal = {American Journal of Epidemiology},
  volume = {138},
  number = {6},
  pages = {430--442}
}


@ARTICLE{Rnews:Plummer+Best+Cowles+Vines:2006,
 AUTHOR = {Martyn Plummer and Nicky Best and Kate Cowles and Karen Vines},
 TITLE = {{CODA}: Convergence Diagnosis and Output Analysis for {MCMC}},
 JOURNAL = {R News},
 YEAR = 2006,
 VOLUME = 6,
 NUMBER = 1,
 PAGES = {7--11},
 MONTH = {March},
 URL = {http://CRAN.R-project.org/doc/Rnews/},
 PDF = {http://CRAN.R-project.org/doc/Rnews/Rnews_2006-1.pdf}
}

@article{Rubin:1981,
  author = {Donald B. Rubin},
  year = {1981},
  title = {Estimation in parallel randomized experiments},
  journal = {Journal of Educational Statistics},
  volume = {6},
  pages = {377--401}
}
 
@article{SmithSpiegelhalterThomas:1995,
  author = {Teresa C. Smith and David J. Spiegelhalter and Andrew Thomas},
  year = {1995},
  title = {Bayesian approaches to random-effects meta-analysis: a
           comparative study},
  journal = {Statistics in Medicine},
  volume = {14},
  number = {24},
  pages = {2685--2699}
}

@techreport{TokudaGoodrichVanMechelen:2010,
	Author = {Tomoki Tokuda and Ben Goodrich and Iven Van~Mechelen and Andrew Gelman and Francis Tuerlinckx},
	Date-Added = {2011-10-11 09:21:36 -0400},
	Date-Modified = {2011-10-11 09:22:14 -0400},
	Title = {Visualizing distributions of covariance matrices},
        Institution = {Columbia University, Department of Statistics},
	Year = {2010}}


@article{Vrugt:2009,
 title={Equifinality of formal ({DREAM}) and informal ({GLUE}) {B}ayesian approaches in hydrologic modeling?},
 author={Vrugt, J.A. and Ter Braak, C.J.F. and Gupta, H.V. and Robinson, B.A.},
 journal={Stochastic environmental research and risk assessment},
 volume={23},
 number={7},
 pages={1011--1026},
 year={2009},
 publisher={Springer}
}

@article{WainwrightJordan:2008,
   Author = {Wainwright, M.~J. and Jordan, M.~I.},
   Title = {Graphical models, exponential families, and variational inference},
   Volume = {1},
   Pages = {1--305},   
   Year = {2008},
   Journal = {Foundations and Trends in Machine Learning}
}

@article{WarnThompsonSpiegelhalter:2002,
  author = {David E. Warn and S. G. Thompson and David
             J. Spiegelhalter },
  year = {2002},
  title = {Bayesian random effects meta-analysis of trials with binary
           outcomes: methods for the absolute risk difference and
           relative risk scales},
  journal = {Statistics in Medicine},
  volume = {21},
  pages = {1601--1623}
} 

@inproceedings{Zhang:2011,
  title={Quasi-{N}ewton Methods for {M}arkov Chain {M}onte {C}arlo},
  author={Zhang, Y. and Sutton, C.},
  booktitle={Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems 24 ({NIPS})},
  year={2011}
}


%%%% ==================== OLDER BIB ITEMS ======================

% OLDER BIB ITEMS


@article{Aaronson:1998,
	Author = {Aaronson, D.},
	Journal = {Journal of Human Resources},
	Pages = {915--946},
	Title = {Using sibling data to estimate the impact of neighborhoods on children's educational outcomes},
	Volume = {33},
	Year = {1998}}

@article{AbayomiGelmanLevy:2008,
	Author = {Abayomi, K. and Gelman, A. and Levy, M.},
	Issn = {1467-9876},
	Journal = {Journal of the Royal Statistical Society C},
	Number = {3},
	Pages = {273--291},
	Publisher = {Wiley Online Library},
	Title = {Diagnostics for multivariate imputations},
	Volume = {57},
	Year = {2008}}

@book{Achen:1986,
	Address = {Berkeley},
	Author = {Achen, C.},
	Publisher = {University of California Press},
	Title = {Statistical Analysis of Quasi-Experiments},
	Year = {1986}}

@book{Achen:1982,
	Address = {Newbury Park, California},
	Author = {Achen, C.},
	Publisher = {Sage},
	Title = {Interpreting and Using Regression},
	Year = {1982}}

@article{Achen:1978,
	Author = {Achen, Christopher H.},
	Journal = {American Journal of Political Science},
	Number = {3},
	Pages = {475--510},
	Title = {Measuring Representation},
	Volume = {22},
	Year = {1978}}

@article{AfshartousDe-Leeuw:2002,
	Author = {Afshartous, D. and De-Leeuw, J.},
	Journal = {Communications in Statistics - Simulation and Computation},
	Number = {4},
	Pages = {909--928},
	Title = {Decomposition of prediction error in multilevel models},
	Volume = {34},
	Year = {2002}}

@article{AgodiniDynarski:2004,
	Author = {Agodini, R. and Dynarski, M.},
	Journal = {Review of Economics and Statistics},
	Pages = {180--194},
	Title = {Are experiments the only option? A look at dropout prevention programs},
	Volume = {86},
	Year = {2004}}

@book{Agresti:2002,
	Address = {New York},
	Author = {Agresti, A.},
	Edition = {2nd},
	Publisher = {Wiley},
	Title = {Categorical Data Analysis},
	Year = {2002}}

@article{AgrestiCoull:1998,
	Author = {Agresti, A. and Coull, B. A.},
	Journal = {American Statistician},
	Pages = {119--126},
	Title = {Approximate is better than exact for interval estimation of binomial proportions},
	Volume = {52},
	Year = {1998}}

@article{AinsleyDykeJenkyn:1995,
	Author = {Ainsley, A. E. and Dyke, G. V. and Jenkyn, J. F.},
	Journal = {Journal of Agricultural Science},
	Pages = {1--9},
	Title = {Inter-plot interference and nearest-neighbour analysis of field experiments},
	Volume = {125},
	Year = {1995}}

@article{AitkinLongford:1986,
	Author = {Aitkin, M. and Longford, N.},
	Journal = {Journal of the Royal Statistical Society A},
	Pages = {1--43},
	Title = {Statistical modelling issues in school effectiveness studies (with discussion)},
	Volume = {149},
	Year = {1986}}

@article{AlbertAnderson:1984,
	Author = {Albert, A. and Anderson, J. A.},
	Journal = {Biometrika},
	Pages = {1--10},
	Title = {On the existence of maximum likelihood estimates in logistic regression models},
	Volume = {71},
	Year = {1984}}


@article{AlmondChayLee:2005,
	Author = {Almond, D. and Chay, K. Y. and Lee, D. S.},
	Journal = {Quarterly Journal of Economics},
	Pages = {1031--1083},
	Title = {The costs of low birth weight},
	Volume = {120},
	Year = {2005}}

@article{Amemiya:1981,
	Author = {Amemiya, T.},
	Journal = {Journal of Economic Literature},
	Pages = {481--536},
	Title = {Qualitative response models: a survey},
	Volume = {19},
	Year = {1981}}

@article{Anderson:1988,
	Author = {Anderson, D. A.},
	Journal = {Australian Journal of Statistics},
	Pages = {125--148},
	Title = {Some models for overdispersed binomial data},
	Volume = {30},
	Year = {1988}}

@article{AngristEvans:1998,
	Author = {Angrist J. D. and Evans, W. N.},
	Journal = {American Economic Review},
	Pages = {450--477},
	Title = {Children and their parents' labor supply: evidence from exogenous variation in family size},
	Volume = {88},
	Year = {1998}}

@article{Angrist:1990,
	Author = {Angrist, J. D.},
	Journal = {American Economic Review},
	Pages = {313--336},
	Title = {Lifetime earnings and the Vietnam era draft lottery: evidence from Social Security administrative records},
	Volume = {80},
	Year = {1990}}

@article{AngristGraddyImbens:2000,
	Author = {Angrist, J. D. and Graddy, K. and Imbens, G. W.},
	Journal = {Review of Economic Studies},
	Pages = {499--527},
	Title = {The interpretation of instrumental variables estimators in simultaneous equations models with an application to the demand for fish},
	Volume = {67},
	Year = {2000}}

@article{AngristImbensRubin:1996,
	Author = {Angrist, J. D. and Imbens, G. W. and Rubin, D. B.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {444--455},
	Title = {Identification of causal effects using instrumental variables.},
	Volume = {91},
	Year = {1996}}

@incollection{AngristKrueger:1999,
	Address = {Amsterdam},
	Author = {Angrist, J. D. and Krueger, A.},
	Booktitle = {Handbook of Labor Economics},
	Editor = {O. Ashenfelter and D. Card},
	Pages = {1278--1366},
	Publisher = {North-Holland},
	Title = {Empirical strategies in labor economics},
	Volume = {3A},
	Year = {1999}}

@article{AngristKrueger:2001,
	Author = {Angrist, J. D. and Krueger, A.},
	Journal = {Journal of Economic Perspectives},
	Pages = {69--85},
	Title = {Instrumental variables and the search for identification: from supply and demand to natural experiments},
	Volume = {15},
	Year = {2001}}

@article{AnsolabehereJames:2004,
	Author = {Stephen Ansolabehere and James M. Snyder, Jr.},
	Journal = {Legislative Studies Quarterly},
	Month = {November},
	Note = {http://www.jstor.org/stable/3598589},
	Number = {4},
	Pages = {487--515},
	Title = {Using term limits to estimate incumbency advantages when officeholders retire strategically},
	Volume = {29},
	Year = {2004}}

@article{AnsolabehereSnyderStewart:2000,
	Author = {Ansolabehere, S. and Snyder, J. M. and Stewart, C.},
	Journal = {American Journal of Political Science},
	Pages = {17--34},
	Title = {Old voters, new voters, and the personal vote: using redistricting to measure the incumbency advantage},
	Volume = {44},
	Year = {2000}}

@article{AnsolabehereJr.:2006,
	Author = {Ansolabehere, Stephen, Jonathan Rodden, and James M. Snyder Jr.},
	Journal = {Journal of Economic Perspectives},
	Number = {2},
	Title = {Purple America},
	Volume = {20},
	Year = {2006}}

@article{Arceneaux:2002,
	Author = {Arceneaux, Kevin},
	Journal = {State Politics and Policy Quarterly},
	Number = {4},
	Pages = {372--387},
	Title = {Direct Democracy and the Link between Public Opinion and State Abortion Policy},
	Volume = {2},
	Year = {2002}}

@article{AshenfelterKrueger:1994,
	Author = {Ashenfelter, O. and Krueger, A.},
	Journal = {American Economic Review},
	Number = {3},
	Pages = {1157--1173},
	Title = {Estimates of the economic return to schooling from a new sample of twins},
	Volume = {84},
	Year = {1994}}

@book{AshenfelterZimmermanLevine:2003,
	Address = {New York},
	Author = {Ashenfelter, O. and Zimmerman, P. and Levine, D.},
	Publisher = {Wiley},
	Title = {Statistics and Econometrics: Methods and Applications},
	Year = {2003}}

@book{Atkinson:1985,
	Author = {Atkinson, A. C.},
	Publisher = {Oxford University Press.},
	Title = {Plots, Transformations, and Regression},
	Year = {1985}}

@misc{Bafumi:2004,
	Author = {Bafumi, J.},
	Howpublished = {Presented at the 2004 annual meeting of the American Political Science Association and poster presented at the 2004 Summer Methods Conference},
	Title = {The stubborn American voter},
	Year = {2004}}

@article{BafumiGelmanPark:2005,
	Author = {Bafumi, J. and Gelman, A. and Park, D. K.},
	Journal = {Political Analysis},
	Pages = {171--187},
	Title = {Issues in ideal point estimation},
	Volume = {13},
	Year = {2005}}

@misc{BafumiHerron:2007,
	Author = {Bafumi, Joseph and Michael C. Herron},
	Howpublished = {Presented at the Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association},	Title = {Preference Aggregation, Representation, and Elected American Political Institutions},
	Year = {2007}}

@article{BakerKramer:2001,
	Author = {Baker, S. G. and Kramer, B. S.},
	Journal = {Journal of Women's Health and Gender-Based Medicine},
	Pages = {867--872},
	Title = {Good for women, good for men, bad for people: Simpson's paradox and the importance of sex-specific analysis in observational studies},
	Volume = {10},
	Year = {2001}}

@article{BaldassarriGelman:2008,
	Author = {Delia Baldassarri and Andrew Gelman},
	Journal = {The American Journal of Sociology},
	Month = {September},
	Number = {2},
	Pages = {408--446},
	Title = {Partisans without Constraint: Political Polarization and Trends in {A}merican Public Opinion},
	Volume = {114},
	Year = {2008}}

@article{BalkePearl:1997,
	Author = {Balke, A. and Pearl, J.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {1172--1176},
	Title = {Bounds on treatment effects from studies with imperfect compliance},
	Volume = {92},
	Year = {1997}}

@techreport{BallBogatz:1972,
	Address = {Princeton, N.J},
	Author = {Ball, S. and Bogatz, G. A.},
	Institution = {Educational Testing Service},
	Number = {PR-72-2},
	Title = {Reading with television: an evaluation of the Electric Company},
	Year = {1972}}

@techreport{BallBogatzKazarowEtAl:1972,
	Address = {Princeton, N.J.},
	Author = {Ball, S. and Bogatz, G. A. and Kazarow, K. M. and Rubin, D. B.},
	Institution = {Educational Testing Service},
	Number = {PR-74-15},
	Title = {Reading with television: a follow-up evaluation of the Electric Company},
	Year = {1972}}

@book{BannerjeeGelfandCarlin:2003,
	Address = {London},
	Author = {Bannerjee, S. and Gelfand, A. E. and Carlin, B. P.},
	Publisher = {CRC Press},
	Title = {Hierarchical Modeling and Analysis for Spatial Data},
	Year = {2003}}

@article{BarnardFrangakisHillEtAl:2003,
	Author = {Barnard, J. and Frangakis, C. and Hill, J. L. and Rubin, D. B.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {299--311},
	Title = {A principal stratification approach to broken randomized experiments: a case study of vouchers in New York City (with discussion)},
	Volume = {98},
	Year = {2003}}

@article{BarnardMcCullochMeng:1996,
	Author = {Barnard, J. and McCulloch, R. E. and Meng, X. L.},
	Journal = {Statistica Sinica},
	Pages = {1281--1311},
	Title = {Modeling covariance matrices in terms of standard deviations and correlations, with application to shrinkage},
	Volume = {10},
	Year = {1996}}

@inproceedings{BarnardMeng:1994,
	Address = {Alexandria, Va.},
	Author = {Barnard, J. and Meng, X. L.},
	Booktitle = {Proceedings of the American Statistical Association, Section on Survey Research Methods},
	Organization = {American Statistical Association},
	Title = {Exploring cross-match estimators with multiply-imputed data sets},
	Year = {1994}}

@article{BarryBrooksCatchpoleEtAl:2003,
	Author = {Barry, S. C. and Brooks, S. P. and Catchpole, E. A. and Morgan, B. J. T.},
	Journal = {Biometrics},
	Pages = {54--65},
	Title = {The analysis of ring-recovery data using random effects},
	Volume = {59},
	Year = {2003}}

@misc{Bartels:2008,
	Author = {Bartels, Larry M.},
	Howpublished = {Presented at the Annual meeting of the American Political Science Association in Boston, Massachusetts},
	Title = {The Opinion-Policy Disconnect: Cross-National Spending Preferences and Democratic Represenation},
	Year = {2008}}

@article{Bates:2005,
	Author = {Bates, D.},
	Journal = {R News},
	Number = {1},
	Pages = {27--30},
	Title = {Fitting linear models in R using the lme4 package},
	Url = {http://cran.r-project.org/doc/Rnews/Rnews_2005-1.pdf},
	Volume = {5},
	Year = {2005},
	Bdsk-Url-1 = {http://cran.r-project.org/doc/Rnews/Rnews_2005-1.pdf}}

@manual{Bates:2005a,
	Author = {Bates, D.},
	Note = {cran.r-project.org/doc/Rnews/Rnews\_2005-1.pdfpackages/mlmRev.pdf},
	Title = {The mlmRev package},
	Year = {2005}}

@book{BaumgartnerDeBoydstun:2008,
	Author = {Baumgartner, F.R. and De Boef, S. and Boydstun, A.E.},
	Isbn = {0521887348},
	Publisher = {Cambridge University Press},
	Title = {The decline of the death penalty and the discovery of innocence},
	Year = {2008}}

@article{BayarriBerger:2000,
	Author = {Bayarri, M. J. and Berger, J.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {1127--1142},
	Title = {P-values for composite null models (with discussion)},
	Volume = {95},
	Year = {2000}}

@article{BayarriCastellanos:2007,
	Author = {Bayarri, M. J. and Castellanos, M. E.},
	Journal = {Statistical Science},
	Pages = {322--343},
	Title = {Bayesian checking of the second levels of hierarchical models (with discussion)},
	Volume = {22},
	Year = {2007}}

@article{BeckKatz:1996,
	Author = {Beck, N. and Katz, J.},
	Journal = {Political Analysis},
	Pages = {1--36},
	Title = {Nuisance vs. substance: specifying and estimating time-series cross-section models},
	Volume = {6},
	Year = {1996}}

@article{BeckKatz:1995,
	Author = {Beck, N. and Katz, J.},
	Journal = {American Political Science Review},
	Pages = {634--647},
	Title = {What to do (and not to do) with time-series cross-section data},
	Volume = {89},
	Year = {1995}}

@techreport{Becker:1998,
	Address = {New York},
	Author = {Becker, D. E.},
	Institution = {School of Social Work, Columbia University},
	Title = {The {N}ew {Y}ork {C}ity {S}ocial {I}ndicators {S}urvey: An analysis of the weighting procedure},
	Year = {1998}}

@book{BeckerChambersWilks:1988,
	Address = {Pacific Grove, California},
	Author = {Becker, R. A. and Chambers, J. M. and Wilks, A. R.},
	Publisher = {Wadsworth},
	Title = {The New S Language: A Programming Environment for Data Analysis and Graphics},
	Year = {1988}}

@article{BelinDiffendalMackEtAl:1993,
	Abstract = {In the process of collecting Post-Enumeration Survey (PES) data to
	evaluate census coverage, it is inevitable that there will be some
	individuals whose enumeration status (outcome in the census-PES match)
	remains unresolved even after extensive field follow-up operations.
	Earlier work developed a logistic regression framework for imputing
	the probability that unresolved individuals were enumerated in the
	census, so that the probability of having been enumerated is allowed
	to depend on covariates. The covariates may include demographic characteristics,
	geographic information, and census codes that summarize information
	on the characteristics of the match (e.g., the before-follow-up match
	code assigned by clerks to describe the type of match between PES
	and census records). In the production of 1990 undercount estimates,
	the basic logistic regression model was expanded into a mixed hierarchical
	model to allow for the presence of group-specific effects, where
	groups are characterized by common before-follow-up match code. Parameter
	estimates for individual match-code groups thus "borrow strength"
	across groups by making use of observed relationships between group-specific
	parameter estimates in the various groups and the characteristics
	of the groups. This allows predictions to be made for groups for
	which there are few or no resolved cases to which to fit the model.
	The model was fitted by an approximate expectation-conditional-maximization
	(ECM) algorithm, using a large-sample approximation to the posterior
	distributions of group parameters. Uncertainty in estimation of model
	parameters was evaluated using a resampling procedure and became
	part of the evaluation of total error in PES estimates of population.
	Results from fitting the model in the 1990 Census and PES are described.},
	Author = {Belin, Thomas R. and Diffendal, Gregg J. and Mack, Steve and Rubin, Donald B. and Schafer, Joseph L. and Zaslavsky, Alan M.},
	Copyright = {Copyright {\copyright} 1993 American Statistical Association},
	Issn = {01621459},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Jstor_Articletype = {research-article},
	Jstor_Formatteddate = {Sep., 1993},
	Language = {English},
	Number = {423},
	Pages = {1149--1159},
	Publisher = {American Statistical Association},
	Title = {Hierarchical Logistic Regression Models for Imputation of Unresolved Enumeration Status in Undercount Estimation},
	Url = {http://www.jstor.org/stable/2290812},
	Volume = {88},
	Year = {1993},
	Bdsk-Url-1 = {http://www.jstor.org/stable/2290812}}

@article{BentlerRaykov:2000,
	Author = {Bentler, P. M. and Raykov, T},
	Journal = {Journal of Applied Psychology},
	Pages = {125--131},
	Title = {On measures of explained variance in nonrecursive structural equation models},
	Volume = {85},
	Year = {2000}}

@book{Berger:1985,
	Address = {New York},
	Author = {Berger, J. O.},
	Edition = {2nd},
	Publisher = {Springer-Verlag},
	Title = {Statistical Decision Theory and Bayesian Analysis},
	Year = {1985}}

@book{Berk:2004,
	Address = {Thousand Oaks, California},
	Author = {Berk, R. A.},
	Publisher = {Sage},
	Title = {Regression Analysis: A Constructive Critique},
	Year = {2004}}

@article{Bernardo:1979,
	Author = {Bernardo, J. M.},
	Journal = {Journal of the Royal Statistical Society B},
	Pages = {113--147},
	Title = {Reference prior distributions for Bayesian inference (with discussion)},
	Volume = {41},
	Year = {1979}}

@book{BernardoSmith:1994,
	Address = {New York},
	Author = {Bernardo, J. M. and Smith, A. F. M},
	Publisher = {Wiley},
	Title = {Bayesian Theory},
	Year = {1994}}

@article{BerryRingquistFordingEtAl:1998,
	Author = {Berry, William D. and Evan J. Ringquist and Richard C. Fording and Russell L. Hanson},
	Journal = {American Journal of Political Science},
	Number = {1},
	Pages = {327--348},
	Title = {Measuring Citizen and Government Ideology in the American States, 1960-93},
	Volume = {42},
	Year = {1998}}

@book{Bertin:19671983,
	Address = {Madison},
	Author = {Bertin, J.},
	Note = {Translated by W. J. Berg.},
	Publisher = {University of Wisconsin Press},
	Title = {Semiology of Graphics},
	Year = {1967, 1983}}

@article{BesagHigdon:1999,
	Author = {Besag, J. and Higdon, D.},
	Journal = {Journal of the Royal Statistical Society B},
	Pages = {691--746},
	Title = {Bayesian analysis of agricultural field experiments (with discussion)},
	Volume = {61},
	Year = {1999}}

@article{BesagYorkMollie:1991,
	Author = {Besag, J. and York, J. and Mollie, A.},
	Journal = {Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics},
	Pages = {1--59},
	Title = {Bayesian image restoration, with two applications in spatial statistics (with discussion)},
	Volume = {43},
	Year = {1991}}

@article{Binder:1983,
	Abstract = {The problem of specifying and estimating the variance of estimated
	parameters based on complex sample designs from finite populations
	is considered. The results of this paper are particularly useful
	when the parameter estimators cannot be defined explicitly as a function
	of other statistics from the sample. It is shown how these results
	can be applied to linear regression, logistic regression and log
	linear contingency table models. An example of the application of
	the technique to the Canada Health Survey is given. /// On discute
	le probl{\`e}me de la sp{\'e}cification et de l'estimation de la variance
	de param{\`e}tres estim{\'e}s bas{\'e}s sur les plans d'{\'e}chantillonnage complexes
	provenant de populations finies. Les r{\'e}sultats pr{\'e}sent{\'e}s dans
	cet article sont particuli{\`e}rement utiles lorsque les estimateurs
	des param{\'e}tres ne sont pas d{\'e}finis explicitement comme {\'e}tant une
	fonction des autres statistiques de l'{\'e}chantillon. On montre comment
	ces r{\'e}sultats peuvent s'appliquer {\`a} la r{\'e}gression lin{\'e}aire, la
	r{\'e}gression logistique et aux mod{\`e}les lin{\'e}aires logarithmiques
	de tableaux de contingence. Une example de l'application de la methodologie
	{\`a} l'Enqu{\^e}te Sant{\'e} Canada est donn{\'e}e.},
	Author = {Binder, David A.},
	Copyright = {Copyright {\copyright} 1983 International Statistical Institute (ISI)},
	Issn = {03067734},
	Journal = {International Statistical Review / Revue Internationale de Statistique},
	Jstor_Articletype = {research-article},
	Jstor_Formatteddate = {Dec., 1983},
	Language = {English},
	Number = {3},
	Pages = {279-292},
	Publisher = {International Statistical Institute (ISI)},
	Title = {On the Variances of Asymptotically Normal Estimators from Complex Surveys},
	Url = {http://www.jstor.org/stable/1402588},
	Volume = {51},
	Year = {1983},
	Bdsk-Url-1 = {http://www.jstor.org/stable/1402588}}

@article{BlackmanBenaneElliottEtAl:1988,
	Author = {Blackman, C. F. and Benane, S. G. and Elliott, D. J. and House, D. E. and Pollock, M. M.},
	Journal = {Bioelectromagnetics},
	Pages = {215--227},
	Title = {Influence of electromagnetic fields on the efflux of calcium ions from brain tissue in vitro: a three-model analysis consistent with the frequency response up to 510 Hz},
	Volume = {9},
	Year = {1988}}

@article{Blalock:1961,
	Author = {Blalock, H. M.},
	Journal = {American Sociological Review},
	Pages = {866--874},
	Title = {Evaluating the relative importance of variables},
	Volume = {26},
	Year = {1961}}

@article{BogartCromwell:2000,
	Author = {Bogart, W. T. and Cromwell, B. A.},
	Journal = {Journal of Urban Economics},
	Pages = {280--306},
	Title = {How much is a neighborhood school worth?},
	Volume = {47},
	Year = {2000}}

@techreport{BogatzBall:1971,
	Address = {Princeton, N.J.},
	Author = {Bogatz, G. A. and Ball, S.},
	Institution = {Educational Testing Service},
	Note = {Two volumes},
	Title = {The Second Year of Sesame Street: A Continuing Evaluation},
	Year = {1971}}

@phdthesis{Boscardin:1996,
	Author = {Boscardin, W. J.},
	School = {Department of Statistics, University of California, Berkeley},
	Title = {Bayesian analysis for some hierarchical linear models},
	Year = {1996}}

@article{BoscardinGelman:1996,
	Author = {Boscardin, W. J. and Gelman, A.},
	Journal = {Advances in Econometrics},
	Pages = {87--109},
	Title = {Bayesian regression with parametric models for heteroscedasticity},
	Volume = {11A},
	Year = {1996}}

@article{Box:1980,
	Author = {Box, G. E. P.},
	Journal = {Journal of the Royal Statistical Society A},
	Pages = {383--430},
	Title = {Sampling and Bayes inference in scientific modelling and robustness},
	Volume = {143},
	Year = {1980}}

@article{Box:1976,
	Author = {Box, G. E. P.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {791--799},
	Title = {Science and statistics},
	Volume = {71},
	Year = {1976}}

@article{BoxCox:1964,
	Author = {Box, G. E. P. and Cox, D. R.},
	Journal = {Journal of the Royal Statistical Society B},
	Pages = {211--252},
	Title = {An analysis of transformations (with discussion)},
	Volume = {26},
	Year = {1964}}

@book{BoxHunterHunter:2005,
	Address = {New York},
	Author = {Box, G. E. P. and Hunter, J. S. and Hunter, W. G.},
	Edition = {2nd},
	Publisher = {Wiley},
	Title = {Statistics for Experimenters},
	Year = {2005}}

@book{BoxTiao:1973,
	Address = {New York},
	Author = {Box, G. E. P. and Tiao, G. C.},
	Publisher = {Wiley Classics},
	Title = {Bayesian Inference in Statistical Analysis},
	Year = {1973}}

@misc{BraceBoyea:2004,
	Author = {Brace, Paul and Brent D. Boyea},
	Howpublished = {Presented at the American Political Science Association Meetings in Chicago, Illinois},
	Title = {Judicial Impartiality and the Practice of Electing Judges: The Case of State Supreme Courts},
	Year = {2004}}

@article{BraceSims-ButlerArceneauxEtAl:2002,
	Author = {Brace, Paul and Kellie Sims-Butler and Kevin Arceneaux and Martin Johnson},
	Journal = {American Journal of Political Science},
	Month = {January},
	Number = {1},
	Pages = {173--189},
	Title = {Public Opinion in the American States: New Perspectives Using National Survey Data},
	Volume = {46},
	Year = {2002}}

@article{BradleyTerry:1952,
	Author = {Bradley, R. A. and Terry, M. E.},
	Journal = {Biometrika},
	Pages = {324--345},
	Title = {The rank analysis of incomplete block designs: I. The method of paired comparison},
	Volume = {39},
	Year = {1952}}

@article{BrainardBurmaster:1992,
	Author = {Brainard, J. and Burmaster, D. E.},
	Journal = {Risk Analysis},
	Pages = {267--275},
	Title = {Bivariate distributions for height and weight of men and women in the United States},
	Volume = {12},
	Year = {1992}}

@article{Brennan:1977,
	Author = {Brennan, William J.},
	Journal = {Harvard Law Review},
	Number = {3},
	Pages = {489-504},
	Title = {State Constitutions and the Protection of Individual Rights},
	Volume = {9},
	Year = {1977}}

@article{BrewerWilcox:2005,
	Author = {Brewer, Paul R. and Clyde Wilcox},
	Journal = {Public Opinion Quarterly},
	Number = {4},
	Pages = {599-616},
	Title = {The Polls---Trends: Same-Sex Marriage and Civil Unions},
	Volume = {69},
	Year = {2005}}

@article{Bring:1994,
	Author = {Bring, J.},
	Journal = {American Statistician},
	Pages = {209--213},
	Title = {How to standardize regression coefficients},
	Volume = {48},
	Year = {1994}}

@article{BrooksGelman:1998,
	Author = {Brooks, S. and Gelman, A.},
	Journal = {Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics},
	Pages = {434--455},
	Title = {General methods for monitoring convergence of iterative simulations},
	Volume = {7},
	Year = {1998}}

@inproceedings{BrooksGelman:1998a,
	Author = {Brooks, S. and Gelman, A.},
	Booktitle = {Proceedings of the Section on Statistical Computing, American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {30--36},
	Title = {Some Issues for Monitoring Convergence of Iterative Simulations},
	Year = {1998}}

@article{Brooks-GunnLiawKlebanov:1992,
	Author = {Brooks-Gunn, J. and Liaw, F. R. and Klebanov, P. K.},
	Journal = {Journal of Pediatrics},
	Pages = {350--359},
	Title = {Effects of early intervention on cognitive function of low birth weight preterm infants},
	Volume = {120},
	Year = {1992}}

@article{BrowneSubramanianJonesEtAl:2005,
	Author = {Browne, W. J. and Subramanian, S. V. and Jones, K. and Goldstein, H.},
	Journal = {Journal of the Royal Statistical Society B},
	Pages = {599--613},
	Title = {Variance partitioning in multilevel logistic models that exhibit over-dispersion},
	Volume = {168},
	Year = {2005}}

@article{BrownerNewman:1987,
	Author = {Browner, W. S. and Newman, T. B.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Medical Association},
	Pages = {2459--2463},
	Title = {Are all significant P values created equal?},
	Volume = {257},
	Year = {1987}}

@incollection{BujaAsimovHurleyEtAl:1988,
	Address = {Belmont, California},
	Author = {Buja, A. and Asimov, D. and Hurley, C. and McDonald, J. A.},
	Booktitle = {Dynamic Graphics for Statistics},
	Editor = {W. S. Cleveland and M. E. McGill},
	Pages = {277--308},
	Publisher = {Wadsworth},
	Title = {Elements of a viewing pipeline for data analysis},
	Year = {1988}}

@misc{BujaCookSwayne:1999,
	Author = {Buja, A. and Cook, D. and Swayne, D.},
	Howpublished = {Talk given at Joint Statistical Meetings},
	Note = {www.research.att.com/$\sim$andreas/\#dataviz},
	Title = {Inference for data visualization},
	Year = {1999}}

@article{Burstein:2003,
	Author = {Burstein, Paul},
	Journal = {Political Research Quarterly},
	Number = {1},
	Pages = {29-40},
	Title = {The Impact of Public Opinion on Policy: A Review of an Agenda},
	Volume = {56},
	Year = {2003}}

@article{Burstein:1981,
	Author = {Burstein, Paul},
	Journal = {Annual Review of Sociology},
	Pages = {291-319},
	Title = {The Sociology of Democratic Politics and Government},
	Volume = {7},
	Year = {1981}}

@book{BushMosteller:1955,
	Address = {New York},
	Author = {Bush, R. R. and Mosteller, F.},
	Publisher = {Wiley},
	Title = {Stochastic Models for Learning},
	Year = {1955}}

@article{CaldaroneCanes-WroneClark:2009,
	Author = {Caldarone, Richard P. and Brandice Canes-Wrone and Tom S. Clark},
	Journal = {Journal of Politics},
	Number = {2},
	Pages = {560-73},
	Title = {Partisan Labels and Democratic Accountability: An Analysis of State Supreme Court Abortion Decisions.},
	Volume = {71},
	Year = {2009}}

@article{CameronEpsteinOHalloran:1996,
	Author = {Cameron, Charles and David Epstein and Sharyn O'Halloran},
	Journal = {American Political Science Review},
	Pages = {794--812},
	Title = {Do Majority-Minority Districts Maximize Substantive Black Representation in Congress?},
	Volume = {90},
	Year = {1996}}

@book{CampbellStanley:1963,
	Address = {Chicago},
	Author = {Campbell, D. T. and Stanley, J. C.},
	Publisher = {Rand McNally},
	Title = {Experimental and Quasi-Experimental Designs for Research},
	Year = {1963}}

@misc{Campbell:2002,
	Author = {Campbell, J. E.},
	Howpublished = {Presented at the New England Political Science Association Meeting, Portland, Maine},
	Institution = {Department of Political Science, State University of New York at Buffalo},
	Title = {Is the House incumbency advantage mostly a campaign finance advantage?},
	Year = {2002}}

@article{Campbell:1992,
	Author = {Campbell, J. E.},
	Journal = {American Journal of Political Science},
	Pages = {386--407},
	Title = {Forecasting the presidential vote in the states},
	Volume = {36},
	Year = {1992}}

@article{CardKrueger:1994,
	Author = {Card, D. and Krueger, A.},
	Journal = {American Economic Review},
	Pages = {772--784},
	Title = {Minimum wages and employment: a case study of the fast-food industry in New Jersey and Pennsylvania.},
	Volume = {84},
	Year = {1994}}

@book{CareyNiemiPowell:2000,
	Address = {Ann Arbor},
	Author = {Carey, John M. and Richard G. Niemi and Lynda W. Powell},
	Publisher = {University of Michigan Press},
	Title = {Term Limits in State Legislatures},
	Year = {2000}}

@book{CarlinLouis:2001,
	Address = {London},
	Author = {Carlin, B. P. and Louis, T. A.},
	Edition = {2nd},
	Publisher = {CRC Press},
	Title = {Bayes and Empirical Bayes Methods for Data Analysis},
	Year = {2001}}

@article{Carlin:1992,
	Author = {Carlin, J. B.},
	Journal = {Statistics in Medicine},
	Pages = {141--158},
	Title = {Meta-analysis for $2\times 2$ tables: a Bayesian approach},
	Volume = {11},
	Year = {1992}}

@book{CarlinForbes:2004,
	Address = {Melbourne},
	Author = {Carlin, J. B. and Forbes, A.},
	Publisher = {Biostatistics Collaboration of Australia},
	Title = {Linear Models and Regression},
	Year = {2004}}

@article{CarlinWolfeBrownEtAl:2001,
	Author = {Carlin, J. B. and Wolfe, R. and Brown, C. H. and Gelman, A.},
	Journal = {Biostatistics},
	Pages = {397--416},
	Title = {A case study on the choice, interpretation, and checking of multilevel models for longitudinal binary outcomes},
	Volume = {2},
	Year = {2001}}

@article{CarrollRuppert:1981,
	Author = {Carroll, R. J. and Ruppert, D.},
	Journal = {Biometrika},
	Pages = {609--615},
	Title = {On prediction and the power transformation family},
	Volume = {68},
	Year = {1981}}

@article{CarrollRuppertCrainiceanuEtAl:2004,
	Author = {Carroll, R. J. and Ruppert, D. and Crainiceanu, C. M. and Tosteson, T. D. and Karagas, M. R.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {736--750},
	Title = {Nonlinear and nonparametric regression and instrumental variables},
	Volume = {99},
	Year = {2004}}

@article{CasellaGelmanPalfrey:2006,
	Author = {Casella, A. and Gelman, A. and Palfrey, T.},
	Journal = {Games and Economic Behavior},
	Number = {1},
	Pages = {123--154},
	Title = {An experimental study of storable votes},
	Volume = {57},
	Year = {2006}}

@misc{Centre:2011,
	Author = {Centre for Multilevel Modelling, University of Bristol},
	Howpublished = {On the website of the Centre for Multilevel Modelling, University of Bristol},
	Title = {Software reviews of multilevel analysis packages},
	Url = {http://www.bristol.ac.uk/cmm/learning/mmsoftware/},
	Year = {2011},
	Bdsk-Url-1 = {http://www.bristol.ac.uk/cmm/learning/mmsoftware/}}

@book{ChambersClevelandKleinerEtAl:1983,
	Address = {Pacific Grove, California},
	Author = {Chambers, J. M. and Cleveland, W. S. and Kleiner, B. and Tukey, P. A.},
	Publisher = {Wadsworth},
	Title = {Graphical Methods for Data Analysis},
	Year = {1983}}

@book{Chambers:,
	Author = {Chambers, J. M. etc.},
	Title = {Books on S}}

@article{Chapman:1973,
	Author = {Chapman, R.},
	Journal = {Accident Analysis and Prevention},
	Pages = {95--110},
	Title = {The concept of exposure},
	Volume = {5},
	Year = {1973}}

@article{ChayGreenstone:2003,
	Author = {Chay, K. and Greenstone, M.},
	Journal = {Quarterly Journal of Economics},
	Pages = {1121--1167},
	Title = {The impact of air pollution on infant mortality: evidence from geographic variation in pollution shocks induced by a recession},
	Volume = {118},
	Year = {2003}}

@book{ChenShaoIbrahim:2000,
	Address = {New York},
	Author = {Chen, M. H. and Shao, Q. M. and Ibrahim, J. G.},
	Publisher = {Springer-Verlag},
	Title = {Monte Carlo Methods in Bayesian Computation},
	Year = {2000}}

@article{ChenElliottLittle:2010,
	Author = {Qixuan Chen and Michael R. Elliott and Roderick J. A. Little},
	Journal = {Survey Methodology},
	Number = {1},
	Pages = {23-34},
	Title = {Bayesian penalized spline model-based inference for finite population proportion in unequal probability sampling},
	Volume = {36},
	Year = {2010}}

@article{ChernoffLoZheng:2009,
	Author = {Chernoff, H. and Lo, S.H. and Zheng, T.},
	Issn = {1932-6157},
	Journal = {The Annals of Applied Statistics},
	Number = {4},
	Pages = {1335--1369},
	Publisher = {Institute of Mathematical Statistics},
	Title = {Discovering influential variables: A method of partitions},
	Volume = {3},
	Year = {2009}}

@article{ChipmanGeorgeMcCulloch:2010,
	Author = {Chipman, H. and George, E. and McCulloch, R.},
	Journal = {The Annals of Applied Statistics},
	Number = {1},
	Pages = {266--298},
	Title = {{BART}: Bayesian additive regression trees},
	Volume = {4},
	Year = {2010}}

@incollection{ChipmanGeorgeMcCulloch:2001,
	Author = {Chipman, H. and George, E. I. and McCulloch, R. E.},
	Booktitle = {Model Selection, Institute of Mathematical Statistics Lecture Notes},
	Editor = {P. Lahiri},
	Pages = {67--116},
	Series = {Monograph},
	Title = {The practical implementation of Bayesian model selection (with discussion)},
	Volume = {38},
	Year = {2001}}

@article{ClaytonDunnPicklesEtAl:1998,
	Author = {Clayton, D. G. and Dunn, G. and Pickles, A. and Spiegelhalter, D.},
	Journal = {Journal of the Royal Statistical Society B},
	Pages = {71--87},
	Title = {Analysis of longitudinal binary data from multi-phase sampling},
	Volume = {60},
	Year = {1998}}

@article{ClaytonKaldor:1987,
	Author = {Clayton, D. G. and Kaldor, J. M.},
	Journal = {Biometrics},
	Pages = {671--682},
	Title = {Empirical Bayes estimates of age-standardized relative risks for use in disease mapping},
	Volume = {43},
	Year = {1987}}

@book{Cleveland:1993,
	Address = {Summit, New Jersey},
	Author = {Cleveland, W. S.},
	Publisher = {Hobart Press},
	Title = {Visualizing Data},
	Year = {1993}}

@book{Cleveland:1985,
	Address = {Pacific Grove, California},
	Author = {Cleveland, W. S.},
	Publisher = {Wadsworth},
	Title = {The Elements of Graphing Data},
	Year = {1985}}

@article{Cleveland:1979,
	Author = {Cleveland, W. S.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {829--836},
	Title = {Robust locally weighted regression and smoothing scatterplots},
	Volume = {74},
	Year = {1979}}

@article{ClintonJackmanRivers:2004,
	Author = {Clinton, J. and Jackman, S. and Rivers, D.},
	Journal = {American Political Science Review},
	Pages = {355--370},
	Title = {The statistical analysis of roll call data},
	Volume = {98},
	Year = {2004}}

@article{CloggRubinSchenkerEtAl:1991,
	Author = {Clogg, C. C. and Rubin, D. B. and Schenker, N. and Schultz, B. and Wideman, L.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {68--78},
	Title = {Multiple imputation of industry and occupation codes in Census public-use samples using Bayesian logistic regression},
	Volume = {86},
	Year = {1991}}

@book{Cochran:1977,
	Address = {New York},
	Author = {Cochran, W. G.},
	Edition = {3rd},
	Publisher = {Wiley},
	Title = {Sampling Techniques},
	Year = {1977}}

@article{Cochran:1968,
	Author = {Cochran, W. G.},
	Journal = {Biometrics},
	Pages = {205--213},
	Title = {The effectiveness of adjustment by subclassification in removing bias in observational studies},
	Volume = {24},
	Year = {1968}}

@article{CochranRubin:1973,
	Author = {Cochran, W. G. and Rubin, D. B.},
	Journal = {Sankhya A},
	Pages = {417--446},
	Title = {Controlling bias in observational studies: a review},
	Volume = {35},
	Year = {1973}}

@book{Cohen:1997,
	Address = {Ann Arbor, Michigan},
	Author = {Cohen, Jeffrey E.},
	Publisher = {University of Michigan Press},
	Title = {Presidential Responsiveness and Public Policy-Making: The Publics and Policies that Presidents Choose},
	Year = {1997}}

@book{CookWeisberg:1999,
	Address = {New York},
	Author = {Cook, R. D and Weisberg, S.},
	Publisher = {Wiley},
	Title = {Applied Regression Including Computing and Graphics},
	Year = {1999}}


@article{Cook:1999,
	Author = {Cook, Timothy E.},
	Journal = {American Political Science Review},
	Number = {3},
	Pages = {679--692},
	Title = {The Empirical Study of Lesbian, Gay, and Bisexual Politics: Assessing the First Wave of Research},
	Volume = {93},
	Year = {1999}}

@article{CostaKahn:2004,
	Author = {Costa, Dora L. and Kahn, Matthew E.},
	Journal = {Journal of Risk and Uncertainty},
	Number = {2},
	Title = {Changes in the value of life, 1940--1980},
	Volume = {29},
	Year = {2004}}

@book{Cox:1958,
	Address = {New York},
	Author = {Cox, D. R.},
	Publisher = {Wiley},
	Title = {Planning of Experiments},
	Year = {1958}}

@article{CoxKatz:1996,
	Author = {Cox, G. W. and Katz, J.},
	Journal = {American Journal of Political Science},
	Pages = {478--497},
	Title = {Why did the incumbency advantage grow?},
	Volume = {40},
	Year = {1996}}

@article{CrainiceanuRuppertWand:2005,
	Author = {Crainiceanu, C. M. and Ruppert, D. and Wand, M. P.},
	Journal = {Journal of Statistical Software},
	Pages = {1--24},
	Title = {Bayesian analysis for penalized spline regression using {WinBUGS}},
	Volume = {14},
	Year = {2005}}

@book{Cramer:2003,
	Author = {Cramer, C. S.},
	Publisher = {Cambridge University Press},
	Title = {Logit Models from Economics and Other Fields},
	Year = {2003}}

@article{DAgostino:1998,
	Author = {D'Agostino, R. B. Jr.},
	Journal = {Statistics in Medicine},
	Pages = {2265--2281},
	Title = {Propensity score methods for bias reduction in the comparison of a treatment to a non-randomized control group},
	Volume = {17},
	Year = {1998}}

@article{DanielsKass:2001,
	Author = {Daniels, M. J. and Kass, R. E.},
	Journal = {Biometrics},
	Pages = {1173--1184},
	Title = {Shrinkage estimators for covariance matrices},
	Volume = {57},
	Year = {2001}}

@article{DanielsKass:1999,
	Author = {Daniels, M. J. and Kass, R. E.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {1254--1263},
	Title = {Nonconjugate Bayesian estimation of covariance matrices and its use in hierarchical models},
	Volume = {94},
	Year = {1999}}

@article{DanielsPourahmadi:2002,
	Author = {Daniels, M. J. and Pourahmadi, M.},
	Journal = {Biometrika},
	Pages = {553--566},
	Title = {Bayesian analysis of covariance matrices and dynamic models for longitudinal data},
	Volume = {89},
	Year = {2002}}

@article{DattaLahiriMaitiEtAl:1999,
	Author = {Datta, G. S. and Lahiri, P. and Maiti, T. and Lu, K. L.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {1074--1082},
	Title = {Hierarchical Bayes estimation of unemployment rates for the states of the U.S.},
	Volume = {94},
	Year = {1999}}

@article{DavidLittleSamuhelEtAl:1986,
	Author = {David, M. H. and Little, R. J. A. and Samuhel, M. E. and Triest, R. K.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {29--41},
	Title = {Alternative methods for CPS income imputation},
	Volume = {81},
	Year = {1986}}

@article{Dawid:2000,
	Author = {Dawid, A. P.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {407--448},
	Title = {Causal inference without counterfactuals (with discussion)},
	Volume = {95},
	Year = {2000}}

@book{De-VeauxVellemanBock:2006,
	Address = {Boston},
	Author = {De-Veaux, R. and Velleman, P. and Bock, D.},
	Publisher = {Addison-Wesley},
	Title = {Stats: Data and Models},
	Year = {2006}}

@article{Dehejia:2005,
	Author = {Dehejia, R.},
	Journal = {Journal of Econometrics},
	Pages = {355--364},
	Title = {Practical propensity score matching: a reply to Smith and Todd},
	Volume = {125},
	Year = {2005}}

@unpublished{Dehejia:2005a,
	Author = {Dehejia, R.},
	Note = {Department of Economics, Columbia University},
	Title = {Does matching overcome LaLonde's critique of nonexperimental estimators? A postscript},
	Year = {2005}}

@article{Dehejia:2003,
	Author = {Dehejia, R.},
	Journal = {Journal of Business and Economic Statistics},
	Pages = {1--11},
	Title = {Was there a Riverside miracle? A framework for evaluating multi-site program},
	Volume = {21},
	Year = {2003}}

@article{DehejiaWahba:1999,
	Author = {Dehejia, R. and Wahba, S.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {1053--1062},
	Title = {Causal effects in non-experimental studies: re-evaluating the evaluation of training programs},
	Volume = {94},
	Year = {1999}}

@article{DellaportasSmith:1993,
	Author = {Dellaportas, P. and Smith, A. F. M.},
	Journal = {Applied Statistics},
	Pages = {443--459},
	Title = {Bayesian inference for generalized linear and proportional hazards models via Gibbs sampling},
	Volume = {42},
	Year = {1993}}

@article{DempsterRubinTsutakawa:1981,
	Author = {Dempster, A. P. and Rubin, D. B. and Tsutakawa, R. K.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {341--353},
	Title = {Estimation in covariance components models},
	Volume = {76},
	Year = {1981}}

@unpublished{DiamondSekhon:2005,
	Author = {Alexis Diamond and Jasjeet S. Sekhon},
	Note = {Working Paper},
	Title = {Genetic Matching for Estimating Causal Effects: A General Multivariate Matching Method for Achieving Balance in Observational Studies},
	Url = {http://sekhon.berkeley.edu/papers/GenMatch.pdf},
	Year = {2005},
	Bdsk-Url-1 = {http://sekhon.berkeley.edu/papers/GenMatch.pdf}}

@article{DiggleKenward:1994,
	Author = {Diggle, P. and Kenward, M. G.},
	Journal = {Journal of the Royal Statistical Society C},
	Pages = {49--73},
	Title = {Informative drop-out in longitudinal data analysis},
	Volume = {43},
	Year = {1994}}

@article{DiPreteGelmanMcCormickEtAl:2010,
	Author = {DiPrete, T. A. and Gelman, A. and McCormick, T. H. and Teitler, J. and Zheng, T.},
	Journal = {American Journal of Sociology},
	Note = {Forthcoming},
	Title = {Segregation in social networks based on acquaintanceship and trust},
	Year = {2010}}

@book{Dobson:2001,
	Address = {London},
	Author = {Dobson, A.},
	Edition = {2nd},
	Publisher = {CRC Press},
	Title = {An Introduction to Generalized Linear Models},
	Year = {2001}}

@article{DonohueWolfers:2006,
	Author = {Donohue, J. J. and Wolfers, J.},
	Journal = {Stanford Law Review},
	Pages = {791--845},
	Title = {Uses and abuses of empirical evidence in the death penalty debate},
	Volume = {25},
	Year = {2006}}

@article{DormanHagstrom:1998,
	Author = {Dorman, P. and Hagstrom, P.},
	Journal = {Industrial and Labor Relations Review},
	Pages = {116--135},
	Title = {Wage compensation for dangerous work revisited},
	Volume = {52},
	Year = {1998}}

@incollection{Dorris:1999,
	Address = {New York},
	Author = {Dorris, John B.},
	Booktitle = {Public Policy, Public Opinion, and Political Representation},
	Editor = {Ellen D. B. Riggle and Barry L. Tadlock},
	Publisher = {Columbia University Press},
	Title = {Antidiscrimination Laws in Local Government: A Public Policy Analysis of Municipal Lesbian and Gay Public Employment Protection},
	Year = {1999}}

@article{Drake:1993,
	Author = {Drake, C.},
	Journal = {Biometrics},
	Pages = {1231--1236},
	Title = {Effects of misspecification of the propensity score on estimators of treatment effect},
	Volume = {49},
	Year = {1993}}

@article{Dreze:1976,
	Author = {Dreze, J. H.},
	Journal = {Econometrica},
	Pages = {1045--1075},
	Title = {Bayesian limited information analysis of the simultaneous equations model},
	Volume = {44},
	Year = {1976}}

@article{DruckmanJacobs:2006,
	Author = {Druckman, James N. and Lawrence R. Jacobs},
	Journal = {Public Opinion Quarterly},
	Number = {4},
	Pages = {453-76},
	Title = {Lumpers and Splitters: The Public Opinion Information that Politicians Collect and Use},
	Volume = {70},
	Year = {2006}}

@phdthesis{Du:1998,
	Author = {Du, J.},
	School = {Department of Statistics, Harvard University},
	Title = {Valid inferences after propensity score subclassification using maximum number of subclasses as building blocks},
	Year = {1998}}

@article{DuMouchelHarris:1983,
	Author = {DuMouchel, W. M. and Harris, J. E.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {293--315},
	Title = {Bayes methods for combining the results of cancer studies in humans and other species (with discussion)},
	Volume = {78},
	Year = {1983}}

@unpublished{Dunson:2006,
	Author = {Dunson, D. B.},
	Note = {Biostatistics Branch, National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences},
	Title = {Efficient Bayesian model averaging in factor analysis},
	Year = {2006}}

@book{Dye:1966,
	Address = {Chicago},
	Author = {Dye, Thomas R.},
	Publisher = {Rand McNally},
	Title = {Politics, Economics, and the Public: Political Outcomes in the American States},
	Year = {1966}}

@article{EfronMorris:1975,
	Author = {Efron, B. and Morris, C.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {311--319},
	Title = {Data analysis using Stein's estimator and its generalizations},
	Volume = {70},
	Year = {1975}}

@book{EfronTibshirani:1993,
	Address = {London},
	Author = {Efron, B. and Tibshirani, R. J.},
	Publisher = {Chapman and Hall},
	Title = {An Introduction to the Bootstrap},
	Year = {1993}}

@book{Ehrenberg:1978,
	Address = {New York},
	Author = {Ehrenberg, A. S. C.},
	Publisher = {Wiley},
	Title = {Data Reduction: Analysing and Interpreting Statistical Data},
	Year = {1978}}

@article{EhrenbergBrewer:1994,
	Author = {Ehrenberg, R. and Brewer, D.},
	Journal = {Economics of Education Review},
	Pages = {1--17},
	Title = {Do school and teacher characteristics matter?: evidence from High School and Beyond},
	Volume = {13},
	Year = {1994}}

@article{Eisenhart:1947,
	Author = {Eisenhart, C.},
	Journal = {Biometrics},
	Pages = {1--21},
	Title = {The assumptions underlying the analysis of variance},
	Volume = {3},
	Year = {1947}}

@article{EllsworthGross:1994,
	Author = {Ellsworth, P.C. and Gross, S.R.},
	Issn = {1540-4560},
	Journal = {Journal of Social Issues},
	Number = {2},
	Pages = {19--52},
	Publisher = {John Wiley \& Sons},
	Title = {Hardening of the attitudes: Americans' views on the death penalty},
	Volume = {50},
	Year = {1994}}

@incollection{EpsteinOHalloran:2006,
	Address = {New York},
	Author = {Epstein, David and Sharyn O'Halloran},
	Booktitle = {The Future of the Voting Rights Act},
	Editor = {David Epstein and Richard Pildes and Rodolfo de la Garza and Sharyn O'Halloran},
	Publisher = {Russell Sage Foundation},
	Title = {Trends in Substantive and Descriptive Minority Representation, 1974--2000},
	Year = {2006}}

@article{EpsteinOHalloran:1999,
	Author = {Epstein, David and Sharyn O'Halloran},
	Journal = {American Journal of Political Science},
	Month = {April},
	Pages = {367-95},
	Title = {Measuring the Electoral and Policy Impact of Majority-Minority Voting Districts},
	Volume = {43},
	Year = {1999}}

@article{EpsteinOHalloran:1999a,
	Author = {Epstein, D. and O'Halloran, S.},
	Issn = {0003-0554},
	Journal = {American Political Science Review},
	Number = {1},
	Pages = {187--191},
	Publisher = {JSTOR},
	Title = {A social science approach to race, redistricting, and representation},
	Volume = {93},
	Year = {1999}}

@article{EpsteinOHalloran:1996,
	Author = {Epstein, David and Sharyn O'Halloran},
	Journal = {Journal of Politics},
	Pages = {393--417},
	Title = {Divided Government and the Design of Administrative Procedures: A Formal Model and Empirical Test},
	Volume = {58},
	Year = {1996}}

@article{EpsteinOHalloran:1996a,
	Author = {Epstein, David and Sharyn O'Halloran},
	Journal = {International Organization},
	Pages = {301--324},
	Title = {The Partisan Paradox and the {U.S.} {T}ariff, 1877 to 1934},
	Volume = {50},
	Year = {1996}}

@article{EpsteinOHalloran:1994,
	Author = {Epstein, David and Sharyn O'Halloran},
	Journal = {American Journal of Political Science},
	Month = {April},
	Pages = {367--395},
	Title = {Measuring the Electoral and Policy Impact of Majority-Minority Voting Districts},
	Volume = {43},
	Year = {1994}}

@unpublished{EpsteinMcAllister:2010,
	Author = {Epstein, David, Sharyn O'Halloran and Geraldine McAllister},
	Note = {Columbia University Working Paper},
	Title = {Delegation and the Regulation of Finance in the {U}nited {S}tates since 1950},
	Year = {2010}}

@article{Erikson:1976,
	Author = {Erikson, Robert S.},
	Journal = {American Journal of Political Science},
	Number = {1},
	Pages = {25-36},
	Title = {The Relationship between Public Opinion and State Policy: A New Look Based on Some Forgotten Data},
	Volume = {20},
	Year = {1976}}

@article{Erikson:1971,
	Author = {Erikson, R. S.},
	Journal = {Polity},
	Pages = {395--405},
	Title = {The advantage of incumbency in congressional elections},
	Volume = {3},
	Year = {1971}}

@article{EriksonRomero:1990,
	Author = {Erikson, R. S. and Romero, D. W.},
	Journal = {American Political Science Review},
	Pages = {1103--1126},
	Title = {Candidate equilibrium and the behavioral model of the vote},
	Volume = {4},
	Year = {1990}}

@book{EriksonWrightMcIver:1993,
	Address = {Cambridge, United Kingdom},
	Author = {Erikson, Robert S. and Gerald C. Wright and John P. McIver},
	Publisher = {Cambridge University Press},
	Title = {Statehouse Democracy: Public Opinion and Policy in the American States},
	Year = {1993}}

@article{Fair:1978,
	Author = {Fair, R. C.},
	Journal = {Review of Economics and Statistics},
	Pages = {159--173},
	Title = {The effect of economic events on votes for President},
	Volume = {60},
	Year = {1978}}

@article{Fay:1996,
	Author = {Fay, R. E.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {490--498},
	Title = {Alternative paradigms for the analysis of imputed survey data},
	Volume = {91},
	Year = {1996}}

@article{FayHerriot:1979,
	Author = {Fay, R. E. and Herriot, R. A.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {269--277},
	Title = {Estimates of income for small places: an application of James-Stein procedures to census data},
	Volume = {74},
	Year = {1979}}

@article{FayHerriot:1979a,
	Abstract = {An adaptation of the James-Stein estimator is applied to sample estimates
	of income for small places (i.e., population less than 1,000) from
	the 1970 Census of Population and Housing. The adaptation incorporates
	linear regression in the context of unequal variances. Evidence is
	presented that the resulting estimates have smaller average error
	than either the sample estimates or an alternate procedure of using
	county averages. The new estimates for these small places now form
	the basis for the Census Bureau's updated estimates of per capita
	income for the General Revenue Sharing Program.},
	Author = {Fay, Robert E. III and Herriot, Roger A.},
	Copyright = {Copyright {\copyright} 1979 American Statistical Association},
	Issn = {01621459},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Jstor_Articletype = {research-article},
	Jstor_Formatteddate = {Jun., 1979},
	Language = {English},
	Number = {366},
	Pages = {pp. 269-277},
	Publisher = {American Statistical Association},
	Title = {Estimates of Income for Small Places: An Application of {J}ames-{S}tein Procedures to Census Data},
	Url = {http://www.jstor.org/stable/2286322},
	Volume = {74},
	Year = {1979},
	Bdsk-Url-1 = {http://www.jstor.org/stable/2286322}}

@article{FeltonMitchellStinson:2003,
	Author = {Felton, J. and Mitchell, J. and Stinson, M.},
	Journal = {Assessment and Evaluation in Higher Education},
	Pages = {91--108},
	Title = {Web-based student evaluations of professors: the relations between perceived quality, easineness, and sexiness},
	Volume = {29},
	Year = {2003}}

@book{Fienberg:1977,
	Address = {Cambridge, Massachusetts},
	Author = {Fienberg, S. E.},
	Publisher = {M.I.T. Press},
	Title = {The Analysis of Cross-Classified Categorical Data},
	Year = {1977}}

@article{FinkelsteinLevinMcKeagueEtAl:2006,
	Author = {Finkelstein, M. O. and Levin, B. and McKeague, I. M. and Tsai, W. Y.},
	Journal = {Journal of Empirical Legal Studies},
	Month = {July},
	Number = {2},
	Pages = {375--395},
	Title = {A note on the censoring problem in empirical case-outcome studies},
	Volume = {3},
	Year = {2006}}

@book{Fiorina:1999,
	Address = {Cambridge, Massachusetts},
	Author = {Fiorina, Morris P.},
	Publisher = {Presented at the MIT Conference on Parties and Congress},
	Title = {Whatever Happened to the Median Voter?},
	Year = {1999}}

@article{Fiorina:1994,
	Author = {Fiorina, Morris P.},
	Journal = {American Political Science Review},
	Pages = {304--316},
	Title = {Divided Government in the American States: A By-Product of Legislative Professionalism},
	Volume = {88},
	Year = {1994}}

@article{Firth:1993,
	Author = {Firth, D.},
	Journal = {Biometrika},
	Pages = {27--38},
	Title = {Bias reduction of maximum likelihood estimates},
	Volume = {80},
	Year = {1993}}

@article{FismanIyengarKamenicaEtAl:2006,
	Author = {Fisman, R. and Iyengar, S. S. and Kamenica, E. and Simonson, I.},
	Journal = {Quarterly Journal of Economics},
	Pages = {673--698},
	Title = {Gender differences in mate selection: evidence from a speed dating experiment},
	Volume = {121},
	Year = {2006}}

@manual{Fournier:2001,
	Address = {British Columbia, Canada},
	Author = {Fournier, D.},
	Organization = {Otter Research Ltd.},
	Title = {An introduction to AD Model Builder Version 6.0.2 for use in nonlinear modeling and statistics},
	Url = {otter-rsch.com/admodel.htm},
	Year = {2001},
	Bdsk-Url-1 = {otter-rsch.com/admodel.htm}}

@book{Fox:2002,
	Address = {Thousand Oaks, California},
	Author = {Fox, J.},
	Publisher = {Sage},
	Title = {An R and S-Plus Companion to Applied Regression},
	Year = {2002}}

@article{FrangakisBrookmeyerVaradhanEtAl:2003,
	Author = {Frangakis, C. E. and Brookmeyer, R. S.and Varadhan, R. and Mahboobeh, S. and Vlahov, D. and Strathdee, S. A.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {239--249},
	Title = {Methodology for evaluating a partially controlled longitudinal treatment using principal stratification, with application to a needle exchange program},
	Volume = {99},
	Year = {2003}}

@article{FrangakisRubin:2002,
	Author = {Frangakis, C. E. and Rubin, D. B.},
	Journal = {Biometrics},
	Pages = {21--29},
	Title = {Principal stratification in causal inference},
	Volume = {58},
	Year = {2002}}

@article{FriedlanderRobins:1995,
	Author = {Friedlander, D. and Robins, P. K.},
	Journal = {American Economic Review},
	Pages = {923--937},
	Title = {Evaluating program evaluations---new evidence on commonly used nonexperimental methods},
	Volume = {85},
	Year = {1995}}

@article{FriendlyKwan:2003,
	Author = {Friendly, M. and Kwan, E.},
	Journal = {Computational Statistics and Data Analysis},
	Pages = {509--539},
	Title = {Effect ordering for data displays},
	Volume = {43},
	Year = {2003}}

@article{Frolich:2004,
	Author = {Frolich, M.},
	Journal = {Review of Economics and Statistics},
	Pages = {77--90},
	Title = {Finite-sample properties of propensity-score matching and weighting estimators},
	Volume = {86},
	Year = {2004}}

@techreport{GarfinkelMeyers:1997,
	Author = {Garfinkel, I. and Meyers, M. K.},
	Institution = {Social Indicators Survey (SIS) Center, School of Social Work, Columbia University},
	Title = {A Tale of Many Cities: New York City Social Indicators 1997},
	Url = {http://www.columbia.edu/cu/ssw/projects/surcent/Reports/sisreport1.pdf},
	Year = {1997},
	Bdsk-Url-1 = {http://www.columbia.edu/cu/ssw/projects/surcent/Reports/sisreport1.pdf}}

@article{GawronBermanDismukesEtAl:2003,
	Author = {Gawron, V. J. and Berman, B. A. and Dismukes, R. K. and Peer, J. H.},
	Journal = {Flight Safety Digest},
	Pages = {19--32},
	Title = {New airline pilots may not receive sufficient training to cope with airplane upsets},
	Volume = {July--August},
	Year = {2003}}

@incollection{GelfandDeyChang:1992,
	Author = {Gelfand, A. E. and Dey, D. K. and Chang, H.},
	Booktitle = {Bayesian Statistics 4},
	Editor = {J. M. Bernardo, J. O. Berger, A. P. Dawid, and A. F. M. Smith},
	Pages = {147--167},
	Publisher = {Oxford University Press},
	Title = {Model determination using predictive distributions with implementation via sampling-based methods (with discussion)},
	Year = {1992}}

@article{GelfandHillsRacine-PoonEtAl:1990,
	Author = {Gelfand, A. E. and Hills, S. E. and Racine-Poon, A.and Smith, A. F. M.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {972--985},
	Title = {Illustration of Bayesian inference in normal data models using Gibbs sampling},
	Volume = {85},
	Year = {1990}}

@article{GelfandSahu:1999,
	Author = {Gelfand, A. E. and Sahu, S. K.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {247--253},
	Title = {Identifiability, improper priors, and Gibbs sampling for generalized linear models},
	Volume = {94},
	Year = {1999}}

@article{GelfandSahuCarlin:1995,
	Author = {Gelfand, A. E. and Sahu, S. K. and Carlin, B. P.},
	Journal = {Biometrika},
	Pages = {479--488},
	Title = {Efficient parametrizations for normal linear mixed models},
	Volume = {82},
	Year = {1995}}

@article{GelfandSmith:1990,
	Author = {Gelfand, A. E. and Smith, A. F. M.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {398--409},
	Title = {Sampling-based approaches to calculating marginal densities},
	Volume = {85},
	Year = {1990}}

@incollection{Gelman:2004d,
	Address = {London},
	Author = {Gelman, A.},
	Booktitle = {Applied Bayesian Modeling and Causal Inference from Incomplete Data Perspectives},
	Chapter = {18},
	Editor = {A. Gelman and X. L. Meng},
	Publisher = {Wiley},
	Title = {Treatment effects in before-after data},
	Year = {2004}}

@article{Gelman:2007,
	Author = {Gelman, A.},
	Journal = {Statistical Science},
	Month = {August},
	Number = {3},
	Pages = {349--352},
	Title = {Discussion of ``{B}ayesian checking of the second levels of hierarchical models,'' by {M}. {J}. {B}ayarri and {M}. {E}. {C}astellanos},
	Volume = {22},
	Year = {2007}}

@article{Gelman:2007a,
	Abstract = {The general principles of Bayesian data analysis imply that models
	for survey responses should be constructed conditional on all variables
	that affect the probability of inclusion and nonresponse, which are
	also the variables used in survey weighting and clustering. However,
	such models can quickly become very complicated, with potentially
	thousands of poststratification cells. It is then a challenge to
	develop general families of multilevel probability models that yield
	reasonable Bayesian inferences. We discuss in the context of several
	ongoing public health and social surveys. This work is currently
	open-ended, and we conclude with thoughts on how research could proceed
	to solve these problems.},
	Author = {Gelman, Andrew},
	Copyright = {Copyright {\copyright} 2007 Institute of Mathematical Statistics},
	Issn = {08834237},
	Journal = {Statistical Science},
	Jstor_Articletype = {research-article},
	Jstor_Formatteddate = {May, 2007},
	Language = {English},
	Number = {2},
	Pages = {pp. 153-164},
	Publisher = {Institute of Mathematical Statistics},
	Title = {Struggles with Survey Weighting and Regression Modeling},
	Url = {http://www.jstor.org/stable/27645813},
	Volume = {22},
	Year = {2007},
	Bdsk-Url-1 = {http://www.jstor.org/stable/27645813}}

@article{Gelman:2007b,
	Author = {Gelman, A.},
	Journal = {Statistics in Medicine},
	Number = {15},
	Pages = {2865--2873},
	Title = {Scaling regression inputs by dividing by two standard deviations},
	Volume = {27},
	Year = {2007}}

@article{Gelman:2006,
	Author = {Gelman, A.},
	Journal = {Bayesian Analysis},
	Number = {3},
	Pages = {515--534},
	Title = {Prior distributions for variance parameters in hierarchical models},
	Volume = {1},
	Year = {2006}}

@article{Gelman:2005,
	Author = {Gelman, A.},
	Issn = {0090-5364},
	Journal = {Annals of Statistics},
	Number = {1},
	Pages = {1--31},
	Publisher = {JSTOR},
	Title = {Analysis of variance: why it is more important than ever},
	Volume = {33},
	Year = {2005}}

@article{Gelman:2004,
	Author = {Gelman, Andrew},
	Issn = {1061-8600},
	Journal = {Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics},
	Number = {4},
	Pages = {755--779},
	Publisher = {ASA},
	Title = {Exploratory data analysis for complex models (with discussion)},
	Volume = {13},
	Year = {2004}}

@article{Gelman:2004a,
	Author = {Gelman, A.},
	Issn = {0162-1459},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Number = {466},
	Pages = {537--545},
	Publisher = {ASA},
	Title = {Parameterization and {B}ayesian modeling},
	Volume = {99},
	Year = {2004}}

@article{Gelman:2004b,
	Author = {Gelman, A.},
	Journal = {Chance},
	Number = {2},
	Pages = {28--31},
	Title = {55,000 residents desperately need your help!},
	Volume = {17},
	Year = {2004}}

@article{Gelman:2004c,
	Author = {Gelman, A.},
	Journal = {Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics},
	Pages = {755--787},
	Title = {Exploratory data analysis for complex models (with discussion)},
	Volume = {13},
	Year = {2004}}

@article{Gelman:2003,
	Author = {Gelman, A.},
	Issn = {1751-5823},
	Journal = {International Statistical Review},
	Number = {2},
	Pages = {369--382},
	Publisher = {John Wiley \& Sons},
	Title = {A {B}ayesian Formulation of Exploratory Data Analysis and Goodness-of-fit Testing},
	Volume = {71},
	Year = {2003}}

@article{Gelman:1997,
	Author = {Gelman, A.},
	Journal = {Journal of Educational and Behavioral Statistics},
	Pages = {237--243},
	Title = {Using exams for teaching concepts in probability and statistics},
	Volume = {22},
	Year = {1997}}

@article{GelmanBois:1997,
	Author = {Gelman, A. and Bois, F. Y.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Owner = {default},
	Title = {Discussion of ``Analysis of non-randomly censored ordered categorical longitudinal data from analgesic trials,'' by L. B. Sheiner, S. L. Beal, and A. Dunne},
	Year = {1997}}

@incollection{GelmanCarlin:2001,
	Address = {New York},
	Author = {Gelman, A. and Carlin, J.B.},
	Booktitle = {Survey Nonresponse},
	Editor = {R. Groves and D. Dillman and J Eltinge and R. Little.},
	Organization = {Citeseer},
	Publisher = {Wiley},
	Title = {Poststratification and weighting adjustments},
	Year = {2001}}

@article{GelmanFaganKiss:2007,
	Author = {Gelman, A. and Fagan, J. and Kiss, A.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Number = {479},
	Title = {An analysis of the {NYPD}'s stop-and-frisk policy in the context of claims of racial bias},
	Volume = {102},
	Year = {2007}}

@article{GelmanGoegebeurTuerlinckxEtAl:2000,
	Author = {Gelman, A. and Goegebeur, Y. and Tuerlinckx, F. and Van-Mechelen, I.},
	Journal = {Applied Statistics},
	Pages = {247--268},
	Title = {Diagnostic checks for discrete-data regression models using posterior predictive simulations},
	Volume = {49},
	Year = {2000}}


@article{GelmanHuang:2008,
	Author = {Gelman, A. and Huang, Z.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Month = {June},
	Number = {482},
	Pages = {437--451},
	Title = {Estimating incumbency advantage and its variation, as an example of a before-after study (with discussion)},
	Volume = {103},
	Year = {2008}}

@unpublished{GelmanHuangVan-DykEtAl:2006,
	Author = {Gelman, A. and Huang, Z. and Van-Dyk, D. and Boscardin, W. J.},
	Note = {Department of Statistics, Columbia University},
	Title = {Transformed and parameter-expanded Gibbs samplers for multilevel linear and generalized linear models},
	Year = {2006}}

@unpublished{GelmanJakulinPittauEtAl:2007,
	Author = {Gelman, A. and Jakulin, A. and Pittau, M. G. and Su, Y. S.},
	Note = {Department of Statistics, Columbia University},
	Title = {A default prior distribution for logistic and other regression models},
	Year = {2007}}

@unpublished{GelmanKatz:2005,
	Author = {Gelman, A. and Katz, J.},
	Note = {Department of Statistics, Columbia University},
	Title = {Moderation in the pursuit of moderation is no vice: the clear but limited advantages to being a moderate for congressional elections},
	Year = {2005}}

@article{GelmanKing:1994,
	Author = {Gelman, A. and King, G.},
	Journal = {American Political Science Review},
	Pages = {541--559},
	Title = {Enhancing democracy through legislative redistricting},
	Volume = {88},
	Year = {1994}}

@article{GelmanKing:1994a,
	Author = {Gelman, A. and King, G.},
	Journal = {American Journal of Political Science},
	Pages = {514--554.},
	Title = {A unified model for evaluating electoral systems and redistricting plans},
	Volume = {38},
	Year = {1994}}

@article{GelmanKing:1993,
	Author = {Gelman, A. and King, G.},
	Journal = {British Journal of Political Science},
	Pages = {409--451},
	Title = {Why are American presidential election campaign polls so variable when votes are so predictable?},
	Volume = {23},
	Year = {1993}}

@article{GelmanKing:1990,
	Author = {Gelman, A. and King, G.},
	Journal = {American Journal of Political Science},
	Pages = {1142--1164},
	Title = {Estimating incumbency advantage without bias},
	Volume = {34},
	Year = {1990}}

@article{GelmanKingLiu:1998,
	Abstract = {We present a method of analyzing a series of independent cross-sectional
	surveys in which some questions are not answered in some surveys
	and some respondents do not answer some of the questions posed. The
	method is also applicable to a single survey in which different questions
	are asked or different sampling methods are used in different strata
	or clusters. Our method involves multiply imputing the missing items
	and questions by adding to existing methods of imputation designed
	for single surveys a hierarchical regression model that allows covariates
	at the individual and survey levels. Information from survey weights
	is exploited by including in the analysis the variables on which
	the weights were based, and then reweighting individual responses
	(observed and imputed) to estimate population quantities. We also
	develop diagnostics for checking the fit of the imputation model
	based on comparing imputed data to nonimputed data. We illustrate
	with the example that motivated this project: a study of pre-election
	public opinion polls in which not all the questions of interest are
	asked in all the surveys, so that it is infeasible to impute within
	each survey separately.},
	Author = {Gelman, Andrew and King, Gary and Liu, Chuanhai},
	Copyright = {Copyright {\copyright} 1998 American Statistical Association},
	Issn = {01621459},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Jstor_Articletype = {research-article},
	Jstor_Formatteddate = {Sep. 1998},
	Language = {English},
	Number = {443},
	Pages = {pp. 846-857},
	Publisher = {American Statistical Association},
	Title = {Not Asked and Not Answered: Multiple Imputation for Multiple Surveys},
	Url = {http://www.jstor.org/stable/2669819},
	Volume = {93},
	Year = {1998},
	Bdsk-Url-1 = {http://www.jstor.org/stable/2669819}}

@article{GelmanKingLiu:1998a,
	Author = {Gelman, A. and King, G. and Liu, C.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {846--874},
	Title = {Multiple imputation for multiple surveys (with discussion)},
	Volume = {93},
	Year = {1998}}

@article{GelmanLaxPhillips:2010,
	Author = {Gelman, A. and J.R. Lax and J. Phillips},
	Journal = {The New York Times},
	Pages = {WK3},
	Title = {Over Time, a Gay Marriage Groundswell},
	Year = {2010}}

@article{GelmanLiebmanWestKiss:2004,
	Author = {Gelman, A. and J.S. Liebman and V. West and A. Kiss},
	Issn = {1740-1461},
	Journal = {Journal of Empirical Legal Studies},
	Number = {2},
	Pages = {209--261},
	Publisher = {Wiley Online Library},
	Title = {A Broken System: The Persistent Patterns of Reversals of Death Sentences in the {U}nited {S}tates},
	Volume = {1},
	Year = {2004}}

@article{GelmanLittle:1998,
	Author = {Gelman, Andrew and Little, Thomas C.},
	Copyright = {Copyright {\copyright} 1998 American Association for Public Opinion Research},
	Issn = {0033362X},
	Journal = {The Public Opinion Quarterly},
	Jstor_Articletype = {research-article},
	Jstor_Formatteddate = {Autumn, 1998},
	Language = {English},
	Number = {3},
	Pages = {pp. 398-404},
	Publisher = {Oxford University Press on behalf of the American Association for Public Opinion Research},
	Title = {Improving on Probability Weighting for Household Size},
	Url = {http://www.jstor.org/stable/2749666},
	Volume = {62},
	Year = {1998},
	Bdsk-Url-1 = {http://www.jstor.org/stable/2749666}}

@article{GelmanLittle:1997,
	Author = {Gelman, Andrew and Thomas C. Little},
	Journal = {Survey Methodology},
	Number = {2},
	Pages = {127--135},
	Title = {Poststratification into Many Categories Using Hierarchical Logistic Regression},
	Volume = {23},
	Year = {1997}}

@article{GelmanMengStern:1996,
	Author = {Gelman, A. and Meng, X.L. and Stern, H.},
	Issn = {1017-0405},
	Journal = {Statistica Sinica},
	Pages = {733--759},
	Publisher = {Citeseer},
	Title = {Posterior predictive assessment of model fitness via realized discrepancies},
	Volume = {6},
	Year = {1996}}

@book{GelmanNolan:2002,
	Author = {Gelman, A. and Nolan, D.},
	Publisher = {Oxford University Press},
	Title = {Teaching Statistics: A Bag of Tricks},
	Year = {2002}}

@article{GelmanPardoe:2007,
	Author = {Gelman, A. and Pardoe, I.},
	Journal = {Sociological Methodology},
	Month = {December},
	Number = {1},
	Pages = {23--51},
	Title = {Average predictive comparisons for models with nonlinearity, interactions, and variance components},
	Volume = {37},
	Year = {2007}}

@article{GelmanPardoe:2006,
	Author = {Gelman, A. and Pardoe, I.},
	Journal = {Technometrics},
	Pages = {241--251},
	Title = {Bayesian measures of explained variance and pooling in multilevel (hierarchical) models},
	Volume = {48},
	Year = {2006}}

@book{GelmanParkShorEtAl:2008,
	Author = {Gelman, A. and Park, D. and Shor, B. and Bafumi, J. and Cortina, J.},
	Publisher = {Princeton University Press},
	Title = {Rich State, Poor State, Red State, Blue State: Why Americans Vote the Way They Do},
	Year = {2008}}

@article{GelmanPasaricaDodhia:2002,
	Author = {Gelman, A. and Pasarica, C. and Dodhia, R.},
	Journal = {American Statistician},
	Pages = {121--130},
	Title = {Let's practice what we preach: using graphs instead of tables},
	Volume = {56},
	Year = {2002}}

@article{GelmanPrice:1999,
	Author = {Gelman, A. and Price, P. N.},
	Journal = {Statistics in Medicine},
	Pages = {3221--3234},
	Title = {All maps of parameter estimates are misleading},
	Volume = {18},
	Year = {1999}}

@article{GelmanPrice:1998,
	Author = {Gelman, A. and Price, P. N.},
	Journal = {Journal of the Royal Statistical Society B},
	Pages = {532},
	Title = {Discussion of ``Some algebra and geometry for hierarchical models, applied to diagnostics,'' by J. S. Hodges},
	Volume = {60},
	Year = {1998}}

@incollection{GelmanRobertsGilks:1996,
	Address = {Oxford},
	Author = {Gelman, Andrew and Gareth O. Roberts and Walter R. Gilks},
	Booktitle = {Bayesian Statistics 5},
	Editor = {J. M. Bernardo, J. O. Berger, A. P. Dawid and A. F. M. Smith},
	Pages = {599--607},
	Publisher = {Oxford University Press},
	Title = {Efficient {M}etropolis jumping rules},
	Year = {1996}}

@article{GelmanRubin:1992a,
	Author = {Gelman, A. and Rubin, D.B.},
	Journal = {Bayesian statistics},
	Pages = {625--632},
	Title = {A single series from the Gibbs sampler provides a false sense of security},
	Volume = {4},
	Year = {1992}}

@article{GelmanRubin:1992b,
	Author = {Gelman, A. and Rubin, D. B.},
	Journal = {Statistical Science},
	Pages = {457--511},
	Title = {Inference from iterative simulation using multiple sequences (with discussion)},
	Volume = {7},
	Year = {1992}}

@article{GelmanShorBafumiEtAl:2007,
	Author = {Gelman, A. and Shor, B. and Bafumi, J. and Park, D.},
	Journal = {Quarterly Journal of Political Science},
	Pages = {345--367},
	Title = {Rich state, poor state, red state, blue state: What's the matter with {C}onnecticut?},
	Volume = {2},
	Year = {2007}}

@article{GelmanStern:2006,
	Author = {Gelman, A. and Stern, H. S.},
	Journal = {The American Statistician},
	Number = {4},
	Title = {The difference between ``statistically significant'' and ``not significant'' is not itself significant},
	Volume = {60},
	Year = {2006}}


@article{GelmanStevensChan:2003,
	Author = {Gelman, A. and Stevens, M. and Chan, V.},
	Issn = {0735-0015},
	Journal = {Journal of Business and Economic Statistics},
	Number = {2},
	Pages = {213--225},
	Publisher = {ASA},
	Title = {Regression Modeling and Meta-Analysis for Decision Making},
	Volume = {21},
	Year = {2003}}

@article{GelmanTrevisaniLuEtAl:2004,
	Author = {Gelman, A. and Trevisani, M. and Lu, H. and Van-Geen, A.},
	Journal = {Risk Analysis},
	Pages = {1597--1612},
	Title = {Direct data manipulation for local decision analysis, as applied to the problem of arsenic in drinking water from tube wells in Bangladesh},
	Volume = {24},
	Year = {2004}}

@article{GelmanTuerlinckx:2000,
	Author = {Gelman, A. and Tuerlinckx, F.},
	Journal = {Computational Statistics},
	Pages = {373--390},
	Title = {Type S error rates for classical and Bayesian single and multiple comparison procedures},
	Volume = {15},
	Year = {2000}}

@article{GelmanVan-DykHuangEtAl:2008,
	Author = {Gelman, A. and D.A. Van-Dyk and Z. Huang and J.W. Boscardin},
	Issn = {1061-8600},
	Journal = {Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics},
	Number = {1},
	Pages = {95--122},
	Publisher = {ASA},
	Title = {Using redundant parameterizations to fit hierarchical models},
	Volume = {17},
	Year = {2008}}

@article{GelmanChewShnaidman:2004,
       Author = {Gelman, A. and Chew, G.~L. and Shnaidman, M.},
       Year = {2004},
       Title = {Bayesian analysis of serial dilution assays},
       Journal = {Biometrics},
       Volume={60},
       Pages ={407–-417}
}

@article{GelmanBoisJiang:1996,
	Author = {Andrew Gelman and Frederic Y. Bois and Jiang, Jiming},
	Date-Added = {2011-10-11 08:58:52 -0400},
	Date-Modified = {2011-10-11 10:07:38 -0400},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {1400--1412},
	Pdf = {bois2.pdf},
	Title = {Physiological pharmacokinetic analysis using population modeling and informative prior distributions},
	Volume = {91},
	Year = {1996}}





@article{Gerber:2004,
	Author = {Gerber, A.},
	Journal = {American Behavioral Scientist},
	Pages = {541--574},
	Title = {Does campaign spending work?},
	Volume = {47},
	Year = {2004}}

@book{Gerber:1999,
	Address = {Princeton},
	Author = {Gerber, Elisabeth R.},
	Publisher = {Princeton University Press},
	Title = {The Populist Paradox: Interest Group Influence and the Promise of Direct Legislation},
	Year = {1999}}

@article{Gerber:1996,
	Author = {Gerber, Elisabeth R.},
	Journal = {American Journal of Political Science},
	Pages = {99-128},
	Title = {Legislative Response to the Threat of the Popular Initiative},
	Volume = {40},
	Year = {1996}}

@article{GerberPhillips:2005,
	Author = {Gerber, Elisabeth R. and Justin H. Phillips},
	Journal = {American Politics Research},
	Number = {2},
	Pages = {310-330},
	Title = {Evaluating the Effects of Direct Democracy on Public Policy: California's Urban Growth Boundaries},
	Volume = {33},
	Year = {2005}}

@article{Geweke:2004,
	Author = {Geweke, J.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {799--804},
	Title = {Getting it right: joint distribution tests of posterior simulators},
	Volume = {99},
	Year = {2004}}

@article{GileHandcock:2010,
	Abstract = {Respondent-driven sampling (RDS) employs a variant of a link-tracing
	network sampling strategy to collect data from hard-to-reach populations.
	By tracing the links in the underlying social network, the process
	exploits the social structure to expand the sample and reduce its
	dependence on the initial (convenience) sample.The current estimators
	of population averages make strong assumptions in order to treat
	the data as a probability sample. We evaluate three critical sensitivities
	of the estimators: (1) to bias induced by the initial sample, (2)
	to uncontrollable features of respondent behavior, and (3) to the
	without-replacement structure of sampling.Our analysis indicates:
	(1) that the convenience sample of seeds can induce bias, and the
	number of sample waves typically used in RDS is likely insufficient
	for the type of nodal mixing required to obtain the reputed asymptotic
	unbiasedness; (2) that preferential referral behavior by respondents
	leads to bias; (3) that when a substantial fraction of the target
	population is sampled the current estimators can have substantial
	bias.This paper sounds a cautionary note for the users of RDS. While
	current RDS methodology is powerful and clever, the favorable statistical
	properties claimed for the current estimates are shown to be heavily
	dependent on often unrealistic assumptions. We recommend ways to
	improve the methodology.},
	Author = {Gile, Krista J. and Handcock, Mark S.},
	Doi = {10.1111/j.1467-9531.2010.01223.x},
	Issn = {1467-9531},
	Journal = {Sociological Methodology},
	Number = {1},
	Pages = {285--327},
	Publisher = {Blackwell Publishing Inc},
	Title = {Respondent-Driven Sampling: An Assessment of Current Methodologiy},
	Url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-9531.2010.01223.x},
	Volume = {40},
	Year = {2010},
	Bdsk-Url-1 = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-9531.2010.01223.x}}

@book{Gill:2002,
	Address = {London},
	Author = {Gill, J.},
	Publisher = {Chapman and Hall},
	Title = {Bayesian Methods for the Social and Behavioral Sciences},
	Year = {2002}}

@article{GilovichValloneTversky:1985,
	Author = {Gilovich, T. and Vallone, R. and Tversky, A.},
	Journal = {Cognitive Psychology},
	Pages = {295--314},
	Title = {The hot hand in basketball: on the misperception of random sequences},
	Volume = {17},
	Year = {1985}}

@book{GiltinanDavidian:1995,
	Address = {London},
	Author = {Giltinan, D. and Davidian, M.},
	Publisher = {Chapman and Hall},
	Title = {Nonlinear Models for Repeated Measurement Data},
	Year = {1995}}


@book{GirosiKing:2008,
	Author = {Federico Girosi and Gary King},
	Institution = {Department of Government, Harvard University},
	Publisher = {Princeton},
	Title = {Demographic forecasting},
	Year = {2008}}

@article{GlickmanNormand:2000,
	Author = {Glickman, M. E. and Normand, S. L},
	Journal = {Statistica Sinica},
	Pages = {517--544},
	Title = {The derivation of a latent threshold instrumental variables model},
	Volume = {10},
	Year = {2000}}

@book{Goldstein:1995,
	Address = {London},
	Author = {Goldstein, H.},
	Edition = {2nd},
	Publisher = {Edward Arnold},
	Title = {Multilevel Statistical Models},
	Year = {1995}}

@article{GoldsteinBrowneRasbash:2002,
	Author = {Goldstein, H. and Browne, W. J. and Rasbash, J.},
	Journal = {Understanding Statistics},
	Pages = {223--232},
	Title = {Partitioning variation in multilevel models},
	Volume = {1},
	Year = {2002}}

@incollection{GoldsteinSilver:1989,
	Address = {New York},
	Author = {Goldstein, H. and Silver, R.},
	Booktitle = {Analysis of Complex Surveys},
	Editor = {C. J. Skinner, D. Holt, and T. M. F. Smith},
	Pages = {221--235},
	Publisher = {Wiley},
	Title = {Multilevel and multivariate models in survey analysis},
	Year = {1989}}

@article{GraubardKorn:1999,
	Author = {Graubard, B. I. and Korn, E. L.},
	Journal = {Biometrics},
	Pages = {652--659},
	Title = {Predictive margins with survey data},
	Volume = {55},
	Year = {1999}}

@manual{Graves:2003,
	Author = {Graves, T. L.},
	Organization = {Statistical Sciences Group, Los Alamos National Laboratory},
	Title = {Yadas: yet another data analysis system},
	Url = {www.stat.lanl.gov/yadas/home.html},
	Year = {2003},
	Bdsk-Url-1 = {www.stat.lanl.gov/yadas/home.html}}

@article{GrayLoweryMonogan:2009,
	Author = {Gray, Virginia and David Lowery and James Monogan},
	Journal = {State Politics \& Policy Quarterly},
	Month = {September},
	Number = {3},
	Pages = {304--324},
	Title = {Public Opinion, Organized Interests, and Policy Congruence in Initiative and Noninitiative States},
	Volume = {9},
	Year = {2009}}

@article{GreenTukey:1960,
	Author = {Green, B. F. and Tukey, J. W.},
	Journal = {Psychometrika},
	Pages = {127--152},
	Title = {Complex analyses of variance: general problems},
	Volume = {25},
	Year = {1960}}

@incollection{Green:2000,
	Address = {Chicago},
	Author = {Green, John C.},
	Booktitle = {The Politics of Gay Rights},
	Editor = {Craig Rimmerman, Kenneth D. Wald, and Clyde Wilcox},
	Publisher = {University of Chicago Press},
	Title = {Antigay: Varieties of Opposition to Gay Rights},
	Year = {2000}}

@article{Greenland:2005,
	Author = {Greenland, S.},
	Journal = {Journal of the Royal Statistical Society A},
	Month = {March},
	Number = {2},
	Pages = {267--306},
	Title = {Multiple bias modelling for analysis of observational data (with discussion)},
	Volume = {168},
	Year = {2005}}

@article{Greenland:2000,
	Author = {Greenland, S.},
	Journal = {Biometrics},
	Pages = {915--921},
	Title = {When should epidemiologic regressions use random coefficients?},
	Volume = {56},
	Year = {2000}}

@article{GreenlandRobinsPearl:1999,
	Author = {Greenland, S. and Robins, J. M. and Pearl, J.},
	Journal = {Statistical Science},
	Pages = {29--46},
	Title = {Confounding and collapsability in causal inference},
	Volume = {14},
	Year = {1999}}

@article{GreenlandSchlessmanCriqui:1986,
	Author = {Greenland, S. and Schlessman, J. J. and Criqui, M. H.},
	Journal = {American Journal of Epidemiology},
	Pages = {203--208},
	Title = {The fallacy of employing standardized regression coefficients and correlations as measures of effect},
	Volume = {123},
	Year = {1986}}

@book{Griewank:2008,
  title={Evaluating derivatives: principles and techniques of algorithmic differentiation},
  author={Griewank, A. and Walther, A.},
  year={2008},
  publisher={Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics (SIAM)}
}


@book{GrovesFowlerCouperEtAl:2004,
	Address = {New York},
	Author = {Groves, R. and Fowler, F. J. and Couper, M. P. and Lepkowski, J. M. and Singer, E. and Tourangeau, R.},
	Publisher = {Wiley},
	Title = {Survey Methodology},
	Year = {2004}}

@article{GustafsonClarke:2004,
	Author = {Gustafson, P. and Clarke, B.},
	Journal = {Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference},
	Pages = {311--327},
	Title = {Decomposing posterior variance},
	Volume = {119},
	Year = {2004}}

@article{GustafsonGreenland:2006,
	Author = {Paul Gustafson and Sander Greenland},
	Institution = {Department of Statistics, University of British Columbia.},
	Journal = {Biometrics},
	Month = {September},
	Number = {3},
	Pages = {760--768},
	Title = {The performance of random coefficient regression in accounting for residual confounding},
	Volume = {62},
	Year = {2006}}

@article{Haavelmo:1943,
	Author = {Haavelmo, T.},
	Journal = {Econometrica},
	Pages = {1--12},
	Title = {The statistical implications of a system of simultaneous equations},
	Volume = {11},
	Year = {1943}}

@article{Hahn:1998,
	Author = {Hahn, J.},
	Journal = {Econometrica},
	Pages = {315--331},
	Title = {On the role of the propensity score in efficient semiparametric estimation of average treatment effects},
	Volume = {66},
	Year = {1998}}

@article{HahnToddVan-der-Klaauw:2001,
	Author = {Hahn, J. and Todd, P. and Van-der-Klaauw, W.},
	Journal = {Econometrica},
	Pages = {201--209},
	Title = {Identification and estimation of treatment effects with a regression-discontinuity design},
	Volume = {69},
	Year = {2001}}

@article{Haider-Markel:2001,
	Author = {Haider-Markel, Donald P.},
	Journal = {State Politics and Policy Quarterly},
	Number = {1},
	Title = {Policy Diffusion as a Geographical Expansion of the Scope of Political Conflict: Same-Sex Marriage Bans in the 1990s},
	Volume = {1},
	Year = {2001}}

@incollection{Haider-MarkelKaufman:2006,
	Address = {Stanford, CA},
	Author = {Haider-Markel, Donald P. and Matthew S. Kaufman},
	Booktitle = {Public Opinion in State Politics},
	Editor = {Jeffrey E. Cohen},
	Publisher = {Stanford University Press},
	Title = {Public Opinion and Policy Making in the Culture Wars: Is There a Connection Between Opinion and State Policy on Gay and Lesbian Issues?},
	Year = {2006}}

@article{Haider-MarkelMeier:2008,
	Author = {Haider-Markel, Donald P. and Kenneth J. Meier},
	Journal = {Review of Policy Research},
	Number = {4},
	Title = {Legislative Victory, Electoral Uncertainty: Explaining Outcomes in the Battles over Lesbian and Civil Rights},
	Volume = {20},
	Year = {2008}}

@article{Haider-MarkelMeier:1996,
	Author = {Haider-Markel, Donald P. and Kenneth J. Meier},
	Journal = {The Journal of Politics},
	Number = {2},
	Pages = {332-349},
	Title = {The Politics of Gay and Lesbian Rights: Expanding the Scope of the Conflict},
	Volume = {58},
	Year = {1996}}

@article{Haider-MarkelQuerzeLindaman:2007,
	Author = {Haider-Markel, Donald P. and Alana Querze and Kara Lindaman},
	Journal = {Political Research Quarterly},
	Number = {2},
	Title = {Lose, Win, or Draw? A Reexamination of Direct Democracy and Minority Rights},
	Volume = {60},
	Year = {2007}}

@article{HamermeshParker:2005,
	Author = {Hamermesh, D. S. and Parker, A. M.},
	Journal = {Economics of Education Review},
	Pages = {369--376},
	Title = {Beauty in the classroom: instructors' pulchritude and putative pedagogical productivity},
	Volume = {24},
	Year = {2005}}

@incollection{Hanley:2008,
	Author = {Hanley, John},
	Booktitle = {Public opinion and constitutional controversy},
	Editor = {Egan, P.J.},
	Pages = {108--138},
	Publisher = {Oxford University Press},
	Title = {The Death Penalty},
	Year = {2008}}

@article{Hansen:2004,
	Author = {Hansen, B. B.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {609--619},
	Title = {Full matching in an observational study of coaching for the SAT},
	Volume = {99},
	Year = {2004}}

@article{HansenKlopfer:2006,
	Author = {Ben B. Hansen and Stephanie Olsen Klopfer},
	Journal = {Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics},
	Note = {OptMatch package for optimal matching},
	Number = {3},
	Pages = {609--627},
	Title = {Optimal full matching and related designs via network flows},
	Url = {www.stat.lsa.umich.edu/$\sim$bbh/optmatch.html},
	Volume = {15},
	Year = {2006},
	Bdsk-Url-1 = {www.stat.lsa.umich.edu/$%5Csim$bbh/optmatch.html}}

@article{Hanushek:1971,
	Author = {Hanushek, E.},
	Journal = {American Economic Review},
	Pages = {280--288},
	Title = {Teacher characteristics and gains in student achievement: estimation using micro data},
	Volume = {61},
	Year = {1971}}

@book{Harrell:2001,
	Address = {New York},
	Author = {Harrell, F.},
	Publisher = {Springer-Verlag},
	Title = {Regression Modeling Strategies},
	Year = {2001}}

@book{HastieTibshirani:1990,
	Address = {New York},
	Author = {Hastie, T. J. and Tibshirani, R. J.},
	Publisher = {Chapman and Hall},
	Title = {Generalized Additive Models},
	Year = {1990}}

@book{HastieTibshiraniFriedman:2002,
	Address = {New York},
	Author = {Hastie, T. J. and Tibshirani, R. J. and Friedman, J.},
	Publisher = {Springer-Verlag},
	Title = {The Elements of Statistical Learning: Data Mining, Inference, and Prediction},
	Year = {2002}}

@article{HauerNgLovell:1988,
	Author = {Hauer, E. and Ng, J. C. N. and Lovell, J.},
	Journal = {Transportation Research Record},
	Note = {Washington, D.C.: National Research Council},
	Pages = {48--61},
	Title = {Estimation of safety at signalized intersections},
	Volume = {1185},
	Year = {1988}}

@article{Healy:1990,
	Author = {Healy, M. J. R.},
	Journal = {Statistics in Medicine},
	Pages = {633--637},
	Title = {Measuring importance},
	Volume = {9},
	Year = {1990}}

@article{Heckathorn:1997,
	Abstract = {A population is "hidden" when no sampling frame exists and public
	acknowledgment of membership in the population is potentially threatening.
	Accessing such populations is difficult because standard probability
	sampling methods produce low response rates and responses that lack
	candor. Existing procedures for sampling these populations, including
	snowball and other chain-referral samples, the key-informant approach,
	and targeted sampling, introduce well-documented biases into their
	samples. This paper introduces a new variant of chain-referral sampling,
	respondent-driven sampling, that employs a dual system of structured
	incentives to overcome some of the deficiencies of such samples.
	A theoretic analysis, drawing on both Markov-chain theory and the
	theory of biased networks, shows that this procedure can reduce the
	biases generally associated with chain-referral methods. The analysis
	includes a proof showing that even though sampling begins with an
	arbitrarily chosen set of initial subjects, as do most chain-referral
	samples, the composition of the ultimate sample is wholly independent
	of those initial subjects. The analysis also includes a theoretic
	specification of the conditions under which the procedure yields
	unbiased samples. Empirical results, based on surveys of 277 active
	drug injectors in Connecticut, support these conclusions. Finally,
	the conclusion discusses how respondent-driven sampling can improve
	both network sampling and ethnographic 44investigation.},
	Author = {Heckathorn, Douglas D.},
	Copyright = {Copyright {\copyright} 1997 University of California Press},
	Issn = {00377791},
	Journal = {Social Problems},
	Jstor_Articletype = {research-article},
	Jstor_Formatteddate = {May, 1997},
	Language = {English},
	Number = {2},
	Pages = {pp. 174-199},
	Publisher = {University of California Press on behalf of the Society for the Study of Social Problems},
	Title = {Respondent-Driven Sampling: A New Approach to the Study of Hidden Populations},
	Url = {http://www.jstor.org/stable/3096941},
	Volume = {44},
	Year = {1997},
	Bdsk-Url-1 = {http://www.jstor.org/stable/3096941}}

@article{Heckman:1979,
	Author = {Heckman, J.},
	Journal = {Econometrica},
	Pages = {153--161},
	Title = {Sample selection bias as a specification error},
	Volume = {47},
	Year = {1979}}

@article{HeckmanIchimuraTodd:1998,
	Author = {Heckman, J. J. and Ichimura, H. and Todd, P.},
	Journal = {Review of Economic Studies},
	Pages = {261--294},
	Title = {Matching as an econometric evaluation estimator},
	Volume = {65},
	Year = {1998}}

@article{HeckmanIchimuraTodd:1997,
	Author = {Heckman, J. J. and Ichimura, H. and Todd, P.},
	Journal = {Review of Economic Studies},
	Pages = {605--654},
	Title = {Matching as an econometric evaluation estimator: evidence from a job training programme},
	Volume = {64},
	Year = {1997}}

@article{HeinzeSchemper:2003,
	Author = {Heinze, G. and Schemper, M.},
	Journal = {Statistics in Medicine},
	Pages = {2409--2419},
	Title = {A solution to the problem of separation in logistic regression},
	Volume = {12},
	Year = {2003}}

@article{HeitjanMoskowitzWhang:1999,
	Author = {Heitjan, D. F. and Moskowitz, A. J. and Whang, W.},
	Journal = {Medical Decision Making},
	Pages = {9--15},
	Title = {Problems with interval estimates of the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio},
	Volume = {19},
	Year = {1999}}

@book{Henderson:1984,
	Author = {Henderson, C. R.},
	Publisher = {Univerity of Guelph},
	Title = {Application of Linear Models in Animal Breeding},
	Year = {1984}}

@article{Henderson:1950,
	Author = {Henderson, C. R.},
	Journal = {Annals of Mathematical Statistics},
	Pages = {309--310},
	Title = {Estimation of genetic parameters (abstract)},
	Volume = {21},
	Year = {1950}}

@article{HendersonKempthorneSearleEtAl:1959,
	Author = {Henderson, C. R. and Kempthorne, O. and Searle, S. R. and Von-Krosigk,C. M.},
	Journal = {Biometrics},
	Pages = {192--218},
	Title = {The estimation of environmental and genetic trends from records subject to culling},
	Volume = {15},
	Year = {1959}}

@article{Hill:1965,
	Author = {Hill, B. M.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {806--825},
	Title = {Inference about variance components in the one-way model},
	Volume = {60},
	Year = {1965}}

@article{Hill:2011,
	Author = {Hill, Jennifer L.},
	Institution = {School of International and Public Affairs, Columbia University},
	Journal = {Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics},
	Number = {1},
	Pages = {217--240},
	Title = {Bayesian nonparametric modeling for causal inference},
	Volume = {20},
	Year = {2011}}

@article{HillBrooks-GunnWaldfogel:2003,
	Author = {Hill, J. L. and Brooks-Gunn, J. and Waldfogel, J.},
	Journal = {Developmental Pscyhology},
	Pages = {730--744},
	Title = {Sustained effects of high participation in an early intervention for low-birth-weight premature infants},
	Volume = {39},
	Year = {2003}}

@article{HillReiter:2006,
	Author = {Hill, J. L. and Reiter, J.},
	Journal = {Statistics in Medicine},
	Pages = {2230--2256},
	Title = {Interval estimation for treatment effects using propensity score matching},
	Volume = {25.},
	Year = {2006}}

@incollection{HillReiterZanutto:2004,
	Address = {New York},
	Author = {Hill, J. L. and Reiter, J. and Zanutto, E.},
	Booktitle = {Applied Bayesian and Causal Inference from an Incomplete Data Perspective},
	Editor = {A. Gelman and X. L. Meng},
	Publisher = {Wiley},
	Title = {A comparison of experimental and observational data analyses},
	Year = {2004}}

@article{HillWaldfogelBrooks-Gunn:2002,
	Author = {Hill, J. L. and Waldfogel, J. and Brooks-Gunn, J.},
	Journal = {Journal of Policy Analysis and Management},
	Pages = {601--627},
	Title = {Assessing the differential impacts of high-quality child care: a new approach for exploiting post-treatment variables},
	Volume = {21},
	Year = {2002}}

@article{HillWaldfogelBrooks-GunnEtAl:2005,
	Author = {Hill, J. L. and Waldfogel, J. and Brooks-Gunn, J. and Han, W. J.},
	Journal = {Developmental Psychology},
	Pages = {833--850},
	Title = {Maternal employment and child development: a fresh look using newer methods},
	Volume = {41},
	Year = {2005}}

@article{HiranoImbensRidder:2003,
	Author = {Hirano, K. and Imbens, G. W. and Ridder, G.},
	Journal = {Econometrica},
	Pages = {1161--1189},
	Title = {Efficient estimation of average treatment effects using the estimated propensity score},
	Volume = {71},
	Year = {2003}}

@article{HiranoImbensRubinEtAl:2000,
	Author = {Hirano, K. and Imbens, G. W. and Rubin, D. B. and Zhou, A.},
	Journal = {Biostatistics},
	Pages = {69--88},
	Title = {Assessing the effect of an influenza vaccine in an encouragement design},
	Volume = {1},
	Year = {2000}}

@article{Hodges:1998,
	Author = {Hodges, J. S.},
	Journal = {Journal of the Royal Statistical Society B},
	Pages = {497--536},
	Title = {Some algebra and geometry for hierarchical models, applied to diagnostics (with discussion)},
	Volume = {60},
	Year = {1998}}

@unpublished{HodgesCuiSargentEtAl:2005,
	Author = {Hodges, J. S. and Cui, Y. and Sargent, D. J. and Carlin, B. P.},
	Note = {Department of Biostatistics, University of Minnesota},
	Title = {Smoothed ANOVA},
	Year = {2005}}

@article{HodgesSargent:2001,
	Author = {Hodges, J. S. and Sargent, D. J.},
	Journal = {Biometrika.},
	Pages = {367--379},
	Title = {Counting degrees of freedom in hierarchical and other richly parameterized models},
	Volume = {88},
	Year = {2001}}

@article{HoenigHeisey:2001,
	Author = {Hoenig, J. M. and Heisey, D. M.},
	Journal = {American Statistician},
	Pages = {19--24},
	Title = {The abuse of power: the pervasive fallacy of power calculations for data analysis},
	Volume = {55},
	Year = {2001}}

@article{HoetingMadiganRafteryEtAl:1999,
	Author = {Hoeting, J. and Madigan, D. and Raftery, A. E. and Volinsky, C.},
	Journal = {Statistical Science},
	Pages = {382--417},
	Title = {Bayesian model averaging (with discussion)},
	Volume = {14},
	Year = {1999}}

@incollection{Hoff:2003,
	Address = {Washington, D.C},
	Author = {Hoff, P. D.},
	Booktitle = {Dynamic Social Network Modeling and Analysis: Workshop Summary and Papers},
	Editor = {R. Breiger, K. Carley, and P. Pattison},
	Pages = {303--312},
	Publisher = {National Academies Press},
	Title = {Random effects models for network data},
	Year = {2003}}

@article{Hoff:2005,
	Author = {Hoff, P. D.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Assosciation},
	Pages = {286--295},
	Title = {Bilinear mixed-effects models for dyadic data.},
	Volume = {100},
	Year = {2005}}

@article{HoffRafteryHandcock:2002,
	Author = {Hoff, P. D. and Raftery, A. E. and Handcock, M. S.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {1090--1098},
	Title = {Latent space approaches to social network analysis.},
	Volume = {97},
	Year = {2002}}

@article{HoogerheideKleibergenVan-Dijk:2007,
	Author = {Hoogerheide, L. and Kleibergen, F. and Van-Dijk, H. K.},
	Journal = {Journal of Econometrics},
	Month = {May},
	Number = {1},
	Pages = {63--103},
	Title = {Natural conjugate priors for the instrumental variables regression model applied to the Angrist-Krueger data},
	Volume = {138},
	Year = {2007}}

@article{HorvitzThompson:1952,
	Abstract = {This paper presents a general technique for the treatment of samples
	drawn without replacement from finite universes when unequal selection
	probabilities are used. Two sampling schemes are discussed in connection
	with the problem of determining optimum selection probabilities according
	to the information available in a supplementary variable. Admittedly,
	these two schemes have limited application. They should prove useful,
	however, for the first stage of sampling with multi-stage designs,
	since both permit unbiased estimation of the sampling variance without
	resorting to additional assumptions.},
	Author = {Horvitz, D. G. and Thompson, D. J.},
	Copyright = {Copyright {\copyright} 1952 American Statistical Association},
	Issn = {01621459},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Jstor_Articletype = {research-article},
	Jstor_Formatteddate = {Dec. 1952},
	Language = {English},
	Number = {260},
	Pages = {663-685},
	Publisher = {American Statistical Association},
	Title = {A Generalization of Sampling Without Replacement From a Finite Universe},
	Url = {http://www.jstor.org/stable/2280784},
	Volume = {47},
	Year = {1952},
	Bdsk-Url-1 = {http://www.jstor.org/stable/2280784}}

@book{Hox:2002,
	Address = {Mahwah, New Jersey},
	Author = {Hox, J.},
	Publisher = {Lawrence Erlbaum Associates},
	Title = {Multilevel Analysis: Techniques and Applications},
	Year = {2002}}

@inproceedings{HuangCongXieEtAl:2009,
	Author = {Huang, C.H. and Cong, L. and Xie, J. and Qiao, B. and Lo, S.H. and Zheng, T.},
	Booktitle = {BMC Proceedings},
	Issn = {1753-6561},
	Number = {Suppl 7},
	Pages = {S75},
	Publisher = {BioMed Central Ltd},
	Title = {Rheumatoid arthritis-associated gene-gene interaction network for rheumatoid arthritis candidate genes},
	Volume = {3},
	Year = {2009}}

@unpublished{HuangGelman:2003,
	Author = {Huang, Z. and Gelman, A.},
	Note = {Department of Statistics, Columbia University},
	Title = {Sampling for Bayesian computation with large datasets},
	Year = {2003}}

@article{HuberGordon:2004,
	Author = {Huber, Gregory A. and Sanford C. Gordon},
	Journal = {American Journal of Political Science},
	Number = {2},
	Pages = {247-63},
	Title = {Accountability and Coercion: Is Justice Blind When It Runs for Office?},
	Volume = {48},
	Year = {2004}}

@unpublished{IchimuraLinton:2001,
	Author = {Ichimura, H. and Linton, O.},
	Note = {Institute for Fiscal Studies, Cemmap Working Paper cwp04/01},
	Title = {Asymptotic expansions for some semiparametric program evaluation estimators},
	Year = {2001}}

@article{ImaiVan-Dyk:2004,
	Author = {Imai, K. and Van-Dyk, D. A.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {854--866},
	Title = {Causal inference with general treatment regimes: generalizing the propensity score},
	Volume = {99},
	Year = {2004}}

@article{ImaiVan-Dyk:2003,
	Author = {Imai, K. and Van-Dyk, D. A.},
	Journal = {Journal of Econometrics},
	Pages = {311--334.},
	Title = {A Bayesian analysis of the multinomial probit model using marginal data augmentation},
	Volume = {124},
	Year = {2003}}

@article{Imbens:2004,
	Author = {Imbens, G. W.},
	Journal = {Review of Economics and Statistics},
	Pages = {4--29},
	Title = {Nonparametric estimation of average treatment effects under exogeneity: a review},
	Volume = {86},
	Year = {2004}}

@article{Imbens:2000,
	Author = {Imbens, G. W.},
	Journal = {Biometrika},
	Pages = {706--710},
	Title = {The role of the propensity score in estimating dose-response functions},
	Volume = {87},
	Year = {2000}}

@article{ImbensAngrist:1994,
	Author = {Imbens, G. W. and Angrist, J.},
	Journal = {Econometrica},
	Pages = {467--475},
	Title = {Identification and estimation of local average treatment effects},
	Volume = {62},
	Year = {1994}}

@article{ImbensRubin:1997,
	Author = {Imbens, G. W. and Rubin, D. B.},
	Journal = {Annals of Statistics},
	Pages = {305--327},
	Title = {Bayesian inference for causal effects in randomized experiments with noncompliance},
	Volume = {25},
	Year = {1997}}

@article{ImbensRubinSacerdote:2001,
	Author = {Imbens, G. W. and Rubin, D. B. and Sacerdote, B.},
	Journal = {American Economic Review},
	Month = {September},
	Number = {4},
	Pages = {778--794},
	Title = {Estimating the effect of unearned income on labor earnings, savings, and consumption: evidence from a survey of lottery players},
	Volume = {91},
	Year = {2001}}

@article{Jackman:2001,
	Author = {Jackman, S.},
	Journal = {Political Analysis},
	Pages = {227--241},
	Title = {Multidimensional analysis of roll call data via Bayesian simulation: identification, estimation, inference and model checking},
	Volume = {9},
	Year = {2001}}

@article{JacksonBestRichardson:2006,
	Author = {Jackson, C. and Best, N. and Richardson, C.},
	Journal = {Statistics in Medicine},
	Pages = {2136--2159},
	Title = {Improving ecological inference using individual-level data},
	Volume = {25},
	Year = {2006}}

@article{JacobLefgren:2004,
	Author = {Jacob, B. A. and Lefgren, L.},
	Journal = {Review of Economics and Statistics},
	Pages = {226--244},
	Title = {Remedial education and student achievement: a regression-discontinuity analysis},
	Volume = {86},
	Year = {2004}}

@inproceedings{JamesStein:1960,
	Address = {Berkeley},
	Author = {James, W. and Stein, C.},
	Booktitle = {Proceedings of the Fourth Berkeley Symposium on Mathematical Statistics and Probability},
	Editor = {J. Neyman},
	Pages = {361--380},
	Publisher = {University of California Press},
	Title = {Estimation with quadratic loss},
	Volume = {1},
	Year = {1960}}

@book{Jaynes:,
	Address = {Dordrecht, Netherlands},
	Author = {Jaynes, E. T.},
	Editor = {R. D. Rosenkrantz},
	Publisher = {Reidel},
	Title = {Papers on Probability, Statistics, and Statistical Physics}}

@book{Jeffreys:1961,
	Author = {Jeffreys, H.},
	Edition = {3rd},
	Publisher = {Oxford University Press.},
	Title = {Theory of Probability},
	Year = {1961}}

@article{JoffeRosenbaum:1999,
	Author = {Joffe, M. M. and Rosenbaum, P. R.},
	Journal = {American Journal of Epidemiology},
	Pages = {327--333},
	Title = {Propensity scores},
	Volume = {150},
	Year = {1999}}

@article{Johnson:1997,
	Author = {Johnson, V. E..},
	Journal = {Statistical Science},
	Pages = {251--278},
	Title = {An alternative to traditional GPA for evaluating student performance (with discussion)},
	Volume = {12},
	Year = {1997}}

@article{Johnson:1996,
	Author = {Johnson, V. E.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {42--51},
	Title = {On Bayesian analysis of multirater ordinal data:an application to automated essay grading},
	Volume = {91},
	Year = {1996}}

@article{Kane:2003,
	Author = {Kane, Melinda D.},
	Journal = {Mobilization: The International Journal of Research in Social Movements, Protest, and Contentious Politics},
	Number = {3},
	Pages = {313-34},
	Title = {Social Movement Policy Success: Decriminalizing State Sodomy Laws 1969-1998},
	Volume = {8},
	Year = {2003}}

@article{KaneRockoffStaiger:2008,
	Author = {Kane, T. J. and Rockoff, J. E. and Staiger, D. O.},
	Journal = {Economics of Education Review},
	Month = {December},
	Number = {6},
	Pages = {615--631},
	Title = {What does certification tell us about teacher effectiveness? evidence from New York City},
	Volume = {27},
	Year = {2008}}

@article{KarimZeger:1992,
	Author = {Karim, M. R. and Zeger, S. L.},
	Journal = {Biometrics},
	Pages = {631--644},
	Title = {Generalized linear models with random effects; salamander mating revisited},
	Volume = {48},
	Year = {1992}}

@article{KassCarlinGelmanEtAl:1998,
	Author = {Kass, R. E. and Carlin, B. P. and Gelman, A. and Neal, R.},
	Journal = {American Statistician},
	Pages = {93--100},
	Title = {Markov chain Monte Carlo in practice: a roundtable discussion},
	Volume = {52},
	Year = {1998}}

@article{KassWasserman:1996,
	Author = {Kass, R. E. and Wasserman, L.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {1343--1370},
	Title = {The selection of prior distributions by formal rules},
	Volume = {91},
	Year = {1996}}

@article{KastellecLaxPhillips:2010,
	Author = {Kastellec, J.P. and J.R. Lax and J. Phillips},
	Journal = {Journal of Politics},
	Number = {3},
	Pages = {767--784},
	Publisher = {Citeseer},
	Title = {Public Opinion and Senate Confirmation of Supreme Court Nominees},
	Volume = {72},
	Year = {2010}}

@incollection{KennyKashyBolger:1998,
	Address = {Boston},
	Author = {Kenny, D. A. and Kashy, D. A. and Bolger, N.},
	Booktitle = {Handbook of Social Psychology},
	Editor = {D. Gilbert, S. Fiske, and G. Lindzey},
	Pages = {233--265},
	Publisher = {McGraw-Hill},
	Title = {Data analysis in social psychology},
	Year = {1998}}

@unpublished{Kerman:2006,
	Author = {Kerman, J.},
	Note = {Department of Statistics, Columbia University},
	Title = {Umacs: a universal Markov chain sampler},
	Year = {2006}}

@unpublished{KermanGelman:2006,
	Author = {Kerman, J. and Gelman, A.},
	Note = {Department of Statistics, Columbia University},
	Title = {Fully Bayesian computing},
	Year = {2006}}

@unpublished{KermanGelman:2006a,
	Author = {Kerman, J. and Gelman, A.},
	Note = {Department of Statistics, Columbia University},
	Title = {Enhanced R functions for displaying and manipulating regression inferences},
	Year = {2006}}

@article{KillworthJohnsenMcCartyEtAl:1998,
	Author = {Killworth, P. D. and Johnsen, E. and McCarty, C. and Shelley, G. A. and Bernard, H. R.},
	Journal = {Social Networks},
	Pages = {23--50},
	Title = {Estimation of seroprevalence, rape and homelessness in the U.S. using a social network approach},
	Volume = {20},
	Year = {1998}}

@article{King:1986,
	Author = {King, G.},
	Journal = {American Journal of Political Science},
	Pages = {666--687},
	Title = {How not to lie with statistics: avoiding common mistakes in quantitative political science},
	Volume = {30},
	Year = {1986}}

@article{KingHonakerJosephEtAl:2001,
	Author = {King, G. and Honaker, J. and Joseph, A. and Scheve, K.},
	Journal = {American Political Science Review},
	Pages = {49--69},
	Title = {Analyzing incomplete political science data: an alternative algorithm for multiple imputation},
	Volume = {95},
	Year = {2001}}

@article{KingTomzWittenberg:2000,
	Author = {King, G. and Tomz, M. and Wittenberg, J.},
	Journal = {American Journal of Political Science},
	Pages = {341--355},
	Title = {Making the most of statistical analyses: improving interpretation and presentation},
	Volume = {44},
	Year = {2000}}

@article{KingZeng:2006,
	Author = {King, G. and Zeng, L.},
	Journal = {Political Analysis},
	Pages = {131--159},
	Title = {The dangers of extreme counterfactuals},
	Volume = {14},
	Year = {2006}}

@book{Kirk:1995,
	Address = {Pacific Grove, California},
	Author = {Kirk, R. E.},
	Edition = {3rd},
	Publisher = {Brooks/Cole},
	Title = {Experimental Design: Procedures for the Behavioral Sciences},
	Year = {1995}}

@phdthesis{Kiss:2003,
	Author = {Kiss, A.},
	School = {Department of Biostatistics, Columbia University},
	Title = {Hierarchical models: what the data are really telling us},
	Year = {2003}}

@article{KleibergenZivot:2003,
	Author = {Kleibergen, F. and Zivot, E.},
	Journal = {Journal of Econometrics},
	Pages = {29--72},
	Title = {Bayesian and classical approaches to instrumental variable regression},
	Volume = {114},
	Year = {2003}}

@book{Kousser:2005,
	Address = {Cambridge, United Kingdom},
	Author = {Kousser, Thad},
	Publisher = {Cambridge University Press},
	Title = {Term Limits and the Dismantling of State Legislative Professionalism},
	Year = {2005}}

@article{Krantz:1999,
	Author = {Krantz, D. H.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {1372--1381},
	Title = {The null hypothesis testing controversy in psychology},
	Volume = {94},
	Year = {1999}}

@book{KreftDe-Leeuw:1998,
	Address = {London},
	Author = {Kreft, I. and De-Leeuw, J.},
	Publisher = {Sage},
	Title = {Introducing Multilevel Modeling},
	Year = {1998}}


@article{LairdWare:1982,
	Author = {Laird, N. M. and Ware, J. H.},
	Journal = {Biometrics},
	Pages = {963--974},
	Title = {Random-effects models for longitudinal data},
	Volume = {38},
	Year = {1982}}

@article{LaLonde:1986,
	Author = {LaLonde, R. J},
	Journal = {American Economic Review},
	Pages = {604--620},
	Title = {Evaluating the econometric evaluations of training programs using experimental data},
	Volume = {76},
	Year = {1986}}

@incollection{LaMotte:1983,
	Address = {New York},
	Author = {LaMotte, L. R.},
	Booktitle = {Encyclopedia of Statistical Sciences},
	Editor = {S. Kotz, N. L. Johnson, and C. B. Read},
	Pages = {137--141},
	Publisher = {Wiley},
	Title = {Fixed-, random-, and mixed-effects models},
	Volume = {3},
	Year = {1983}}

@book{Lancaster:2004,
	Address = {Oxford},
	Author = {Lancaster, T.},
	Publisher = {Blackwell},
	Title = {An Introduction to Modern Bayesian Econometrics},
	Year = {2004}}

@article{LandwehrPregibonShoemaker:1984,
	Author = {Landwehr, J. M. and Pregibon, D. and Shoemaker, A. C.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {61--83},
	Title = {Graphical methods for assessing logistic regression models},
	Volume = {79},
	Year = {1984}}

@article{LaneNelder:1982,
	Author = {Lane, P. W. and Nelder, J. A.},
	Journal = {Biometrics},
	Pages = {613--621},
	Title = {Analysis of covariance and standardization as instances of prediction},
	Volume = {38},
	Year = {1982}}

@article{LangeLittleTaylor:1989,
	Author = {Lange, K. L. and Little, R. J. A. and Taylor, J. M. G.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {881--896},
	Title = {Robust statistical modeling using the $t$ distribution},
	Volume = {84},
	Year = {1989}}

@article{LascherJr.Rochlin:1996,
	Author = {Lascher, Edward L. and Jr. Michael G. Hagen and Steven A. Rochlin},
	Journal = {Journal of Politics},
	Month = {August},
	Title = {Gun Behind the Door: Ballot Initiatives, State Policies and Public Opinion},
	Volume = {58},
	Year = {1996}}

@article{LavoriKellerEndicott:1995,
	Author = {Lavori, P. W. and Keller, M. B. and Endicott, J.},
	Journal = {Statistics in Medicine},
	Pages = {1913--1925},
	Title = {Improving the aggregate performance of psychiatric diagnostic methods when not all subjects receive the standard test},
	Volume = {14},
	Year = {1995}}

@article{LaxPhillips:2009,
	Author = {Lax, Jeffrey R. and Justin H. Phillips},
	Journal = {American Political Sceince Review},
	Month = {August},
	Number = {3},
	Title = {Gay Rights in the States: Public Opinion and Policy Responsiveness},
	Volume = {103},
	Year = {2009}}

@article{LaxPhillips:2009a,
	Author = {Lax, Jeffrey R. and Justin H. Phillips},
	Journal = {American Journal of Political Science},
	Number = {1},
	Pages = {107-21},
	Title = {How Should We Estimate Public Opinion in the States?},
	Volume = {53},
	Year = {2009}}

@article{Leamer:1983,
	Author = {Leamer, E.},
	Journal = {American Economic Review},
	Pages = {31--43},
	Title = {Let's take the con out of econometrics},
	Volume = {73},
	Year = {1983}}

@book{Leamer:1978,
	Address = {New York},
	Author = {Leamer, E.},
	Publisher = {Wiley},
	Title = {Specification Searches: Ad Hoc Inference with Nonexperimental Data},
	Year = {1978}}

@article{Lechner:1999,
	Author = {Lechner, M.},
	Journal = {Journal of Business and Economic Statistics},
	Pages = {74--90},
	Title = {Earnings and employment effects of continuous off-the-job training in East Germany after unification},
	Volume = {17},
	Year = {1999}}

@article{LeeMorettiButler:2004,
	Author = {Lee, D. S. and Moretti, E. and Butler, M. J.},
	Journal = {Quarterly Journal of Economics},
	Pages = {807--859},
	Title = {Do voters affect or elect policies? Evidence from the U.S. House},
	Volume = {119},
	Year = {2004}}

@article{Lenth:2001,
	Author = {Lenth, R. V.},
	Journal = {American Statistician},
	Pages = {187--193},
	Title = {Some practical guidelines for effective sample size determination},
	Volume = {55},
	Year = {2001}}

@article{LesaffreAlbert:1989,
	Author = {Lesaffre, E. and Albert, A.},
	Journal = {Journal of the Royal Statistical Society B},
	Pages = {109--116},
	Title = {Partial separation in logistic discrimination},
	Volume = {51},
	Year = {1989}}

@article{LevittWolfram:1997,
	Author = {Levitt, S. D. and Wolfram, C. D.},
	Journal = {Legislative Studies Quarterly},
	Pages = {45--60},
	Title = {Decomposing the sources of incumbency advantage in the U.S. House},
	Volume = {22},
	Year = {1997}}

@article{LiangMcCullagh:1993,
	Author = {Liang, K. Y. and McCullagh, P.},
	Journal = {Biometrics},
	Pages = {623--630},
	Title = {Case studies in binary dispersion},
	Volume = {49},
	Year = {1993}}

@article{LinGelmanPriceEtAl:1999,
	Author = {Lin, C. Y. and Gelman, A. and Price, P. N. and Krantz, D. H.},
	Journal = {Statistical Science},
	Pages = {305--337},
	Title = {Analysis of local decisions using hierarchical modeling, applied to home radon measurement and remediation (with discussion)},
	Volume = {14},
	Year = {1999}}

@unpublished{Linden:2006,
	Author = {Linden, L.},
	Institution = {Department of Economics, Columbia University},
	Title = {Are incumbents really advantaged? The preference for non-incumbents in India},
	Year = {2006}}

@article{LindleySmith:1972,
	Author = {Lindley, D. V. and Smith, A. F. M.},
	Journal = {Journal of the Royal Statistical Society B},
	Pages = {1--41},
	Title = {Bayes estimates for the linear model},
	Volume = {34},
	Year = {1972}}

@article{LiraAshworthMorris:1998,
	Author = {Lira, P. I. and Ashworth, A. and Morris, S. S.},
	Journal = {American Journal of Clinical Nutrition},
	Pages = {418S--424S},
	Title = {Effect of zinc supplementation on the morbidity, immune function, and growth of low-birth-weight, full-term infants in northeast Brazil},
	Volume = {68},
	Year = {1998}}

@article{Little:1993,
	Author = {Little, R.J.A.},
	Issn = {0162-1459},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Number = {423},
	Pages = {1001--1012},
	Publisher = {JSTOR},
	Title = {Post-stratification: A modeler's perspective},
	Volume = {88},
	Year = {1993}}

@article{Little:1991,
	Author = {Little, R.J.A.},
	Journal = {Journal of Official Statistics},
	Number = {4},
	Pages = {405--424},
	Title = {Inference with survey weights},
	Volume = {7},
	Year = {1991}}

@book{LittleRubin:2002,
	Address = {New York},
	Author = {Little, R. J. A. and Rubin, D. B.},
	Edition = {2nd},
	Publisher = {Wiley},
	Title = {Statistical Analysis with Missing Data},
	Year = {2002}}

@incollection{Liu:2004,
	Address = {London},
	Author = {Liu, C.},
	Booktitle = {Applied Bayesian Modeling and Causal Inference from Incomplete-Data Perspectives},
	Editor = {A. Gelman and X. L. Meng},
	Pages = {227--238},
	Publisher = {Wiley},
	Title = {Robit regression: a simple robust alternative to logistic and probit regression},
	Year = {2004}}

@article{Liu:1995,
	Author = {Liu, C.},
	Journal = {Journal of Multivariate Analysis},
	Pages = {198--206},
	Title = {Missing data imputation using the multivariate $t$ distribution},
	Volume = {48},
	Year = {1995}}

@article{LiuRubinWu:1998,
	Author = {Liu, C. and Rubin, D. B. and Wu, Y. N.},
	Journal = {Biometrika},
	Pages = {755--770},
	Title = {Parameter expansion to accelerate EM: the PX-EM algorithm},
	Volume = {85},
	Year = {1998}}

@book{Liu:2002,
	Address = {New York},
	Author = {Liu, J.},
	Publisher = {Springer-Verlag},
	Title = {Monte Carlo Strategies in Scientific Computing},
	Year = {2002}}

@article{LiuWu:1999,
	Author = {Liu, J. and Wu, Y. N.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {1264--1274},
	Title = {Parameter expansion for data augmentation},
	Volume = {94},
	Year = {1999}}

@article{LoChernoffCongEtAl:2008,
	Author = {Lo, S.H. and Chernoff, H. and Cong, L. and Ding, Y. and Zheng, T.},
	Journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences},
	Number = {34},
	Pages = {12387},
	Publisher = {National Acad Sciences},
	Title = {Discovering interactions among {BRCA1} and other candidate genes associated with sporadic breast cancer},
	Volume = {105},
	Year = {2008}}

@book{Lohr:1999,
	Address = {Pacific Grove, California},
	Author = {Lohr, S.},
	Publisher = {Duxbury},
	Title = {Sampling: Design and Analysis},
	Year = {1999}}

@incollection{Loken:2004,
	Address = {London},
	Author = {Loken, E.},
	Booktitle = {Applied Bayesian Modeling and Causal Inference from Incomplete-Data Perspectives},
	Editor = {A. Gelman and X. L. Meng},
	Pages = {203--213},
	Publisher = {Wiley},
	Title = {Multimodality in mixture models and factor models},
	Year = {2004}}

@book{Longford:2005,
	Address = {New York},
	Author = {Longford, N.},
	Publisher = {Springer-Verlag},
	Title = {Missing Data and Small-Area Estimation},
	Year = {2005}}

@book{Longford:1993,
	Address = {Oxford},
	Author = {Longford, N.},
	Publisher = {Clarendon Press},
	Title = {Random Coefficient Models},
	Year = {1993}}

@book{LordNovick:1968,
	Address = {Reading, Massachusetts},
	Author = {Lord, F. M. and Novick, M. R.},
	Publisher = {Addison-Wesley},
	Title = {Statistical Theories of Mental Test Scores},
	Year = {1968}}

@article{Louis:1984,
	Author = {Louis, T. A.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {393--398},
	Title = {Estimating a population of parameter values using Bayes and empirical Bayes methods},
	Volume = {78},
	Year = {1984}}

@article{LouisShen:1999,
	Author = {Louis, T. A. and Shen, W.},
	Journal = {Statistics in Medicine},
	Pages = {2493--2505},
	Title = {Innovations in Bayes and emprical Bayes methods: estimating parameters, populations and ranks},
	Volume = {18},
	Year = {1999}}

@article{LuGelman:2003,
	Author = {Lu, H. and Gelman, A.},
	Journal = {Journal of Official Statistics},
	Number = {2},
	Pages = {133--151},
	Publisher = {Citeseer},
	Title = {Sampling Variances for Surveys With Weighting, Poststratification, and Raking},
	Volume = {19},
	Year = {2003}}

@article{LunnSpiegelhalterThomasBest:2009,
	Author = {D. Lunn and D.~Spiegelhalter and A.~Thomas and N.~Best}, 
	Journal = {Statistics in Medicine},
	Pages = {3049-3067},
	Title = {The {BUGS} project: Evolution, critique, and future directions},
	Url = {http://www.openbugs.info/w/},
	Volume = {28},
	Year = {2009},
	Bdsk-Url-1 = {http://www.openbugs.info/w/}}

@article{LunnThomasSpiegelhalter:2000,
	Address = {Cambridge, England},
	Author = {Lunn, D.J. and Thomas, A. Best, N. and Spiegelhalter, D.},
	Journal = {Statistics and Computing},
	Organization = {MRC Biostatistics Unit},
	Pages = {325--337},
	Title = {{WinBUGS} -- a {B}ayesian modelling framework: concepts, structure, and extensibility},
	Url = {www.mrc-bsu.cam.ac.uk/bugs/},
	Volume = {10},
	Year = {2000},
	Bdsk-Url-1 = {www.mrc-bsu.cam.ac.uk/bugs/}}

@misc{LupiaKrupnikovLevineEtAl:2009,
	Author = {Lupia, Arthur and Yanna Krupnikov and Adam Seth Levine and Spencer Piston and Alexander Von Hagen-Jamar},
	Howpublished = {Presented at the Annual Meeting of the Midwest Political Science Association},
	Title = {Why State Constitutions in their Treatment of Same-Sex Marriage},
	Year = {2009}}

@article{LupiaMatsusaka:2004,
	Author = {Lupia, Arthur and John G. Matsusaka},
	Journal = {Annual Review of Political Science},
	Pages = {463-82},
	Title = {Direct Democracy: New Approaches to Old Questions},
	Volume = {7},
	Year = {2004}}

@article{MacLehoseDunsonHerringEtAl:2007,
	Author = {MacLehose, R. F. and Dunson, D. B. and Herring, A. and Hoppin, J. A.},
	Journal = {Epidemiology},
	Month = {March},
	Number = {2},
	Title = {Bayesian methods for highly correlated exposure data},
	Volume = {18},
	Year = {2007}}

@book{Maddala:1983,
	Author = {Maddala, G. S.},
	Publisher = {Cambridge University Press},
	Title = {Limited Dependent and Qualitative Variables in Econometrics},
	Year = {1983}}

@article{Maddala:1976,
	Author = {Maddala, G. S.},
	Journal = {Econometrica},
	Pages = {345--351},
	Title = {Weak priors and sharp posteriors in simultaneous equation models},
	Volume = {44},
	Year = {1976}}

@article{MadiganRaftery:1994,
	Author = {Madigan, D. and Raftery, A. E.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {1535--1546},
	Title = {Model selection and accounting for model uncertainty in graphical models using Occam's window},
	Volume = {89},
	Year = {1994}}

@article{Maestas:2000,
	Author = {Maestas, Cherie},
	Journal = {Legislative Studies Quarterly},
	Number = {4},
	Pages = {663-90},
	Title = {Professional Legislatures and Ambitious Politicians: Policy Responsiveness of State Institutions},
	Volume = {25},
	Year = {2000}}

@book{Magleby:1984,
	Address = {Baltimore},
	Author = {Magleby, David B.},
	Publisher = {The Johns Hopkins University Press},
	Title = {Direct Legislation: Voting on Ballot Propositions in the United States},
	Year = {1984}}

@article{Mallows:1973,
	Author = {Mallows, C. L.},
	Journal = {Technometrics},
	Pages = {661--675},
	Title = {Some comments on $C_p$},
	Volume = {15},
	Year = {1973}}

@article{Manski:1990,
	Author = {Manski, C. F.},
	Journal = {American Economic Reviews, Papers and Proceedings},
	Pages = {319--323},
	Title = {Nonparametric bounds on treatment effects},
	Volume = {80},
	Year = {1990}}

@article{MartinQuinn:2002,
	Author = {Martin, A. D. and Quinn, K. M.},
	Journal = {Political Analysis},
	Pages = {134--153},
	Title = {Dynamic ideal point estimation via Markov chain Monte Carlo for the U.S. Supreme Court, 1953--1999},
	Volume = {10},
	Year = {2002}}

@article{MartinQuinnPark:2011,
	Author = {Andrew D. Martin and Kevin M. Quinn and Jong Hee Park},
	Journal = {Journal of Statistical Software},
	Number = {9},
	Pages = {22},
	Title = {{MCMCpack}: Markov Chain Monte Carlo in {R}},
	Url = {http://www.jstatsoft.org/v42/i09/, http://mcmcpack.wustl.edu/},
	Volume = {42},
	Year = {2011},
	Bdsk-Url-1 = {http://www.jstatsoft.org/v42/i09/,%20http://mcmcpack.wustl.edu/}}

@book{Matsusaka:2005,
	Address = {Chicago},
	Author = {Matsusaka, John G.},
	Publisher = {University of Chicago Press},
	Title = {For the Many or the Few: The Initiative, Public Policy, and American Democracy},
	Year = {2005}}

@article{Matsusaka:2001,
	Author = {Matsusaka, John G.},
	Journal = {The Journal of Politics},
	Number = {4},
	Pages = {1250-6},
	Title = {Problems with a Methodology Used to Evaluate the Voter Initiative},
	Volume = {63},
	Year = {2001}}

@book{Mayhew:1974,
	Address = {New Haven},
	Author = {Mayhew, David},
	Publisher = {Yale University Press},
	Title = {Congress: The Electoral Connection},
	Year = {1974}}

@unpublished{Mayo:2011,
	Author = {Mayo, D. G.},
	Title = {Some surprising facts about (the problem of) surprising facts},
	Year = {2011}}

@article{Mayo:2008,
	Author = {Mayo, D. G.},
	Journal = {British Journal of Philosophy of Science},
	Pages = {857--879},
	Title = {How to discount double-counting when it counts: some clarifications},
	Volume = {59},
	Year = {2008}}

@article{McCartyKillworthBernardEtAl:2000,
	Author = {McCarty, C. and Killworth, P. D. and Bernard, H. R. and Johnsen, E. and Shelley, G. A.},
	Journal = {Human Organization},
	Pages = {28--39},
	Title = {Comparing two methods for estimating network size},
	Volume = {60},
	Year = {2000}}

@book{McCartyPooleRosenthal:2005,
	Address = {Cambridge, Massachusetts},
	Author = {McCarty, N. and Poole, K. T. and Rosenthal, H.},
	Publisher = {MIT Press.},
	Title = {Polarized America: The Dance of Political Ideology and Unequal Riches},
	Year = {2005}}

@article{McCormickSalganikZheng:2010,
	Author = {McCormick, T. and Salganik, M.J. and Zheng, T.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {59-70},
	Title = {How many people do you know? Efficiently estimating personal network size},
	Volume = {105},
	Year = {2010}}

@inproceedings{McCormickZheng:2010,
	Address = {Vancouver, B.C.},
	Author = {McCormick, T. H. and Zheng, T.},
	Booktitle = {Conference Proceedings of the Joint Statistical Meetings},
	Title = {A latent space representation of overdispersed relative propensity in ``How many X's do you know?'' data},
	Year = {2010}}

@article{McCullagh:2005,
	Author = {McCullagh, P.},
	Journal = {Annals of Statistics},
	Pages = {33--38},
	Title = {Discussion of ``Analysis of variance: why it is more important than ever,'' by A. Gelman},
	Volume = {33},
	Year = {2005}}

@article{McCullagh:1980,
	Author = {McCullagh, P.},
	Journal = {Journal of the Royal Statistical Society B},
	Pages = {109--142},
	Title = {Regression models for ordinal data (with discussion)},
	Volume = {42},
	Year = {1980}}

@book{McCullaghNelder:1989,
	Address = {London},
	Author = {McCullagh, P. and Nelder, J. A.},
	Edition = {2nd},
	Publisher = {Chapman and Hall},
	Title = {Generalized Linear Models},
	Year = {1989}}

@article{McDonaldSchwing:1973,
	Author = {McDonald, G. C. and Schwing, R. C.},
	Journal = {Technometrics},
	Pages = {463--482},
	Title = {Instabilities of regression estimates relating air pollution to mortality},
	Volume = {15},
	Year = {1973}}

@incollection{McFadden:1973,
	Address = {New York},
	Author = {McFadden, D.},
	Booktitle = {Frontiers in Econometrics},
	Editor = {P. Zarembka},
	Pages = {105--142},
	Publisher = {Academic Press},
	Title = {Conditional logit analysis of qualitative choice behavior},
	Year = {1973}}

@article{MengGelman:1998,
	Author = {Meng, X.L. and Gelman, Andrew},
	Journal = {Bayesian Statistics},
	Title = {Discussion of ``{Q}uantifying surprise in the data and model verification,'' by {M}. {J}. {B}ayarri and {J}. {O}. {B}erger},
	Volume = {6},
	Year = {1998}}

@article{Meng:1994,
	Author = {Meng, X. L.},
	Journal = {Annals of Statistics},
	Number = {3},
	Pages = {1142--1160},
	Title = {Posterior predictive p-values},
	Volume = {22},
	Year = {1994}}

@article{Meng:1994a,
	Author = {Meng, X. L.},
	Journal = {Statistical Science},
	Pages = {538--573},
	Title = {Multiple-imputation inferences with uncongenial sour\-ces of input (with discussion)},
	Volume = {9},
	Year = {1994}}

@article{MengZaslavsky:2002,
	Author = {Meng, X. L. and Zaslavsky, A. M.},
	Journal = {Annals of Statistics},
	Pages = {1345--1375},
	Title = {Single observation unbiased priors},
	Volume = {30},
	Year = {2002}}

@misc{MengChenDuanEtAl:2009,
	Author = {Xiao-Li Meng and Chihnan Chen and Naihua Duan and Margarita Alegria},
	Howpublished = {Presented at the Joint Statistical Meetings, Washington, D.C.},
	Note = {Washington, D.C.},
	Title = {Power-shrinkage: An alternative method for dealing with excessive weights},
	Year = {2009}}

@article{MichalopoulosBloomHill:2004,
	Author = {Michalopoulos, C. and Bloom, H. S. and Hill, C. J.},
	Journal = {Review of Economics and Statistics},
	Pages = {156--179},
	Title = {Can propensity score methods match the findings from a random assignment evaluation of mandatory welfare-to-work programs?},
	Volume = {86},
	Year = {2004}}

@article{Monroe:1998,
	Author = {Monroe, Alan D.},
	Journal = {Public Opinion Quarterly},
	Pages = {6-28},
	Title = {Public Opinion and Policy, 1980-1993},
	Volume = {62},
	Year = {1998}}

@book{Montgomery:1986,
	Address = {New York},
	Author = {Montgomery, D. C.},
	Edition = {2nd},
	Publisher = {Wiley},
	Title = {Design and Analysis of Experiments},
	Year = {1986}}

@article{MooneyLee:2000,
	Author = {Mooney, Christopher Z. and Mei-Hsien Lee},
	Journal = {The Journal of Politics},
	Number = {1},
	Title = {The Influence of Values on Concensus and Contentious Morality Policy: U.S. Death Penalty Reform, 1956-82},
	Volume = {62},
	Year = {2000}}

@book{MooreMcCabe:1998,
	Address = {New York},
	Author = {Moore, D. S. and McCabe, G. P.},
	Edition = {3rd},
	Publisher = {W. H. Freeman},
	Title = {Introduction to the Practice of Statistics},
	Year = {1998}}

@article{Morris:1983,
	Author = {Morris, C.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {47--65},
	Title = {Parametric empirical Bayes inference: theory and applications (with discussion)},
	Volume = {78},
	Year = {1983}}

@article{Mosteller:1951,
	Author = {Mosteller, F.},
	Journal = {Psychometrika},
	Pages = {3--9, 203--206, 207--218},
	Title = {Remarks on the method of paired comparison},
	Volume = {16},
	Year = {1951}}

@book{MostellerTukey:1977,
	Address = {Reading, Massachusetts},
	Author = {Mosteller, F. and Tukey, J. W.},
	Publisher = {Addison-Wesley},
	Title = {Data Analysis and Regression},
	Year = {1977}}

@article{MullerBecherVan-ZweedenEtAl:2001,
	Author = {Muller, O. and Becher, H. and Van-Zweeden, A. B. and Ye, Y. and Diallo, D. A. and Konate,A. T. and Gbangou, A. and Kouate, B. and Gareene, M.},
	Journal = {British Medical Journal},
	Pages = {1567--1573},
	Title = {Effect of zinc supplementation on malaria and other causes of morbidity in west African children:randomized double blind placebo controlled trial},
	Volume = {322},
	Year = {2001}}

@techreport{Murphy:1991,
	Address = {Princeton, N.J.},
	Author = {Murphy, R. T.},
	Institution = {Educational Testing Service},
	Number = {RR-91-55},
	Title = {Educational effectiveness of Sesame Street: a review of the first twenty years of research, 1969--1989},
	Type = {Report},
	Year = {1991}}

@book{Murrell:2005,
	Address = {London},
	Author = {Murrell, P.},
	Publisher = {CRC Press},
	Title = {R Graphics},
	Year = {2005}}

@article{NadaramSedransk:1993,
	Author = {Nadaram, B. and Sedransk, J.},
	Journal = {Journal of the Royal Statistical Society B},
	Pages = {399--408},
	Title = {Bayesian predictive inference for a finite population proportion: two-stage cluster sampling},
	Volume = {55},
	Year = {1993}}


@inproceedings{Nelder:1965,
	Author = {Nelder, J. A.},
	Booktitle = {Proceedings of the Royal Society A},
	Pages = {163--178},
	Title = {The analysis of randomized experiments with orthogonal block structure, II. Treatment structure and general analysis of variance},
	Volume = {273},
	Year = {1965}}

@inproceedings{Nelder:1965a,
	Author = {Nelder, J. A.},
	Booktitle = {Proceedings of the Royal Society A},
	Pages = {147--162},
	Title = {The analysis of randomized experiments with orthogonal block structure, I. Block structure and the null analysis of variance},
	Volume = {273},
	Year = {1965}}

@article{NelderWedderburn:1972,
	Author = {Nelder, J. A. and Wedderburn, R. W. M.},
	Journal = {Journal of the Royal Statistical Society A},
	Pages = {370--384},
	Title = {Generalized linear models},
	Volume = {135},
	Year = {1972}}

@misc{NepomnyaschyGarfinkel:2005,
	Author = {Nepomnyaschy, L. and Garfinkel, I.},
	Title = {The relationship between formal and informal child support: evidence from three-year Fragile Families data},
	Year = {2005}}

@book{NeterKutnerNachtsheimEtAl:1996,
	Address = {Burr Ridge, Illinois},
	Author = {Neter, J. and Kutner, M. H. and Nachtsheim, C. J. and Wasserman, W.},
	Edition = {4th},
	Publisher = {Richard D. Irwin, Inc.},
	Title = {Applied Linear Statistical Models},
	Year = {1996}}

@article{Newman:2003,
	Author = {Newman, M. E. J.},
	Journal = {SIAM Review},
	Pages = {167--256},
	Title = {The structure and function of complex networks},
	Volume = {45},
	Year = {2003}}

@article{NewtonKendziorskiRichmondEtAl:2001,
	Author = {Newton, M. A. and Kendziorski, C. M. and Richmond, C. S. and Blattner, F. R. and Tsui, K. W.},
	Journal = {Journal of Computational Biology},
	Pages = {37--52},
	Title = {On differential variability of expression ratios: improving statistical inference about gene expression changes from microarray data},
	Volume = {8},
	Year = {2001}}

@article{Neyman:1990,
	Author = {Neyman, J.},
	Journal = {Statistical Science},
	Note = {Translated and edited by D. M. Dabrowska and T. P. Speed from the Polish original, which appeared in Roczniki Nauk Rolniczych Tom X (1923) 1-51 (Annals of Agricultural Sciences)},
	Pages = {463--480},
	Title = {On the application of probability theory to agricultural experiments. Essay on principles. Section 9},
	Volume = {5},
	Year = {1990}}

@article{Nocedal:1980,
     Author = {Jorge Nocedal}, 
     Title = {Updating Quasi-Newton Matrices with Limited Storage},
     Journal = {Mathematics of Computation},
     Volume = {35}, 
     Year = {1980},
     Pages = {773--782}
}

@book{NocedalWright:2006,
    Author = { Jorge Nocedal and Stephen J.~Wright},
    Year = {2006},
    Publisher = {Springer-{V}erlag},
    Address = {Berlin},
    Title = {Numerical Optimization},
    Edition = {Second}
}

@article{NormandGlickmanGatsonis:1997,
	Author = {Normand, S. L. and Glickman, M. E. and Gatsonis, C. A.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {803--814},
	Title = {Statistical methods for profiling providers of medical care: issues and applications},
	Volume = {92},
	Year = {1997}}

@article{NormandLandrumGuadagnoli:2001,
	Author = {Normand, S. L. and Landrum, M. B. and Guadagnoli, E. et al.},
	Journal = {Journal of Clinical Epidemiology},
	Pages = {387--398},
	Title = {Validating recommendations for coronary angiography following acute myocardial infarction in the elderly: a matched analysis using propensity scores},
	Volume = {54},
	Year = {2001}}

@article{Norrander:2007,
	Author = {Norrander, Barbara},
	Journal = {State Politics and Policy Quarterly},
	Number = {2},
	Title = {Choosing Among Indicators of State Public Opinion},
	Volume = {7},
	Year = {2007}}

@article{Norrander:2001,
	Author = {Norrander, Barbara},
	Journal = {State Politics and Policy Quarterly},
	Number = {1},
	Pages = {111-25},
	Title = {Measuring State Public Opinion with the Senate National Election Study},
	Volume = {1},
	Year = {2001}}

@article{Norrander:2000,
	Author = {Norrander, Barbara},
	Issn = {1065-9129},
	Journal = {Political Research Quarterly},
	Number = {4},
	Pages = {771-793},
	Publisher = {Sage Publications},
	Title = {The Multi-Layered Impact of Public Opinion on Capital Punishment Implementation in the American States},
	Volume = {53},
	Year = {2000}}

@article{NovickJacksonThayerEtAl:1972,
	Author = {Novick, M. R. and Jackson, P. H. and Thayer, D. T. and Cole, N. S.},
	Journal = {British Journal of Mathematical and Statistical Psychology},
	Pages = {33--50},
	Title = {Estimating multiple regressions in $m$-groups: a cross validation study},
	Volume = {25},
	Year = {1972}}

@article{NovickLewisJackson:1973,
	Author = {Novick, M. R. and Lewis, C. and Jackson, P. H.},
	Journal = {Psychometrika},
	Pages = {19--46},
	Title = {The estimation of proportions in $m$ groups},
	Volume = {38},
	Year = {1973}}

@book{OHalloran:1994,
	Address = {Ann Arbor},
	Author = {O'Halloran, Sharyn},
	Publisher = {University of Michigan Press},
	Title = {Politics, Process and American Trade Policy},
	Year = {1994}}

@article{OKeefe:2004,
	Author = {O'Keefe, S.},
	Journal = {Journal of Urban Economics},
	Pages = {131--150},
	Title = {Job creation in California's enterprise zones: A comparison using a propensity score matching model},
	Volume = {55},
	Year = {2004}}

@inproceedings{OMalleyZaslavsky:2003,
	Author = {O'Malley, A. J. and Zaslavsky, A. M.},
	Booktitle = {American Statistical Association Proceedings of the Biopharmaceutical Section},
	Pages = {3095--3106},
	Title = {Cluster-level covariance analysis for survey data with structured nonresponse},
	Year = {2003}}

@article{Oakes:2004,
	Author = {Oakes, J. M.},
	Journal = {Social Science and Medicine},
	Pages = {1929--1971},
	Title = {The (mis)estimation of neighborhood effects: causal inference for a practicable social epidemiology (with discussion)},
	Volume = {58},
	Year = {2004}}

@article{OpsomerClaeskensRanalliEtAl:2008,
	Author = {Opsomer, J.D. and G. Claeskens and M.G. Ranalli and G. Kauermann and F.J. Breidt},
	Journal = {Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series B},
	Pages = {265-286},
	Title = {Non-parametric small area estimation using penalized spline regression},
	Volume = {70},
	Year = {2008}}

@article{Page:1994,
	Author = {Page, Benjamin I},
	Journal = {P.S.: Political Science and Politics},
	Pages = {25-9},
	Title = {Democratic Responsiveness? Untangling the Links Between Public Opinion and Policy},
	Volume = {27},
	Year = {1994}}

@article{PageShapiro:1983,
	Author = {Page, Benjamin I. and Robert Y. Shapiro},
	Journal = {The American Political Science Review},
	Number = {1},
	Pages = {175-190},
	Title = {The Effects of Public Opinion on Policy},
	Volume = {77},
	Year = {1983}}

@book{Pardoe:2006,
	Address = {New York},
	Author = {Pardoe, I.},
	Publisher = {Wiley.},
	Title = {Applied Regression Modeling},
	Year = {2006}}

@article{Pardoe:2004,
	Author = {Pardoe, I.},
	Journal = {Computational Statistics and Data Analysis},
	Pages = {295--307},
	Title = {Model assessment plots for multilevel logistic regression},
	Volume = {46},
	Year = {2004}}

@article{Pardoe:2001,
	Author = {Pardoe, I.},
	Journal = {Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics},
	Pages = {617--627},
	Title = {A Bayesian sampling approach to regression model checking},
	Volume = {10},
	Year = {2001}}

@article{PardoeCook:2002,
	Author = {Pardoe, I. and Cook, R. D.},
	Journal = {American Statistician},
	Pages = {263--272},
	Title = {A graphical method for assessing the fit of a logistic regression model},
	Volume = {56},
	Year = {2002}}

@article{PardoeSimonton:2008,
	Author = {Pardoe, I. and Simonton, D. K.},
	Journal = {Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A Statistics in Society},
	Number = {2},
	Pages = {375--394},
	Title = {Applying discrete choice models to predict Academy Award winners},
	Volume = {171},
	Year = {2008}}

@article{PardoeWeidner:2006,
	Author = {Pardoe, I. and Weidner, R. R.},
	Journal = {Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference},
	Pages = {1433--1472},
	Title = {Sentencing convicted felons in the United States: a Bayesian analysis using multilevel covariates (with discussion)},
	Volume = {136},
	Year = {2006}}

@incollection{ParkGelmanBafumi:2006,
	Address = {Stanford, California},
	Author = {Park, David K. and Andrew Gelman and Joseph Bafumi},
	Booktitle = {Public Opinion in State Politics},
	Editor = {Jeffrey E. Cohen},
	Publisher = {Stanford University Press},
	Title = {State Level Opinions from National Surveys: Poststratification using Multilevel Logistic Regression},
	Year = {2006}}

@article{ParkGelmanBafumi:2004,
	Author = {Park, David K. and Andrew Gelman and Joseph Bafumi},
	Journal = {Political Analysis},
	Pages = {375--385},
	Title = {Bayesian Multilevel Estimation with Poststratification: State-level Estimates from National Polls},
	Volume = {12},
	Year = {2004}}

@article{PaulerWakefieldKass:1999,
	Author = {Pauler, D. K. and Wakefield, J. C. and Kass, R. E.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {1242--1253},
	Title = {Bayes factors for variance component models},
	Volume = {94},
	Year = {1999}}

@book{Pearl:2000,
	Author = {Pearl, J.},
	Publisher = {Cambridge University Press.},
	Title = {Causality},
	Year = {2000}}

@article{PersicoPostlewaiteSilverman:2004,
	Author = {Persico, N. and Postlewaite, A. and Silverman, D.},
	Journal = {Journal of Political Economy},
	Pages = {1019--1053},
	Title = {The effect of adolescent experience on labor market outcomes: the case of height},
	Volume = {112},
	Year = {2004}}

@article{Phillips:2008,
	Author = {Phillips, Justin H.},
	Journal = {State Politics and Policy Quarterly},
	Number = {2},
	Pages = {127-49},
	Title = {Does Direct Democracy Weaken Party Government in the U.S. States?},
	Volume = {8},
	Year = {2008}}

@book{PinheiroBates:2000,
	Address = {New York},
	Author = {Pinheiro, J. C. and Bates, D. M.},
	Publisher = {Springer-Verlag.},
	Title = {Mixed-Effects Models in S and S-Plus},
	Year = {2000}}


@article{PlotnickWinters:1985,
	Author = {Plotnick, Robert D. and Richard F. Winters},
	Journal = {American Political Science Review},
	Pages = {458-473},
	Title = {A Political Economic Theory of Income Redistribution},
	Volume = {79},
	Year = {1985}}

@inproceedings{Plummer:2003,
	Address = {Vienna, Austria},
	Author = {Martyn Plummer},
	Booktitle = {Proceedings of the 3rd International Workshop on Distributed Statistical Computing},
	Title = {{JAGS}: a program for analysis of {B}ayesian graphical models using {G}ibbs sampling},
	Url = {www-fis.iarc.fr/$\sim$martyn/software/jags/},
	Year = {2003},
	Bdsk-Url-1 = {www-fis.iarc.fr/$%5Csim$martyn/software/jags/}}

@book{PooleRosenthal:1997,
	Author = {Poole, K. T. and Rosenthal, H.},
	Publisher = {Oxford University Press.},
	Title = {Congress: A Political-Economic History of Roll Call Voting},
	Year = {1997}}

@inproceedings{Pratt:1987,
	Author = {Pratt, J. W.},
	Booktitle = {Proceedings of the Second International Tampere Conference in Statistics},
	Editor = {T. Pukkila, T. and S. Puntanen},
	Organization = {Department of Mathematical Sciences/Statistics, University of Tampere, Finland},
	Pages = {245--260},
	Title = {Dividing the indivisible: using simple symmetry to partition variance explained},
	Year = {1987}}

@incollection{PriceGelman:2004,
	Address = {Pacific Grove, California},
	Author = {Price, P. N. and Gelman, A.},
	Booktitle = {Statistics: A Guide to the Unknown},
	Edition = {4th},
	Publisher = {Duxbury},
	Title = {Should you measure the radon concentration in your home?},
	Year = {2004}}

@article{PriceNeroGelman:1996,
	Author = {Price, P. N. and Nero, A. V. and Gelman, A.},
	Journal = {Health Physics},
	Pages = {922--936},
	Title = {Bayesian prediction of mean indoor radon concentrations for Minnesota counties},
	Volume = {71},
	Year = {1996}}

@inproceedings{QiaoHuangCongEtAl:2009,
	Author = {Qiao, B. and Huang, C. and Cong, L. and Xie, J. and Lo, S.H. and Zheng, T.},
	Booktitle = {BMC proceedings},
	Issn = {1753-6561},
	Number = {Suppl 7},
	Pages = {S132},
	Publisher = {BioMed Central Ltd},
	Title = {Genome-wide gene-based analysis of rheumatoid arthritis-associated interaction with {PTPN22} and {HLA-DRB1}},
	Volume = {3},
	Year = {2009}}

@manual{R:2011,
	Address = {Vienna, Austria},
	Author = {{R Development Core Team}},
	Note = {{ISBN} 3-900051-07-0},
	Organization = {R Foundation for Statistical Computing},
	Title = {R: A Language and Environment for Statistical Computing},
	Url = {http://www.R-project.org},
	Year = {2011},
	Bdsk-Url-1 = {http://www.R-project.org}}

@book{Rabe-HeskethEveritt:2003,
	Address = {London},
	Author = {Rabe-Hesketh, S. and Everitt, B. S.},
	Edition = {3rd},
	Publisher = {CRC Press},
	Title = {A Handbook of Statistical Analyses using Stata},
	Year = {2003}}

@book{Rabe-HeskethSkrondal:2005,
	Address = {College Station, Texas},
	Author = {Rabe-Hesketh, S. and Skrondal, A.},
	Publisher = {Stata Press},
	Title = {Multilevel and Longitudinal Modeling using Stata},
	Year = {2005}}

@manual{RaghunathanSolenbergerVan-Hoewyk:2010,
	Author = {Raghunathan, T. E. and Solenberger, P. W. and Van-Hoewyk, J.},
	Month = {December},
	Organization = {Survey Methodology Program , Survey Research Center, Institute for Social Research , University of Michigan},
	Title = {IVEware: Imputation and Variance Estimation},
	Url = {www.isr.umich.edu/src/smp/ive/},
	Year = {2010},
	Bdsk-Url-1 = {www.isr.umich.edu/src/smp/ive/}}

@article{RaghunathanVan-HoewykSolenberger:2001,
	Author = {Raghunathan, T. E. and Van-Hoewyk, J. and Solenberger, P. W.},
	Journal = {Survey Methodology},
	Pages = {85--95},
	Title = {A multivariate technique for multiply imputing missing values using a sequence of regression models},
	Volume = {27},
	Year = {2001}}

@book{RamseySchafer:2001,
	Address = {Pacific Grove, California},
	Author = {Ramsey, F. L. and Schafer, D. W.},
	Edition = {2nd},
	Publisher = {Duxbury.},
	Title = {The Statistical Sleuth},
	Year = {2001}}

@incollection{RasbashBrowne:2003,
	Address = {Boston},
	Author = {Rasbash, J. and Browne, W. J.},
	Booktitle = {Handbook of Quantitative Multilevel Analysis},
	Editor = {J. De Leeuw and I. Kreft.},
	Publisher = {Kluwer},
	Title = {Non-hierarchical multilevel models},
	Year = {2003}}

@article{Raudenbush:1997,
	Author = {Raudenbush, S. W.},
	Journal = {Psychological Methods},
	Pages = {173--185},
	Title = {Statistical analysis and optimal design for cluster randomized trials},
	Volume = {2},
	Year = {1997}}

@book{RaudenbushBryk:2002,
	Address = {Thousand Oaks, California},
	Author = {Raudenbush, S. W. and Bryk, A. S.},
	Edition = {2nd},
	Publisher = {Sage},
	Title = {Hierarchical Linear Models},
	Year = {2002}}

@article{RaudenbushSampson:1999,
	Author = {Raudenbush, S. W. and Sampson, R.},
	Journal = {Sociological Methods and Research},
	Pages = {123--153},
	Title = {Assessing direct and indirect effects in multilevel designs with latent variables},
	Volume = {28},
	Year = {1999}}

@article{RaudenbushXiaofeng:2000,
	Author = {Raudenbush, S. W. and Xiaofeng, L.},
	Journal = {Psychological Methods.},
	Pages = {199--213},
	Title = {Statistical power and optimal design for multisite randomized trials},
	Volume = {5},
	Year = {2000}}

@article{ReillyPriceGelmanSandgathe:2004,
    Author = {Reilly, Cavan and Price, Phillip and Gelman, Andrew and Sandgathe, Scott A.},
    Year = {2004},
    Journal = {Biometrics},
    Volume = {60},
    Pages = {954--964},
    Title = {Using Image and Curve Registration for Measuring the Goodness of Fit of Spatial and Temporal Predictions}
}

@article{ReillyGelmanKatz:2001,
	Abstract = {We investigate the construction of more precise estimates of a collection
	of population means using information about a related variable in
	the context of repeated sample surveys. The method is illustrated
	using poll results concerning presidential approval rating (our related
	variable is political party identification). We use poststratification
	to construct these improved estimates, but because we do not have
	population level information on the poststratifying variable, we
	construct a model for the manner in which the poststratifier develops
	over time. In this manner, we obtain more precise estimates without
	making possibly untenable assumptions about the dynamics of our variable
	of interest, the presidential approval rating.},
	Author = {Reilly, Cavan and Gelman, Andrew and Katz, Jonathan},
	Copyright = {Copyright {\copyright} 2001 American Statistical Association},
	Issn = {01621459},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Jstor_Articletype = {research-article},
	Jstor_Formatteddate = {Mar. 2001},
	Language = {English},
	Number = {453},
	Pages = {pp. 1-11},
	Publisher = {American Statistical Association},
	Title = {Poststratification without Population Level Information on the Poststratifying Variable, with Application to Political Polling},
	Url = {http://www.jstor.org/stable/2670335},
	Volume = {96},
	Year = {2001},
	Bdsk-Url-1 = {http://www.jstor.org/stable/2670335}}

@book{Ripley:1988,
	Author = {Ripley, B. D.},
	Publisher = {Cambridge University Press},
	Title = {Statistical Inference for Spatial Processes},
	Year = {1988}}

@article{RobertsRobertsGelmanEtAl:1997,
	Author = {Roberts, G.O. and Roberts and Andrew Gelman and Walter R. Gilks},
	Journal = {Annals of Applied Probability},
	Pages = {110--120},
	Title = {Weak convergence and optimal scaling of random walk {M}etropolis algorithms},
	Volume = {7},
	Year = {1997}}

@article{RobertsSahu:1997,
	Author = {Roberts, G. O. and Sahu, S. K.},
	Journal = {Journal of the Royal Statistical Society B},
	Pages = {291--317},
	Title = {Updating schemes, correlation structure, blocking and parameterization for the Gibbs sampler},
	Volume = {59},
	Year = {1997}}

@incollection{Robins:1989,
	Address = {Washington, D.C.},
	Author = {Robins, J. M.},
	Booktitle = {Health Services Research Methodology: A Focus on AIDS},
	Editor = {L. Sechrest, H. Freeman, and A. Mulley},
	Pages = {113--159},
	Publisher = {U.S. Public Health Service, National Center for Health Services Research},
	Title = {The analysis of randomized and non-randomized AIDS treatment trials using a new approach to causal inference in longitudinal studies},
	Year = {1989}}

@article{Robins:1998,
	Author = {Robins, J. M.},
	Journal = {Statistics in Medicine},
	Pages = {773--785},
	Title = {Confidence intervals for causal parameters},
	Volume = {7},
	Year = {1998}}

@article{Robins:1994,
	Author = {Robins, J. M.},
	Journal = {Communications in Statistics},
	Pages = {2379--2412},
	Title = {Correcting for non-compliance in randomized trials using structural nested mean models},
	Volume = {23},
	Year = {1994}}

@article{RobinsRitov:1997,
	Author = {Robins, J. M. and Ritov, Y.},
	Journal = {Statistics in Medicine},
	Pages = {285--319},
	Title = {Towards a curse of dimensionality appropriate (CODA) asymptotic theory for semi-parametric models},
	Volume = {16},
	Year = {1997}}

@article{RobinsRotnitzky:1995,
	Author = {Robins, J. M. and Rotnitzky, A.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {122--129},
	Title = {Semiparametric efficiency in multivariate regression models with missing data},
	Volume = {90},
	Year = {1995}}

@article{RobinsRotnitzkyZhao:1995,
	Author = {Robins, J. M. and Rotnitzky, A. and Zhao, L. P.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {106--121},
	Title = {Analysis of semiparametric regression models for repeated outcomes in the presence of mimssing data},
	Volume = {90},
	Year = {1995}}

@article{RobinsWang:2000,
	Author = {Robins, J. M. and Wang, N.},
	Journal = {Biometrika},
	Pages = {113--124},
	Title = {Inference for imputation estimators},
	Volume = {87},
	Year = {2000}}

@article{RobinsVentura:2000,
	Author = {Robins, J. M. van der Vaart, A. and Ventura, V.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {1143--1156},
	Title = {Asymptotic distribution of $p$ values in composite null models},
	Volume = {95},
	Year = {2000}}

@incollection{Robinson:1998,
	Address = {New York},
	Author = {Robinson, G. K.},
	Booktitle = {Encyclopedia of Biostatistics},
	Editor = {P. Armitage and T. Colton},
	Pages = {4713--4719},
	Publisher = {Wiley},
	Title = {Variance components},
	Volume = {6},
	Year = {1998}}

@article{Robinson:1991,
	Author = {Robinson, G. K.},
	Journal = {Statistical Science},
	Pages = {15--51},
	Title = {That BLUP is a good thing: the estimation of random effects (with discussion)},
	Volume = {6},
	Year = {1991}}

@article{RosadoLopezMunozEtAl:1997,
	Author = {Rosado, J. L. and Lopez, P. and Munoz, E. and Martinez, H. and Allen, L. H.},
	Journal = {American Journal of Clinical Nutrition},
	Pages = {13--19},
	Title = {Zinc supplementation reduced morbidity, but neither zinc nor iron supplementation affected-growth or body composition of Mexican preschoolers},
	Volume = {65},
	Year = {1997}}

@article{Rosenbaum:2002,
	Author = {Rosenbaum, P. R.},
	Journal = {Statistical Science},
	Pages = {286--327},
	Title = {Covariance adjustment in randomized experiments and observational studies},
	Volume = {17},
	Year = {2002}}

@book{Rosenbaum:2002a,
	Address = {New York},
	Author = {Rosenbaum, P. R.},
	Publisher = {Springer-Verlag},
	Title = {Observational Studies},
	Year = {2002}}

@article{Rosenbaum:1991,
	Author = {Rosenbaum, P. R.},
	Journal = {Journal of the Royal Statistical Society B},
	Pages = {597--610},
	Title = {A characterization of optimal designs for observational studies},
	Volume = {53},
	Year = {1991}}

@article{Rosenbaum:1989,
	Author = {Rosenbaum, P. R.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {1024--1032},
	Title = {Optimal matching in observational studies},
	Volume = {84},
	Year = {1989}}

@article{Rosenbaum:1987,
	Author = {Rosenbaum, P. R.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {387--394},
	Title = {Model-based direct adjustment},
	Volume = {82},
	Year = {1987}}

@article{Rosenbaum:1984,
	Author = {Rosenbaum, P. R.},
	Journal = {Journal of the Royal Statistical Society A},
	Pages = {656--666},
	Title = {The consequences of adjustment for a concomitant variable that has been affected by the treatment},
	Volume = {147},
	Year = {1984}}

@article{RosenbaumRubin:1985,
	Author = {Rosenbaum, P. R. and Rubin, D. B.},
	Journal = {American Statistician},
	Pages = {33--38},
	Title = {Constructing a control group using multivariate matched sampling methods that incorporate the propensity score},
	Volume = {39},
	Year = {1985}}

@article{RosenbaumRubin:1984,
	Author = {Rosenbaum, P. R. and Rubin, D. B.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {516--524},
	Title = {Reducing bias in observational studies using subclassification on the propensity score.},
	Volume = {79},
	Year = {1984}}

@article{RosenbaumRubin:1983,
	Author = {Rosenbaum, P. R. and Rubin, D. B.},
	Journal = {Journal of the Royal Statistical Society B},
	Pages = {212--218},
	Title = {Assessing sensitivity to an unobserved binary covariate in an observational study with binary outcome},
	Volume = {45},
	Year = {1983}}

@article{RosenbaumRubin:1983a,
	Author = {Rosenbaum, P. R. and Rubin, D. B.},
	Journal = {Biometrika},
	Pages = {41--55},
	Title = {The central role of the propensity score in observational studies for causal effects},
	Volume = {70},
	Year = {1983}}

@book{Rosenberg:2008,
	Address = {Chicago, Illinois},
	Author = {Rosenberg, Gerald N.},
	Publisher = {University of Chicago Press},
	Title = {Hollow Hope: Can Courts Bring About Social Change?},
	Year = {2008}}

@book{Rosenstone:1983,
	Address = {New Haven, Connecticut},
	Author = {Rosenstone, S. J.},
	Publisher = {Yale University Press},
	Title = {Forecasting Presidential Elections},
	Year = {1983}}

@book{Rosenthal:2009,
	Address = {Washington D.C.},
	Author = {Rosenthal, Alan},
	Publisher = {CQ Press},
	Title = {Engines of Democracy: Politics and Policymaking in State Legislatures},
	Year = {2009}}

@book{Rosenthal:2004,
	Address = {Washington D.C.},
	Author = {Rosenthal, Alan},
	Publisher = {CQ Press},
	Title = {Heavy Lifting: The Job of the American Legislature},
	Year = {2004}}

@book{RosenthalRosnowRubin:2000,
	Author = {Rosenthal, R. and Rosnow, R. L. and Rubin, D. B.},
	Publisher = {Cambridge University Press},
	Title = {Contrasts and Effect Sizes in Behavioral Research},
	Year = {2000}}

@electronic{Ross:1990,
	Author = {Ross, Catherine E.},
	Note = {Survey data available from Inter-university Consortium for Political and Social Research, Ann Arbor, Michigan},
	Organization = {Inter-university Consortium for Political and Social Research},
	Title = {Work, family, and well-being in the United States},
	Url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.3886/ICPSR06666},
	Year = {1990},
	Bdsk-Url-1 = {http://dx.doi.org/10.3886/ICPSR06666}}

@incollection{Rubin:2000,
	Address = {New York},
	Author = {Rubin, D. B.},
	Booktitle = {Statistical Science in the Courtromm},
	Editor = {J. L. Gastwirth},
	Pages = {322--350},
	Publisher = {Springer-Verlag},
	Title = {Statistical issues in the estimation of the causal effects of smoking due to the conduct of the tobacco industry},
	Year = {2000}}

@book{Rubin:2006,
	Author = {Rubin, D. B.},
	Publisher = {Cambridge University Press},
	Title = {Matched Sampling for Causal Effects},
	Year = {2006}}

@article{Rubin:2004,
	Author = {Rubin, D. B.},
	Journal = {Scandinavian Journal of Statistics},
	Pages = {161--201},
	Title = {Direct and indirect causal effects via potential outcomes (with discussion)},
	Volume = {31},
	Year = {2004}}

@article{Rubin:1996,
	Author = {Rubin, D. B.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {473--520},
	Title = {Multiple imputation after 18+ years (with discussion)},
	Volume = {91},
	Year = {1996}}

@article{Rubin:1990,
	Author = {Rubin, D. B.},
	Journal = {Statistical Science},
	Pages = {472--480},
	Title = {Discussion of `On the application of probability theory to agricultural experiments. Essay on principles. Section 9,' by J. Neyman},
	Volume = {5},
	Year = {1990}}

@book{Rubin:1987,
	Address = {New York},
	Author = {Rubin, D. B.},
	Publisher = {Wiley},
	Title = {Multiple Imputation for Nonresponse in Surveys},
	Year = {1987}}

@article{Rubin:1984,
	Author = {Rubin, D. B.},
	Journal = {Annals of Statistics},
	Pages = {1151--1172},
	Title = {Bayesianly justifiable and relevant frequency calculations for the applied statistician},
	Volume = {12},
	Year = {1984}}

@article{Rubin:1980,
	Author = {Rubin, D. B.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {801--827},
	Title = {Using empirical Bayes techniques in the law school validity studies (with discussion)},
	Volume = {75},
	Year = {1980}}

@article{Rubin:1979,
	Author = {Rubin, D. B.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {318--328},
	Title = {Using multivariate matched sampling and regression adjustment to control bias in observational studies},
	Volume = {74},
	Year = {1979}}

@article{Rubin:1978,
	Author = {Rubin, D. B.},
	Journal = {Annals of Statistics},
	Pages = {34--58},
	Title = {Bayesian inference for causal effects: the role of randomization},
	Volume = {6},
	Year = {1978}}

@article{Rubin:1976,
	Author = {Rubin, D. B.},
	Journal = {Biometrika},
	Pages = {581--592},
	Title = {Inference and missing data},
	Volume = {63},
	Year = {1976}}

@article{Rubin:1974,
	Author = {Rubin, D. B.},
	Journal = {Journal of Educational Psychology},
	Pages = {688--701},
	Title = {Estimating causal effects of treatments in randomized and nonrandomized studies},
	Volume = {66},
	Year = {1974}}

@article{Rubin:1973,
	Author = {Rubin, D. B.},
	Journal = {Biometrics},
	Pages = {185--203},
	Title = {The use of matched sampling and regression adjustment to remove bias in observational studies},
	Volume = {29},
	Year = {1973}}

@article{RubinSternVehovar:1995,
	Author = {Rubin, D. B. and Stern, H. S, and Vehovar, V.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {822--828},
	Title = {Handling ``Don't Know'' survey responses: the case of the Slovenian plebiscite},
	Volume = {90},
	Year = {1995}}

@inproceedings{RubinStuart:2005,
	Address = {Alexandria, Va.},
	Author = {Rubin, D. B. and Stuart, E. A.},
	Booktitle = {Proceedings of the American Statistical Association, Section on Health Policy Statistics},
	Organization = {American Statistical Association},
	Title = {Matching with multiple control groups and adjusting for group differences},
	Year = {2005}}

@article{RubinThomas:2000,
	Author = {Rubin, D. B. and Thomas, N.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {573--585},
	Title = {Combining propensity score matching with additional adjustments for prognostic covariates},
	Volume = {95},
	Year = {2000}}

@article{RuelRiveraSantizoEtAl:1997,
	Author = {Ruel, M. T. and Rivera, J. A. and Santizo, M. C. and Lonnerdal, B. and Brown, K. H.},
	Journal = {Pediatrics},
	Pages = {808--813},
	Title = {Impact of zinc supplementation on morbidity from diarrhea and respiratory infections among rural Guatemalan children},
	Volume = {99},
	Year = {1997}}

@unpublished{Sacerdote:2004,
	Author = {Sacerdote, B.},
	Note = {National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper No. 10894},
	Title = {What happens if we randomly assign children to families?},
	Year = {2004}}

@article{SalganikHeckathorn:2004,
	Abstract = {Standard statistical methods often provide no way to make accurate
	estimates about the characteristics of hidden populations such as
	injection drug users, the homeless, and artists. In this paper, we
	further develop a sampling and estimation technique called respondent-driven
	sampling, which allows researchers to make asymptotically unbiased
	estimates about these hidden populations. The sample is selected
	with a snowball-type design that can be done more cheaply, quickly,
	and easily than other methods currently in use. Further, we can show
	that under certain specified (and quite general) conditions, our
	estimates for the percentage of the population with a specific trait
	are asymptotically unbiased. We further show that these estimates
	are asymptotically unbiased no matter how the seeds are selected.
	We conclude with a comparison of respondent-driven samples of jazz
	musicians in New York and San Francisco, with corresponding institutional
	samples of jazz musicians from these cities. The results show that
	some standard methods for studying hidden populations can produce
	misleading results.},
	Author = {Salganik, Matthew J. and Heckathorn, Douglas D.},
	Copyright = {Copyright {\copyright} 2004 American Sociological Association},
	Issn = {00811750},
	Journal = {Sociological Methodology},
	Jstor_Articletype = {research-article},
	Jstor_Formatteddate = {2004},
	Language = {English},
	Pages = {pp. 193-239},
	Publisher = {American Sociological Association},
	Title = {Sampling and Estimation in Hidden Populations Using Respondent-Driven Sampling},
	Url = {http://www.jstor.org/stable/3649374},
	Volume = {34},
	Year = {2004},
	Bdsk-Url-1 = {http://www.jstor.org/stable/3649374}}

@article{SampsonRaudenbushEarls:1997,
	Author = {Sampson, R. J. and Raudenbush, S. W. and Earls, F.},
	Journal = {Science},
	Pages = {918--924},
	Title = {Neighborhoods and violent crime: a multilevel study of collective efficacy},
	Volume = {277},
	Year = {1997}}

@article{SargentHodgesCarlin:2000,
	Author = {Sargent, D. J. and Hodges, J. S. and Carlin, B. P.},
	Journal = {Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics},
	Pages = {217--234},
	Title = {Structured Markov chain Monte Carlo},
	Volume = {9},
	Year = {2000}}

@book{Schafer:1997,
	Address = {London},
	Author = {Schafer, J. L.},
	Publisher = {Chapman and Hall},
	Title = {Analysis of Incomplete Multivariate Data},
	Year = {1997}}

@phdthesis{Schutt:2010,
	Author = {Schutt, Rachel},
	School = {Department of Statistics, Columbia University},
	Title = {Topics in Model-Based Population Inference},
	Year = {2010}}

@article{ScottSmith:1969,
	Author = {Scott, A. and Smith, T. M. F.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {830--840},
	Title = {Estimation in multi-stage surveys},
	Volume = {64},
	Year = {1969}}

@book{SearleCasellaMcCulloch:1992,
	Address = {New York},
	Author = {Searle, S. R. and Casella, G. and McCulloch, C. E.},
	Publisher = {Wiley},
	Title = {Variance Components},
	Year = {1992}}

@book{ShadishCookCampbell:2002,
	Address = {Boston},
	Author = {Shadish, W. and Cook, T. and Campbell, S.},
	Publisher = {Houghton Mifflin},
	Title = {Experimental and Quasi-Experimental Designs},
	Year = {2002}}

@article{SheinerBealDunne:1997,
	Author = {Sheiner, L. B. and Beal, S. L. and Dunne, A.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {1235--1255},
	Title = {Analysis of non-randomly censored ordered categorical longitudinal data from analgesic trials (with discussion)},
	Volume = {92},
	Year = {1997}}

@article{ShenLouis:1998,
	Author = {Shen, W. and Louis, T. A.},
	Journal = {Journal of the Royal Statistical Society B},
	Pages = {455--471},
	Title = {Triple-goal estimates in two-stage hierarchical models},
	Volume = {60},
	Year = {1998}}

@article{SinharayStern:2003,
	Author = {Sinharay, S. and Stern, H. S.},
	Journal = {Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference},
	Pages = {209--221},
	Title = {Posterior predictive model checking in hierarchical models},
	Volume = {111},
	Year = {2003}}

@article{SkaugFournier:2006,
	Author = {Skaug, H. J. and Fournier, D.},
	Journal = {Computational Statistics and Data Analysis},
	Title = {Automatic approximation of the marginal likelihood in non-Gaussian hierarchical models},
	Year = {2006}}

@book{Skogan:1990,
	Author = {Skogan, W.},
	Publisher = {University of California Press},
	Title = {Disorder and Decline: Crime and the Spiral of Decay in American Cities},
	Year = {1990}}

@article{SmithTodd:2005,
	Author = {Smith, J. and Todd, P. E.},
	Journal = {Journal of Econometrics},
	Pages = {305--375},
	Title = {Does matching overcome LaLonde's critique of nonexperimental estimators? (with discussion)},
	Volume = {120},
	Year = {2005}}

@book{SnedecorCochran:1989,
	Address = {Ames, Iowa},
	Author = {Snedecor, G. W. and Cochran, W. G.},
	Edition = {8th},
	Publisher = {Iowa State University Press},
	Title = {Statistical Methods},
	Year = {1989}}

@manual{SnijdersBoskerGuldemond:2003,
	Author = {Snijders, T. A. B. and Bosker, R. and Guldemond, H.},
	Title = {PINT: Power analysis in two-level designs},
	Url = {stat.gamma.rug.nl/snijders/multilevel.htm\#progPINT},
	Year = {2003},
	Bdsk-Url-1 = {stat.gamma.rug.nl/snijders/multilevel.htm%5C#progPINT}}

@book{SnijdersBosker:1999,
	Address = {London},
	Author = {Snijders, T. A. B. and Bosker, R. J.},
	Publisher = {Sage},
	Title = {Multilevel Analysis},
	Year = {1999}}

@article{SnijdersBosker:1993,
	Author = {Snijders, T. A. B. and Bosker, R. J.},
	Journal = {Journal of Educational Statistics},
	Pages = {237--259},
	Title = {Standard errors and sample sizes for two-level research},
	Volume = {18},
	Year = {1993}}

@article{Sobel:2006,
	Author = {Michael E. Sobel},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Month = {December},
	Number = {476},
	Pages = {1398--1407},
	Title = {What do randomized studies of housing mobility reveal? Causal inference in the face of interference},
	Volume = {101},
	Year = {2006}}

@article{Sobel:1998,
	Author = {Sobel, M. E.},
	Journal = {Sociological Methods and Research},
	Pages = {318--348},
	Title = {Causal inference in statistical models of the process of socioeconomic achievement: a case study},
	Volume = {27},
	Year = {1998}}

@article{Sobel:1990,
	Author = {Sobel, M. E.},
	Journal = {Psychometrika},
	Pages = {495--515},
	Title = {Effect analysis and causation in linear structural equation models},
	Volume = {55},
	Year = {1990}}

@article{Soule:2004,
	Author = {Soule, Sarah A.},
	Journal = {The Journal of Social Problems},
	Number = {4},
	Pages = {453-477},
	Title = {Going to the Chapel? Same-Sex Marriage Bans in the United States, 1973-2000},
	Volume = {51},
	Year = {2004}}

@article{SouleEarl:2001,
	Author = {Soule, Sarah A. and Jennifer Earl},
	Journal = {Sociological Perspectives},
	Number = {3},
	Pages = {281-305},
	Title = {The Enactment of State-Level Hate Crime Law in the United States: Intrastate and Interstate Factors},
	Volume = {44},
	Year = {2001}}

@article{Speed:1990,
	Author = {Speed, T. P.},
	Journal = {Statistical Science},
	Pages = {463--464},
	Title = {Introductory remarks on Neyman (1923).},
	Volume = {5},
	Year = {1990}}

@misc{Spiegelhalter:2006,
	Author = {Spiegelhalter, D. J.},
	Howpublished = {Presented at IceBUGS conference},
	Note = {www.math.helsinki.fi/openbugs/IceBUGS/Presentations/SpiegelhalterIceBUGS.pdf},
	Title = {Two brief topics on modelling with {WinBUGS}},
	Year = {2006}}

@article{SpiegelhalterBestCarlinEtAl:2002,
	Author = {Spiegelhalter, D. J. and Best, N. G. and Carlin, B. P. and Van-der-Linde, A.},
	Journal = {Journal of the Royal Statistical Society B},
	Pages = {583--639},
	Title = {Bayesian measures of model complexity and fit (with discussion)},
	Volume = {64},
	Year = {2002}}

@misc{Spitzer:1999,
	Author = {Spitzer, E.},
	Howpublished = {Published by the Office of the New York State Attorney General},
	Note = {www.oag.state.ny.us/press/reports/stop\_frisk/stop\_frisk.html},
	Title = {The New York City Police Department's ``stop and frisk'' practices},
	Year = {1999}}

@manual{Spotfire:2008,
	Author = {TIBCO Spotfire},
	Title = {S-Plus},
	Url = {http://spotfire.tibco.com/products/s-plus/statistical-analysis-software.aspx},
	Year = {2008},
	Bdsk-Url-1 = {http://spotfire.tibco.com/products/s-plus/statistical-analysis-software.aspx}}

@article{Squire:2007,
	Author = {Squire, Peverill},
	Journal = {State Politics and Policy Quarterly},
	Number = {2},
	Pages = {211-27},
	Title = {Measuring State Legislative Professionalism: The Squire Index Revisited},
	Volume = {7},
	Year = {2007}}


@incollection{Sternberg:1963,
	Address = {New York},
	Author = {Sternberg, S.},
	Booktitle = {Handbook of Mathematical Psychology},
	Editor = {R. D. Luce, R. R. Bush, and E. Galanter},
	Pages = {1--120},
	Publisher = {Wiley},
	Title = {Stochastic learning theory},
	Volume = {2},
	Year = {1963}}

@book{Stigler:1986,
	Address = {Cambridge, Massachusetts},
	Author = {Stigler, S. M.},
	Publisher = {Harvard University Press},
	Title = {The History of Statistics},
	Year = {1986}}

@article{Stigler:1983,
	Author = {Stigler, S. M.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {62--63},
	Title = {Discussion of ``Parametric empirical Bayes inference: theory and applications,'' by C. Morris},
	Volume = {78},
	Year = {1983}}

@article{Stigler:1977,
	Author = {Stigler, S. M.},
	Journal = {Annals of Statistics},
	Pages = {1055--1098},
	Title = {Do robust estimators work with real data? (with discussion)},
	Volume = {5},
	Year = {1977}}

@article{StimsonMacKuenErikson:1995,
	Author = {Stimson, James A. and Michael B. MacKuen and Robert S. Erikson},
	Journal = {American Political Science Review},
	Pages = {543-65},
	Title = {Dynamic Representation},
	Volume = {89},
	Year = {1995}}

@article{Stone:1974,
	Author = {Stone, M.},
	Journal = {Journal of the Royal Statistical Society B},
	Pages = {111--147},
	Title = {Cross-validatory choice and assessment of statistical predictions (with discussion)},
	Volume = {36},
	Year = {1974}}

@book{Stroustroup:1994,
      Author = {Stroustrup, Bjarne},
      Year = 1994,
      Title = {The Design and Evolution of {C++}},
      Publisher = {Addison-Wesley}
}


@article{SturtzLiggesGelman:2005,
	Author = {Sturtz, S. and Ligges, U. and Gelman, A.},
	Journal = {Journal of Statistical Software},
	Number = {3},
	Title = {{R2WinBUGS}: a package for running {WinBUGS} from {R}},
	Volume = {12},
	Year = {2005}}

@article{SuGelmanHillEtAl:2009,
	Author = {Su, Y.S. and Gelman, A. and Hill, J. and Yajima, M.},
	Journal = {Journal of Statistical Software},
	Note = {Forthcoming},
	Owner = {default},
	Publisher = {Citeseer},
	Title = {Multiple imputation with diagnostics (mi) in {R}: Opening windows into the black box},
	Year = {2009}}

@article{SummersWolfe:1977,
	Author = {Summers, A. and Wolfe, B.},
	Journal = {American Economic Review},
	Pages = {639--652},
	Title = {Do schools make a difference?},
	Volume = {67},
	Year = {1977}}

@article{TannerWong:1987,
	Author = {Tanner, M. A. and Wong, W. H.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {528--550},
	Title = {The calculation of posterior distributions by data augmentation (with discussion)},
	Volume = {82},
	Year = {1987}}

@misc{Tarr:2006,
	Author = {Tarr, Alan G..},
	Publisher = {Presented at the 2006 American Political Science Association Meetings in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania},
	Title = {Creating and Deabting Judicial Independence and Accountability},
	Year = {2006}}

@unpublished{TeitlerReichmanNepomnyaschy:2006,
	Author = {Teitler, J. and Reichman N. and Nepomnyaschy, L.},
	Note = {Center for Research on Child Wellbeing Working Paper 03-22 FF, School of Social Work, Columbia University},
	Title = {Multilevel analysis of TANF participation across large U.S. cities},
	Year = {2006}}

@article{ThistlethwaiteCampbell:1960,
	Author = {Thistlethwaite, D. and Campbell, D.},
	Journal = {Journal of Educational Psychology},
	Pages = {309--17},
	Title = {Regression-discontinuity analysis: an alternative to the ex post facto experiment},
	Volume = {51},
	Year = {1960}}

@incollection{ThomasHrebenar:2008,
	Address = {Washington, D.C.},
	Author = {Thomas, Clive S. and Ronald J. Hrebenar},
	Booktitle = {Politics in the American States: A Comparative Analysis},
	Edition = {9th},
	Editor = {Virginia Gray, and Russell L. Hanson, and Herbert Jacob},
	Publisher = {CQ Press},
	Title = {Interest Groups in the States},
	Year = {2008}}

@article{Thurstone:1927,
	Author = {Thurstone, L. L.},
	Journal = {Journal of Abnormal and Social Psychology},
	Pages = {384--400},
	Title = {The method of paired comparison for social values},
	Volume = {21},
	Year = {1927}}

@article{Thurstone:1927a,
	Author = {Thurstone, L. L.},
	Journal = {Psychological Review},
	Pages = {273--286},
	Title = {A law of comparative judgement},
	Volume = {34},
	Year = {1927}}

@article{TiaoBox:1967,
	Author = {Tiao, G. C. and Box, G. E. P.},
	Journal = {Biometrika},
	Pages = {109--125},
	Title = {Bayesian analysis of a three-component hierarchical design model},
	Volume = {54},
	Year = {1967}}

@article{TiaoTan:1966,
	Author = {Tiao, G. C. and Tan, W. Y.},
	Journal = {Biometrika},
	Pages = {477--495},
	Title = {Bayesian analysis of random-effect models in the analysis of variance. II: Effect of autocorrelated errors},
	Volume = {53},
	Year = {1966}}

@article{TiaoTan:1965,
	Author = {Tiao, G. C. and Tan, W. Y.},
	Journal = {Biometrika},
	Pages = {37--53},
	Title = {Bayesian analysis of random-effect models in the analysis of variance. I: Posterior distribution of variance components},
	Volume = {52},
	Year = {1965}}

@incollection{Tinbergen:1930,
	Author = {Tinbergen, J.},
	Booktitle = {The Foundations of Econometrics},
	Editor = {D. Hendry and M. Morgan,},
	Note = {Zeitschrift fur Nationalokonomie. Reprinted in The Foundations of Econometrics},
	Pages = {233--245},
	Publisher = {Cambridge University Press},
	Title = {Determination and interpretation of supply curves: an example},
	Year = {1930}}

@article{Tobin:1958,
	Author = {Tobin, J.},
	Journal = {Econometrica},
	Pages = {24--36},
	Title = {Estimation of relationships for limited dependent variables},
	Volume = {26},
	Year = {1958}}

@book{Treadway:1985,
	Address = {New York},
	Author = {Treadway, Jack M.},
	Publisher = {Praeger},
	Title = {Public Policymaking in the States},
	Year = {1985}}

@book{Trochim:2001,
	Address = {Cincinnati},
	Author = {Trochim, W. M. K.},
	Publisher = {Atomic Dog},
	Title = {The Research Methods Knowledge Base},
	Year = {2001}}

@article{TroxelMaHeitjan:2004,
	Author = {Troxel, A. B. and Ma, G. and Heitjan, D. F.},
	Journal = {Statistica Sinica},
	Pages = {1221--1237},
	Title = {An index of sensitivity to nonignorability},
	Volume = {14},
	Year = {2004}}

@article{TuZhou:2003,
	Author = {Wanzhu Tu and Xiao-Hua Zhou},
	Journal = {Health Services and Outcomes Research Methodology},
	Number = {2},
	Pages = {135--147},
	Title = {A bootstrap confidence interval procedure for treatment using propensity score subclassification},
	Volume = {3},
	Year = {2003}}

@book{Tufte:1990,
	Address = {Cheshire, Connecticut},
	Author = {Tufte, E. R.},
	Publisher = {Graphics Press},
	Title = {Envisioning Information},
	Year = {1990}}

@book{Tufte:1983,
	Address = {Cheshire, Connecticut},
	Author = {Tufte, E. R.},
	Publisher = {Graphics Press},
	Title = {The Visual Display of Quantitative Information},
	Year = {1983}}

@book{Tukey:1977,
	Address = {Reading, Massachusetts},
	Author = {Tukey, J. W.},
	Publisher = {Addison-Wesley},
	Title = {Exploratory Data Analysis},
	Year = {1977}}

@article{VaidaBlanchard:2005,
	Author = {Vaida, F. and Blanchard, S.},
	Journal = {Biometrika},
	Month = {June},
	Number = {2},
	Pages = {351--370},
	Title = {Conditional Akaike informaion for mixed effects models},
	Volume = {92},
	Year = {2005}}

@article{Van-BuurenBoshuizenKnook:1999,
	Author = {Van-Buuren, S. and Boshuizen, H. C. and Knook, D. L.},
	Journal = {Statistics in Medicine},
	Pages = {681--694},
	Title = {Multiple imputation of missing blood pressure covariates in survival analysis},
	Volume = {18},
	Year = {1999}}

@manual{Van-BuurenOudshoom:2000,
	Author = {Van-Buuren, S. and Oudshoom, C. G. M.},
	Month = {June},
	Title = {MICE: Multivariate imputation by chained equations (S software for missing-data imputation)},
	Url = {web.inter.nl.net/users/S.van.Buuren/mi/},
	Year = {2000},
	Bdsk-Url-1 = {web.inter.nl.net/users/S.van.Buuren/mi/}}

@article{Van-DykMeng:2001,
	Author = {Van-Dyk, D. A. and Meng, X. L.},
	Journal = {Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics},
	Pages = {1--111},
	Title = {The art of data augmentation (with discussion)},
	Volume = {10},
	Year = {2001}}

@article{Van-GeenZhengVersteeg:2003,
	Author = {Van-Geen, A. and Zheng, Y. and Versteeg, R. et al.},
	Journal = {Water Resources Research},
	Pages = {1140},
	Title = {Spatial variability of arsenic in 6000 tube wells in a 25 km$^2$ area of Bangladesh},
	Volume = {39},
	Year = {2003}}

@book{VenablesRipley:2002,
	Address = {New York},
	Author = {Venables, W. N. and Ripley, B. D.},
	Edition = {4th},
	Publisher = {Springer-Verlag},
	Title = {Modern Applied Statistics with S},
	Year = {2002}}

@book{VerbekeMolenberghs:2000,
	Address = {New York},
	Author = {Verbeke, G. and Molenberghs, G.},
	Publisher = {Springer-Verlag},
	Title = {Linear Mixed Models for Longitudinal Data},
	Year = {2000}}

@article{VikramBuenconsejoHasbunEtAl:2003,
	Author = {Vikram, H. R. and Buenconsejo, J. and Hasbun, R. and Quagliarello, V. J.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Medical Association},
	Pages = {3207--3214},
	Title = {Impact of valve surgery on 6-month mortality in adults with complicated, left-sided native valve endocarditis: a propensity analysis},
	Volume = {290},
	Year = {2003}}

@techreport{ViscusiAldy:2002,
	Author = {Viscusi, W. K. and Aldy, J. E.},
	Institution = {Harvard Law School},
	Number = {Paper 392},
	Title = {The value of a statistical life: a critical review of market estimates throughout the world},
	Type = {John M. Olin Center for Law, Economics and Business Discussion Paper Series},
	Year = {2002}}

@book{Von-Mises:1957,
	Address = {New York},
	Author = {Von-Mises, R.},
	Edition = {2nd},
	Note = {Reprint},
	Publisher = {Dover},
	Title = {Probability, Statistics, and Truth},
	Year = {1957}}

@article{Wainer:2002,
	Author = {Wainer, H.},
	Journal = {Chance},
	Number = {3},
	Pages = {60--62},
	Title = {The BK-plot: making Simpson's paradox clear to the masses},
	Volume = {15},
	Year = {2002}}

@article{Wainer:2001,
	Author = {Wainer, H.},
	Journal = {Chance},
	Number = {2},
	Pages = {43--46},
	Title = {Order in the court},
	Volume = {14},
	Year = {2001}}

@book{Wainer:1997,
	Address = {New York},
	Author = {Wainer, H.},
	Publisher = {Springer-Verlag},
	Title = {Visual Revelations},
	Year = {1997}}

@article{Wainer:1984,
	Author = {Wainer, H.},
	Journal = {American Statistician},
	Pages = {137--147},
	Title = {How to display data badly},
	Volume = {38},
	Year = {1984}}

@techreport{WainerGelmanWang:2000,
	Address = {Princeton, New Jersey},
	Author = {Wainer, H. and Gelman, A. and Wang, X.},
	Institution = {Educational Testing Service},
	Title = {What happens when advanced exams are used to place students out of introductory courses?},
	Year = {2000}}

@article{WainerPalmerBradlow:1998,
	Author = {Wainer, H. and Palmer, S. and Bradlow, E. T.},
	Journal = {Chance},
	Number = {2},
	Pages = {3--7},
	Title = {A selection of selection anomalies},
	Volume = {11},
	Year = {1998}}

@article{WaldButtonRienzo:1996,
	Author = {Wald, Kenneth D. and James W. Button and Barbara A. Rienzo},
	Journal = {American Journal of Political Science},
	Number = {4},
	Pages = {1152-78},
	Title = {The Politics of Gay Rights in American Communities: Explaining Antidiscrimination Ordinances and Policies},
	Volume = {40},
	Year = {1996}}

@article{WalkerDuncan:1967,
	Author = {Walker, S. H. and Duncan, D. B.},
	Journal = {Biometrika},
	Pages = {167--178},
	Title = {Estimation of the probability of an event as a function of several independent variables},
	Volume = {54},
	Year = {1967}}

@article{WallerCarlinXiaEtAl:1997,
	Author = {Waller, L. A. and Carlin, B. P. and Xia, H. and Gelfand, A. E.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {607--617},
	Title = {Hierarchical spatio-temporal mapping of disease rates},
	Volume = {92},
	Year = {1997}}

@incollection{WallisFriedman:1942,
	Author = {Wallis, W. A. and Friedman, M.},
	Booktitle = {Studies in Mathematical Economics and Econometrics in Memory of Henry Schultz},
	Editor = {O. Lange, F. McIntyre, and T. O. Yntema},
	Pages = {267--300},
	Publisher = {University of Chicago Press},
	Title = {The empirical derivation of indifference functions},
	Year = {1942}}

@article{Wand:1997,
	Author = {Wand, M. P.},
	Journal = {American Statistician},
	Pages = {59--64},
	Title = {Data-based choice of histogram bin width},
	Volume = {51},
	Year = {1997}}

@article{Warnes:2002,
	Author = {Gregory R. Warnes},
	Journal = {Journal of Statistical Software},
	Month = {March},
	Number = {4},
	Title = {Hydra: a Java library for Markov chain Monte Carlo},
	Url = {software.biostat.washington.edu/statsoft/MCMC/Hydra},
	Volume = {7},
	Year = {2002},
	Bdsk-Url-1 = {software.biostat.washington.edu/statsoft/MCMC/Hydra}}

@article{Weber:1999,
	Author = {Weber, Ronald E.},
	Journal = {Journal of Politics},
	Pages = {609-27},
	Title = {The Quality of State Legislative Representation: A Critical Assessment},
	Volume = {61},
	Year = {1999}}

@article{WeidnerFrasePardoe:2004,
	Author = {Weidner, R. R. and Frase, R. and Pardoe, I.},
	Journal = {Prison Journal},
	Month = {June},
	Number = {2},
	Pages = {184--207},
	Title = {Explaining sentence severity in large urban counties: a multilevel analysis of contextual and case-level factors},
	Volume = {84},
	Year = {2004}}

@book{Weisberg:1985,
	Address = {New York},
	Author = {Weisberg, S.},
	Edition = {2nd},
	Publisher = {Wiley},
	Title = {Applied Linear Regression},
	Year = {1985}}

@incollection{West:2003,
	Author = {West, M.},
	Booktitle = {Bayesian Statistics 7},
	Editor = {J.~M. Bernardo, M. J. Bayarri, J. O. Berger, A. P. Dawid, D. Heckerman, A. F. M. Smith, and M. West},
	Pages = {733--742},
	Publisher = {Oxford University Press},
	Title = {Bayesian factor regression models in the ``large $p$, small $n$'' paradigm},
	Year = {2003}}

@article{Wherry:1931,
	Author = {Wherry, R. J.},
	Journal = {Annals of Mathematical Statistics},
	Pages = {440--457},
	Title = {A new formula for predicting the shrinkage of the coefficient of multiple correlation},
	Volume = {2},
	Year = {1931}}

@article{Wiens:1999,
	Author = {Wiens, B. L.},
	Journal = {American Statistician},
	Pages = {89--93},
	Title = {When log-normal and gamma models give different results: a case study},
	Volume = {53},
	Year = {1999}}

@article{WikleMilliffNychkaEtAl:2001,
	Author = {Wikle, C. K. and Milliff, R. F. and Nychka, D. and Berliner, L. M.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {382--397},
	Title = {Spatiotemporal hierarchical Bayesian modeling: tropical ocean surface winds},
	Volume = {96},
	Year = {2001}}

@book{Wilkinson:2005,
	Address = {New York},
	Author = {Wilkinson, L.},
	Edition = {2nd},
	Publisher = {Springer-Verlag},
	Title = {The Grammar of Graphics},
	Year = {2005}}

@article{WilsonKelling:1982,
	Author = {Wilson, J. Q. and Kelling, G. L.},
	Journal = {Atlantic Monthly},
	Month = {March},
	Pages = {29--38},
	Title = {The police and neigborhood safety: broken windows},
	Year = {1982}}

@article{WitteGreenlandHaleEtAl:1994,
	Author = {Witte, J. S. and Greenland, S. and Hale, R. W. and Bird, C. L.},
	Journal = {Epidemiology},
	Pages = {612--621},
	Title = {Hierarchical regression analysis applied to a study of multiple dietary exposures and breast cancer},
	Volume = {5},
	Year = {1994}}

@article{WlezienErikson:2005,
	Author = {Wlezien, C. and Erikson, R. S.},
	Journal = {PS: Political Science and Politics},
	Pages = {25--26},
	Title = {Post-election reflections on our pre-election predictions},
	Volume = {38},
	Year = {2005}}

@article{WlezienErikson:2004,
	Author = {Wlezien, C. and Erikson, R. S.},
	Journal = {PS: Political Science and Politics},
	Pages = {747--751},
	Title = {The fundamentals, the polls, and the presidential vote},
	Volume = {37},
	Year = {2004}}

@book{Woolridge:2001,
	Address = {Cambridge, Mass.},
	Author = {Woolridge, J. M.},
	Publisher = {MIT Press},
	Title = {Econometric Analysis of Cross Section and Panel Data},
	Year = {2001}}

@article{Wright:1989,
	Author = {Wright, G. C.},
	Journal = {British Journal of Political Science},
	Pages = {381--398},
	Title = {Level-of-analysis effects on explanations of voting: the case of the 1982 U.S. Senate elections},
	Volume = {19},
	Year = {1989}}

@article{Xu:2003,
	Author = {Xu, R.},
	Journal = {Statistics in Medicine},
	Pages = {3527--3541},
	Title = {Measuring explained variation in linear mixed effects models},
	Volume = {22},
	Year = {2003}}

@inproceedings{Yates:1967,
	Address = {Berkeley},
	Author = {Yates, F.},
	Booktitle = {Proceedings of the Fifth Berkeley Symposium on Mathematical Statistics and Probability},
	Pages = {777--790},
	Publisher = {University of California Press},
	Title = {A fresh look at the basic principles of the design and analysis of experiments},
	Volume = {4},
	Year = {1967}}

@article{YusufPetoLewisEtAl:1985,
	Author = {Yusuf, S.and Peto, R. and Lewis, J. and Collins, R. and Sleight, P.},
	Journal = {Progress in Cardiovascular Diseases},
	Pages = {335--371},
	Title = {Beta blockade during and after myocardial infarction: an overview of the randomized trials},
	Volume = {27},
	Year = {1985}}

@article{Zaslavsky:1993,
	Author = {Zaslavsky, A. M.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {1092--1105},
	Title = {Combining census, dual-system, and evaluation study data to estimate population shares},
	Volume = {88},
	Year = {1993}}

@article{ZegerKarim:1991,
	Author = {Zeger, S. L. and Karim, M. R.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {79--86},
	Title = {Generalized linear models with random effects; a Gibbs sampling approach},
	Volume = {86},
	Year = {1991}}

@article{Zellner:1976,
	Author = {Zellner, A.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {400--405},
	Title = {Bayesian and non-Bayesian analysis of the regression model with multivariate Student-$t$ error terms},
	Volume = {71},
	Year = {1976}}

@article{ZhengLittle:2005,
	Author = {Zheng, H. and Little, R.J.A.},
	Journal = {Journal of Official Statistics},
	Pages = {1-20},
	Title = {Inference for the population total from probability-proportional-to-size samples based on predictions from a penalized spline nonparametric model},
	Volume = {21},
	Year = {2005}}

@article{ZhengLittle:2003,
	Author = {Zheng, H. and Little, R.J.A.},
	Issn = {0282-423X},
	Journal = {Journal of Official Statistics},
	Number = {2},
	Pages = {99--118},
	Publisher = {ALMQVIST \& WIKSELL INTERNATIONAL},
	Title = {Penalized spline model-based estimation of the finite populations total from probability-proportional-to-size samples},
	Volume = {19},
	Year = {2003}}

@article{ZhengSalganikGelman:2006,
	Author = {Zheng, T. and Salganik, M. J. and Gelman, A.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {409--423},
	Title = {How many people do you know in prison?: Using overdispersion in count data to estimate social structure},
	Volume = {101},
	Year = {2006}}

@unpublished{ZhouBafumiGelman:2006,
	Author = {Zhou, S. and Bafumi, J. and Gelman, A.},
	Institution = {Department of Statistics, Columbia University},
	Title = {State-level time series from national polls, with application to public opinion on the death penalty},
	Year = {2006}}

@article{Zorn:2005,
	Author = {Zorn, C.},
	Journal = {Political Analysis},
	Pages = {157--170},
	Title = {A solution to separation in binary response models},
	Volume = {13},
	Year = {2005}}

@book{Bock:1989,
	Address = {New York},
	Editor = {Bock, R. D.},
	Publisher = {Academic Press},
	Title = {Multilevel Analysis of Educational Data},
	Year = {1989}}

@book{GilksRichardsonSpiegelhalter:1996,
	Address = {London},
	Editor = {Gilks, W. R. and Richardson, S. and Spiegelhalter, D.},
	Publisher = {Chapman and Hall},
	Title = {Practical Markov Chain Monte Carlo},
	Year = {1996}}

@article{KedarShively:2005,
	Editor = {Kedar, O. and Shively, W. P},
	Journal = {Political Analysis},
	Note = {Editors, not Authors},
	Number = {4},
	Title = {Special Issue on Multilevel Modeling for Large Clusters},
	Volume = {13},
	Year = {2005}}

@book{LeylandGoldstein:2001,
	Address = {Chichester},
	Editor = {Leyland, A. H. and Goldstein, H.},
	Publisher = {Wiley},
	Title = {Multilevel Modelling of Health Statistics},
	Year = {2001}}

@book{ManzaCookPage:2002,
	Address = {Oxford},
	Editor = {Manza, Jeff and Fay Lomax Cook and Benjamin I. Page},
	Publisher = {Oxford University Press},
	Title = {Navigating Public Opinion: Polls, Policy, and the Future of American Democracy},
	Year = {2002}}

@book{Van-der-LindenHambelton:1997,
	Address = {New York},
	Editor = {Van-der-Linden, W. J. and Hambelton, R. K.},
	Publisher = {Springer-Verlag},
	Title = {Handbook of Modern Item Response Theory},
	Year = {1997}}































@book{BaumgartnerDeBoydstun:2008,
	Author = {Baumgartner, F.R. and De Boef, S. and Boydstun, A.E.},
	Isbn = {0521887348},
	Publisher = {Cambridge University Press},
	Title = {The decline of the death penalty and the discovery of innocence},
	Year = {2008}}

@article{BayarriBerger:2000,
	Author = {Bayarri, M. J. and Berger, J.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {1127--1142},
	Title = {P-values for composite null models (with discussion)},
	Volume = {95},
	Year = {2000}}

@article{BayarriCastellanos:2007,
	Author = {Bayarri, M. J. and Castellanos, M. E.},
	Journal = {Statistical Science},
	Pages = {322--343},
	Title = {Bayesian checking of the second levels of hierarchical models (with discussion)},
	Volume = {22},
	Year = {2007}}

@article{BeckKatz:1996,
	Author = {Beck, N. and Katz, J.},
	Journal = {Political Analysis},
	Pages = {1--36},
	Title = {Nuisance vs. substance: specifying and estimating time-series cross-section models},
	Volume = {6},
	Year = {1996}}

@article{BeckKatz:1995,
	Author = {Beck, N. and Katz, J.},
	Journal = {American Political Science Review},
	Pages = {634--647},
	Title = {What to do (and not to do) with time-series cross-section data},
	Volume = {89},
	Year = {1995}}

@techreport{Becker:1998,
	Address = {New York},
	Author = {Becker, D. E.},
	Institution = {School of Social Work, Columbia University},
	Title = {The {N}ew {Y}ork {C}ity {S}ocial {I}ndicators {S}urvey: An analysis of the weighting procedure},
	Year = {1998}}

@book{BeckerChambersWilks:1988,
	Address = {Pacific Grove, California},
	Author = {Becker, R. A. and Chambers, J. M. and Wilks, A. R.},
	Publisher = {Wadsworth},
	Title = {The New S Language: A Programming Environment for Data Analysis and Graphics},
	Year = {1988}}

@article{BelinDiffendalMackEtAl:1993,
	Abstract = {In the process of collecting Post-Enumeration Survey (PES) data to
	evaluate census coverage, it is inevitable that there will be some
	individuals whose enumeration status (outcome in the census-PES match)
	remains unresolved even after extensive field follow-up operations.
	Earlier work developed a logistic regression framework for imputing
	the probability that unresolved individuals were enumerated in the
	census, so that the probability of having been enumerated is allowed
	to depend on covariates. The covariates may include demographic characteristics,
	geographic information, and census codes that summarize information
	on the characteristics of the match (e.g., the before-follow-up match
	code assigned by clerks to describe the type of match between PES
	and census records). In the production of 1990 undercount estimates,
	the basic logistic regression model was expanded into a mixed hierarchical
	model to allow for the presence of group-specific effects, where
	groups are characterized by common before-follow-up match code. Parameter
	estimates for individual match-code groups thus "borrow strength"
	across groups by making use of observed relationships between group-specific
	parameter estimates in the various groups and the characteristics
	of the groups. This allows predictions to be made for groups for
	which there are few or no resolved cases to which to fit the model.
	The model was fitted by an approximate expectation-conditional-maximization
	(ECM) algorithm, using a large-sample approximation to the posterior
	distributions of group parameters. Uncertainty in estimation of model
	parameters was evaluated using a resampling procedure and became
	part of the evaluation of total error in PES estimates of population.
	Results from fitting the model in the 1990 Census and PES are described.},
	Author = {Belin, Thomas R. and Diffendal, Gregg J. and Mack, Steve and Rubin, Donald B. and Schafer, Joseph L. and Zaslavsky, Alan M.},
	Copyright = {Copyright {\copyright} 1993 American Statistical Association},
	Issn = {01621459},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Jstor_Articletype = {research-article},
	Jstor_Formatteddate = {Sep., 1993},
	Language = {English},
	Number = {423},
	Pages = {1149--1159},
	Publisher = {American Statistical Association},
	Title = {Hierarchical Logistic Regression Models for Imputation of Unresolved Enumeration Status in Undercount Estimation},
	Url = {http://www.jstor.org/stable/2290812},
	Volume = {88},
	Year = {1993},
	Bdsk-Url-1 = {http://www.jstor.org/stable/2290812}}

@article{BentlerRaykov:2000,
	Author = {Bentler, P. M. and Raykov, T},
	Journal = {Journal of Applied Psychology},
	Pages = {125--131},
	Title = {On measures of explained variance in nonrecursive structural equation models},
	Volume = {85},
	Year = {2000}}

@book{Berger:1985,
	Address = {New York},
	Author = {Berger, J. O.},
	Edition = {2nd},
	Publisher = {Springer-Verlag},
	Title = {Statistical Decision Theory and Bayesian Analysis},
	Year = {1985}}

@book{Berk:2004,
	Address = {Thousand Oaks, California},
	Author = {Berk, R. A.},
	Publisher = {Sage},
	Title = {Regression Analysis: A Constructive Critique},
	Year = {2004}}

@article{Bernardo:1979,
	Author = {Bernardo, J. M.},
	Journal = {Journal of the Royal Statistical Society B},
	Pages = {113--147},
	Title = {Reference prior distributions for Bayesian inference (with discussion)},
	Volume = {41},
	Year = {1979}}

@book{BernardoSmith:1994,
	Address = {New York},
	Author = {Bernardo, J. M. and Smith, A. F. M},
	Publisher = {Wiley},
	Title = {Bayesian Theory},
	Year = {1994}}

@article{BerryRingquistFordingEtAl:1998,
	Author = {Berry, William D. and Evan J. Ringquist and Richard C. Fording and Russell L. Hanson},
	Journal = {American Journal of Political Science},
	Number = {1},
	Pages = {327--348},
	Title = {Measuring Citizen and Government Ideology in the American States, 1960-93},
	Volume = {42},
	Year = {1998}}

@book{Bertin:19671983,
	Address = {Madison},
	Author = {Bertin, J.},
	Note = {Translated by W. J. Berg.},
	Publisher = {University of Wisconsin Press},
	Title = {Semiology of Graphics},
	Year = {1967, 1983}}

@article{BesagHigdon:1999,
	Author = {Besag, J. and Higdon, D.},
	Journal = {Journal of the Royal Statistical Society B},
	Pages = {691--746},
	Title = {Bayesian analysis of agricultural field experiments (with discussion)},
	Volume = {61},
	Year = {1999}}

@article{BesagYorkMollie:1991,
	Author = {Besag, J. and York, J. and Mollie, A.},
	Journal = {Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics},
	Pages = {1--59},
	Title = {Bayesian image restoration, with two applications in spatial statistics (with discussion)},
	Volume = {43},
	Year = {1991}}

@article{Binder:1983,
	Abstract = {The problem of specifying and estimating the variance of estimated
	parameters based on complex sample designs from finite populations
	is considered. The results of this paper are particularly useful
	when the parameter estimators cannot be defined explicitly as a function
	of other statistics from the sample. It is shown how these results
	can be applied to linear regression, logistic regression and log
	linear contingency table models. An example of the application of
	the technique to the Canada Health Survey is given. /// On discute
	le probl{\`e}me de la sp{\'e}cification et de l'estimation de la variance
	de param{\`e}tres estim{\'e}s bas{\'e}s sur les plans d'{\'e}chantillonnage complexes
	provenant de populations finies. Les r{\'e}sultats pr{\'e}sent{\'e}s dans
	cet article sont particuli{\`e}rement utiles lorsque les estimateurs
	des param{\'e}tres ne sont pas d{\'e}finis explicitement comme {\'e}tant une
	fonction des autres statistiques de l'{\'e}chantillon. On montre comment
	ces r{\'e}sultats peuvent s'appliquer {\`a} la r{\'e}gression lin{\'e}aire, la
	r{\'e}gression logistique et aux mod{\`e}les lin{\'e}aires logarithmiques
	de tableaux de contingence. Une example de l'application de la methodologie
	{\`a} l'Enqu{\^e}te Sant{\'e} Canada est donn{\'e}e.},
	Author = {Binder, David A.},
	Copyright = {Copyright {\copyright} 1983 International Statistical Institute (ISI)},
	Issn = {03067734},
	Journal = {International Statistical Review / Revue Internationale de Statistique},
	Jstor_Articletype = {research-article},
	Jstor_Formatteddate = {Dec., 1983},
	Language = {English},
	Number = {3},
	Pages = {279-292},
	Publisher = {International Statistical Institute (ISI)},
	Title = {On the Variances of Asymptotically Normal Estimators from Complex Surveys},
	Url = {http://www.jstor.org/stable/1402588},
	Volume = {51},
	Year = {1983},
	Bdsk-Url-1 = {http://www.jstor.org/stable/1402588}}

@article{BlackmanBenaneElliottEtAl:1988,
	Author = {Blackman, C. F. and Benane, S. G. and Elliott, D. J. and House, D. E. and Pollock, M. M.},
	Journal = {Bioelectromagnetics},
	Pages = {215--227},
	Title = {Influence of electromagnetic fields on the efflux of calcium ions from brain tissue in vitro: a three-model analysis consistent with the frequency response up to 510 Hz},
	Volume = {9},
	Year = {1988}}

@article{Blalock:1961,
	Author = {Blalock, H. M.},
	Journal = {American Sociological Review},
	Pages = {866--874},
	Title = {Evaluating the relative importance of variables},
	Volume = {26},
	Year = {1961}}

@article{BogartCromwell:2000,
	Author = {Bogart, W. T. and Cromwell, B. A.},
	Journal = {Journal of Urban Economics},
	Pages = {280--306},
	Title = {How much is a neighborhood school worth?},
	Volume = {47},
	Year = {2000}}

@techreport{BogatzBall:1971,
	Address = {Princeton, N.J.},
	Author = {Bogatz, G. A. and Ball, S.},
	Institution = {Educational Testing Service},
	Note = {Two volumes},
	Title = {The Second Year of Sesame Street: A Continuing Evaluation},
	Year = {1971}}

@phdthesis{Boscardin:1996,
	Author = {Boscardin, W. J.},
	School = {Department of Statistics, University of California, Berkeley},
	Title = {Bayesian analysis for some hierarchical linear models},
	Year = {1996}}

@article{BoscardinGelman:1996,
	Author = {Boscardin, W. J. and Gelman, A.},
	Journal = {Advances in Econometrics},
	Pages = {87--109},
	Title = {Bayesian regression with parametric models for heteroscedasticity},
	Volume = {11A},
	Year = {1996}}

@article{Box:1980,
	Author = {Box, G. E. P.},
	Journal = {Journal of the Royal Statistical Society A},
	Pages = {383--430},
	Title = {Sampling and Bayes inference in scientific modelling and robustness},
	Volume = {143},
	Year = {1980}}

@article{Box:1976,
	Author = {Box, G. E. P.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {791--799},
	Title = {Science and statistics},
	Volume = {71},
	Year = {1976}}

@article{BoxCox:1964,
	Author = {Box, G. E. P. and Cox, D. R.},
	Journal = {Journal of the Royal Statistical Society B},
	Pages = {211--252},
	Title = {An analysis of transformations (with discussion)},
	Volume = {26},
	Year = {1964}}

@book{BoxHunterHunter:2005,
	Address = {New York},
	Author = {Box, G. E. P. and Hunter, J. S. and Hunter, W. G.},
	Edition = {2nd},
	Publisher = {Wiley},
	Title = {Statistics for Experimenters},
	Year = {2005}}

@book{BoxTiao:1973,
	Address = {New York},
	Author = {Box, G. E. P. and Tiao, G. C.},
	Publisher = {Wiley Classics},
	Title = {Bayesian Inference in Statistical Analysis},
	Year = {1973}}

@misc{BraceBoyea:2004,
	Author = {Brace, Paul and Brent D. Boyea},
	Howpublished = {Presented at the American Political Science Association Meetings in Chicago, Illinois},
	Title = {Judicial Impartiality and the Practice of Electing Judges: The Case of State Supreme Courts},
	Year = {2004}}

@article{BraceSims-ButlerArceneauxEtAl:2002,
	Author = {Brace, Paul and Kellie Sims-Butler and Kevin Arceneaux and Martin Johnson},
	Journal = {American Journal of Political Science},
	Month = {January},
	Number = {1},
	Pages = {173--189},
	Title = {Public Opinion in the American States: New Perspectives Using National Survey Data},
	Volume = {46},
	Year = {2002}}

@article{BradleyTerry:1952,
	Author = {Bradley, R. A. and Terry, M. E.},
	Journal = {Biometrika},
	Pages = {324--345},
	Title = {The rank analysis of incomplete block designs: I. The method of paired comparison},
	Volume = {39},
	Year = {1952}}

@article{BrainardBurmaster:1992,
	Author = {Brainard, J. and Burmaster, D. E.},
	Journal = {Risk Analysis},
	Pages = {267--275},
	Title = {Bivariate distributions for height and weight of men and women in the United States},
	Volume = {12},
	Year = {1992}}

@article{Brennan:1977,
	Author = {Brennan, William J.},
	Journal = {Harvard Law Review},
	Number = {3},
	Pages = {489-504},
	Title = {State Constitutions and the Protection of Individual Rights},
	Volume = {9},
	Year = {1977}}

@article{BrewerWilcox:2005,
	Author = {Brewer, Paul R. and Clyde Wilcox},
	Journal = {Public Opinion Quarterly},
	Number = {4},
	Pages = {599-616},
	Title = {The Polls---Trends: Same-Sex Marriage and Civil Unions},
	Volume = {69},
	Year = {2005}}

@article{Bring:1994,
	Author = {Bring, J.},
	Journal = {American Statistician},
	Pages = {209--213},
	Title = {How to standardize regression coefficients},
	Volume = {48},
	Year = {1994}}

@article{BrooksGelman:1998,
	Author = {Brooks, S. and Gelman, A.},
	Journal = {Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics},
	Pages = {434--455},
	Title = {General methods for monitoring convergence of iterative simulations},
	Volume = {7},
	Year = {1998}}

@inproceedings{BrooksGelman:1998a,
	Author = {Brooks, S. and Gelman, A.},
	Booktitle = {Proceedings of the Section on Statistical Computing, American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {30--36},
	Title = {Some Issues for Monitoring Convergence of Iterative Simulations},
	Year = {1998}}

@article{Brooks-GunnLiawKlebanov:1992,
	Author = {Brooks-Gunn, J. and Liaw, F. R. and Klebanov, P. K.},
	Journal = {Journal of Pediatrics},
	Pages = {350--359},
	Title = {Effects of early intervention on cognitive function of low birth weight preterm infants},
	Volume = {120},
	Year = {1992}}

@article{BrowneSubramanianJonesEtAl:2005,
	Author = {Browne, W. J. and Subramanian, S. V. and Jones, K. and Goldstein, H.},
	Journal = {Journal of the Royal Statistical Society B},
	Pages = {599--613},
	Title = {Variance partitioning in multilevel logistic models that exhibit over-dispersion},
	Volume = {168},
	Year = {2005}}

@article{BrownerNewman:1987,
	Author = {Browner, W. S. and Newman, T. B.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Medical Association},
	Pages = {2459--2463},
	Title = {Are all significant P values created equal?},
	Volume = {257},
	Year = {1987}}

@incollection{BujaAsimovHurleyEtAl:1988,
	Address = {Belmont, California},
	Author = {Buja, A. and Asimov, D. and Hurley, C. and McDonald, J. A.},
	Booktitle = {Dynamic Graphics for Statistics},
	Editor = {W. S. Cleveland and M. E. McGill},
	Pages = {277--308},
	Publisher = {Wadsworth},
	Title = {Elements of a viewing pipeline for data analysis},
	Year = {1988}}

@misc{BujaCookSwayne:1999,
	Author = {Buja, A. and Cook, D. and Swayne, D.},
	Howpublished = {Talk given at Joint Statistical Meetings},
	Note = {www.research.att.com/$\sim$andreas/\#dataviz},
	Title = {Inference for data visualization},
	Year = {1999}}

@article{Burstein:2003,
	Author = {Burstein, Paul},
	Journal = {Political Research Quarterly},
	Number = {1},
	Pages = {29-40},
	Title = {The Impact of Public Opinion on Policy: A Review of an Agenda},
	Volume = {56},
	Year = {2003}}

@article{Burstein:1981,
	Author = {Burstein, Paul},
	Journal = {Annual Review of Sociology},
	Pages = {291-319},
	Title = {The Sociology of Democratic Politics and Government},
	Volume = {7},
	Year = {1981}}

@book{BushMosteller:1955,
	Address = {New York},
	Author = {Bush, R. R. and Mosteller, F.},
	Publisher = {Wiley},
	Title = {Stochastic Models for Learning},
	Year = {1955}}

@article{CaldaroneCanes-WroneClark:2009,
	Author = {Caldarone, Richard P. and Brandice Canes-Wrone and Tom S. Clark},
	Journal = {Journal of Politics},
	Number = {2},
	Pages = {560-73},
	Title = {Partisan Labels and Democratic Accountability: An Analysis of State Supreme Court Abortion Decisions.},
	Volume = {71},
	Year = {2009}}

@article{CameronEpsteinOHalloran:1996,
	Author = {Cameron, Charles and David Epstein and Sharyn O'Halloran},
	Journal = {American Political Science Review},
	Pages = {794--812},
	Title = {Do Majority-Minority Districts Maximize Substantive Black Representation in Congress?},
	Volume = {90},
	Year = {1996}}

@book{CampbellStanley:1963,
	Address = {Chicago},
	Author = {Campbell, D. T. and Stanley, J. C.},
	Publisher = {Rand McNally},
	Title = {Experimental and Quasi-Experimental Designs for Research},
	Year = {1963}}

@misc{Campbell:2002,
	Author = {Campbell, J. E.},
	Howpublished = {Presented at the New England Political Science Association Meeting, Portland, Maine},
	Institution = {Department of Political Science, State University of New York at Buffalo},
	Title = {Is the House incumbency advantage mostly a campaign finance advantage?},
	Year = {2002}}

@article{Campbell:1992,
	Author = {Campbell, J. E.},
	Journal = {American Journal of Political Science},
	Pages = {386--407},
	Title = {Forecasting the presidential vote in the states},
	Volume = {36},
	Year = {1992}}

@article{CardKrueger:1994,
	Author = {Card, D. and Krueger, A.},
	Journal = {American Economic Review},
	Pages = {772--784},
	Title = {Minimum wages and employment: a case study of the fast-food industry in New Jersey and Pennsylvania.},
	Volume = {84},
	Year = {1994}}

@book{CareyNiemiPowell:2000,
	Address = {Ann Arbor},
	Author = {Carey, John M. and Richard G. Niemi and Lynda W. Powell},
	Publisher = {University of Michigan Press},
	Title = {Term Limits in State Legislatures},
	Year = {2000}}

@book{CarlinLouis:2001,
	Address = {London},
	Author = {Carlin, B. P. and Louis, T. A.},
	Edition = {2nd},
	Publisher = {CRC Press},
	Title = {Bayes and Empirical Bayes Methods for Data Analysis},
	Year = {2001}}

@article{Carlin:1992,
	Author = {Carlin, J. B.},
	Journal = {Statistics in Medicine},
	Pages = {141--158},
	Title = {Meta-analysis for $2\times 2$ tables: a Bayesian approach},
	Volume = {11},
	Year = {1992}}

@book{CarlinForbes:2004,
	Address = {Melbourne},
	Author = {Carlin, J. B. and Forbes, A.},
	Publisher = {Biostatistics Collaboration of Australia},
	Title = {Linear Models and Regression},
	Year = {2004}}

@article{CarlinWolfeBrownEtAl:2001,
	Author = {Carlin, J. B. and Wolfe, R. and Brown, C. H. and Gelman, A.},
	Journal = {Biostatistics},
	Pages = {397--416},
	Title = {A case study on the choice, interpretation, and checking of multilevel models for longitudinal binary outcomes},
	Volume = {2},
	Year = {2001}}

@article{CarrollRuppert:1981,
	Author = {Carroll, R. J. and Ruppert, D.},
	Journal = {Biometrika},
	Pages = {609--615},
	Title = {On prediction and the power transformation family},
	Volume = {68},
	Year = {1981}}

@article{CarrollRuppertCrainiceanuEtAl:2004,
	Author = {Carroll, R. J. and Ruppert, D. and Crainiceanu, C. M. and Tosteson, T. D. and Karagas, M. R.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {736--750},
	Title = {Nonlinear and nonparametric regression and instrumental variables},
	Volume = {99},
	Year = {2004}}

@article{CasellaGelmanPalfrey:2006,
	Author = {Casella, A. and Gelman, A. and Palfrey, T.},
	Journal = {Games and Economic Behavior},
	Number = {1},
	Pages = {123--154},
	Title = {An experimental study of storable votes},
	Volume = {57},
	Year = {2006}}

@misc{Centre:2011,
	Author = {Centre for Multilevel Modelling, University of Bristol},
	Howpublished = {On the website of the Centre for Multilevel Modelling, University of Bristol},
	Title = {Software reviews of multilevel analysis packages},
	Url = {http://www.bristol.ac.uk/cmm/learning/mmsoftware/},
	Year = {2011},
	Bdsk-Url-1 = {http://www.bristol.ac.uk/cmm/learning/mmsoftware/}}

@book{ChambersClevelandKleinerEtAl:1983,
	Address = {Pacific Grove, California},
	Author = {Chambers, J. M. and Cleveland, W. S. and Kleiner, B. and Tukey, P. A.},
	Publisher = {Wadsworth},
	Title = {Graphical Methods for Data Analysis},
	Year = {1983}}

@book{Chambers:,
	Author = {Chambers, J. M. etc.},
	Title = {Books on S}}

@article{Chapman:1973,
	Author = {Chapman, R.},
	Journal = {Accident Analysis and Prevention},
	Pages = {95--110},
	Title = {The concept of exposure},
	Volume = {5},
	Year = {1973}}

@article{ChayGreenstone:2003,
	Author = {Chay, K. and Greenstone, M.},
	Journal = {Quarterly Journal of Economics},
	Pages = {1121--1167},
	Title = {The impact of air pollution on infant mortality: evidence from geographic variation in pollution shocks induced by a recession},
	Volume = {118},
	Year = {2003}}

@book{ChenShaoIbrahim:2000,
	Address = {New York},
	Author = {Chen, M. H. and Shao, Q. M. and Ibrahim, J. G.},
	Publisher = {Springer-Verlag},
	Title = {Monte Carlo Methods in Bayesian Computation},
	Year = {2000}}

@article{ChenElliottLittle:2010,
	Author = {Qixuan Chen and Michael R. Elliott and Roderick J. A. Little},
	Journal = {Survey Methodology},
	Number = {1},
	Pages = {23-34},
	Title = {Bayesian penalized spline model-based inference for finite population proportion in unequal probability sampling},
	Volume = {36},
	Year = {2010}}

@article{ChernoffLoZheng:2009,
	Author = {Chernoff, H. and Lo, S.H. and Zheng, T.},
	Issn = {1932-6157},
	Journal = {The Annals of Applied Statistics},
	Number = {4},
	Pages = {1335--1369},
	Publisher = {Institute of Mathematical Statistics},
	Title = {Discovering influential variables: A method of partitions},
	Volume = {3},
	Year = {2009}}

@article{ChipmanGeorgeMcCulloch:2010,
	Author = {Chipman, H. and George, E. and McCulloch, R.},
	Journal = {The Annals of Applied Statistics},
	Number = {1},
	Pages = {266--298},
	Title = {{BART}: Bayesian additive regression trees},
	Volume = {4},
	Year = {2010}}

@incollection{ChipmanGeorgeMcCulloch:2001,
	Author = {Chipman, H. and George, E. I. and McCulloch, R. E.},
	Booktitle = {Model Selection, Institute of Mathematical Statistics Lecture Notes},
	Editor = {P. Lahiri},
	Pages = {67--116},
	Series = {Monograph},
	Title = {The practical implementation of Bayesian model selection (with discussion)},
	Volume = {38},
	Year = {2001}}

@article{ClaytonDunnPicklesEtAl:1998,
	Author = {Clayton, D. G. and Dunn, G. and Pickles, A. and Spiegelhalter, D.},
	Journal = {Journal of the Royal Statistical Society B},
	Pages = {71--87},
	Title = {Analysis of longitudinal binary data from multi-phase sampling},
	Volume = {60},
	Year = {1998}}

@article{ClaytonKaldor:1987,
	Author = {Clayton, D. G. and Kaldor, J. M.},
	Journal = {Biometrics},
	Pages = {671--682},
	Title = {Empirical Bayes estimates of age-standardized relative risks for use in disease mapping},
	Volume = {43},
	Year = {1987}}

@book{Cleveland:1993,
	Address = {Summit, New Jersey},
	Author = {Cleveland, W. S.},
	Publisher = {Hobart Press},
	Title = {Visualizing Data},
	Year = {1993}}

@book{Cleveland:1985,
	Address = {Pacific Grove, California},
	Author = {Cleveland, W. S.},
	Publisher = {Wadsworth},
	Title = {The Elements of Graphing Data},
	Year = {1985}}

@article{Cleveland:1979,
	Author = {Cleveland, W. S.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {829--836},
	Title = {Robust locally weighted regression and smoothing scatterplots},
	Volume = {74},
	Year = {1979}}

@article{ClintonJackmanRivers:2004,
	Author = {Clinton, J. and Jackman, S. and Rivers, D.},
	Journal = {American Political Science Review},
	Pages = {355--370},
	Title = {The statistical analysis of roll call data},
	Volume = {98},
	Year = {2004}}

@article{CloggRubinSchenkerEtAl:1991,
	Author = {Clogg, C. C. and Rubin, D. B. and Schenker, N. and Schultz, B. and Wideman, L.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {68--78},
	Title = {Multiple imputation of industry and occupation codes in Census public-use samples using Bayesian logistic regression},
	Volume = {86},
	Year = {1991}}

@book{Cochran:1977,
	Address = {New York},
	Author = {Cochran, W. G.},
	Edition = {3rd},
	Publisher = {Wiley},
	Title = {Sampling Techniques},
	Year = {1977}}

@article{Cochran:1968,
	Author = {Cochran, W. G.},
	Journal = {Biometrics},
	Pages = {205--213},
	Title = {The effectiveness of adjustment by subclassification in removing bias in observational studies},
	Volume = {24},
	Year = {1968}}

@article{CochranRubin:1973,
	Author = {Cochran, W. G. and Rubin, D. B.},
	Journal = {Sankhya A},
	Pages = {417--446},
	Title = {Controlling bias in observational studies: a review},
	Volume = {35},
	Year = {1973}}

@book{Cohen:1997,
	Address = {Ann Arbor, Michigan},
	Author = {Cohen, Jeffrey E.},
	Publisher = {University of Michigan Press},
	Title = {Presidential Responsiveness and Public Policy-Making: The Publics and Policies that Presidents Choose},
	Year = {1997}}

@book{Congdon:2003,
	Address = {London},
	Author = {Congdon, P.},
	Publisher = {Wiley},
	Title = {Applied Bayesian Modelling},
	Year = {2003}}

@book{Congdon:2001,
	Address = {London},
	Author = {Congdon, P.},
	Publisher = {Wiley},
	Title = {Bayesian Statistical Modelling},
	Year = {2001}}

@book{CookWeisberg:1999,
	Address = {New York},
	Author = {Cook, R. D and Weisberg, S.},
	Publisher = {Wiley},
	Title = {Applied Regression Including Computing and Graphics},
	Year = {1999}}

@article{CookGelmanRubin:2006,
	Author = {S. R. Cook and A. Gelman and D. B. Rubin},
	Journal = {Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics},
	Number = {3},
	Pages = {675--692},
	Title = {Validation of Software for {B}ayesian Models Using Posterior Quantiles},
	Volume = {15},
	Year = {2006}}

@article{Cook:1999,
	Author = {Cook, Timothy E.},
	Journal = {American Political Science Review},
	Number = {3},
	Pages = {679--692},
	Title = {The Empirical Study of Lesbian, Gay, and Bisexual Politics: Assessing the First Wave of Research},
	Volume = {93},
	Year = {1999}}

@article{CostaKahn:2004,
	Author = {Costa, Dora L. and Kahn, Matthew E.},
	Journal = {Journal of Risk and Uncertainty},
	Number = {2},
	Title = {Changes in the value of life, 1940--1980},
	Volume = {29},
	Year = {2004}}

@book{Cox:1958,
	Address = {New York},
	Author = {Cox, D. R.},
	Publisher = {Wiley},
	Title = {Planning of Experiments},
	Year = {1958}}

@article{CoxKatz:1996,
	Author = {Cox, G. W. and Katz, J.},
	Journal = {American Journal of Political Science},
	Pages = {478--497},
	Title = {Why did the incumbency advantage grow?},
	Volume = {40},
	Year = {1996}}

@article{CrainiceanuRuppertWand:2005,
	Author = {Crainiceanu, C. M. and Ruppert, D. and Wand, M. P.},
	Journal = {Journal of Statistical Software},
	Pages = {1--24},
	Title = {Bayesian analysis for penalized spline regression using {WinBUGS}},
	Volume = {14},
	Year = {2005}}

@book{Cramer:2003,
	Author = {Cramer, C. S.},
	Publisher = {Cambridge University Press},
	Title = {Logit Models from Economics and Other Fields},
	Year = {2003}}

@article{DAgostino:1998,
	Author = {D'Agostino, R. B. Jr.},
	Journal = {Statistics in Medicine},
	Pages = {2265--2281},
	Title = {Propensity score methods for bias reduction in the comparison of a treatment to a non-randomized control group},
	Volume = {17},
	Year = {1998}}

@article{DanielsKass:2001,
	Author = {Daniels, M. J. and Kass, R. E.},
	Journal = {Biometrics},
	Pages = {1173--1184},
	Title = {Shrinkage estimators for covariance matrices},
	Volume = {57},
	Year = {2001}}

@article{DanielsKass:1999,
	Author = {Daniels, M. J. and Kass, R. E.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {1254--1263},
	Title = {Nonconjugate Bayesian estimation of covariance matrices and its use in hierarchical models},
	Volume = {94},
	Year = {1999}}

@article{DanielsPourahmadi:2002,
	Author = {Daniels, M. J. and Pourahmadi, M.},
	Journal = {Biometrika},
	Pages = {553--566},
	Title = {Bayesian analysis of covariance matrices and dynamic models for longitudinal data},
	Volume = {89},
	Year = {2002}}

@article{DattaLahiriMaitiEtAl:1999,
	Author = {Datta, G. S. and Lahiri, P. and Maiti, T. and Lu, K. L.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {1074--1082},
	Title = {Hierarchical Bayes estimation of unemployment rates for the states of the U.S.},
	Volume = {94},
	Year = {1999}}

@article{DavidLittleSamuhelEtAl:1986,
	Author = {David, M. H. and Little, R. J. A. and Samuhel, M. E. and Triest, R. K.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {29--41},
	Title = {Alternative methods for CPS income imputation},
	Volume = {81},
	Year = {1986}}

@article{Dawid:2000,
	Author = {Dawid, A. P.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {407--448},
	Title = {Causal inference without counterfactuals (with discussion)},
	Volume = {95},
	Year = {2000}}

@book{De-VeauxVellemanBock:2006,
	Address = {Boston},
	Author = {De-Veaux, R. and Velleman, P. and Bock, D.},
	Publisher = {Addison-Wesley},
	Title = {Stats: Data and Models},
	Year = {2006}}

@article{Dehejia:2005,
	Author = {Dehejia, R.},
	Journal = {Journal of Econometrics},
	Pages = {355--364},
	Title = {Practical propensity score matching: a reply to Smith and Todd},
	Volume = {125},
	Year = {2005}}

@unpublished{Dehejia:2005a,
	Author = {Dehejia, R.},
	Note = {Department of Economics, Columbia University},
	Title = {Does matching overcome LaLonde's critique of nonexperimental estimators? A postscript},
	Year = {2005}}

@article{Dehejia:2003,
	Author = {Dehejia, R.},
	Journal = {Journal of Business and Economic Statistics},
	Pages = {1--11},
	Title = {Was there a Riverside miracle? A framework for evaluating multi-site program},
	Volume = {21},
	Year = {2003}}

@article{DehejiaWahba:1999,
	Author = {Dehejia, R. and Wahba, S.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {1053--1062},
	Title = {Causal effects in non-experimental studies: re-evaluating the evaluation of training programs},
	Volume = {94},
	Year = {1999}}

@article{DellaportasSmith:1993,
	Author = {Dellaportas, P. and Smith, A. F. M.},
	Journal = {Applied Statistics},
	Pages = {443--459},
	Title = {Bayesian inference for generalized linear and proportional hazards models via Gibbs sampling},
	Volume = {42},
	Year = {1993}}

@article{DempsterRubinTsutakawa:1981,
	Author = {Dempster, A. P. and Rubin, D. B. and Tsutakawa, R. K.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {341--353},
	Title = {Estimation in covariance components models},
	Volume = {76},
	Year = {1981}}

@unpublished{DiamondSekhon:2005,
	Author = {Alexis Diamond and Jasjeet S. Sekhon},
	Note = {Working Paper},
	Title = {Genetic Matching for Estimating Causal Effects: A General Multivariate Matching Method for Achieving Balance in Observational Studies},
	Url = {http://sekhon.berkeley.edu/papers/GenMatch.pdf},
	Year = {2005},
	Bdsk-Url-1 = {http://sekhon.berkeley.edu/papers/GenMatch.pdf}}

@article{DiggleKenward:1994,
	Author = {Diggle, P. and Kenward, M. G.},
	Journal = {Journal of the Royal Statistical Society C},
	Pages = {49--73},
	Title = {Informative drop-out in longitudinal data analysis},
	Volume = {43},
	Year = {1994}}

@article{DiPreteGelmanMcCormickEtAl:2010,
	Author = {DiPrete, T. A. and Gelman, A. and McCormick, T. H. and Teitler, J. and Zheng, T.},
	Journal = {American Journal of Sociology},
	Note = {Forthcoming},
	Title = {Segregation in social networks based on acquaintanceship and trust},
	Year = {2010}}

@book{Dobson:2001,
	Address = {London},
	Author = {Dobson, A.},
	Edition = {2nd},
	Publisher = {CRC Press},
	Title = {An Introduction to Generalized Linear Models},
	Year = {2001}}

@article{DonohueWolfers:2006,
	Author = {Donohue, J. J. and Wolfers, J.},
	Journal = {Stanford Law Review},
	Pages = {791--845},
	Title = {Uses and abuses of empirical evidence in the death penalty debate},
	Volume = {25},
	Year = {2006}}

@article{DormanHagstrom:1998,
	Author = {Dorman, P. and Hagstrom, P.},
	Journal = {Industrial and Labor Relations Review},
	Pages = {116--135},
	Title = {Wage compensation for dangerous work revisited},
	Volume = {52},
	Year = {1998}}

@incollection{Dorris:1999,
	Address = {New York},
	Author = {Dorris, John B.},
	Booktitle = {Public Policy, Public Opinion, and Political Representation},
	Editor = {Ellen D. B. Riggle and Barry L. Tadlock},
	Publisher = {Columbia University Press},
	Title = {Antidiscrimination Laws in Local Government: A Public Policy Analysis of Municipal Lesbian and Gay Public Employment Protection},
	Year = {1999}}

@article{Drake:1993,
	Author = {Drake, C.},
	Journal = {Biometrics},
	Pages = {1231--1236},
	Title = {Effects of misspecification of the propensity score on estimators of treatment effect},
	Volume = {49},
	Year = {1993}}

@article{Dreze:1976,
	Author = {Dreze, J. H.},
	Journal = {Econometrica},
	Pages = {1045--1075},
	Title = {Bayesian limited information analysis of the simultaneous equations model},
	Volume = {44},
	Year = {1976}}

@article{DruckmanJacobs:2006,
	Author = {Druckman, James N. and Lawrence R. Jacobs},
	Journal = {Public Opinion Quarterly},
	Number = {4},
	Pages = {453-76},
	Title = {Lumpers and Splitters: The Public Opinion Information that Politicians Collect and Use},
	Volume = {70},
	Year = {2006}}

@phdthesis{Du:1998,
	Author = {Du, J.},
	School = {Department of Statistics, Harvard University},
	Title = {Valid inferences after propensity score subclassification using maximum number of subclasses as building blocks},
	Year = {1998}}

@article{DuMouchelHarris:1983,
	Author = {DuMouchel, W. M. and Harris, J. E.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {293--315},
	Title = {Bayes methods for combining the results of cancer studies in humans and other species (with discussion)},
	Volume = {78},
	Year = {1983}}

@unpublished{Dunson:2006,
	Author = {Dunson, D. B.},
	Note = {Biostatistics Branch, National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences},
	Title = {Efficient Bayesian model averaging in factor analysis},
	Year = {2006}}

@book{Dye:1966,
	Address = {Chicago},
	Author = {Dye, Thomas R.},
	Publisher = {Rand McNally},
	Title = {Politics, Economics, and the Public: Political Outcomes in the American States},
	Year = {1966}}

@article{EfronMorris:1975,
	Author = {Efron, B. and Morris, C.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {311--319},
	Title = {Data analysis using Stein's estimator and its generalizations},
	Volume = {70},
	Year = {1975}}

@book{EfronTibshirani:1993,
	Address = {London},
	Author = {Efron, B. and Tibshirani, R. J.},
	Publisher = {Chapman and Hall},
	Title = {An Introduction to the Bootstrap},
	Year = {1993}}

@book{Ehrenberg:1978,
	Address = {New York},
	Author = {Ehrenberg, A. S. C.},
	Publisher = {Wiley},
	Title = {Data Reduction: Analysing and Interpreting Statistical Data},
	Year = {1978}}

@article{EhrenbergBrewer:1994,
	Author = {Ehrenberg, R. and Brewer, D.},
	Journal = {Economics of Education Review},
	Pages = {1--17},
	Title = {Do school and teacher characteristics matter?: evidence from High School and Beyond},
	Volume = {13},
	Year = {1994}}

@article{Eisenhart:1947,
	Author = {Eisenhart, C.},
	Journal = {Biometrics},
	Pages = {1--21},
	Title = {The assumptions underlying the analysis of variance},
	Volume = {3},
	Year = {1947}}

@article{EllsworthGross:1994,
	Author = {Ellsworth, P.C. and Gross, S.R.},
	Issn = {1540-4560},
	Journal = {Journal of Social Issues},
	Number = {2},
	Pages = {19--52},
	Publisher = {John Wiley \& Sons},
	Title = {Hardening of the attitudes: Americans' views on the death penalty},
	Volume = {50},
	Year = {1994}}

@incollection{EpsteinOHalloran:2006,
	Address = {New York},
	Author = {Epstein, David and Sharyn O'Halloran},
	Booktitle = {The Future of the Voting Rights Act},
	Editor = {David Epstein and Richard Pildes and Rodolfo de la Garza and Sharyn O'Halloran},
	Publisher = {Russell Sage Foundation},
	Title = {Trends in Substantive and Descriptive Minority Representation, 1974--2000},
	Year = {2006}}

@article{EpsteinOHalloran:1999,
	Author = {Epstein, David and Sharyn O'Halloran},
	Journal = {American Journal of Political Science},
	Month = {April},
	Pages = {367-95},
	Title = {Measuring the Electoral and Policy Impact of Majority-Minority Voting Districts},
	Volume = {43},
	Year = {1999}}

@article{EpsteinOHalloran:1999a,
	Author = {Epstein, D. and O'Halloran, S.},
	Issn = {0003-0554},
	Journal = {American Political Science Review},
	Number = {1},
	Pages = {187--191},
	Publisher = {JSTOR},
	Title = {A social science approach to race, redistricting, and representation},
	Volume = {93},
	Year = {1999}}

@article{EpsteinOHalloran:1996,
	Author = {Epstein, David and Sharyn O'Halloran},
	Journal = {Journal of Politics},
	Pages = {393--417},
	Title = {Divided Government and the Design of Administrative Procedures: A Formal Model and Empirical Test},
	Volume = {58},
	Year = {1996}}

@article{EpsteinOHalloran:1996a,
	Author = {Epstein, David and Sharyn O'Halloran},
	Journal = {International Organization},
	Pages = {301--324},
	Title = {The Partisan Paradox and the {U.S.} {T}ariff, 1877 to 1934},
	Volume = {50},
	Year = {1996}}

@article{EpsteinOHalloran:1994,
	Author = {Epstein, David and Sharyn O'Halloran},
	Journal = {American Journal of Political Science},
	Month = {April},
	Pages = {367--395},
	Title = {Measuring the Electoral and Policy Impact of Majority-Minority Voting Districts},
	Volume = {43},
	Year = {1994}}

@unpublished{EpsteinMcAllister:2010,
	Author = {Epstein, David, Sharyn O'Halloran and Geraldine McAllister},
	Note = {Columbia University Working Paper},
	Title = {Delegation and the Regulation of Finance in the {U}nited {S}tates since 1950},
	Year = {2010}}

@article{Erikson:1976,
	Author = {Erikson, Robert S.},
	Journal = {American Journal of Political Science},
	Number = {1},
	Pages = {25-36},
	Title = {The Relationship between Public Opinion and State Policy: A New Look Based on Some Forgotten Data},
	Volume = {20},
	Year = {1976}}

@article{Erikson:1971,
	Author = {Erikson, R. S.},
	Journal = {Polity},
	Pages = {395--405},
	Title = {The advantage of incumbency in congressional elections},
	Volume = {3},
	Year = {1971}}

@article{EriksonRomero:1990,
	Author = {Erikson, R. S. and Romero, D. W.},
	Journal = {American Political Science Review},
	Pages = {1103--1126},
	Title = {Candidate equilibrium and the behavioral model of the vote},
	Volume = {4},
	Year = {1990}}

@book{EriksonWrightMcIver:1993,
	Address = {Cambridge, United Kingdom},
	Author = {Erikson, Robert S. and Gerald C. Wright and John P. McIver},
	Publisher = {Cambridge University Press},
	Title = {Statehouse Democracy: Public Opinion and Policy in the American States},
	Year = {1993}}

@article{Fair:1978,
	Author = {Fair, R. C.},
	Journal = {Review of Economics and Statistics},
	Pages = {159--173},
	Title = {The effect of economic events on votes for President},
	Volume = {60},
	Year = {1978}}

@article{Fay:1996,
	Author = {Fay, R. E.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {490--498},
	Title = {Alternative paradigms for the analysis of imputed survey data},
	Volume = {91},
	Year = {1996}}

@article{FayHerriot:1979,
	Author = {Fay, R. E. and Herriot, R. A.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {269--277},
	Title = {Estimates of income for small places: an application of James-Stein procedures to census data},
	Volume = {74},
	Year = {1979}}

@article{FayHerriot:1979a,
	Abstract = {An adaptation of the James-Stein estimator is applied to sample estimates
	of income for small places (i.e., population less than 1,000) from
	the 1970 Census of Population and Housing. The adaptation incorporates
	linear regression in the context of unequal variances. Evidence is
	presented that the resulting estimates have smaller average error
	than either the sample estimates or an alternate procedure of using
	county averages. The new estimates for these small places now form
	the basis for the Census Bureau's updated estimates of per capita
	income for the General Revenue Sharing Program.},
	Author = {Fay, Robert E. III and Herriot, Roger A.},
	Copyright = {Copyright {\copyright} 1979 American Statistical Association},
	Issn = {01621459},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Jstor_Articletype = {research-article},
	Jstor_Formatteddate = {Jun., 1979},
	Language = {English},
	Number = {366},
	Pages = {pp. 269-277},
	Publisher = {American Statistical Association},
	Title = {Estimates of Income for Small Places: An Application of {J}ames-{S}tein Procedures to Census Data},
	Url = {http://www.jstor.org/stable/2286322},
	Volume = {74},
	Year = {1979},
	Bdsk-Url-1 = {http://www.jstor.org/stable/2286322}}

@article{FeltonMitchellStinson:2003,
	Author = {Felton, J. and Mitchell, J. and Stinson, M.},
	Journal = {Assessment and Evaluation in Higher Education},
	Pages = {91--108},
	Title = {Web-based student evaluations of professors: the relations between perceived quality, easineness, and sexiness},
	Volume = {29},
	Year = {2003}}

@book{Fienberg:1977,
	Address = {Cambridge, Massachusetts},
	Author = {Fienberg, S. E.},
	Publisher = {M.I.T. Press},
	Title = {The Analysis of Cross-Classified Categorical Data},
	Year = {1977}}

@article{FinkelsteinLevinMcKeagueEtAl:2006,
	Author = {Finkelstein, M. O. and Levin, B. and McKeague, I. M. and Tsai, W. Y.},
	Journal = {Journal of Empirical Legal Studies},
	Month = {July},
	Number = {2},
	Pages = {375--395},
	Title = {A note on the censoring problem in empirical case-outcome studies},
	Volume = {3},
	Year = {2006}}

@book{Fiorina:1999,
	Address = {Cambridge, Massachusetts},
	Author = {Fiorina, Morris P.},
	Publisher = {Presented at the MIT Conference on Parties and Congress},
	Title = {Whatever Happened to the Median Voter?},
	Year = {1999}}

@article{Fiorina:1994,
	Author = {Fiorina, Morris P.},
	Journal = {American Political Science Review},
	Pages = {304--316},
	Title = {Divided Government in the American States: A By-Product of Legislative Professionalism},
	Volume = {88},
	Year = {1994}}

@article{Firth:1993,
	Author = {Firth, D.},
	Journal = {Biometrika},
	Pages = {27--38},
	Title = {Bias reduction of maximum likelihood estimates},
	Volume = {80},
	Year = {1993}}

@article{FismanIyengarKamenicaEtAl:2006,
	Author = {Fisman, R. and Iyengar, S. S. and Kamenica, E. and Simonson, I.},
	Journal = {Quarterly Journal of Economics},
	Pages = {673--698},
	Title = {Gender differences in mate selection: evidence from a speed dating experiment},
	Volume = {121},
	Year = {2006}}

@manual{Fournier:2001,
	Address = {British Columbia, Canada},
	Author = {Fournier, D.},
	Organization = {Otter Research Ltd.},
	Title = {An introduction to AD Model Builder Version 6.0.2 for use in nonlinear modeling and statistics},
	Url = {otter-rsch.com/admodel.htm},
	Year = {2001},
	Bdsk-Url-1 = {otter-rsch.com/admodel.htm}}

@book{Fox:2002,
	Address = {Thousand Oaks, California},
	Author = {Fox, J.},
	Publisher = {Sage},
	Title = {An R and S-Plus Companion to Applied Regression},
	Year = {2002}}

@article{FrangakisBrookmeyerVaradhanEtAl:2003,
	Author = {Frangakis, C. E. and Brookmeyer, R. S.and Varadhan, R. and Mahboobeh, S. and Vlahov, D. and Strathdee, S. A.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {239--249},
	Title = {Methodology for evaluating a partially controlled longitudinal treatment using principal stratification, with application to a needle exchange program},
	Volume = {99},
	Year = {2003}}

@article{FrangakisRubin:2002,
	Author = {Frangakis, C. E. and Rubin, D. B.},
	Journal = {Biometrics},
	Pages = {21--29},
	Title = {Principal stratification in causal inference},
	Volume = {58},
	Year = {2002}}

@article{FriedlanderRobins:1995,
	Author = {Friedlander, D. and Robins, P. K.},
	Journal = {American Economic Review},
	Pages = {923--937},
	Title = {Evaluating program evaluations---new evidence on commonly used nonexperimental methods},
	Volume = {85},
	Year = {1995}}

@article{FriendlyKwan:2003,
	Author = {Friendly, M. and Kwan, E.},
	Journal = {Computational Statistics and Data Analysis},
	Pages = {509--539},
	Title = {Effect ordering for data displays},
	Volume = {43},
	Year = {2003}}

@article{Frolich:2004,
	Author = {Frolich, M.},
	Journal = {Review of Economics and Statistics},
	Pages = {77--90},
	Title = {Finite-sample properties of propensity-score matching and weighting estimators},
	Volume = {86},
	Year = {2004}}

@techreport{GarfinkelMeyers:1997,
	Author = {Garfinkel, I. and Meyers, M. K.},
	Institution = {Social Indicators Survey (SIS) Center, School of Social Work, Columbia University},
	Title = {A Tale of Many Cities: New York City Social Indicators 1997},
	Url = {http://www.columbia.edu/cu/ssw/projects/surcent/Reports/sisreport1.pdf},
	Year = {1997},
	Bdsk-Url-1 = {http://www.columbia.edu/cu/ssw/projects/surcent/Reports/sisreport1.pdf}}

@article{GawronBermanDismukesEtAl:2003,
	Author = {Gawron, V. J. and Berman, B. A. and Dismukes, R. K. and Peer, J. H.},
	Journal = {Flight Safety Digest},
	Pages = {19--32},
	Title = {New airline pilots may not receive sufficient training to cope with airplane upsets},
	Volume = {July--August},
	Year = {2003}}

@incollection{GelfandDeyChang:1992,
	Author = {Gelfand, A. E. and Dey, D. K. and Chang, H.},
	Booktitle = {Bayesian Statistics 4},
	Editor = {J. M. Bernardo, J. O. Berger, A. P. Dawid, and A. F. M. Smith},
	Pages = {147--167},
	Publisher = {Oxford University Press},
	Title = {Model determination using predictive distributions with implementation via sampling-based methods (with discussion)},
	Year = {1992}}

@article{GelfandHillsRacine-PoonEtAl:1990,
	Author = {Gelfand, A. E. and Hills, S. E. and Racine-Poon, A.and Smith, A. F. M.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {972--985},
	Title = {Illustration of Bayesian inference in normal data models using Gibbs sampling},
	Volume = {85},
	Year = {1990}}

@article{GelfandSahu:1999,
	Author = {Gelfand, A. E. and Sahu, S. K.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {247--253},
	Title = {Identifiability, improper priors, and Gibbs sampling for generalized linear models},
	Volume = {94},
	Year = {1999}}

@article{GelfandSahuCarlin:1995,
	Author = {Gelfand, A. E. and Sahu, S. K. and Carlin, B. P.},
	Journal = {Biometrika},
	Pages = {479--488},
	Title = {Efficient parametrizations for normal linear mixed models},
	Volume = {82},
	Year = {1995}}

@article{GelfandSmith:1990,
	Author = {Gelfand, A. E. and Smith, A. F. M.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {398--409},
	Title = {Sampling-based approaches to calculating marginal densities},
	Volume = {85},
	Year = {1990}}

@incollection{Gelman:2004d,
	Address = {London},
	Author = {Gelman, A.},
	Booktitle = {Applied Bayesian Modeling and Causal Inference from Incomplete Data Perspectives},
	Chapter = {18},
	Editor = {A. Gelman and X. L. Meng},
	Publisher = {Wiley},
	Title = {Treatment effects in before-after data},
	Year = {2004}}

@article{Gelman:2007,
	Author = {Gelman, A.},
	Journal = {Statistical Science},
	Month = {August},
	Number = {3},
	Pages = {349--352},
	Title = {Discussion of ``{B}ayesian checking of the second levels of hierarchical models,'' by {M}. {J}. {B}ayarri and {M}. {E}. {C}astellanos},
	Volume = {22},
	Year = {2007}}

@article{Gelman:2007a,
	Abstract = {The general principles of Bayesian data analysis imply that models
	for survey responses should be constructed conditional on all variables
	that affect the probability of inclusion and nonresponse, which are
	also the variables used in survey weighting and clustering. However,
	such models can quickly become very complicated, with potentially
	thousands of poststratification cells. It is then a challenge to
	develop general families of multilevel probability models that yield
	reasonable Bayesian inferences. We discuss in the context of several
	ongoing public health and social surveys. This work is currently
	open-ended, and we conclude with thoughts on how research could proceed
	to solve these problems.},
	Author = {Gelman, Andrew},
	Copyright = {Copyright {\copyright} 2007 Institute of Mathematical Statistics},
	Issn = {08834237},
	Journal = {Statistical Science},
	Jstor_Articletype = {research-article},
	Jstor_Formatteddate = {May, 2007},
	Language = {English},
	Number = {2},
	Pages = {pp. 153-164},
	Publisher = {Institute of Mathematical Statistics},
	Title = {Struggles with Survey Weighting and Regression Modeling},
	Url = {http://www.jstor.org/stable/27645813},
	Volume = {22},
	Year = {2007},
	Bdsk-Url-1 = {http://www.jstor.org/stable/27645813}}

@article{Gelman:2007b,
	Author = {Gelman, A.},
	Journal = {Statistics in Medicine},
	Number = {15},
	Pages = {2865--2873},
	Title = {Scaling regression inputs by dividing by two standard deviations},
	Volume = {27},
	Year = {2007}}

@article{Gelman:2006,
	Author = {Gelman, A.},
	Journal = {Bayesian Analysis},
	Number = {3},
	Pages = {515--534},
	Title = {Prior distributions for variance parameters in hierarchical models},
	Volume = {1},
	Year = {2006}}

@article{Gelman:2005,
	Author = {Gelman, A.},
	Issn = {0090-5364},
	Journal = {Annals of Statistics},
	Number = {1},
	Pages = {1--31},
	Publisher = {JSTOR},
	Title = {Analysis of variance: why it is more important than ever},
	Volume = {33},
	Year = {2005}}

@article{Gelman:2004,
	Author = {Gelman, Andrew},
	Issn = {1061-8600},
	Journal = {Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics},
	Number = {4},
	Pages = {755--779},
	Publisher = {ASA},
	Title = {Exploratory data analysis for complex models (with discussion)},
	Volume = {13},
	Year = {2004}}

@article{Gelman:2004a,
	Author = {Gelman, A.},
	Issn = {0162-1459},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Number = {466},
	Pages = {537--545},
	Publisher = {ASA},
	Title = {Parameterization and {B}ayesian modeling},
	Volume = {99},
	Year = {2004}}

@article{Gelman:2004b,
	Author = {Gelman, A.},
	Journal = {Chance},
	Number = {2},
	Pages = {28--31},
	Title = {55,000 residents desperately need your help!},
	Volume = {17},
	Year = {2004}}

@article{Gelman:2004c,
	Author = {Gelman, A.},
	Journal = {Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics},
	Pages = {755--787},
	Title = {Exploratory data analysis for complex models (with discussion)},
	Volume = {13},
	Year = {2004}}

@article{Gelman:2003,
	Author = {Gelman, A.},
	Issn = {1751-5823},
	Journal = {International Statistical Review},
	Number = {2},
	Pages = {369--382},
	Publisher = {John Wiley \& Sons},
	Title = {A {B}ayesian Formulation of Exploratory Data Analysis and Goodness-of-fit Testing},
	Volume = {71},
	Year = {2003}}

@article{Gelman:1997,
	Author = {Gelman, A.},
	Journal = {Journal of Educational and Behavioral Statistics},
	Pages = {237--243},
	Title = {Using exams for teaching concepts in probability and statistics},
	Volume = {22},
	Year = {1997}}

@article{GelmanBois:1997,
	Author = {Gelman, A. and Bois, F. Y.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Owner = {default},
	Title = {Discussion of ``Analysis of non-randomly censored ordered categorical longitudinal data from analgesic trials,'' by L. B. Sheiner, S. L. Beal, and A. Dunne},
	Year = {1997}}

@incollection{GelmanCarlin:2001,
	Address = {New York},
	Author = {Gelman, A. and Carlin, J.B.},
	Booktitle = {Survey Nonresponse},
	Editor = {R. Groves and D. Dillman and J Eltinge and R. Little.},
	Organization = {Citeseer},
	Publisher = {Wiley},
	Title = {Poststratification and weighting adjustments},
	Year = {2001}}


@article{GelmanFaganKiss:2007,
	Author = {Gelman, A. and Fagan, J. and Kiss, A.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Number = {479},
	Title = {An analysis of the {NYPD}'s stop-and-frisk policy in the context of claims of racial bias},
	Volume = {102},
	Year = {2007}}

@article{GelmanGoegebeurTuerlinckxEtAl:2000,
	Author = {Gelman, A. and Goegebeur, Y. and Tuerlinckx, F. and Van-Mechelen, I.},
	Journal = {Applied Statistics},
	Pages = {247--268},
	Title = {Diagnostic checks for discrete-data regression models using posterior predictive simulations},
	Volume = {49},
	Year = {2000}}

@article{GelmanHuang:2008,
	Author = {Gelman, A. and Huang, Z.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Month = {June},
	Number = {482},
	Pages = {437--451},
	Title = {Estimating incumbency advantage and its variation, as an example of a before-after study (with discussion)},
	Volume = {103},
	Year = {2008}}

@unpublished{GelmanHuangVan-DykEtAl:2006,
	Author = {Gelman, A. and Huang, Z. and Van-Dyk, D. and Boscardin, W. J.},
	Note = {Department of Statistics, Columbia University},
	Title = {Transformed and parameter-expanded Gibbs samplers for multilevel linear and generalized linear models},
	Year = {2006}}

@unpublished{GelmanJakulinPittauEtAl:2007,
	Author = {Gelman, A. and Jakulin, A. and Pittau, M. G. and Su, Y. S.},
	Note = {Department of Statistics, Columbia University},
	Title = {A default prior distribution for logistic and other regression models},
	Year = {2007}}

@unpublished{GelmanKatz:2005,
	Author = {Gelman, A. and Katz, J.},
	Note = {Department of Statistics, Columbia University},
	Title = {Moderation in the pursuit of moderation is no vice: the clear but limited advantages to being a moderate for congressional elections},
	Year = {2005}}

@article{GelmanKing:1994,
	Author = {Gelman, A. and King, G.},
	Journal = {American Political Science Review},
	Pages = {541--559},
	Title = {Enhancing democracy through legislative redistricting},
	Volume = {88},
	Year = {1994}}

@article{GelmanKing:1994a,
	Author = {Gelman, A. and King, G.},
	Journal = {American Journal of Political Science},
	Pages = {514--554.},
	Title = {A unified model for evaluating electoral systems and redistricting plans},
	Volume = {38},
	Year = {1994}}

@article{GelmanKing:1993,
	Author = {Gelman, A. and King, G.},
	Journal = {British Journal of Political Science},
	Pages = {409--451},
	Title = {Why are American presidential election campaign polls so variable when votes are so predictable?},
	Volume = {23},
	Year = {1993}}

@article{GelmanKing:1990,
	Author = {Gelman, A. and King, G.},
	Journal = {American Journal of Political Science},
	Pages = {1142--1164},
	Title = {Estimating incumbency advantage without bias},
	Volume = {34},
	Year = {1990}}

@article{GelmanKingLiu:1998,
	Abstract = {We present a method of analyzing a series of independent cross-sectional
	surveys in which some questions are not answered in some surveys
	and some respondents do not answer some of the questions posed. The
	method is also applicable to a single survey in which different questions
	are asked or different sampling methods are used in different strata
	or clusters. Our method involves multiply imputing the missing items
	and questions by adding to existing methods of imputation designed
	for single surveys a hierarchical regression model that allows covariates
	at the individual and survey levels. Information from survey weights
	is exploited by including in the analysis the variables on which
	the weights were based, and then reweighting individual responses
	(observed and imputed) to estimate population quantities. We also
	develop diagnostics for checking the fit of the imputation model
	based on comparing imputed data to nonimputed data. We illustrate
	with the example that motivated this project: a study of pre-election
	public opinion polls in which not all the questions of interest are
	asked in all the surveys, so that it is infeasible to impute within
	each survey separately.},
	Author = {Gelman, Andrew and King, Gary and Liu, Chuanhai},
	Copyright = {Copyright {\copyright} 1998 American Statistical Association},
	Issn = {01621459},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Jstor_Articletype = {research-article},
	Jstor_Formatteddate = {Sep. 1998},
	Language = {English},
	Number = {443},
	Pages = {pp. 846-857},
	Publisher = {American Statistical Association},
	Title = {Not Asked and Not Answered: Multiple Imputation for Multiple Surveys},
	Url = {http://www.jstor.org/stable/2669819},
	Volume = {93},
	Year = {1998},
	Bdsk-Url-1 = {http://www.jstor.org/stable/2669819}}

@article{GelmanKingLiu:1998a,
	Author = {Gelman, A. and King, G. and Liu, C.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {846--874},
	Title = {Multiple imputation for multiple surveys (with discussion)},
	Volume = {93},
	Year = {1998}}

@article{GelmanLaxPhillips:2010,
	Author = {Gelman, A. and J.R. Lax and J. Phillips},
	Journal = {The New York Times},
	Pages = {WK3},
	Title = {Over Time, a Gay Marriage Groundswell},
	Year = {2010}}

@article{GelmanLiebmanWestKiss:2004,
	Author = {Gelman, A. and J.S. Liebman and V. West and A. Kiss},
	Issn = {1740-1461},
	Journal = {Journal of Empirical Legal Studies},
	Number = {2},
	Pages = {209--261},
	Publisher = {Wiley Online Library},
	Title = {A Broken System: The Persistent Patterns of Reversals of Death Sentences in the {U}nited {S}tates},
	Volume = {1},
	Year = {2004}}

@article{GelmanLittle:1998,
	Author = {Gelman, Andrew and Little, Thomas C.},
	Copyright = {Copyright {\copyright} 1998 American Association for Public Opinion Research},
	Issn = {0033362X},
	Journal = {The Public Opinion Quarterly},
	Jstor_Articletype = {research-article},
	Jstor_Formatteddate = {Autumn, 1998},
	Language = {English},
	Number = {3},
	Pages = {pp. 398-404},
	Publisher = {Oxford University Press on behalf of the American Association for Public Opinion Research},
	Title = {Improving on Probability Weighting for Household Size},
	Url = {http://www.jstor.org/stable/2749666},
	Volume = {62},
	Year = {1998},
	Bdsk-Url-1 = {http://www.jstor.org/stable/2749666}}

@article{GelmanLittle:1997,
	Author = {Gelman, Andrew and Thomas C. Little},
	Journal = {Survey Methodology},
	Number = {2},
	Pages = {127--135},
	Title = {Poststratification into Many Categories Using Hierarchical Logistic Regression},
	Volume = {23},
	Year = {1997}}

@article{GelmanMengStern:1996,
	Author = {Gelman, A. and Meng, X.L. and Stern, H.},
	Issn = {1017-0405},
	Journal = {Statistica Sinica},
	Pages = {733--759},
	Publisher = {Citeseer},
	Title = {Posterior predictive assessment of model fitness via realized discrepancies},
	Volume = {6},
	Year = {1996}}

@book{GelmanNolan:2002,
	Author = {Gelman, A. and Nolan, D.},
	Publisher = {Oxford University Press},
	Title = {Teaching Statistics: A Bag of Tricks},
	Year = {2002}}

@article{GelmanPardoe:2007,
	Author = {Gelman, A. and Pardoe, I.},
	Journal = {Sociological Methodology},
	Month = {December},
	Number = {1},
	Pages = {23--51},
	Title = {Average predictive comparisons for models with nonlinearity, interactions, and variance components},
	Volume = {37},
	Year = {2007}}

@article{GelmanPardoe:2006,
	Author = {Gelman, A. and Pardoe, I.},
	Journal = {Technometrics},
	Pages = {241--251},
	Title = {Bayesian measures of explained variance and pooling in multilevel (hierarchical) models},
	Volume = {48},
	Year = {2006}}

@book{GelmanParkShorEtAl:2008,
	Author = {Gelman, A. and Park, D. and Shor, B. and Bafumi, J. and Cortina, J.},
	Publisher = {Princeton University Press},
	Title = {Rich State, Poor State, Red State, Blue State: Why Americans Vote the Way They Do},
	Year = {2008}}

@article{GelmanPasaricaDodhia:2002,
	Author = {Gelman, A. and Pasarica, C. and Dodhia, R.},
	Journal = {American Statistician},
	Pages = {121--130},
	Title = {Let's practice what we preach: using graphs instead of tables},
	Volume = {56},
	Year = {2002}}

@article{GelmanPrice:1999,
	Author = {Gelman, A. and Price, P. N.},
	Journal = {Statistics in Medicine},
	Pages = {3221--3234},
	Title = {All maps of parameter estimates are misleading},
	Volume = {18},
	Year = {1999}}

@article{GelmanPrice:1998,
	Author = {Gelman, A. and Price, P. N.},
	Journal = {Journal of the Royal Statistical Society B},
	Pages = {532},
	Title = {Discussion of ``Some algebra and geometry for hierarchical models, applied to diagnostics,'' by J. S. Hodges},
	Volume = {60},
	Year = {1998}}

@incollection{GelmanRobertsGilks:1996,
	Address = {Oxford},
	Author = {Gelman, Andrew and Gareth O. Roberts and Walter R. Gilks},
	Booktitle = {Bayesian Statistics 5},
	Editor = {J. M. Bernardo, J. O. Berger, A. P. Dawid and A. F. M. Smith},
	Pages = {599--607},
	Publisher = {Oxford University Press},
	Title = {Efficient {M}etropolis jumping rules},
	Year = {1996}}


@article{GelmanRubin:1992a,
	Author = {Gelman, A. and Rubin, D.B.},
	Journal = {Bayesian statistics},
	Pages = {625--632},
	Title = {A single series from the Gibbs sampler provides a false sense of security},
	Volume = {4},
	Year = {1992}}

@article{GelmanShorBafumiEtAl:2007,
	Author = {Gelman, A. and Shor, B. and Bafumi, J. and Park, D.},
	Journal = {Quarterly Journal of Political Science},
	Pages = {345--367},
	Title = {Rich state, poor state, red state, blue state: What's the matter with {C}onnecticut?},
	Volume = {2},
	Year = {2007}}

@article{GelmanStern:2006,
	Author = {Gelman, A. and Stern, H. S.},
	Journal = {The American Statistician},
	Number = {4},
	Title = {The difference between ``statistically significant'' and ``not significant'' is not itself significant},
	Volume = {60},
	Year = {2006}}


@article{GelmanStevensChan:2003,
	Author = {Gelman, A. and Stevens, M. and Chan, V.},
	Issn = {0735-0015},
	Journal = {Journal of Business and Economic Statistics},
	Number = {2},
	Pages = {213--225},
	Publisher = {ASA},
	Title = {Regression Modeling and Meta-Analysis for Decision Making},
	Volume = {21},
	Year = {2003}}

@article{GelmanTrevisaniLuEtAl:2004,
	Author = {Gelman, A. and Trevisani, M. and Lu, H. and Van-Geen, A.},
	Journal = {Risk Analysis},
	Pages = {1597--1612},
	Title = {Direct data manipulation for local decision analysis, as applied to the problem of arsenic in drinking water from tube wells in Bangladesh},
	Volume = {24},
	Year = {2004}}

@article{GelmanTuerlinckx:2000,
	Author = {Gelman, A. and Tuerlinckx, F.},
	Journal = {Computational Statistics},
	Pages = {373--390},
	Title = {Type S error rates for classical and Bayesian single and multiple comparison procedures},
	Volume = {15},
	Year = {2000}}

@article{GelmanVan-DykHuangEtAl:2008,
	Author = {Gelman, A. and D.A. Van-Dyk and Z. Huang and J.W. Boscardin},
	Issn = {1061-8600},
	Journal = {Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics},
	Number = {1},
	Pages = {95--122},
	Publisher = {ASA},
	Title = {Using redundant parameterizations to fit hierarchical models},
	Volume = {17},
	Year = {2008}}

@article{Gerber:2004,
	Author = {Gerber, A.},
	Journal = {American Behavioral Scientist},
	Pages = {541--574},
	Title = {Does campaign spending work?},
	Volume = {47},
	Year = {2004}}

@book{Gerber:1999,
	Address = {Princeton},
	Author = {Gerber, Elisabeth R.},
	Publisher = {Princeton University Press},
	Title = {The Populist Paradox: Interest Group Influence and the Promise of Direct Legislation},
	Year = {1999}}

@article{Gerber:1996,
	Author = {Gerber, Elisabeth R.},
	Journal = {American Journal of Political Science},
	Pages = {99-128},
	Title = {Legislative Response to the Threat of the Popular Initiative},
	Volume = {40},
	Year = {1996}}

@article{GerberPhillips:2005,
	Author = {Gerber, Elisabeth R. and Justin H. Phillips},
	Journal = {American Politics Research},
	Number = {2},
	Pages = {310-330},
	Title = {Evaluating the Effects of Direct Democracy on Public Policy: California's Urban Growth Boundaries},
	Volume = {33},
	Year = {2005}}

@article{Geweke:2004,
	Author = {Geweke, J.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {799--804},
	Title = {Getting it right: joint distribution tests of posterior simulators},
	Volume = {99},
	Year = {2004}}

@article{GileHandcock:2010,
	Abstract = {Respondent-driven sampling (RDS) employs a variant of a link-tracing
	network sampling strategy to collect data from hard-to-reach populations.
	By tracing the links in the underlying social network, the process
	exploits the social structure to expand the sample and reduce its
	dependence on the initial (convenience) sample.The current estimators
	of population averages make strong assumptions in order to treat
	the data as a probability sample. We evaluate three critical sensitivities
	of the estimators: (1) to bias induced by the initial sample, (2)
	to uncontrollable features of respondent behavior, and (3) to the
	without-replacement structure of sampling.Our analysis indicates:
	(1) that the convenience sample of seeds can induce bias, and the
	number of sample waves typically used in RDS is likely insufficient
	for the type of nodal mixing required to obtain the reputed asymptotic
	unbiasedness; (2) that preferential referral behavior by respondents
	leads to bias; (3) that when a substantial fraction of the target
	population is sampled the current estimators can have substantial
	bias.This paper sounds a cautionary note for the users of RDS. While
	current RDS methodology is powerful and clever, the favorable statistical
	properties claimed for the current estimates are shown to be heavily
	dependent on often unrealistic assumptions. We recommend ways to
	improve the methodology.},
	Author = {Gile, Krista J. and Handcock, Mark S.},
	Doi = {10.1111/j.1467-9531.2010.01223.x},
	Issn = {1467-9531},
	Journal = {Sociological Methodology},
	Number = {1},
	Pages = {285--327},
	Publisher = {Blackwell Publishing Inc},
	Title = {Respondent-Driven Sampling: An Assessment of Current Methodologiy},
	Url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-9531.2010.01223.x},
	Volume = {40},
	Year = {2010},
	Bdsk-Url-1 = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-9531.2010.01223.x}}

@book{Gill:2002,
	Address = {London},
	Author = {Gill, J.},
	Publisher = {Chapman and Hall},
	Title = {Bayesian Methods for the Social and Behavioral Sciences},
	Year = {2002}}

@article{GilovichValloneTversky:1985,
	Author = {Gilovich, T. and Vallone, R. and Tversky, A.},
	Journal = {Cognitive Psychology},
	Pages = {295--314},
	Title = {The hot hand in basketball: on the misperception of random sequences},
	Volume = {17},
	Year = {1985}}

@book{GiltinanDavidian:1995,
	Address = {London},
	Author = {Giltinan, D. and Davidian, M.},
	Publisher = {Chapman and Hall},
	Title = {Nonlinear Models for Repeated Measurement Data},
	Year = {1995}}

@book{GirosiKing:2008,
	Author = {Federico Girosi and Gary King},
	Institution = {Department of Government, Harvard University},
	Publisher = {Princeton},
	Title = {Demographic forecasting},
	Year = {2008}}

@article{GlickmanNormand:2000,
	Author = {Glickman, M. E. and Normand, S. L},
	Journal = {Statistica Sinica},
	Pages = {517--544},
	Title = {The derivation of a latent threshold instrumental variables model},
	Volume = {10},
	Year = {2000}}

@book{Goldstein:1995,
	Address = {London},
	Author = {Goldstein, H.},
	Edition = {2nd},
	Publisher = {Edward Arnold},
	Title = {Multilevel Statistical Models},
	Year = {1995}}

@article{GoldsteinBrowneRasbash:2002,
	Author = {Goldstein, H. and Browne, W. J. and Rasbash, J.},
	Journal = {Understanding Statistics},
	Pages = {223--232},
	Title = {Partitioning variation in multilevel models},
	Volume = {1},
	Year = {2002}}

@incollection{GoldsteinSilver:1989,
	Address = {New York},
	Author = {Goldstein, H. and Silver, R.},
	Booktitle = {Analysis of Complex Surveys},
	Editor = {C. J. Skinner, D. Holt, and T. M. F. Smith},
	Pages = {221--235},
	Publisher = {Wiley},
	Title = {Multilevel and multivariate models in survey analysis},
	Year = {1989}}

@article{GraubardKorn:1999,
	Author = {Graubard, B. I. and Korn, E. L.},
	Journal = {Biometrics},
	Pages = {652--659},
	Title = {Predictive margins with survey data},
	Volume = {55},
	Year = {1999}}

@manual{Graves:2003,
	Author = {Graves, T. L.},
	Organization = {Statistical Sciences Group, Los Alamos National Laboratory},
	Title = {Yadas: yet another data analysis system},
	Url = {www.stat.lanl.gov/yadas/home.html},
	Year = {2003},
	Bdsk-Url-1 = {www.stat.lanl.gov/yadas/home.html}}

@article{GrayLoweryMonogan:2009,
	Author = {Gray, Virginia and David Lowery and James Monogan},
	Journal = {State Politics \& Policy Quarterly},
	Month = {September},
	Number = {3},
	Pages = {304--324},
	Title = {Public Opinion, Organized Interests, and Policy Congruence in Initiative and Noninitiative States},
	Volume = {9},
	Year = {2009}}

@article{GreenTukey:1960,
	Author = {Green, B. F. and Tukey, J. W.},
	Journal = {Psychometrika},
	Pages = {127--152},
	Title = {Complex analyses of variance: general problems},
	Volume = {25},
	Year = {1960}}

@incollection{Green:2000,
	Address = {Chicago},
	Author = {Green, John C.},
	Booktitle = {The Politics of Gay Rights},
	Editor = {Craig Rimmerman, Kenneth D. Wald, and Clyde Wilcox},
	Publisher = {University of Chicago Press},
	Title = {Antigay: Varieties of Opposition to Gay Rights},
	Year = {2000}}

@article{Greenland:2005,
	Author = {Greenland, S.},
	Journal = {Journal of the Royal Statistical Society A},
	Month = {March},
	Number = {2},
	Pages = {267--306},
	Title = {Multiple bias modelling for analysis of observational data (with discussion)},
	Volume = {168},
	Year = {2005}}

@article{Greenland:2000,
	Author = {Greenland, S.},
	Journal = {Biometrics},
	Pages = {915--921},
	Title = {When should epidemiologic regressions use random coefficients?},
	Volume = {56},
	Year = {2000}}

@article{GreenlandRobinsPearl:1999,
	Author = {Greenland, S. and Robins, J. M. and Pearl, J.},
	Journal = {Statistical Science},
	Pages = {29--46},
	Title = {Confounding and collapsability in causal inference},
	Volume = {14},
	Year = {1999}}

@article{GreenlandSchlessmanCriqui:1986,
	Author = {Greenland, S. and Schlessman, J. J. and Criqui, M. H.},
	Journal = {American Journal of Epidemiology},
	Pages = {203--208},
	Title = {The fallacy of employing standardized regression coefficients and correlations as measures of effect},
	Volume = {123},
	Year = {1986}}

@book{Griewank:2008,
  title={Evaluating derivatives: principles and techniques of algorithmic differentiation},
  author={Griewank, A. and Walther, A.},
  year={2008},
  publisher={Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics (SIAM)}
}


@book{GrovesFowlerCouperEtAl:2004,
	Address = {New York},
	Author = {Groves, R. and Fowler, F. J. and Couper, M. P. and Lepkowski, J. M. and Singer, E. and Tourangeau, R.},
	Publisher = {Wiley},
	Title = {Survey Methodology},
	Year = {2004}}

@article{GustafsonClarke:2004,
	Author = {Gustafson, P. and Clarke, B.},
	Journal = {Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference},
	Pages = {311--327},
	Title = {Decomposing posterior variance},
	Volume = {119},
	Year = {2004}}

@article{GustafsonGreenland:2006,
	Author = {Paul Gustafson and Sander Greenland},
	Institution = {Department of Statistics, University of British Columbia.},
	Journal = {Biometrics},
	Month = {September},
	Number = {3},
	Pages = {760--768},
	Title = {The performance of random coefficient regression in accounting for residual confounding},
	Volume = {62},
	Year = {2006}}

@article{Haavelmo:1943,
	Author = {Haavelmo, T.},
	Journal = {Econometrica},
	Pages = {1--12},
	Title = {The statistical implications of a system of simultaneous equations},
	Volume = {11},
	Year = {1943}}

@article{Hahn:1998,
	Author = {Hahn, J.},
	Journal = {Econometrica},
	Pages = {315--331},
	Title = {On the role of the propensity score in efficient semiparametric estimation of average treatment effects},
	Volume = {66},
	Year = {1998}}

@article{HahnToddVan-der-Klaauw:2001,
	Author = {Hahn, J. and Todd, P. and Van-der-Klaauw, W.},
	Journal = {Econometrica},
	Pages = {201--209},
	Title = {Identification and estimation of treatment effects with a regression-discontinuity design},
	Volume = {69},
	Year = {2001}}

@article{Haider-Markel:2001,
	Author = {Haider-Markel, Donald P.},
	Journal = {State Politics and Policy Quarterly},
	Number = {1},
	Title = {Policy Diffusion as a Geographical Expansion of the Scope of Political Conflict: Same-Sex Marriage Bans in the 1990s},
	Volume = {1},
	Year = {2001}}

@incollection{Haider-MarkelKaufman:2006,
	Address = {Stanford, CA},
	Author = {Haider-Markel, Donald P. and Matthew S. Kaufman},
	Booktitle = {Public Opinion in State Politics},
	Editor = {Jeffrey E. Cohen},
	Publisher = {Stanford University Press},
	Title = {Public Opinion and Policy Making in the Culture Wars: Is There a Connection Between Opinion and State Policy on Gay and Lesbian Issues?},
	Year = {2006}}

@article{Haider-MarkelMeier:2008,
	Author = {Haider-Markel, Donald P. and Kenneth J. Meier},
	Journal = {Review of Policy Research},
	Number = {4},
	Title = {Legislative Victory, Electoral Uncertainty: Explaining Outcomes in the Battles over Lesbian and Civil Rights},
	Volume = {20},
	Year = {2008}}

@article{Haider-MarkelMeier:1996,
	Author = {Haider-Markel, Donald P. and Kenneth J. Meier},
	Journal = {The Journal of Politics},
	Number = {2},
	Pages = {332-349},
	Title = {The Politics of Gay and Lesbian Rights: Expanding the Scope of the Conflict},
	Volume = {58},
	Year = {1996}}

@article{Haider-MarkelQuerzeLindaman:2007,
	Author = {Haider-Markel, Donald P. and Alana Querze and Kara Lindaman},
	Journal = {Political Research Quarterly},
	Number = {2},
	Title = {Lose, Win, or Draw? A Reexamination of Direct Democracy and Minority Rights},
	Volume = {60},
	Year = {2007}}

@article{HamermeshParker:2005,
	Author = {Hamermesh, D. S. and Parker, A. M.},
	Journal = {Economics of Education Review},
	Pages = {369--376},
	Title = {Beauty in the classroom: instructors' pulchritude and putative pedagogical productivity},
	Volume = {24},
	Year = {2005}}

@incollection{Hanley:2008,
	Author = {Hanley, John},
	Booktitle = {Public opinion and constitutional controversy},
	Editor = {Egan, P.J.},
	Pages = {108--138},
	Publisher = {Oxford University Press},
	Title = {The Death Penalty},
	Year = {2008}}

@article{Hansen:2004,
	Author = {Hansen, B. B.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {609--619},
	Title = {Full matching in an observational study of coaching for the SAT},
	Volume = {99},
	Year = {2004}}

@article{HansenKlopfer:2006,
	Author = {Ben B. Hansen and Stephanie Olsen Klopfer},
	Journal = {Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics},
	Note = {OptMatch package for optimal matching},
	Number = {3},
	Pages = {609--627},
	Title = {Optimal full matching and related designs via network flows},
	Url = {www.stat.lsa.umich.edu/$\sim$bbh/optmatch.html},
	Volume = {15},
	Year = {2006},
	Bdsk-Url-1 = {www.stat.lsa.umich.edu/$%5Csim$bbh/optmatch.html}}

@article{Hanushek:1971,
	Author = {Hanushek, E.},
	Journal = {American Economic Review},
	Pages = {280--288},
	Title = {Teacher characteristics and gains in student achievement: estimation using micro data},
	Volume = {61},
	Year = {1971}}

@book{Harrell:2001,
	Address = {New York},
	Author = {Harrell, F.},
	Publisher = {Springer-Verlag},
	Title = {Regression Modeling Strategies},
	Year = {2001}}

@book{HastieTibshirani:1990,
	Address = {New York},
	Author = {Hastie, T. J. and Tibshirani, R. J.},
	Publisher = {Chapman and Hall},
	Title = {Generalized Additive Models},
	Year = {1990}}

@book{HastieTibshiraniFriedman:2002,
	Address = {New York},
	Author = {Hastie, T. J. and Tibshirani, R. J. and Friedman, J.},
	Publisher = {Springer-Verlag},
	Title = {The Elements of Statistical Learning: Data Mining, Inference, and Prediction},
	Year = {2002}}

@article{HauerNgLovell:1988,
	Author = {Hauer, E. and Ng, J. C. N. and Lovell, J.},
	Journal = {Transportation Research Record},
	Note = {Washington, D.C.: National Research Council},
	Pages = {48--61},
	Title = {Estimation of safety at signalized intersections},
	Volume = {1185},
	Year = {1988}}

@article{Healy:1990,
	Author = {Healy, M. J. R.},
	Journal = {Statistics in Medicine},
	Pages = {633--637},
	Title = {Measuring importance},
	Volume = {9},
	Year = {1990}}

@article{Heckathorn:1997,
	Abstract = {A population is "hidden" when no sampling frame exists and public
	acknowledgment of membership in the population is potentially threatening.
	Accessing such populations is difficult because standard probability
	sampling methods produce low response rates and responses that lack
	candor. Existing procedures for sampling these populations, including
	snowball and other chain-referral samples, the key-informant approach,
	and targeted sampling, introduce well-documented biases into their
	samples. This paper introduces a new variant of chain-referral sampling,
	respondent-driven sampling, that employs a dual system of structured
	incentives to overcome some of the deficiencies of such samples.
	A theoretic analysis, drawing on both Markov-chain theory and the
	theory of biased networks, shows that this procedure can reduce the
	biases generally associated with chain-referral methods. The analysis
	includes a proof showing that even though sampling begins with an
	arbitrarily chosen set of initial subjects, as do most chain-referral
	samples, the composition of the ultimate sample is wholly independent
	of those initial subjects. The analysis also includes a theoretic
	specification of the conditions under which the procedure yields
	unbiased samples. Empirical results, based on surveys of 277 active
	drug injectors in Connecticut, support these conclusions. Finally,
	the conclusion discusses how respondent-driven sampling can improve
	both network sampling and ethnographic 44investigation.},
	Author = {Heckathorn, Douglas D.},
	Copyright = {Copyright {\copyright} 1997 University of California Press},
	Issn = {00377791},
	Journal = {Social Problems},
	Jstor_Articletype = {research-article},
	Jstor_Formatteddate = {May, 1997},
	Language = {English},
	Number = {2},
	Pages = {pp. 174-199},
	Publisher = {University of California Press on behalf of the Society for the Study of Social Problems},
	Title = {Respondent-Driven Sampling: A New Approach to the Study of Hidden Populations},
	Url = {http://www.jstor.org/stable/3096941},
	Volume = {44},
	Year = {1997},
	Bdsk-Url-1 = {http://www.jstor.org/stable/3096941}}

@article{Heckman:1979,
	Author = {Heckman, J.},
	Journal = {Econometrica},
	Pages = {153--161},
	Title = {Sample selection bias as a specification error},
	Volume = {47},
	Year = {1979}}

@article{HeckmanIchimuraTodd:1998,
	Author = {Heckman, J. J. and Ichimura, H. and Todd, P.},
	Journal = {Review of Economic Studies},
	Pages = {261--294},
	Title = {Matching as an econometric evaluation estimator},
	Volume = {65},
	Year = {1998}}

@article{HeckmanIchimuraTodd:1997,
	Author = {Heckman, J. J. and Ichimura, H. and Todd, P.},
	Journal = {Review of Economic Studies},
	Pages = {605--654},
	Title = {Matching as an econometric evaluation estimator: evidence from a job training programme},
	Volume = {64},
	Year = {1997}}

@article{HeinzeSchemper:2003,
	Author = {Heinze, G. and Schemper, M.},
	Journal = {Statistics in Medicine},
	Pages = {2409--2419},
	Title = {A solution to the problem of separation in logistic regression},
	Volume = {12},
	Year = {2003}}

@article{HeitjanMoskowitzWhang:1999,
	Author = {Heitjan, D. F. and Moskowitz, A. J. and Whang, W.},
	Journal = {Medical Decision Making},
	Pages = {9--15},
	Title = {Problems with interval estimates of the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio},
	Volume = {19},
	Year = {1999}}

@book{Henderson:1984,
	Author = {Henderson, C. R.},
	Publisher = {Univerity of Guelph},
	Title = {Application of Linear Models in Animal Breeding},
	Year = {1984}}

@article{Henderson:1950,
	Author = {Henderson, C. R.},
	Journal = {Annals of Mathematical Statistics},
	Pages = {309--310},
	Title = {Estimation of genetic parameters (abstract)},
	Volume = {21},
	Year = {1950}}

@article{HendersonKempthorneSearleEtAl:1959,
	Author = {Henderson, C. R. and Kempthorne, O. and Searle, S. R. and Von-Krosigk,C. M.},
	Journal = {Biometrics},
	Pages = {192--218},
	Title = {The estimation of environmental and genetic trends from records subject to culling},
	Volume = {15},
	Year = {1959}}

@article{Hill:1965,
	Author = {Hill, B. M.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {806--825},
	Title = {Inference about variance components in the one-way model},
	Volume = {60},
	Year = {1965}}

@article{Hill:2011,
	Author = {Hill, Jennifer L.},
	Institution = {School of International and Public Affairs, Columbia University},
	Journal = {Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics},
	Number = {1},
	Pages = {217--240},
	Title = {Bayesian nonparametric modeling for causal inference},
	Volume = {20},
	Year = {2011}}

@article{HillBrooks-GunnWaldfogel:2003,
	Author = {Hill, J. L. and Brooks-Gunn, J. and Waldfogel, J.},
	Journal = {Developmental Pscyhology},
	Pages = {730--744},
	Title = {Sustained effects of high participation in an early intervention for low-birth-weight premature infants},
	Volume = {39},
	Year = {2003}}

@article{HillReiter:2006,
	Author = {Hill, J. L. and Reiter, J.},
	Journal = {Statistics in Medicine},
	Pages = {2230--2256},
	Title = {Interval estimation for treatment effects using propensity score matching},
	Volume = {25.},
	Year = {2006}}

@incollection{HillReiterZanutto:2004,
	Address = {New York},
	Author = {Hill, J. L. and Reiter, J. and Zanutto, E.},
	Booktitle = {Applied Bayesian and Causal Inference from an Incomplete Data Perspective},
	Editor = {A. Gelman and X. L. Meng},
	Publisher = {Wiley},
	Title = {A comparison of experimental and observational data analyses},
	Year = {2004}}

@article{HillWaldfogelBrooks-Gunn:2002,
	Author = {Hill, J. L. and Waldfogel, J. and Brooks-Gunn, J.},
	Journal = {Journal of Policy Analysis and Management},
	Pages = {601--627},
	Title = {Assessing the differential impacts of high-quality child care: a new approach for exploiting post-treatment variables},
	Volume = {21},
	Year = {2002}}

@article{HillWaldfogelBrooks-GunnEtAl:2005,
	Author = {Hill, J. L. and Waldfogel, J. and Brooks-Gunn, J. and Han, W. J.},
	Journal = {Developmental Psychology},
	Pages = {833--850},
	Title = {Maternal employment and child development: a fresh look using newer methods},
	Volume = {41},
	Year = {2005}}

@article{HiranoImbensRidder:2003,
	Author = {Hirano, K. and Imbens, G. W. and Ridder, G.},
	Journal = {Econometrica},
	Pages = {1161--1189},
	Title = {Efficient estimation of average treatment effects using the estimated propensity score},
	Volume = {71},
	Year = {2003}}

@article{HiranoImbensRubinEtAl:2000,
	Author = {Hirano, K. and Imbens, G. W. and Rubin, D. B. and Zhou, A.},
	Journal = {Biostatistics},
	Pages = {69--88},
	Title = {Assessing the effect of an influenza vaccine in an encouragement design},
	Volume = {1},
	Year = {2000}}

@article{Hodges:1998,
	Author = {Hodges, J. S.},
	Journal = {Journal of the Royal Statistical Society B},
	Pages = {497--536},
	Title = {Some algebra and geometry for hierarchical models, applied to diagnostics (with discussion)},
	Volume = {60},
	Year = {1998}}

@unpublished{HodgesCuiSargentEtAl:2005,
	Author = {Hodges, J. S. and Cui, Y. and Sargent, D. J. and Carlin, B. P.},
	Note = {Department of Biostatistics, University of Minnesota},
	Title = {Smoothed ANOVA},
	Year = {2005}}

@article{HodgesSargent:2001,
	Author = {Hodges, J. S. and Sargent, D. J.},
	Journal = {Biometrika.},
	Pages = {367--379},
	Title = {Counting degrees of freedom in hierarchical and other richly parameterized models},
	Volume = {88},
	Year = {2001}}

@article{HoenigHeisey:2001,
	Author = {Hoenig, J. M. and Heisey, D. M.},
	Journal = {American Statistician},
	Pages = {19--24},
	Title = {The abuse of power: the pervasive fallacy of power calculations for data analysis},
	Volume = {55},
	Year = {2001}}

@article{HoetingMadiganRafteryEtAl:1999,
	Author = {Hoeting, J. and Madigan, D. and Raftery, A. E. and Volinsky, C.},
	Journal = {Statistical Science},
	Pages = {382--417},
	Title = {Bayesian model averaging (with discussion)},
	Volume = {14},
	Year = {1999}}

@incollection{Hoff:2003,
	Address = {Washington, D.C},
	Author = {Hoff, P. D.},
	Booktitle = {Dynamic Social Network Modeling and Analysis: Workshop Summary and Papers},
	Editor = {R. Breiger, K. Carley, and P. Pattison},
	Pages = {303--312},
	Publisher = {National Academies Press},
	Title = {Random effects models for network data},
	Year = {2003}}

@article{Hoff:2005,
	Author = {Hoff, P. D.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Assosciation},
	Pages = {286--295},
	Title = {Bilinear mixed-effects models for dyadic data.},
	Volume = {100},
	Year = {2005}}

@article{HoffRafteryHandcock:2002,
	Author = {Hoff, P. D. and Raftery, A. E. and Handcock, M. S.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {1090--1098},
	Title = {Latent space approaches to social network analysis.},
	Volume = {97},
	Year = {2002}}

@article{HoogerheideKleibergenVan-Dijk:2007,
	Author = {Hoogerheide, L. and Kleibergen, F. and Van-Dijk, H. K.},
	Journal = {Journal of Econometrics},
	Month = {May},
	Number = {1},
	Pages = {63--103},
	Title = {Natural conjugate priors for the instrumental variables regression model applied to the Angrist-Krueger data},
	Volume = {138},
	Year = {2007}}

@article{HorvitzThompson:1952,
	Abstract = {This paper presents a general technique for the treatment of samples
	drawn without replacement from finite universes when unequal selection
	probabilities are used. Two sampling schemes are discussed in connection
	with the problem of determining optimum selection probabilities according
	to the information available in a supplementary variable. Admittedly,
	these two schemes have limited application. They should prove useful,
	however, for the first stage of sampling with multi-stage designs,
	since both permit unbiased estimation of the sampling variance without
	resorting to additional assumptions.},
	Author = {Horvitz, D. G. and Thompson, D. J.},
	Copyright = {Copyright {\copyright} 1952 American Statistical Association},
	Issn = {01621459},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Jstor_Articletype = {research-article},
	Jstor_Formatteddate = {Dec. 1952},
	Language = {English},
	Number = {260},
	Pages = {663-685},
	Publisher = {American Statistical Association},
	Title = {A Generalization of Sampling Without Replacement From a Finite Universe},
	Url = {http://www.jstor.org/stable/2280784},
	Volume = {47},
	Year = {1952},
	Bdsk-Url-1 = {http://www.jstor.org/stable/2280784}}

@book{Hox:2002,
	Address = {Mahwah, New Jersey},
	Author = {Hox, J.},
	Publisher = {Lawrence Erlbaum Associates},
	Title = {Multilevel Analysis: Techniques and Applications},
	Year = {2002}}

@inproceedings{HuangCongXieEtAl:2009,
	Author = {Huang, C.H. and Cong, L. and Xie, J. and Qiao, B. and Lo, S.H. and Zheng, T.},
	Booktitle = {BMC Proceedings},
	Issn = {1753-6561},
	Number = {Suppl 7},
	Pages = {S75},
	Publisher = {BioMed Central Ltd},
	Title = {Rheumatoid arthritis-associated gene-gene interaction network for rheumatoid arthritis candidate genes},
	Volume = {3},
	Year = {2009}}

@unpublished{HuangGelman:2003,
	Author = {Huang, Z. and Gelman, A.},
	Note = {Department of Statistics, Columbia University},
	Title = {Sampling for Bayesian computation with large datasets},
	Year = {2003}}

@article{HuberGordon:2004,
	Author = {Huber, Gregory A. and Sanford C. Gordon},
	Journal = {American Journal of Political Science},
	Number = {2},
	Pages = {247-63},
	Title = {Accountability and Coercion: Is Justice Blind When It Runs for Office?},
	Volume = {48},
	Year = {2004}}

@unpublished{IchimuraLinton:2001,
	Author = {Ichimura, H. and Linton, O.},
	Note = {Institute for Fiscal Studies, Cemmap Working Paper cwp04/01},
	Title = {Asymptotic expansions for some semiparametric program evaluation estimators},
	Year = {2001}}

@article{ImaiVan-Dyk:2004,
	Author = {Imai, K. and Van-Dyk, D. A.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {854--866},
	Title = {Causal inference with general treatment regimes: generalizing the propensity score},
	Volume = {99},
	Year = {2004}}

@article{ImaiVan-Dyk:2003,
	Author = {Imai, K. and Van-Dyk, D. A.},
	Journal = {Journal of Econometrics},
	Pages = {311--334.},
	Title = {A Bayesian analysis of the multinomial probit model using marginal data augmentation},
	Volume = {124},
	Year = {2003}}

@article{Imbens:2004,
	Author = {Imbens, G. W.},
	Journal = {Review of Economics and Statistics},
	Pages = {4--29},
	Title = {Nonparametric estimation of average treatment effects under exogeneity: a review},
	Volume = {86},
	Year = {2004}}

@article{Imbens:2000,
	Author = {Imbens, G. W.},
	Journal = {Biometrika},
	Pages = {706--710},
	Title = {The role of the propensity score in estimating dose-response functions},
	Volume = {87},
	Year = {2000}}

@article{ImbensAngrist:1994,
	Author = {Imbens, G. W. and Angrist, J.},
	Journal = {Econometrica},
	Pages = {467--475},
	Title = {Identification and estimation of local average treatment effects},
	Volume = {62},
	Year = {1994}}

@article{ImbensRubin:1997,
	Author = {Imbens, G. W. and Rubin, D. B.},
	Journal = {Annals of Statistics},
	Pages = {305--327},
	Title = {Bayesian inference for causal effects in randomized experiments with noncompliance},
	Volume = {25},
	Year = {1997}}

@article{ImbensRubinSacerdote:2001,
	Author = {Imbens, G. W. and Rubin, D. B. and Sacerdote, B.},
	Journal = {American Economic Review},
	Month = {September},
	Number = {4},
	Pages = {778--794},
	Title = {Estimating the effect of unearned income on labor earnings, savings, and consumption: evidence from a survey of lottery players},
	Volume = {91},
	Year = {2001}}

@article{Jackman:2001,
	Author = {Jackman, S.},
	Journal = {Political Analysis},
	Pages = {227--241},
	Title = {Multidimensional analysis of roll call data via Bayesian simulation: identification, estimation, inference and model checking},
	Volume = {9},
	Year = {2001}}

@article{JacksonBestRichardson:2006,
	Author = {Jackson, C. and Best, N. and Richardson, C.},
	Journal = {Statistics in Medicine},
	Pages = {2136--2159},
	Title = {Improving ecological inference using individual-level data},
	Volume = {25},
	Year = {2006}}

@article{JacobLefgren:2004,
	Author = {Jacob, B. A. and Lefgren, L.},
	Journal = {Review of Economics and Statistics},
	Pages = {226--244},
	Title = {Remedial education and student achievement: a regression-discontinuity analysis},
	Volume = {86},
	Year = {2004}}

@inproceedings{JamesStein:1960,
	Address = {Berkeley},
	Author = {James, W. and Stein, C.},
	Booktitle = {Proceedings of the Fourth Berkeley Symposium on Mathematical Statistics and Probability},
	Editor = {J. Neyman},
	Pages = {361--380},
	Publisher = {University of California Press},
	Title = {Estimation with quadratic loss},
	Volume = {1},
	Year = {1960}}

@book{Jaynes:,
	Address = {Dordrecht, Netherlands},
	Author = {Jaynes, E. T.},
	Editor = {R. D. Rosenkrantz},
	Publisher = {Reidel},
	Title = {Papers on Probability, Statistics, and Statistical Physics}}

@book{Jeffreys:1961,
	Author = {Jeffreys, H.},
	Edition = {3rd},
	Publisher = {Oxford University Press.},
	Title = {Theory of Probability},
	Year = {1961}}

@article{JoffeRosenbaum:1999,
	Author = {Joffe, M. M. and Rosenbaum, P. R.},
	Journal = {American Journal of Epidemiology},
	Pages = {327--333},
	Title = {Propensity scores},
	Volume = {150},
	Year = {1999}}

@article{Johnson:1997,
	Author = {Johnson, V. E..},
	Journal = {Statistical Science},
	Pages = {251--278},
	Title = {An alternative to traditional GPA for evaluating student performance (with discussion)},
	Volume = {12},
	Year = {1997}}

@article{Johnson:1996,
	Author = {Johnson, V. E.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {42--51},
	Title = {On Bayesian analysis of multirater ordinal data:an application to automated essay grading},
	Volume = {91},
	Year = {1996}}

@article{Kane:2003,
	Author = {Kane, Melinda D.},
	Journal = {Mobilization: The International Journal of Research in Social Movements, Protest, and Contentious Politics},
	Number = {3},
	Pages = {313-34},
	Title = {Social Movement Policy Success: Decriminalizing State Sodomy Laws 1969-1998},
	Volume = {8},
	Year = {2003}}

@article{KaneRockoffStaiger:2008,
	Author = {Kane, T. J. and Rockoff, J. E. and Staiger, D. O.},
	Journal = {Economics of Education Review},
	Month = {December},
	Number = {6},
	Pages = {615--631},
	Title = {What does certification tell us about teacher effectiveness? evidence from New York City},
	Volume = {27},
	Year = {2008}}

@article{KarimZeger:1992,
	Author = {Karim, M. R. and Zeger, S. L.},
	Journal = {Biometrics},
	Pages = {631--644},
	Title = {Generalized linear models with random effects; salamander mating revisited},
	Volume = {48},
	Year = {1992}}

@article{KassCarlinGelmanEtAl:1998,
	Author = {Kass, R. E. and Carlin, B. P. and Gelman, A. and Neal, R.},
	Journal = {American Statistician},
	Pages = {93--100},
	Title = {Markov chain Monte Carlo in practice: a roundtable discussion},
	Volume = {52},
	Year = {1998}}

@article{KassWasserman:1996,
	Author = {Kass, R. E. and Wasserman, L.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {1343--1370},
	Title = {The selection of prior distributions by formal rules},
	Volume = {91},
	Year = {1996}}

@article{KastellecLaxPhillips:2010,
	Author = {Kastellec, J.P. and J.R. Lax and J. Phillips},
	Journal = {Journal of Politics},
	Number = {3},
	Pages = {767--784},
	Publisher = {Citeseer},
	Title = {Public Opinion and Senate Confirmation of Supreme Court Nominees},
	Volume = {72},
	Year = {2010}}

@incollection{KennyKashyBolger:1998,
	Address = {Boston},
	Author = {Kenny, D. A. and Kashy, D. A. and Bolger, N.},
	Booktitle = {Handbook of Social Psychology},
	Editor = {D. Gilbert, S. Fiske, and G. Lindzey},
	Pages = {233--265},
	Publisher = {McGraw-Hill},
	Title = {Data analysis in social psychology},
	Year = {1998}}

@unpublished{Kerman:2006,
	Author = {Kerman, J.},
	Note = {Department of Statistics, Columbia University},
	Title = {Umacs: a universal Markov chain sampler},
	Year = {2006}}

@unpublished{KermanGelman:2006,
	Author = {Kerman, J. and Gelman, A.},
	Note = {Department of Statistics, Columbia University},
	Title = {Fully Bayesian computing},
	Year = {2006}}

@unpublished{KermanGelman:2006a,
	Author = {Kerman, J. and Gelman, A.},
	Note = {Department of Statistics, Columbia University},
	Title = {Enhanced R functions for displaying and manipulating regression inferences},
	Year = {2006}}

@article{KillworthJohnsenMcCartyEtAl:1998,
	Author = {Killworth, P. D. and Johnsen, E. and McCarty, C. and Shelley, G. A. and Bernard, H. R.},
	Journal = {Social Networks},
	Pages = {23--50},
	Title = {Estimation of seroprevalence, rape and homelessness in the U.S. using a social network approach},
	Volume = {20},
	Year = {1998}}

@article{King:1986,
	Author = {King, G.},
	Journal = {American Journal of Political Science},
	Pages = {666--687},
	Title = {How not to lie with statistics: avoiding common mistakes in quantitative political science},
	Volume = {30},
	Year = {1986}}

@article{KingHonakerJosephEtAl:2001,
	Author = {King, G. and Honaker, J. and Joseph, A. and Scheve, K.},
	Journal = {American Political Science Review},
	Pages = {49--69},
	Title = {Analyzing incomplete political science data: an alternative algorithm for multiple imputation},
	Volume = {95},
	Year = {2001}}

@article{KingTomzWittenberg:2000,
	Author = {King, G. and Tomz, M. and Wittenberg, J.},
	Journal = {American Journal of Political Science},
	Pages = {341--355},
	Title = {Making the most of statistical analyses: improving interpretation and presentation},
	Volume = {44},
	Year = {2000}}

@article{KingZeng:2006,
	Author = {King, G. and Zeng, L.},
	Journal = {Political Analysis},
	Pages = {131--159},
	Title = {The dangers of extreme counterfactuals},
	Volume = {14},
	Year = {2006}}

@book{Kirk:1995,
	Address = {Pacific Grove, California},
	Author = {Kirk, R. E.},
	Edition = {3rd},
	Publisher = {Brooks/Cole},
	Title = {Experimental Design: Procedures for the Behavioral Sciences},
	Year = {1995}}

@phdthesis{Kiss:2003,
	Author = {Kiss, A.},
	School = {Department of Biostatistics, Columbia University},
	Title = {Hierarchical models: what the data are really telling us},
	Year = {2003}}

@article{KleibergenZivot:2003,
	Author = {Kleibergen, F. and Zivot, E.},
	Journal = {Journal of Econometrics},
	Pages = {29--72},
	Title = {Bayesian and classical approaches to instrumental variable regression},
	Volume = {114},
	Year = {2003}}

@book{Kousser:2005,
	Address = {Cambridge, United Kingdom},
	Author = {Kousser, Thad},
	Publisher = {Cambridge University Press},
	Title = {Term Limits and the Dismantling of State Legislative Professionalism},
	Year = {2005}}

@article{Krantz:1999,
	Author = {Krantz, D. H.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {1372--1381},
	Title = {The null hypothesis testing controversy in psychology},
	Volume = {94},
	Year = {1999}}

@book{KreftDe-Leeuw:1998,
	Address = {London},
	Author = {Kreft, I. and De-Leeuw, J.},
	Publisher = {Sage},
	Title = {Introducing Multilevel Modeling},
	Year = {1998}}


@article{LairdWare:1982,
	Author = {Laird, N. M. and Ware, J. H.},
	Journal = {Biometrics},
	Pages = {963--974},
	Title = {Random-effects models for longitudinal data},
	Volume = {38},
	Year = {1982}}

@article{LaLonde:1986,
	Author = {LaLonde, R. J},
	Journal = {American Economic Review},
	Pages = {604--620},
	Title = {Evaluating the econometric evaluations of training programs using experimental data},
	Volume = {76},
	Year = {1986}}

@incollection{LaMotte:1983,
	Address = {New York},
	Author = {LaMotte, L. R.},
	Booktitle = {Encyclopedia of Statistical Sciences},
	Editor = {S. Kotz, N. L. Johnson, and C. B. Read},
	Pages = {137--141},
	Publisher = {Wiley},
	Title = {Fixed-, random-, and mixed-effects models},
	Volume = {3},
	Year = {1983}}

@book{Lancaster:2004,
	Address = {Oxford},
	Author = {Lancaster, T.},
	Publisher = {Blackwell},
	Title = {An Introduction to Modern Bayesian Econometrics},
	Year = {2004}}

@article{LandwehrPregibonShoemaker:1984,
	Author = {Landwehr, J. M. and Pregibon, D. and Shoemaker, A. C.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {61--83},
	Title = {Graphical methods for assessing logistic regression models},
	Volume = {79},
	Year = {1984}}

@article{LaneNelder:1982,
	Author = {Lane, P. W. and Nelder, J. A.},
	Journal = {Biometrics},
	Pages = {613--621},
	Title = {Analysis of covariance and standardization as instances of prediction},
	Volume = {38},
	Year = {1982}}

@article{LangeLittleTaylor:1989,
	Author = {Lange, K. L. and Little, R. J. A. and Taylor, J. M. G.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {881--896},
	Title = {Robust statistical modeling using the $t$ distribution},
	Volume = {84},
	Year = {1989}}

@article{LascherJr.Rochlin:1996,
	Author = {Lascher, Edward L. and Jr. Michael G. Hagen and Steven A. Rochlin},
	Journal = {Journal of Politics},
	Month = {August},
	Title = {Gun Behind the Door: Ballot Initiatives, State Policies and Public Opinion},
	Volume = {58},
	Year = {1996}}

@article{LavoriKellerEndicott:1995,
	Author = {Lavori, P. W. and Keller, M. B. and Endicott, J.},
	Journal = {Statistics in Medicine},
	Pages = {1913--1925},
	Title = {Improving the aggregate performance of psychiatric diagnostic methods when not all subjects receive the standard test},
	Volume = {14},
	Year = {1995}}

@article{LaxPhillips:2009,
	Author = {Lax, Jeffrey R. and Justin H. Phillips},
	Journal = {American Political Sceince Review},
	Month = {August},
	Number = {3},
	Title = {Gay Rights in the States: Public Opinion and Policy Responsiveness},
	Volume = {103},
	Year = {2009}}

@article{LaxPhillips:2009a,
	Author = {Lax, Jeffrey R. and Justin H. Phillips},
	Journal = {American Journal of Political Science},
	Number = {1},
	Pages = {107-21},
	Title = {How Should We Estimate Public Opinion in the States?},
	Volume = {53},
	Year = {2009}}

@article{Leamer:1983,
	Author = {Leamer, E.},
	Journal = {American Economic Review},
	Pages = {31--43},
	Title = {Let's take the con out of econometrics},
	Volume = {73},
	Year = {1983}}

@book{Leamer:1978,
	Address = {New York},
	Author = {Leamer, E.},
	Publisher = {Wiley},
	Title = {Specification Searches: Ad Hoc Inference with Nonexperimental Data},
	Year = {1978}}

@article{Lechner:1999,
	Author = {Lechner, M.},
	Journal = {Journal of Business and Economic Statistics},
	Pages = {74--90},
	Title = {Earnings and employment effects of continuous off-the-job training in East Germany after unification},
	Volume = {17},
	Year = {1999}}

@article{LeeMorettiButler:2004,
	Author = {Lee, D. S. and Moretti, E. and Butler, M. J.},
	Journal = {Quarterly Journal of Economics},
	Pages = {807--859},
	Title = {Do voters affect or elect policies? Evidence from the U.S. House},
	Volume = {119},
	Year = {2004}}

@article{Lenth:2001,
	Author = {Lenth, R. V.},
	Journal = {American Statistician},
	Pages = {187--193},
	Title = {Some practical guidelines for effective sample size determination},
	Volume = {55},
	Year = {2001}}

@article{LesaffreAlbert:1989,
	Author = {Lesaffre, E. and Albert, A.},
	Journal = {Journal of the Royal Statistical Society B},
	Pages = {109--116},
	Title = {Partial separation in logistic discrimination},
	Volume = {51},
	Year = {1989}}

@article{LevittWolfram:1997,
	Author = {Levitt, S. D. and Wolfram, C. D.},
	Journal = {Legislative Studies Quarterly},
	Pages = {45--60},
	Title = {Decomposing the sources of incumbency advantage in the U.S. House},
	Volume = {22},
	Year = {1997}}

@article{LiangMcCullagh:1993,
	Author = {Liang, K. Y. and McCullagh, P.},
	Journal = {Biometrics},
	Pages = {623--630},
	Title = {Case studies in binary dispersion},
	Volume = {49},
	Year = {1993}}

@article{LinGelmanPriceEtAl:1999,
	Author = {Lin, C. Y. and Gelman, A. and Price, P. N. and Krantz, D. H.},
	Journal = {Statistical Science},
	Pages = {305--337},
	Title = {Analysis of local decisions using hierarchical modeling, applied to home radon measurement and remediation (with discussion)},
	Volume = {14},
	Year = {1999}}

@unpublished{Linden:2006,
	Author = {Linden, L.},
	Institution = {Department of Economics, Columbia University},
	Title = {Are incumbents really advantaged? The preference for non-incumbents in India},
	Year = {2006}}

@article{LindleySmith:1972,
	Author = {Lindley, D. V. and Smith, A. F. M.},
	Journal = {Journal of the Royal Statistical Society B},
	Pages = {1--41},
	Title = {Bayes estimates for the linear model},
	Volume = {34},
	Year = {1972}}

@article{LiraAshworthMorris:1998,
	Author = {Lira, P. I. and Ashworth, A. and Morris, S. S.},
	Journal = {American Journal of Clinical Nutrition},
	Pages = {418S--424S},
	Title = {Effect of zinc supplementation on the morbidity, immune function, and growth of low-birth-weight, full-term infants in northeast Brazil},
	Volume = {68},
	Year = {1998}}

@article{Little:1993,
	Author = {Little, R.J.A.},
	Issn = {0162-1459},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Number = {423},
	Pages = {1001--1012},
	Publisher = {JSTOR},
	Title = {Post-stratification: A modeler's perspective},
	Volume = {88},
	Year = {1993}}

@article{Little:1991,
	Author = {Little, R.J.A.},
	Journal = {Journal of Official Statistics},
	Number = {4},
	Pages = {405--424},
	Title = {Inference with survey weights},
	Volume = {7},
	Year = {1991}}

@book{LittleRubin:2002,
	Address = {New York},
	Author = {Little, R. J. A. and Rubin, D. B.},
	Edition = {2nd},
	Publisher = {Wiley},
	Title = {Statistical Analysis with Missing Data},
	Year = {2002}}

@incollection{Liu:2004,
	Address = {London},
	Author = {Liu, C.},
	Booktitle = {Applied Bayesian Modeling and Causal Inference from Incomplete-Data Perspectives},
	Editor = {A. Gelman and X. L. Meng},
	Pages = {227--238},
	Publisher = {Wiley},
	Title = {Robit regression: a simple robust alternative to logistic and probit regression},
	Year = {2004}}

@article{Liu:1995,
	Author = {Liu, C.},
	Journal = {Journal of Multivariate Analysis},
	Pages = {198--206},
	Title = {Missing data imputation using the multivariate $t$ distribution},
	Volume = {48},
	Year = {1995}}

@article{LiuRubinWu:1998,
	Author = {Liu, C. and Rubin, D. B. and Wu, Y. N.},
	Journal = {Biometrika},
	Pages = {755--770},
	Title = {Parameter expansion to accelerate EM: the PX-EM algorithm},
	Volume = {85},
	Year = {1998}}

@book{Liu:2002,
	Address = {New York},
	Author = {Liu, J.},
	Publisher = {Springer-Verlag},
	Title = {Monte Carlo Strategies in Scientific Computing},
	Year = {2002}}

@article{LiuWu:1999,
	Author = {Liu, J. and Wu, Y. N.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {1264--1274},
	Title = {Parameter expansion for data augmentation},
	Volume = {94},
	Year = {1999}}

@article{LoChernoffCongEtAl:2008,
	Author = {Lo, S.H. and Chernoff, H. and Cong, L. and Ding, Y. and Zheng, T.},
	Journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences},
	Number = {34},
	Pages = {12387},
	Publisher = {National Acad Sciences},
	Title = {Discovering interactions among {BRCA1} and other candidate genes associated with sporadic breast cancer},
	Volume = {105},
	Year = {2008}}

@book{Lohr:1999,
	Address = {Pacific Grove, California},
	Author = {Lohr, S.},
	Publisher = {Duxbury},
	Title = {Sampling: Design and Analysis},
	Year = {1999}}

@incollection{Loken:2004,
	Address = {London},
	Author = {Loken, E.},
	Booktitle = {Applied Bayesian Modeling and Causal Inference from Incomplete-Data Perspectives},
	Editor = {A. Gelman and X. L. Meng},
	Pages = {203--213},
	Publisher = {Wiley},
	Title = {Multimodality in mixture models and factor models},
	Year = {2004}}

@book{Longford:2005,
	Address = {New York},
	Author = {Longford, N.},
	Publisher = {Springer-Verlag},
	Title = {Missing Data and Small-Area Estimation},
	Year = {2005}}

@book{Longford:1993,
	Address = {Oxford},
	Author = {Longford, N.},
	Publisher = {Clarendon Press},
	Title = {Random Coefficient Models},
	Year = {1993}}

@book{LordNovick:1968,
	Address = {Reading, Massachusetts},
	Author = {Lord, F. M. and Novick, M. R.},
	Publisher = {Addison-Wesley},
	Title = {Statistical Theories of Mental Test Scores},
	Year = {1968}}

@article{Louis:1984,
	Author = {Louis, T. A.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {393--398},
	Title = {Estimating a population of parameter values using Bayes and empirical Bayes methods},
	Volume = {78},
	Year = {1984}}

@article{LouisShen:1999,
	Author = {Louis, T. A. and Shen, W.},
	Journal = {Statistics in Medicine},
	Pages = {2493--2505},
	Title = {Innovations in Bayes and emprical Bayes methods: estimating parameters, populations and ranks},
	Volume = {18},
	Year = {1999}}

@article{LuGelman:2003,
	Author = {Lu, H. and Gelman, A.},
	Journal = {Journal of Official Statistics},
	Number = {2},
	Pages = {133--151},
	Publisher = {Citeseer},
	Title = {Sampling Variances for Surveys With Weighting, Poststratification, and Raking},
	Volume = {19},
	Year = {2003}}

@article{LunnSpiegelhalterThomasBest:2009,
	Author = {D. Lunn and D.~Spiegelhalter and A.~Thomas and N.~Best}, 
	Journal = {Statistics in Medicine},
	Pages = {3049-3067},
	Title = {The {BUGS} project: Evolution, critique, and future directions},
	Url = {http://www.openbugs.info/w/},
	Volume = {28},
	Year = {2009},
	Bdsk-Url-1 = {http://www.openbugs.info/w/}}

@article{LunnThomasSpiegelhalter:2000,
	Address = {Cambridge, England},
	Author = {Lunn, D.J. and Thomas, A. Best, N. and Spiegelhalter, D.},
	Journal = {Statistics and Computing},
	Organization = {MRC Biostatistics Unit},
	Pages = {325--337},
	Title = {{WinBUGS} -- a {B}ayesian modelling framework: concepts, structure, and extensibility},
	Url = {www.mrc-bsu.cam.ac.uk/bugs/},
	Volume = {10},
	Year = {2000},
	Bdsk-Url-1 = {www.mrc-bsu.cam.ac.uk/bugs/}}

@misc{LupiaKrupnikovLevineEtAl:2009,
	Author = {Lupia, Arthur and Yanna Krupnikov and Adam Seth Levine and Spencer Piston and Alexander Von Hagen-Jamar},
	Howpublished = {Presented at the Annual Meeting of the Midwest Political Science Association},
	Title = {Why State Constitutions in their Treatment of Same-Sex Marriage},
	Year = {2009}}

@article{LupiaMatsusaka:2004,
	Author = {Lupia, Arthur and John G. Matsusaka},
	Journal = {Annual Review of Political Science},
	Pages = {463-82},
	Title = {Direct Democracy: New Approaches to Old Questions},
	Volume = {7},
	Year = {2004}}

@article{MacLehoseDunsonHerringEtAl:2007,
	Author = {MacLehose, R. F. and Dunson, D. B. and Herring, A. and Hoppin, J. A.},
	Journal = {Epidemiology},
	Month = {March},
	Number = {2},
	Title = {Bayesian methods for highly correlated exposure data},
	Volume = {18},
	Year = {2007}}

@book{Maddala:1983,
	Author = {Maddala, G. S.},
	Publisher = {Cambridge University Press},
	Title = {Limited Dependent and Qualitative Variables in Econometrics},
	Year = {1983}}

@article{Maddala:1976,
	Author = {Maddala, G. S.},
	Journal = {Econometrica},
	Pages = {345--351},
	Title = {Weak priors and sharp posteriors in simultaneous equation models},
	Volume = {44},
	Year = {1976}}

@article{MadiganRaftery:1994,
	Author = {Madigan, D. and Raftery, A. E.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {1535--1546},
	Title = {Model selection and accounting for model uncertainty in graphical models using Occam's window},
	Volume = {89},
	Year = {1994}}

@article{Maestas:2000,
	Author = {Maestas, Cherie},
	Journal = {Legislative Studies Quarterly},
	Number = {4},
	Pages = {663-90},
	Title = {Professional Legislatures and Ambitious Politicians: Policy Responsiveness of State Institutions},
	Volume = {25},
	Year = {2000}}

@book{Magleby:1984,
	Address = {Baltimore},
	Author = {Magleby, David B.},
	Publisher = {The Johns Hopkins University Press},
	Title = {Direct Legislation: Voting on Ballot Propositions in the United States},
	Year = {1984}}

@article{Mallows:1973,
	Author = {Mallows, C. L.},
	Journal = {Technometrics},
	Pages = {661--675},
	Title = {Some comments on $C_p$},
	Volume = {15},
	Year = {1973}}

@article{Manski:1990,
	Author = {Manski, C. F.},
	Journal = {American Economic Reviews, Papers and Proceedings},
	Pages = {319--323},
	Title = {Nonparametric bounds on treatment effects},
	Volume = {80},
	Year = {1990}}

@article{MartinQuinn:2002,
	Author = {Martin, A. D. and Quinn, K. M.},
	Journal = {Political Analysis},
	Pages = {134--153},
	Title = {Dynamic ideal point estimation via Markov chain Monte Carlo for the U.S. Supreme Court, 1953--1999},
	Volume = {10},
	Year = {2002}}

@article{MartinQuinnPark:2011,
	Author = {Andrew D. Martin and Kevin M. Quinn and Jong Hee Park},
	Journal = {Journal of Statistical Software},
	Number = {9},
	Pages = {22},
	Title = {{MCMCpack}: Markov Chain Monte Carlo in {R}},
	Url = {http://www.jstatsoft.org/v42/i09/, http://mcmcpack.wustl.edu/},
	Volume = {42},
	Year = {2011},
	Bdsk-Url-1 = {http://www.jstatsoft.org/v42/i09/,%20http://mcmcpack.wustl.edu/}}

@book{Matsusaka:2005,
	Address = {Chicago},
	Author = {Matsusaka, John G.},
	Publisher = {University of Chicago Press},
	Title = {For the Many or the Few: The Initiative, Public Policy, and American Democracy},
	Year = {2005}}

@article{Matsusaka:2001,
	Author = {Matsusaka, John G.},
	Journal = {The Journal of Politics},
	Number = {4},
	Pages = {1250-6},
	Title = {Problems with a Methodology Used to Evaluate the Voter Initiative},
	Volume = {63},
	Year = {2001}}

@book{Mayhew:1974,
	Address = {New Haven},
	Author = {Mayhew, David},
	Publisher = {Yale University Press},
	Title = {Congress: The Electoral Connection},
	Year = {1974}}

@unpublished{Mayo:2011,
	Author = {Mayo, D. G.},
	Title = {Some surprising facts about (the problem of) surprising facts},
	Year = {2011}}

@article{Mayo:2008,
	Author = {Mayo, D. G.},
	Journal = {British Journal of Philosophy of Science},
	Pages = {857--879},
	Title = {How to discount double-counting when it counts: some clarifications},
	Volume = {59},
	Year = {2008}}

@article{McCartyKillworthBernardEtAl:2000,
	Author = {McCarty, C. and Killworth, P. D. and Bernard, H. R. and Johnsen, E. and Shelley, G. A.},
	Journal = {Human Organization},
	Pages = {28--39},
	Title = {Comparing two methods for estimating network size},
	Volume = {60},
	Year = {2000}}

@book{McCartyPooleRosenthal:2005,
	Address = {Cambridge, Massachusetts},
	Author = {McCarty, N. and Poole, K. T. and Rosenthal, H.},
	Publisher = {MIT Press.},
	Title = {Polarized America: The Dance of Political Ideology and Unequal Riches},
	Year = {2005}}

@article{McCormickSalganikZheng:2010,
	Author = {McCormick, T. and Salganik, M.J. and Zheng, T.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {59-70},
	Title = {How many people do you know? Efficiently estimating personal network size},
	Volume = {105},
	Year = {2010}}

@inproceedings{McCormickZheng:2010,
	Address = {Vancouver, B.C.},
	Author = {McCormick, T. H. and Zheng, T.},
	Booktitle = {Conference Proceedings of the Joint Statistical Meetings},
	Title = {A latent space representation of overdispersed relative propensity in ``How many X's do you know?'' data},
	Year = {2010}}

@article{McCullagh:2005,
	Author = {McCullagh, P.},
	Journal = {Annals of Statistics},
	Pages = {33--38},
	Title = {Discussion of ``Analysis of variance: why it is more important than ever,'' by A. Gelman},
	Volume = {33},
	Year = {2005}}

@article{McCullagh:1980,
	Author = {McCullagh, P.},
	Journal = {Journal of the Royal Statistical Society B},
	Pages = {109--142},
	Title = {Regression models for ordinal data (with discussion)},
	Volume = {42},
	Year = {1980}}

@book{McCullaghNelder:1989,
	Address = {London},
	Author = {McCullagh, P. and Nelder, J. A.},
	Edition = {2nd},
	Publisher = {Chapman and Hall},
	Title = {Generalized Linear Models},
	Year = {1989}}

@article{McDonaldSchwing:1973,
	Author = {McDonald, G. C. and Schwing, R. C.},
	Journal = {Technometrics},
	Pages = {463--482},
	Title = {Instabilities of regression estimates relating air pollution to mortality},
	Volume = {15},
	Year = {1973}}

@incollection{McFadden:1973,
	Address = {New York},
	Author = {McFadden, D.},
	Booktitle = {Frontiers in Econometrics},
	Editor = {P. Zarembka},
	Pages = {105--142},
	Publisher = {Academic Press},
	Title = {Conditional logit analysis of qualitative choice behavior},
	Year = {1973}}

@article{MengGelman:1998,
	Author = {Meng, X.L. and Gelman, Andrew},
	Journal = {Bayesian Statistics},
	Title = {Discussion of ``{Q}uantifying surprise in the data and model verification,'' by {M}. {J}. {B}ayarri and {J}. {O}. {B}erger},
	Volume = {6},
	Year = {1998}}

@article{Meng:1994,
	Author = {Meng, X. L.},
	Journal = {Annals of Statistics},
	Number = {3},
	Pages = {1142--1160},
	Title = {Posterior predictive p-values},
	Volume = {22},
	Year = {1994}}

@article{Meng:1994a,
	Author = {Meng, X. L.},
	Journal = {Statistical Science},
	Pages = {538--573},
	Title = {Multiple-imputation inferences with uncongenial sour\-ces of input (with discussion)},
	Volume = {9},
	Year = {1994}}

@article{MengZaslavsky:2002,
	Author = {Meng, X. L. and Zaslavsky, A. M.},
	Journal = {Annals of Statistics},
	Pages = {1345--1375},
	Title = {Single observation unbiased priors},
	Volume = {30},
	Year = {2002}}

@misc{MengChenDuanEtAl:2009,
	Author = {Xiao-Li Meng and Chihnan Chen and Naihua Duan and Margarita Alegria},
	Howpublished = {Presented at the Joint Statistical Meetings, Washington, D.C.},
	Note = {Washington, D.C.},
	Title = {Power-shrinkage: An alternative method for dealing with excessive weights},
	Year = {2009}}

@article{MetropolisRosenbluthRosenbluthEtAl:1953,
	Author = {Metropolis, N. and Rosenbluth, A. W. and Rosenbluth, M. N. and Teller, A.H. and Teller, E.},
	Journal = {Journal of Chemical Physics},
	Pages = {1087--1092},
	Title = {Equation of state calculations by fast computing machines},
	Volume = {21},
	Year = {1953}}

@article{MichalopoulosBloomHill:2004,
	Author = {Michalopoulos, C. and Bloom, H. S. and Hill, C. J.},
	Journal = {Review of Economics and Statistics},
	Pages = {156--179},
	Title = {Can propensity score methods match the findings from a random assignment evaluation of mandatory welfare-to-work programs?},
	Volume = {86},
	Year = {2004}}

@article{Monroe:1998,
	Author = {Monroe, Alan D.},
	Journal = {Public Opinion Quarterly},
	Pages = {6-28},
	Title = {Public Opinion and Policy, 1980-1993},
	Volume = {62},
	Year = {1998}}

@book{Montgomery:1986,
	Address = {New York},
	Author = {Montgomery, D. C.},
	Edition = {2nd},
	Publisher = {Wiley},
	Title = {Design and Analysis of Experiments},
	Year = {1986}}

@article{MooneyLee:2000,
	Author = {Mooney, Christopher Z. and Mei-Hsien Lee},
	Journal = {The Journal of Politics},
	Number = {1},
	Title = {The Influence of Values on Concensus and Contentious Morality Policy: U.S. Death Penalty Reform, 1956-82},
	Volume = {62},
	Year = {2000}}

@book{MooreMcCabe:1998,
	Address = {New York},
	Author = {Moore, D. S. and McCabe, G. P.},
	Edition = {3rd},
	Publisher = {W. H. Freeman},
	Title = {Introduction to the Practice of Statistics},
	Year = {1998}}

@article{Morris:1983,
	Author = {Morris, C.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {47--65},
	Title = {Parametric empirical Bayes inference: theory and applications (with discussion)},
	Volume = {78},
	Year = {1983}}

@article{Mosteller:1951,
	Author = {Mosteller, F.},
	Journal = {Psychometrika},
	Pages = {3--9, 203--206, 207--218},
	Title = {Remarks on the method of paired comparison},
	Volume = {16},
	Year = {1951}}

@book{MostellerTukey:1977,
	Address = {Reading, Massachusetts},
	Author = {Mosteller, F. and Tukey, J. W.},
	Publisher = {Addison-Wesley},
	Title = {Data Analysis and Regression},
	Year = {1977}}

@article{MullerBecherVan-ZweedenEtAl:2001,
	Author = {Muller, O. and Becher, H. and Van-Zweeden, A. B. and Ye, Y. and Diallo, D. A. and Konate,A. T. and Gbangou, A. and Kouate, B. and Gareene, M.},
	Journal = {British Medical Journal},
	Pages = {1567--1573},
	Title = {Effect of zinc supplementation on malaria and other causes of morbidity in west African children:randomized double blind placebo controlled trial},
	Volume = {322},
	Year = {2001}}

@techreport{Murphy:1991,
	Address = {Princeton, N.J.},
	Author = {Murphy, R. T.},
	Institution = {Educational Testing Service},
	Number = {RR-91-55},
	Title = {Educational effectiveness of Sesame Street: a review of the first twenty years of research, 1969--1989},
	Type = {Report},
	Year = {1991}}

@book{Murrell:2005,
	Address = {London},
	Author = {Murrell, P.},
	Publisher = {CRC Press},
	Title = {R Graphics},
	Year = {2005}}

@article{NadaramSedransk:1993,
	Author = {Nadaram, B. and Sedransk, J.},
	Journal = {Journal of the Royal Statistical Society B},
	Pages = {399--408},
	Title = {Bayesian predictive inference for a finite population proportion: two-stage cluster sampling},
	Volume = {55},
	Year = {1993}}

@inproceedings{Nelder:1965,
	Author = {Nelder, J. A.},
	Booktitle = {Proceedings of the Royal Society A},
	Pages = {163--178},
	Title = {The analysis of randomized experiments with orthogonal block structure, II. Treatment structure and general analysis of variance},
	Volume = {273},
	Year = {1965}}

@inproceedings{Nelder:1965a,
	Author = {Nelder, J. A.},
	Booktitle = {Proceedings of the Royal Society A},
	Pages = {147--162},
	Title = {The analysis of randomized experiments with orthogonal block structure, I. Block structure and the null analysis of variance},
	Volume = {273},
	Year = {1965}}

@article{NelderWedderburn:1972,
	Author = {Nelder, J. A. and Wedderburn, R. W. M.},
	Journal = {Journal of the Royal Statistical Society A},
	Pages = {370--384},
	Title = {Generalized linear models},
	Volume = {135},
	Year = {1972}}

@misc{NepomnyaschyGarfinkel:2005,
	Author = {Nepomnyaschy, L. and Garfinkel, I.},
	Title = {The relationship between formal and informal child support: evidence from three-year Fragile Families data},
	Year = {2005}}

@book{NeterKutnerNachtsheimEtAl:1996,
	Address = {Burr Ridge, Illinois},
	Author = {Neter, J. and Kutner, M. H. and Nachtsheim, C. J. and Wasserman, W.},
	Edition = {4th},
	Publisher = {Richard D. Irwin, Inc.},
	Title = {Applied Linear Statistical Models},
	Year = {1996}}

@article{Newman:2003,
	Author = {Newman, M. E. J.},
	Journal = {SIAM Review},
	Pages = {167--256},
	Title = {The structure and function of complex networks},
	Volume = {45},
	Year = {2003}}

@article{NewtonKendziorskiRichmondEtAl:2001,
	Author = {Newton, M. A. and Kendziorski, C. M. and Richmond, C. S. and Blattner, F. R. and Tsui, K. W.},
	Journal = {Journal of Computational Biology},
	Pages = {37--52},
	Title = {On differential variability of expression ratios: improving statistical inference about gene expression changes from microarray data},
	Volume = {8},
	Year = {2001}}

@article{Neyman:1990,
	Author = {Neyman, J.},
	Journal = {Statistical Science},
	Note = {Translated and edited by D. M. Dabrowska and T. P. Speed from the Polish original, which appeared in Roczniki Nauk Rolniczych Tom X (1923) 1-51 (Annals of Agricultural Sciences)},
	Pages = {463--480},
	Title = {On the application of probability theory to agricultural experiments. Essay on principles. Section 9},
	Volume = {5},
	Year = {1990}}

@article{Nocedal:1980,
     Author = {Jorge Nocedal}, 
     Title = {Updating Quasi-Newton Matrices with Limited Storage},
     Journal = {Mathematics of Computation},
     Volume = {35}, 
     Year = {1980},
     Pages = {773--782}
}

@book{NocedalWright:2006,
    Author = { Jorge Nocedal and Stephen J.~Wright},
    Year = {2006},
    Publisher = {Springer-{V}erlag},
    Address = {Berlin},
    Title = {Numerical Optimization},
    Edition = {Second}
}

@article{NormandGlickmanGatsonis:1997,
	Author = {Normand, S. L. and Glickman, M. E. and Gatsonis, C. A.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {803--814},
	Title = {Statistical methods for profiling providers of medical care: issues and applications},
	Volume = {92},
	Year = {1997}}

@article{NormandLandrumGuadagnoli:2001,
	Author = {Normand, S. L. and Landrum, M. B. and Guadagnoli, E. et al.},
	Journal = {Journal of Clinical Epidemiology},
	Pages = {387--398},
	Title = {Validating recommendations for coronary angiography following acute myocardial infarction in the elderly: a matched analysis using propensity scores},
	Volume = {54},
	Year = {2001}}

@article{Norrander:2007,
	Author = {Norrander, Barbara},
	Journal = {State Politics and Policy Quarterly},
	Number = {2},
	Title = {Choosing Among Indicators of State Public Opinion},
	Volume = {7},
	Year = {2007}}

@article{Norrander:2001,
	Author = {Norrander, Barbara},
	Journal = {State Politics and Policy Quarterly},
	Number = {1},
	Pages = {111-25},
	Title = {Measuring State Public Opinion with the Senate National Election Study},
	Volume = {1},
	Year = {2001}}

@article{Norrander:2000,
	Author = {Norrander, Barbara},
	Issn = {1065-9129},
	Journal = {Political Research Quarterly},
	Number = {4},
	Pages = {771-793},
	Publisher = {Sage Publications},
	Title = {The Multi-Layered Impact of Public Opinion on Capital Punishment Implementation in the American States},
	Volume = {53},
	Year = {2000}}

@article{NovickJacksonThayerEtAl:1972,
	Author = {Novick, M. R. and Jackson, P. H. and Thayer, D. T. and Cole, N. S.},
	Journal = {British Journal of Mathematical and Statistical Psychology},
	Pages = {33--50},
	Title = {Estimating multiple regressions in $m$-groups: a cross validation study},
	Volume = {25},
	Year = {1972}}

@article{NovickLewisJackson:1973,
	Author = {Novick, M. R. and Lewis, C. and Jackson, P. H.},
	Journal = {Psychometrika},
	Pages = {19--46},
	Title = {The estimation of proportions in $m$ groups},
	Volume = {38},
	Year = {1973}}

@book{OHalloran:1994,
	Address = {Ann Arbor},
	Author = {O'Halloran, Sharyn},
	Publisher = {University of Michigan Press},
	Title = {Politics, Process and American Trade Policy},
	Year = {1994}}

@article{OKeefe:2004,
	Author = {O'Keefe, S.},
	Journal = {Journal of Urban Economics},
	Pages = {131--150},
	Title = {Job creation in California's enterprise zones: A comparison using a propensity score matching model},
	Volume = {55},
	Year = {2004}}

@inproceedings{OMalleyZaslavsky:2003,
	Author = {O'Malley, A. J. and Zaslavsky, A. M.},
	Booktitle = {American Statistical Association Proceedings of the Biopharmaceutical Section},
	Pages = {3095--3106},
	Title = {Cluster-level covariance analysis for survey data with structured nonresponse},
	Year = {2003}}

@article{Oakes:2004,
	Author = {Oakes, J. M.},
	Journal = {Social Science and Medicine},
	Pages = {1929--1971},
	Title = {The (mis)estimation of neighborhood effects: causal inference for a practicable social epidemiology (with discussion)},
	Volume = {58},
	Year = {2004}}

@article{OpsomerClaeskensRanalliEtAl:2008,
	Author = {Opsomer, J.D. and G. Claeskens and M.G. Ranalli and G. Kauermann and F.J. Breidt},
	Journal = {Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series B},
	Pages = {265-286},
	Title = {Non-parametric small area estimation using penalized spline regression},
	Volume = {70},
	Year = {2008}}

@article{Page:1994,
	Author = {Page, Benjamin I},
	Journal = {P.S.: Political Science and Politics},
	Pages = {25-9},
	Title = {Democratic Responsiveness? Untangling the Links Between Public Opinion and Policy},
	Volume = {27},
	Year = {1994}}

@article{PageShapiro:1983,
	Author = {Page, Benjamin I. and Robert Y. Shapiro},
	Journal = {The American Political Science Review},
	Number = {1},
	Pages = {175-190},
	Title = {The Effects of Public Opinion on Policy},
	Volume = {77},
	Year = {1983}}

@book{Pardoe:2006,
	Address = {New York},
	Author = {Pardoe, I.},
	Publisher = {Wiley.},
	Title = {Applied Regression Modeling},
	Year = {2006}}

@article{Pardoe:2004,
	Author = {Pardoe, I.},
	Journal = {Computational Statistics and Data Analysis},
	Pages = {295--307},
	Title = {Model assessment plots for multilevel logistic regression},
	Volume = {46},
	Year = {2004}}

@article{Pardoe:2001,
	Author = {Pardoe, I.},
	Journal = {Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics},
	Pages = {617--627},
	Title = {A Bayesian sampling approach to regression model checking},
	Volume = {10},
	Year = {2001}}

@article{PardoeCook:2002,
	Author = {Pardoe, I. and Cook, R. D.},
	Journal = {American Statistician},
	Pages = {263--272},
	Title = {A graphical method for assessing the fit of a logistic regression model},
	Volume = {56},
	Year = {2002}}

@article{PardoeSimonton:2008,
	Author = {Pardoe, I. and Simonton, D. K.},
	Journal = {Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A Statistics in Society},
	Number = {2},
	Pages = {375--394},
	Title = {Applying discrete choice models to predict Academy Award winners},
	Volume = {171},
	Year = {2008}}

@article{PardoeWeidner:2006,
	Author = {Pardoe, I. and Weidner, R. R.},
	Journal = {Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference},
	Pages = {1433--1472},
	Title = {Sentencing convicted felons in the United States: a Bayesian analysis using multilevel covariates (with discussion)},
	Volume = {136},
	Year = {2006}}

@incollection{ParkGelmanBafumi:2006,
	Address = {Stanford, California},
	Author = {Park, David K. and Andrew Gelman and Joseph Bafumi},
	Booktitle = {Public Opinion in State Politics},
	Editor = {Jeffrey E. Cohen},
	Publisher = {Stanford University Press},
	Title = {State Level Opinions from National Surveys: Poststratification using Multilevel Logistic Regression},
	Year = {2006}}

@article{ParkGelmanBafumi:2004,
	Author = {Park, David K. and Andrew Gelman and Joseph Bafumi},
	Journal = {Political Analysis},
	Pages = {375--385},
	Title = {Bayesian Multilevel Estimation with Poststratification: State-level Estimates from National Polls},
	Volume = {12},
	Year = {2004}}

@article{PaulerWakefieldKass:1999,
	Author = {Pauler, D. K. and Wakefield, J. C. and Kass, R. E.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {1242--1253},
	Title = {Bayes factors for variance component models},
	Volume = {94},
	Year = {1999}}

@book{Pearl:2000,
	Author = {Pearl, J.},
	Publisher = {Cambridge University Press.},
	Title = {Causality},
	Year = {2000}}

@article{PersicoPostlewaiteSilverman:2004,
	Author = {Persico, N. and Postlewaite, A. and Silverman, D.},
	Journal = {Journal of Political Economy},
	Pages = {1019--1053},
	Title = {The effect of adolescent experience on labor market outcomes: the case of height},
	Volume = {112},
	Year = {2004}}

@article{Phillips:2008,
	Author = {Phillips, Justin H.},
	Journal = {State Politics and Policy Quarterly},
	Number = {2},
	Pages = {127-49},
	Title = {Does Direct Democracy Weaken Party Government in the U.S. States?},
	Volume = {8},
	Year = {2008}}

@book{PinheiroBates:2000,
	Address = {New York},
	Author = {Pinheiro, J. C. and Bates, D. M.},
	Publisher = {Springer-Verlag.},
	Title = {Mixed-Effects Models in S and S-Plus},
	Year = {2000}}

@article{PlotnickWinters:1985,
	Author = {Plotnick, Robert D. and Richard F. Winters},
	Journal = {American Political Science Review},
	Pages = {458-473},
	Title = {A Political Economic Theory of Income Redistribution},
	Volume = {79},
	Year = {1985}}

@inproceedings{Plummer:2003,
	Address = {Vienna, Austria},
	Author = {Martyn Plummer},
	Booktitle = {Proceedings of the 3rd International Workshop on Distributed Statistical Computing},
	Title = {{JAGS}: a program for analysis of {B}ayesian graphical models using {G}ibbs sampling},
	Url = {www-fis.iarc.fr/$\sim$martyn/software/jags/},
	Year = {2003},
	Bdsk-Url-1 = {www-fis.iarc.fr/$%5Csim$martyn/software/jags/}}

@book{PooleRosenthal:1997,
	Author = {Poole, K. T. and Rosenthal, H.},
	Publisher = {Oxford University Press.},
	Title = {Congress: A Political-Economic History of Roll Call Voting},
	Year = {1997}}

@inproceedings{Pratt:1987,
	Author = {Pratt, J. W.},
	Booktitle = {Proceedings of the Second International Tampere Conference in Statistics},
	Editor = {T. Pukkila, T. and S. Puntanen},
	Organization = {Department of Mathematical Sciences/Statistics, University of Tampere, Finland},
	Pages = {245--260},
	Title = {Dividing the indivisible: using simple symmetry to partition variance explained},
	Year = {1987}}

@incollection{PriceGelman:2004,
	Address = {Pacific Grove, California},
	Author = {Price, P. N. and Gelman, A.},
	Booktitle = {Statistics: A Guide to the Unknown},
	Edition = {4th},
	Publisher = {Duxbury},
	Title = {Should you measure the radon concentration in your home?},
	Year = {2004}}

@article{PriceNeroGelman:1996,
	Author = {Price, P. N. and Nero, A. V. and Gelman, A.},
	Journal = {Health Physics},
	Pages = {922--936},
	Title = {Bayesian prediction of mean indoor radon concentrations for Minnesota counties},
	Volume = {71},
	Year = {1996}}

@inproceedings{QiaoHuangCongEtAl:2009,
	Author = {Qiao, B. and Huang, C. and Cong, L. and Xie, J. and Lo, S.H. and Zheng, T.},
	Booktitle = {BMC proceedings},
	Issn = {1753-6561},
	Number = {Suppl 7},
	Pages = {S132},
	Publisher = {BioMed Central Ltd},
	Title = {Genome-wide gene-based analysis of rheumatoid arthritis-associated interaction with {PTPN22} and {HLA-DRB1}},
	Volume = {3},
	Year = {2009}}

@manual{R:2011,
	Address = {Vienna, Austria},
	Author = {{R Development Core Team}},
	Note = {{ISBN} 3-900051-07-0},
	Organization = {R Foundation for Statistical Computing},
	Title = {R: A Language and Environment for Statistical Computing},
	Url = {http://www.R-project.org},
	Year = {2011},
	Bdsk-Url-1 = {http://www.R-project.org}}

@book{Rabe-HeskethEveritt:2003,
	Address = {London},
	Author = {Rabe-Hesketh, S. and Everitt, B. S.},
	Edition = {3rd},
	Publisher = {CRC Press},
	Title = {A Handbook of Statistical Analyses using Stata},
	Year = {2003}}

@book{Rabe-HeskethSkrondal:2005,
	Address = {College Station, Texas},
	Author = {Rabe-Hesketh, S. and Skrondal, A.},
	Publisher = {Stata Press},
	Title = {Multilevel and Longitudinal Modeling using Stata},
	Year = {2005}}

@manual{RaghunathanSolenbergerVan-Hoewyk:2010,
	Author = {Raghunathan, T. E. and Solenberger, P. W. and Van-Hoewyk, J.},
	Month = {December},
	Organization = {Survey Methodology Program , Survey Research Center, Institute for Social Research , University of Michigan},
	Title = {IVEware: Imputation and Variance Estimation},
	Url = {www.isr.umich.edu/src/smp/ive/},
	Year = {2010},
	Bdsk-Url-1 = {www.isr.umich.edu/src/smp/ive/}}

@article{RaghunathanVan-HoewykSolenberger:2001,
	Author = {Raghunathan, T. E. and Van-Hoewyk, J. and Solenberger, P. W.},
	Journal = {Survey Methodology},
	Pages = {85--95},
	Title = {A multivariate technique for multiply imputing missing values using a sequence of regression models},
	Volume = {27},
	Year = {2001}}

@book{RamseySchafer:2001,
	Address = {Pacific Grove, California},
	Author = {Ramsey, F. L. and Schafer, D. W.},
	Edition = {2nd},
	Publisher = {Duxbury.},
	Title = {The Statistical Sleuth},
	Year = {2001}}

@incollection{RasbashBrowne:2003,
	Address = {Boston},
	Author = {Rasbash, J. and Browne, W. J.},
	Booktitle = {Handbook of Quantitative Multilevel Analysis},
	Editor = {J. De Leeuw and I. Kreft.},
	Publisher = {Kluwer},
	Title = {Non-hierarchical multilevel models},
	Year = {2003}}

@article{Raudenbush:1997,
	Author = {Raudenbush, S. W.},
	Journal = {Psychological Methods},
	Pages = {173--185},
	Title = {Statistical analysis and optimal design for cluster randomized trials},
	Volume = {2},
	Year = {1997}}

@book{RaudenbushBryk:2002,
	Address = {Thousand Oaks, California},
	Author = {Raudenbush, S. W. and Bryk, A. S.},
	Edition = {2nd},
	Publisher = {Sage},
	Title = {Hierarchical Linear Models},
	Year = {2002}}

@article{RaudenbushSampson:1999,
	Author = {Raudenbush, S. W. and Sampson, R.},
	Journal = {Sociological Methods and Research},
	Pages = {123--153},
	Title = {Assessing direct and indirect effects in multilevel designs with latent variables},
	Volume = {28},
	Year = {1999}}

@article{RaudenbushXiaofeng:2000,
	Author = {Raudenbush, S. W. and Xiaofeng, L.},
	Journal = {Psychological Methods.},
	Pages = {199--213},
	Title = {Statistical power and optimal design for multisite randomized trials},
	Volume = {5},
	Year = {2000}}

@article{ReillyPriceGelmanSandgathe:2004,
    Author = {Reilly, Cavan and Price, Phillip and Gelman, Andrew and Sandgathe, Scott A.},
    Year = {2004},
    Journal = {Biometrics},
    Volume = {60},
    Pages = {954--964},
    Title = {Using Image and Curve Registration for Measuring the Goodness of Fit of Spatial and Temporal Predictions}
}

@article{ReillyGelmanKatz:2001,
	Abstract = {We investigate the construction of more precise estimates of a collection
	of population means using information about a related variable in
	the context of repeated sample surveys. The method is illustrated
	using poll results concerning presidential approval rating (our related
	variable is political party identification). We use poststratification
	to construct these improved estimates, but because we do not have
	population level information on the poststratifying variable, we
	construct a model for the manner in which the poststratifier develops
	over time. In this manner, we obtain more precise estimates without
	making possibly untenable assumptions about the dynamics of our variable
	of interest, the presidential approval rating.},
	Author = {Reilly, Cavan and Gelman, Andrew and Katz, Jonathan},
	Copyright = {Copyright {\copyright} 2001 American Statistical Association},
	Issn = {01621459},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Jstor_Articletype = {research-article},
	Jstor_Formatteddate = {Mar. 2001},
	Language = {English},
	Number = {453},
	Pages = {pp. 1-11},
	Publisher = {American Statistical Association},
	Title = {Poststratification without Population Level Information on the Poststratifying Variable, with Application to Political Polling},
	Url = {http://www.jstor.org/stable/2670335},
	Volume = {96},
	Year = {2001},
	Bdsk-Url-1 = {http://www.jstor.org/stable/2670335}}

@book{Ripley:1988,
	Author = {Ripley, B. D.},
	Publisher = {Cambridge University Press},
	Title = {Statistical Inference for Spatial Processes},
	Year = {1988}}

@article{RobertsRobertsGelmanEtAl:1997,
	Author = {Roberts, G.O. and Roberts and Andrew Gelman and Walter R. Gilks},
	Journal = {Annals of Applied Probability},
	Pages = {110--120},
	Title = {Weak convergence and optimal scaling of random walk {M}etropolis algorithms},
	Volume = {7},
	Year = {1997}}

@article{RobertsSahu:1997,
	Author = {Roberts, G. O. and Sahu, S. K.},
	Journal = {Journal of the Royal Statistical Society B},
	Pages = {291--317},
	Title = {Updating schemes, correlation structure, blocking and parameterization for the Gibbs sampler},
	Volume = {59},
	Year = {1997}}

@incollection{Robins:1989,
	Address = {Washington, D.C.},
	Author = {Robins, J. M.},
	Booktitle = {Health Services Research Methodology: A Focus on AIDS},
	Editor = {L. Sechrest, H. Freeman, and A. Mulley},
	Pages = {113--159},
	Publisher = {U.S. Public Health Service, National Center for Health Services Research},
	Title = {The analysis of randomized and non-randomized AIDS treatment trials using a new approach to causal inference in longitudinal studies},
	Year = {1989}}

@article{Robins:1998,
	Author = {Robins, J. M.},
	Journal = {Statistics in Medicine},
	Pages = {773--785},
	Title = {Confidence intervals for causal parameters},
	Volume = {7},
	Year = {1998}}

@article{Robins:1994,
	Author = {Robins, J. M.},
	Journal = {Communications in Statistics},
	Pages = {2379--2412},
	Title = {Correcting for non-compliance in randomized trials using structural nested mean models},
	Volume = {23},
	Year = {1994}}

@article{RobinsRitov:1997,
	Author = {Robins, J. M. and Ritov, Y.},
	Journal = {Statistics in Medicine},
	Pages = {285--319},
	Title = {Towards a curse of dimensionality appropriate (CODA) asymptotic theory for semi-parametric models},
	Volume = {16},
	Year = {1997}}

@article{RobinsRotnitzky:1995,
	Author = {Robins, J. M. and Rotnitzky, A.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {122--129},
	Title = {Semiparametric efficiency in multivariate regression models with missing data},
	Volume = {90},
	Year = {1995}}

@article{RobinsRotnitzkyZhao:1995,
	Author = {Robins, J. M. and Rotnitzky, A. and Zhao, L. P.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {106--121},
	Title = {Analysis of semiparametric regression models for repeated outcomes in the presence of mimssing data},
	Volume = {90},
	Year = {1995}}

@article{RobinsWang:2000,
	Author = {Robins, J. M. and Wang, N.},
	Journal = {Biometrika},
	Pages = {113--124},
	Title = {Inference for imputation estimators},
	Volume = {87},
	Year = {2000}}

@article{RobinsVentura:2000,
	Author = {Robins, J. M. van der Vaart, A. and Ventura, V.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {1143--1156},
	Title = {Asymptotic distribution of $p$ values in composite null models},
	Volume = {95},
	Year = {2000}}

@incollection{Robinson:1998,
	Address = {New York},
	Author = {Robinson, G. K.},
	Booktitle = {Encyclopedia of Biostatistics},
	Editor = {P. Armitage and T. Colton},
	Pages = {4713--4719},
	Publisher = {Wiley},
	Title = {Variance components},
	Volume = {6},
	Year = {1998}}

@article{Robinson:1991,
	Author = {Robinson, G. K.},
	Journal = {Statistical Science},
	Pages = {15--51},
	Title = {That BLUP is a good thing: the estimation of random effects (with discussion)},
	Volume = {6},
	Year = {1991}}

@article{RosadoLopezMunozEtAl:1997,
	Author = {Rosado, J. L. and Lopez, P. and Munoz, E. and Martinez, H. and Allen, L. H.},
	Journal = {American Journal of Clinical Nutrition},
	Pages = {13--19},
	Title = {Zinc supplementation reduced morbidity, but neither zinc nor iron supplementation affected-growth or body composition of Mexican preschoolers},
	Volume = {65},
	Year = {1997}}

@article{Rosenbaum:2002,
	Author = {Rosenbaum, P. R.},
	Journal = {Statistical Science},
	Pages = {286--327},
	Title = {Covariance adjustment in randomized experiments and observational studies},
	Volume = {17},
	Year = {2002}}

@book{Rosenbaum:2002a,
	Address = {New York},
	Author = {Rosenbaum, P. R.},
	Publisher = {Springer-Verlag},
	Title = {Observational Studies},
	Year = {2002}}

@article{Rosenbaum:1991,
	Author = {Rosenbaum, P. R.},
	Journal = {Journal of the Royal Statistical Society B},
	Pages = {597--610},
	Title = {A characterization of optimal designs for observational studies},
	Volume = {53},
	Year = {1991}}

@article{Rosenbaum:1989,
	Author = {Rosenbaum, P. R.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {1024--1032},
	Title = {Optimal matching in observational studies},
	Volume = {84},
	Year = {1989}}

@article{Rosenbaum:1987,
	Author = {Rosenbaum, P. R.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {387--394},
	Title = {Model-based direct adjustment},
	Volume = {82},
	Year = {1987}}

@article{Rosenbaum:1984,
	Author = {Rosenbaum, P. R.},
	Journal = {Journal of the Royal Statistical Society A},
	Pages = {656--666},
	Title = {The consequences of adjustment for a concomitant variable that has been affected by the treatment},
	Volume = {147},
	Year = {1984}}

@article{RosenbaumRubin:1985,
	Author = {Rosenbaum, P. R. and Rubin, D. B.},
	Journal = {American Statistician},
	Pages = {33--38},
	Title = {Constructing a control group using multivariate matched sampling methods that incorporate the propensity score},
	Volume = {39},
	Year = {1985}}

@article{RosenbaumRubin:1984,
	Author = {Rosenbaum, P. R. and Rubin, D. B.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {516--524},
	Title = {Reducing bias in observational studies using subclassification on the propensity score.},
	Volume = {79},
	Year = {1984}}

@article{RosenbaumRubin:1983,
	Author = {Rosenbaum, P. R. and Rubin, D. B.},
	Journal = {Journal of the Royal Statistical Society B},
	Pages = {212--218},
	Title = {Assessing sensitivity to an unobserved binary covariate in an observational study with binary outcome},
	Volume = {45},
	Year = {1983}}

@article{RosenbaumRubin:1983a,
	Author = {Rosenbaum, P. R. and Rubin, D. B.},
	Journal = {Biometrika},
	Pages = {41--55},
	Title = {The central role of the propensity score in observational studies for causal effects},
	Volume = {70},
	Year = {1983}}

@book{Rosenberg:2008,
	Address = {Chicago, Illinois},
	Author = {Rosenberg, Gerald N.},
	Publisher = {University of Chicago Press},
	Title = {Hollow Hope: Can Courts Bring About Social Change?},
	Year = {2008}}

@book{Rosenstone:1983,
	Address = {New Haven, Connecticut},
	Author = {Rosenstone, S. J.},
	Publisher = {Yale University Press},
	Title = {Forecasting Presidential Elections},
	Year = {1983}}

@book{Rosenthal:2009,
	Address = {Washington D.C.},
	Author = {Rosenthal, Alan},
	Publisher = {CQ Press},
	Title = {Engines of Democracy: Politics and Policymaking in State Legislatures},
	Year = {2009}}

@book{Rosenthal:2004,
	Address = {Washington D.C.},
	Author = {Rosenthal, Alan},
	Publisher = {CQ Press},
	Title = {Heavy Lifting: The Job of the American Legislature},
	Year = {2004}}

@book{RosenthalRosnowRubin:2000,
	Author = {Rosenthal, R. and Rosnow, R. L. and Rubin, D. B.},
	Publisher = {Cambridge University Press},
	Title = {Contrasts and Effect Sizes in Behavioral Research},
	Year = {2000}}

@electronic{Ross:1990,
	Author = {Ross, Catherine E.},
	Note = {Survey data available from Inter-university Consortium for Political and Social Research, Ann Arbor, Michigan},
	Organization = {Inter-university Consortium for Political and Social Research},
	Title = {Work, family, and well-being in the United States},
	Url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.3886/ICPSR06666},
	Year = {1990},
	Bdsk-Url-1 = {http://dx.doi.org/10.3886/ICPSR06666}}

@incollection{Rubin:2000,
	Address = {New York},
	Author = {Rubin, D. B.},
	Booktitle = {Statistical Science in the Courtromm},
	Editor = {J. L. Gastwirth},
	Pages = {322--350},
	Publisher = {Springer-Verlag},
	Title = {Statistical issues in the estimation of the causal effects of smoking due to the conduct of the tobacco industry},
	Year = {2000}}

@book{Rubin:2006,
	Author = {Rubin, D. B.},
	Publisher = {Cambridge University Press},
	Title = {Matched Sampling for Causal Effects},
	Year = {2006}}

@article{Rubin:2004,
	Author = {Rubin, D. B.},
	Journal = {Scandinavian Journal of Statistics},
	Pages = {161--201},
	Title = {Direct and indirect causal effects via potential outcomes (with discussion)},
	Volume = {31},
	Year = {2004}}

@article{Rubin:1996,
	Author = {Rubin, D. B.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {473--520},
	Title = {Multiple imputation after 18+ years (with discussion)},
	Volume = {91},
	Year = {1996}}

@article{Rubin:1990,
	Author = {Rubin, D. B.},
	Journal = {Statistical Science},
	Pages = {472--480},
	Title = {Discussion of `On the application of probability theory to agricultural experiments. Essay on principles. Section 9,' by J. Neyman},
	Volume = {5},
	Year = {1990}}

@book{Rubin:1987,
	Address = {New York},
	Author = {Rubin, D. B.},
	Publisher = {Wiley},
	Title = {Multiple Imputation for Nonresponse in Surveys},
	Year = {1987}}

@article{Rubin:1984,
	Author = {Rubin, D. B.},
	Journal = {Annals of Statistics},
	Pages = {1151--1172},
	Title = {Bayesianly justifiable and relevant frequency calculations for the applied statistician},
	Volume = {12},
	Year = {1984}}

@article{Rubin:1980,
	Author = {Rubin, D. B.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {801--827},
	Title = {Using empirical Bayes techniques in the law school validity studies (with discussion)},
	Volume = {75},
	Year = {1980}}

@article{Rubin:1979,
	Author = {Rubin, D. B.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {318--328},
	Title = {Using multivariate matched sampling and regression adjustment to control bias in observational studies},
	Volume = {74},
	Year = {1979}}

@article{Rubin:1978,
	Author = {Rubin, D. B.},
	Journal = {Annals of Statistics},
	Pages = {34--58},
	Title = {Bayesian inference for causal effects: the role of randomization},
	Volume = {6},
	Year = {1978}}

@article{Rubin:1976,
	Author = {Rubin, D. B.},
	Journal = {Biometrika},
	Pages = {581--592},
	Title = {Inference and missing data},
	Volume = {63},
	Year = {1976}}

@article{Rubin:1974,
	Author = {Rubin, D. B.},
	Journal = {Journal of Educational Psychology},
	Pages = {688--701},
	Title = {Estimating causal effects of treatments in randomized and nonrandomized studies},
	Volume = {66},
	Year = {1974}}

@article{Rubin:1973,
	Author = {Rubin, D. B.},
	Journal = {Biometrics},
	Pages = {185--203},
	Title = {The use of matched sampling and regression adjustment to remove bias in observational studies},
	Volume = {29},
	Year = {1973}}

@article{RubinSternVehovar:1995,
	Author = {Rubin, D. B. and Stern, H. S, and Vehovar, V.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {822--828},
	Title = {Handling ``Don't Know'' survey responses: the case of the Slovenian plebiscite},
	Volume = {90},
	Year = {1995}}

@inproceedings{RubinStuart:2005,
	Address = {Alexandria, Va.},
	Author = {Rubin, D. B. and Stuart, E. A.},
	Booktitle = {Proceedings of the American Statistical Association, Section on Health Policy Statistics},
	Organization = {American Statistical Association},
	Title = {Matching with multiple control groups and adjusting for group differences},
	Year = {2005}}

@article{RubinThomas:2000,
	Author = {Rubin, D. B. and Thomas, N.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {573--585},
	Title = {Combining propensity score matching with additional adjustments for prognostic covariates},
	Volume = {95},
	Year = {2000}}

@article{RuelRiveraSantizoEtAl:1997,
	Author = {Ruel, M. T. and Rivera, J. A. and Santizo, M. C. and Lonnerdal, B. and Brown, K. H.},
	Journal = {Pediatrics},
	Pages = {808--813},
	Title = {Impact of zinc supplementation on morbidity from diarrhea and respiratory infections among rural Guatemalan children},
	Volume = {99},
	Year = {1997}}

@unpublished{Sacerdote:2004,
	Author = {Sacerdote, B.},
	Note = {National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper No. 10894},
	Title = {What happens if we randomly assign children to families?},
	Year = {2004}}

@article{SalganikHeckathorn:2004,
	Abstract = {Standard statistical methods often provide no way to make accurate
	estimates about the characteristics of hidden populations such as
	injection drug users, the homeless, and artists. In this paper, we
	further develop a sampling and estimation technique called respondent-driven
	sampling, which allows researchers to make asymptotically unbiased
	estimates about these hidden populations. The sample is selected
	with a snowball-type design that can be done more cheaply, quickly,
	and easily than other methods currently in use. Further, we can show
	that under certain specified (and quite general) conditions, our
	estimates for the percentage of the population with a specific trait
	are asymptotically unbiased. We further show that these estimates
	are asymptotically unbiased no matter how the seeds are selected.
	We conclude with a comparison of respondent-driven samples of jazz
	musicians in New York and San Francisco, with corresponding institutional
	samples of jazz musicians from these cities. The results show that
	some standard methods for studying hidden populations can produce
	misleading results.},
	Author = {Salganik, Matthew J. and Heckathorn, Douglas D.},
	Copyright = {Copyright {\copyright} 2004 American Sociological Association},
	Issn = {00811750},
	Journal = {Sociological Methodology},
	Jstor_Articletype = {research-article},
	Jstor_Formatteddate = {2004},
	Language = {English},
	Pages = {pp. 193-239},
	Publisher = {American Sociological Association},
	Title = {Sampling and Estimation in Hidden Populations Using Respondent-Driven Sampling},
	Url = {http://www.jstor.org/stable/3649374},
	Volume = {34},
	Year = {2004},
	Bdsk-Url-1 = {http://www.jstor.org/stable/3649374}}

@article{SampsonRaudenbushEarls:1997,
	Author = {Sampson, R. J. and Raudenbush, S. W. and Earls, F.},
	Journal = {Science},
	Pages = {918--924},
	Title = {Neighborhoods and violent crime: a multilevel study of collective efficacy},
	Volume = {277},
	Year = {1997}}

@article{SargentHodgesCarlin:2000,
	Author = {Sargent, D. J. and Hodges, J. S. and Carlin, B. P.},
	Journal = {Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics},
	Pages = {217--234},
	Title = {Structured Markov chain Monte Carlo},
	Volume = {9},
	Year = {2000}}

@book{Schafer:1997,
	Address = {London},
	Author = {Schafer, J. L.},
	Publisher = {Chapman and Hall},
	Title = {Analysis of Incomplete Multivariate Data},
	Year = {1997}}

@phdthesis{Schutt:2010,
	Author = {Schutt, Rachel},
	School = {Department of Statistics, Columbia University},
	Title = {Topics in Model-Based Population Inference},
	Year = {2010}}

@article{ScottSmith:1969,
	Author = {Scott, A. and Smith, T. M. F.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {830--840},
	Title = {Estimation in multi-stage surveys},
	Volume = {64},
	Year = {1969}}

@book{SearleCasellaMcCulloch:1992,
	Address = {New York},
	Author = {Searle, S. R. and Casella, G. and McCulloch, C. E.},
	Publisher = {Wiley},
	Title = {Variance Components},
	Year = {1992}}

@book{ShadishCookCampbell:2002,
	Address = {Boston},
	Author = {Shadish, W. and Cook, T. and Campbell, S.},
	Publisher = {Houghton Mifflin},
	Title = {Experimental and Quasi-Experimental Designs},
	Year = {2002}}

@article{SheinerBealDunne:1997,
	Author = {Sheiner, L. B. and Beal, S. L. and Dunne, A.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {1235--1255},
	Title = {Analysis of non-randomly censored ordered categorical longitudinal data from analgesic trials (with discussion)},
	Volume = {92},
	Year = {1997}}

@article{ShenLouis:1998,
	Author = {Shen, W. and Louis, T. A.},
	Journal = {Journal of the Royal Statistical Society B},
	Pages = {455--471},
	Title = {Triple-goal estimates in two-stage hierarchical models},
	Volume = {60},
	Year = {1998}}

@article{SinharayStern:2003,
	Author = {Sinharay, S. and Stern, H. S.},
	Journal = {Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference},
	Pages = {209--221},
	Title = {Posterior predictive model checking in hierarchical models},
	Volume = {111},
	Year = {2003}}

@article{SkaugFournier:2006,
	Author = {Skaug, H. J. and Fournier, D.},
	Journal = {Computational Statistics and Data Analysis},
	Title = {Automatic approximation of the marginal likelihood in non-Gaussian hierarchical models},
	Year = {2006}}

@book{Skogan:1990,
	Author = {Skogan, W.},
	Publisher = {University of California Press},
	Title = {Disorder and Decline: Crime and the Spiral of Decay in American Cities},
	Year = {1990}}

@article{SmithTodd:2005,
	Author = {Smith, J. and Todd, P. E.},
	Journal = {Journal of Econometrics},
	Pages = {305--375},
	Title = {Does matching overcome LaLonde's critique of nonexperimental estimators? (with discussion)},
	Volume = {120},
	Year = {2005}}

@book{SnedecorCochran:1989,
	Address = {Ames, Iowa},
	Author = {Snedecor, G. W. and Cochran, W. G.},
	Edition = {8th},
	Publisher = {Iowa State University Press},
	Title = {Statistical Methods},
	Year = {1989}}

@manual{SnijdersBoskerGuldemond:2003,
	Author = {Snijders, T. A. B. and Bosker, R. and Guldemond, H.},
	Title = {PINT: Power analysis in two-level designs},
	Url = {stat.gamma.rug.nl/snijders/multilevel.htm\#progPINT},
	Year = {2003},
	Bdsk-Url-1 = {stat.gamma.rug.nl/snijders/multilevel.htm%5C#progPINT}}

@book{SnijdersBosker:1999,
	Address = {London},
	Author = {Snijders, T. A. B. and Bosker, R. J.},
	Publisher = {Sage},
	Title = {Multilevel Analysis},
	Year = {1999}}

@article{SnijdersBosker:1993,
	Author = {Snijders, T. A. B. and Bosker, R. J.},
	Journal = {Journal of Educational Statistics},
	Pages = {237--259},
	Title = {Standard errors and sample sizes for two-level research},
	Volume = {18},
	Year = {1993}}

@article{Sobel:2006,
	Author = {Michael E. Sobel},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Month = {December},
	Number = {476},
	Pages = {1398--1407},
	Title = {What do randomized studies of housing mobility reveal? Causal inference in the face of interference},
	Volume = {101},
	Year = {2006}}

@article{Sobel:1998,
	Author = {Sobel, M. E.},
	Journal = {Sociological Methods and Research},
	Pages = {318--348},
	Title = {Causal inference in statistical models of the process of socioeconomic achievement: a case study},
	Volume = {27},
	Year = {1998}}

@article{Sobel:1990,
	Author = {Sobel, M. E.},
	Journal = {Psychometrika},
	Pages = {495--515},
	Title = {Effect analysis and causation in linear structural equation models},
	Volume = {55},
	Year = {1990}}

@article{Soule:2004,
	Author = {Soule, Sarah A.},
	Journal = {The Journal of Social Problems},
	Number = {4},
	Pages = {453-477},
	Title = {Going to the Chapel? Same-Sex Marriage Bans in the United States, 1973-2000},
	Volume = {51},
	Year = {2004}}

@article{SouleEarl:2001,
	Author = {Soule, Sarah A. and Jennifer Earl},
	Journal = {Sociological Perspectives},
	Number = {3},
	Pages = {281-305},
	Title = {The Enactment of State-Level Hate Crime Law in the United States: Intrastate and Interstate Factors},
	Volume = {44},
	Year = {2001}}

@article{Speed:1990,
	Author = {Speed, T. P.},
	Journal = {Statistical Science},
	Pages = {463--464},
	Title = {Introductory remarks on Neyman (1923).},
	Volume = {5},
	Year = {1990}}

@misc{Spiegelhalter:2006,
	Author = {Spiegelhalter, D. J.},
	Howpublished = {Presented at IceBUGS conference},
	Note = {www.math.helsinki.fi/openbugs/IceBUGS/Presentations/SpiegelhalterIceBUGS.pdf},
	Title = {Two brief topics on modelling with {WinBUGS}},
	Year = {2006}}

@article{SpiegelhalterBestCarlinEtAl:2002,
	Author = {Spiegelhalter, D. J. and Best, N. G. and Carlin, B. P. and Van-der-Linde, A.},
	Journal = {Journal of the Royal Statistical Society B},
	Pages = {583--639},
	Title = {Bayesian measures of model complexity and fit (with discussion)},
	Volume = {64},
	Year = {2002}}

@misc{Spitzer:1999,
	Author = {Spitzer, E.},
	Howpublished = {Published by the Office of the New York State Attorney General},
	Note = {www.oag.state.ny.us/press/reports/stop\_frisk/stop\_frisk.html},
	Title = {The New York City Police Department's ``stop and frisk'' practices},
	Year = {1999}}

@manual{Spotfire:2008,
	Author = {TIBCO Spotfire},
	Title = {S-Plus},
	Url = {http://spotfire.tibco.com/products/s-plus/statistical-analysis-software.aspx},
	Year = {2008},
	Bdsk-Url-1 = {http://spotfire.tibco.com/products/s-plus/statistical-analysis-software.aspx}}

@article{Squire:2007,
	Author = {Squire, Peverill},
	Journal = {State Politics and Policy Quarterly},
	Number = {2},
	Pages = {211-27},
	Title = {Measuring State Legislative Professionalism: The Squire Index Revisited},
	Volume = {7},
	Year = {2007}}

@misc{StanSoftware:2013,
    Author = {Stan Development Team},
    Title = {Stan: A C++ Library for Probability and Sampling, Version 1.1},
    Year = {2013},
    Organization = {Columbia University},
    URL = {http://mc-stan.org/citations.html}
}

@manual{StanManual:2013,
    Author = {Stan Development Team},
    Title = {Stan Reference Manual, Version 1.1},
    Year = {2013},
    Organization = {Columbia University}
}

@incollection{Sternberg:1963,
	Address = {New York},
	Author = {Sternberg, S.},
	Booktitle = {Handbook of Mathematical Psychology},
	Editor = {R. D. Luce, R. R. Bush, and E. Galanter},
	Pages = {1--120},
	Publisher = {Wiley},
	Title = {Stochastic learning theory},
	Volume = {2},
	Year = {1963}}

@book{Stigler:1986,
	Address = {Cambridge, Massachusetts},
	Author = {Stigler, S. M.},
	Publisher = {Harvard University Press},
	Title = {The History of Statistics},
	Year = {1986}}

@article{Stigler:1983,
	Author = {Stigler, S. M.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {62--63},
	Title = {Discussion of ``Parametric empirical Bayes inference: theory and applications,'' by C. Morris},
	Volume = {78},
	Year = {1983}}

@article{Stigler:1977,
	Author = {Stigler, S. M.},
	Journal = {Annals of Statistics},
	Pages = {1055--1098},
	Title = {Do robust estimators work with real data? (with discussion)},
	Volume = {5},
	Year = {1977}}

@article{StimsonMacKuenErikson:1995,
	Author = {Stimson, James A. and Michael B. MacKuen and Robert S. Erikson},
	Journal = {American Political Science Review},
	Pages = {543-65},
	Title = {Dynamic Representation},
	Volume = {89},
	Year = {1995}}

@article{Stone:1974,
	Author = {Stone, M.},
	Journal = {Journal of the Royal Statistical Society B},
	Pages = {111--147},
	Title = {Cross-validatory choice and assessment of statistical predictions (with discussion)},
	Volume = {36},
	Year = {1974}}

@book{Stroustroup:1994,
      Author = {Stroustrup, Bjarne},
      Year = 1994,
      Title = {The Design and Evolution of {C++}},
      Publisher = {Addison-Wesley}
}


@article{SturtzLiggesGelman:2005,
	Author = {Sturtz, S. and Ligges, U. and Gelman, A.},
	Journal = {Journal of Statistical Software},
	Number = {3},
	Title = {{R2WinBUGS}: a package for running {WinBUGS} from {R}},
	Volume = {12},
	Year = {2005}}

@article{SuGelmanHillEtAl:2009,
	Author = {Su, Y.S. and Gelman, A. and Hill, J. and Yajima, M.},
	Journal = {Journal of Statistical Software},
	Note = {Forthcoming},
	Owner = {default},
	Publisher = {Citeseer},
	Title = {Multiple imputation with diagnostics (mi) in {R}: Opening windows into the black box},
	Year = {2009}}

@article{SummersWolfe:1977,
	Author = {Summers, A. and Wolfe, B.},
	Journal = {American Economic Review},
	Pages = {639--652},
	Title = {Do schools make a difference?},
	Volume = {67},
	Year = {1977}}

@article{TannerWong:1987,
	Author = {Tanner, M. A. and Wong, W. H.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {528--550},
	Title = {The calculation of posterior distributions by data augmentation (with discussion)},
	Volume = {82},
	Year = {1987}}

@misc{Tarr:2006,
	Author = {Tarr, Alan G..},
	Publisher = {Presented at the 2006 American Political Science Association Meetings in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania},
	Title = {Creating and Deabting Judicial Independence and Accountability},
	Year = {2006}}

@unpublished{TeitlerReichmanNepomnyaschy:2006,
	Author = {Teitler, J. and Reichman N. and Nepomnyaschy, L.},
	Note = {Center for Research on Child Wellbeing Working Paper 03-22 FF, School of Social Work, Columbia University},
	Title = {Multilevel analysis of TANF participation across large U.S. cities},
	Year = {2006}}

@article{ThistlethwaiteCampbell:1960,
	Author = {Thistlethwaite, D. and Campbell, D.},
	Journal = {Journal of Educational Psychology},
	Pages = {309--17},
	Title = {Regression-discontinuity analysis: an alternative to the ex post facto experiment},
	Volume = {51},
	Year = {1960}}

@incollection{ThomasHrebenar:2008,
	Address = {Washington, D.C.},
	Author = {Thomas, Clive S. and Ronald J. Hrebenar},
	Booktitle = {Politics in the American States: A Comparative Analysis},
	Edition = {9th},
	Editor = {Virginia Gray, and Russell L. Hanson, and Herbert Jacob},
	Publisher = {CQ Press},
	Title = {Interest Groups in the States},
	Year = {2008}}

@article{Thurstone:1927,
	Author = {Thurstone, L. L.},
	Journal = {Journal of Abnormal and Social Psychology},
	Pages = {384--400},
	Title = {The method of paired comparison for social values},
	Volume = {21},
	Year = {1927}}

@article{Thurstone:1927a,
	Author = {Thurstone, L. L.},
	Journal = {Psychological Review},
	Pages = {273--286},
	Title = {A law of comparative judgement},
	Volume = {34},
	Year = {1927}}

@article{TiaoBox:1967,
	Author = {Tiao, G. C. and Box, G. E. P.},
	Journal = {Biometrika},
	Pages = {109--125},
	Title = {Bayesian analysis of a three-component hierarchical design model},
	Volume = {54},
	Year = {1967}}

@article{TiaoTan:1966,
	Author = {Tiao, G. C. and Tan, W. Y.},
	Journal = {Biometrika},
	Pages = {477--495},
	Title = {Bayesian analysis of random-effect models in the analysis of variance. II: Effect of autocorrelated errors},
	Volume = {53},
	Year = {1966}}

@article{TiaoTan:1965,
	Author = {Tiao, G. C. and Tan, W. Y.},
	Journal = {Biometrika},
	Pages = {37--53},
	Title = {Bayesian analysis of random-effect models in the analysis of variance. I: Posterior distribution of variance components},
	Volume = {52},
	Year = {1965}}

@incollection{Tinbergen:1930,
	Author = {Tinbergen, J.},
	Booktitle = {The Foundations of Econometrics},
	Editor = {D. Hendry and M. Morgan,},
	Note = {Zeitschrift fur Nationalokonomie. Reprinted in The Foundations of Econometrics},
	Pages = {233--245},
	Publisher = {Cambridge University Press},
	Title = {Determination and interpretation of supply curves: an example},
	Year = {1930}}

@article{Tobin:1958,
	Author = {Tobin, J.},
	Journal = {Econometrica},
	Pages = {24--36},
	Title = {Estimation of relationships for limited dependent variables},
	Volume = {26},
	Year = {1958}}

@book{Treadway:1985,
	Address = {New York},
	Author = {Treadway, Jack M.},
	Publisher = {Praeger},
	Title = {Public Policymaking in the States},
	Year = {1985}}

@book{Trochim:2001,
	Address = {Cincinnati},
	Author = {Trochim, W. M. K.},
	Publisher = {Atomic Dog},
	Title = {The Research Methods Knowledge Base},
	Year = {2001}}

@article{TroxelMaHeitjan:2004,
	Author = {Troxel, A. B. and Ma, G. and Heitjan, D. F.},
	Journal = {Statistica Sinica},
	Pages = {1221--1237},
	Title = {An index of sensitivity to nonignorability},
	Volume = {14},
	Year = {2004}}

@article{TuZhou:2003,
	Author = {Wanzhu Tu and Xiao-Hua Zhou},
	Journal = {Health Services and Outcomes Research Methodology},
	Number = {2},
	Pages = {135--147},
	Title = {A bootstrap confidence interval procedure for treatment using propensity score subclassification},
	Volume = {3},
	Year = {2003}}

@book{Tufte:1990,
	Address = {Cheshire, Connecticut},
	Author = {Tufte, E. R.},
	Publisher = {Graphics Press},
	Title = {Envisioning Information},
	Year = {1990}}

@book{Tufte:1983,
	Address = {Cheshire, Connecticut},
	Author = {Tufte, E. R.},
	Publisher = {Graphics Press},
	Title = {The Visual Display of Quantitative Information},
	Year = {1983}}

@book{Tukey:1977,
	Address = {Reading, Massachusetts},
	Author = {Tukey, J. W.},
	Publisher = {Addison-Wesley},
	Title = {Exploratory Data Analysis},
	Year = {1977}}

@article{VaidaBlanchard:2005,
	Author = {Vaida, F. and Blanchard, S.},
	Journal = {Biometrika},
	Month = {June},
	Number = {2},
	Pages = {351--370},
	Title = {Conditional Akaike informaion for mixed effects models},
	Volume = {92},
	Year = {2005}}

@article{Van-BuurenBoshuizenKnook:1999,
	Author = {Van-Buuren, S. and Boshuizen, H. C. and Knook, D. L.},
	Journal = {Statistics in Medicine},
	Pages = {681--694},
	Title = {Multiple imputation of missing blood pressure covariates in survival analysis},
	Volume = {18},
	Year = {1999}}

@manual{Van-BuurenOudshoom:2000,
	Author = {Van-Buuren, S. and Oudshoom, C. G. M.},
	Month = {June},
	Title = {MICE: Multivariate imputation by chained equations (S software for missing-data imputation)},
	Url = {web.inter.nl.net/users/S.van.Buuren/mi/},
	Year = {2000},
	Bdsk-Url-1 = {web.inter.nl.net/users/S.van.Buuren/mi/}}

@article{Van-DykMeng:2001,
	Author = {Van-Dyk, D. A. and Meng, X. L.},
	Journal = {Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics},
	Pages = {1--111},
	Title = {The art of data augmentation (with discussion)},
	Volume = {10},
	Year = {2001}}

@article{Van-GeenZhengVersteeg:2003,
	Author = {Van-Geen, A. and Zheng, Y. and Versteeg, R. et al.},
	Journal = {Water Resources Research},
	Pages = {1140},
	Title = {Spatial variability of arsenic in 6000 tube wells in a 25 km$^2$ area of Bangladesh},
	Volume = {39},
	Year = {2003}}

@book{VenablesRipley:2002,
	Address = {New York},
	Author = {Venables, W. N. and Ripley, B. D.},
	Edition = {4th},
	Publisher = {Springer-Verlag},
	Title = {Modern Applied Statistics with S},
	Year = {2002}}

@book{VerbekeMolenberghs:2000,
	Address = {New York},
	Author = {Verbeke, G. and Molenberghs, G.},
	Publisher = {Springer-Verlag},
	Title = {Linear Mixed Models for Longitudinal Data},
	Year = {2000}}

@article{VikramBuenconsejoHasbunEtAl:2003,
	Author = {Vikram, H. R. and Buenconsejo, J. and Hasbun, R. and Quagliarello, V. J.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Medical Association},
	Pages = {3207--3214},
	Title = {Impact of valve surgery on 6-month mortality in adults with complicated, left-sided native valve endocarditis: a propensity analysis},
	Volume = {290},
	Year = {2003}}

@techreport{ViscusiAldy:2002,
	Author = {Viscusi, W. K. and Aldy, J. E.},
	Institution = {Harvard Law School},
	Number = {Paper 392},
	Title = {The value of a statistical life: a critical review of market estimates throughout the world},
	Type = {John M. Olin Center for Law, Economics and Business Discussion Paper Series},
	Year = {2002}}

@book{Von-Mises:1957,
	Address = {New York},
	Author = {Von-Mises, R.},
	Edition = {2nd},
	Note = {Reprint},
	Publisher = {Dover},
	Title = {Probability, Statistics, and Truth},
	Year = {1957}}

@article{Wainer:2002,
	Author = {Wainer, H.},
	Journal = {Chance},
	Number = {3},
	Pages = {60--62},
	Title = {The BK-plot: making Simpson's paradox clear to the masses},
	Volume = {15},
	Year = {2002}}

@article{Wainer:2001,
	Author = {Wainer, H.},
	Journal = {Chance},
	Number = {2},
	Pages = {43--46},
	Title = {Order in the court},
	Volume = {14},
	Year = {2001}}

@book{Wainer:1997,
	Address = {New York},
	Author = {Wainer, H.},
	Publisher = {Springer-Verlag},
	Title = {Visual Revelations},
	Year = {1997}}

@article{Wainer:1984,
	Author = {Wainer, H.},
	Journal = {American Statistician},
	Pages = {137--147},
	Title = {How to display data badly},
	Volume = {38},
	Year = {1984}}

@techreport{WainerGelmanWang:2000,
	Address = {Princeton, New Jersey},
	Author = {Wainer, H. and Gelman, A. and Wang, X.},
	Institution = {Educational Testing Service},
	Title = {What happens when advanced exams are used to place students out of introductory courses?},
	Year = {2000}}

@article{WainerPalmerBradlow:1998,
	Author = {Wainer, H. and Palmer, S. and Bradlow, E. T.},
	Journal = {Chance},
	Number = {2},
	Pages = {3--7},
	Title = {A selection of selection anomalies},
	Volume = {11},
	Year = {1998}}

@article{WaldButtonRienzo:1996,
	Author = {Wald, Kenneth D. and James W. Button and Barbara A. Rienzo},
	Journal = {American Journal of Political Science},
	Number = {4},
	Pages = {1152-78},
	Title = {The Politics of Gay Rights in American Communities: Explaining Antidiscrimination Ordinances and Policies},
	Volume = {40},
	Year = {1996}}

@article{WalkerDuncan:1967,
	Author = {Walker, S. H. and Duncan, D. B.},
	Journal = {Biometrika},
	Pages = {167--178},
	Title = {Estimation of the probability of an event as a function of several independent variables},
	Volume = {54},
	Year = {1967}}

@article{WallerCarlinXiaEtAl:1997,
	Author = {Waller, L. A. and Carlin, B. P. and Xia, H. and Gelfand, A. E.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {607--617},
	Title = {Hierarchical spatio-temporal mapping of disease rates},
	Volume = {92},
	Year = {1997}}

@incollection{WallisFriedman:1942,
	Author = {Wallis, W. A. and Friedman, M.},
	Booktitle = {Studies in Mathematical Economics and Econometrics in Memory of Henry Schultz},
	Editor = {O. Lange, F. McIntyre, and T. O. Yntema},
	Pages = {267--300},
	Publisher = {University of Chicago Press},
	Title = {The empirical derivation of indifference functions},
	Year = {1942}}

@article{Wand:1997,
	Author = {Wand, M. P.},
	Journal = {American Statistician},
	Pages = {59--64},
	Title = {Data-based choice of histogram bin width},
	Volume = {51},
	Year = {1997}}

@article{Warnes:2002,
	Author = {Gregory R. Warnes},
	Journal = {Journal of Statistical Software},
	Month = {March},
	Number = {4},
	Title = {Hydra: a Java library for Markov chain Monte Carlo},
	Url = {software.biostat.washington.edu/statsoft/MCMC/Hydra},
	Volume = {7},
	Year = {2002},
	Bdsk-Url-1 = {software.biostat.washington.edu/statsoft/MCMC/Hydra}}

@article{Weber:1999,
	Author = {Weber, Ronald E.},
	Journal = {Journal of Politics},
	Pages = {609-27},
	Title = {The Quality of State Legislative Representation: A Critical Assessment},
	Volume = {61},
	Year = {1999}}

@article{WeidnerFrasePardoe:2004,
	Author = {Weidner, R. R. and Frase, R. and Pardoe, I.},
	Journal = {Prison Journal},
	Month = {June},
	Number = {2},
	Pages = {184--207},
	Title = {Explaining sentence severity in large urban counties: a multilevel analysis of contextual and case-level factors},
	Volume = {84},
	Year = {2004}}

@book{Weisberg:1985,
	Address = {New York},
	Author = {Weisberg, S.},
	Edition = {2nd},
	Publisher = {Wiley},
	Title = {Applied Linear Regression},
	Year = {1985}}

@incollection{West:2003,
	Author = {West, M.},
	Booktitle = {Bayesian Statistics 7},
	Editor = {J.~M. Bernardo, M. J. Bayarri, J. O. Berger, A. P. Dawid, D. Heckerman, A. F. M. Smith, and M. West},
	Pages = {733--742},
	Publisher = {Oxford University Press},
	Title = {Bayesian factor regression models in the ``large $p$, small $n$'' paradigm},
	Year = {2003}}

@article{Wherry:1931,
	Author = {Wherry, R. J.},
	Journal = {Annals of Mathematical Statistics},
	Pages = {440--457},
	Title = {A new formula for predicting the shrinkage of the coefficient of multiple correlation},
	Volume = {2},
	Year = {1931}}

@article{Wiens:1999,
	Author = {Wiens, B. L.},
	Journal = {American Statistician},
	Pages = {89--93},
	Title = {When log-normal and gamma models give different results: a case study},
	Volume = {53},
	Year = {1999}}

@article{WikleMilliffNychkaEtAl:2001,
	Author = {Wikle, C. K. and Milliff, R. F. and Nychka, D. and Berliner, L. M.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {382--397},
	Title = {Spatiotemporal hierarchical Bayesian modeling: tropical ocean surface winds},
	Volume = {96},
	Year = {2001}}

@book{Wilkinson:2005,
	Address = {New York},
	Author = {Wilkinson, L.},
	Edition = {2nd},
	Publisher = {Springer-Verlag},
	Title = {The Grammar of Graphics},
	Year = {2005}}

@article{WilsonKelling:1982,
	Author = {Wilson, J. Q. and Kelling, G. L.},
	Journal = {Atlantic Monthly},
	Month = {March},
	Pages = {29--38},
	Title = {The police and neigborhood safety: broken windows},
	Year = {1982}}

@article{WitteGreenlandHaleEtAl:1994,
	Author = {Witte, J. S. and Greenland, S. and Hale, R. W. and Bird, C. L.},
	Journal = {Epidemiology},
	Pages = {612--621},
	Title = {Hierarchical regression analysis applied to a study of multiple dietary exposures and breast cancer},
	Volume = {5},
	Year = {1994}}

@article{WlezienErikson:2005,
	Author = {Wlezien, C. and Erikson, R. S.},
	Journal = {PS: Political Science and Politics},
	Pages = {25--26},
	Title = {Post-election reflections on our pre-election predictions},
	Volume = {38},
	Year = {2005}}

@article{WlezienErikson:2004,
	Author = {Wlezien, C. and Erikson, R. S.},
	Journal = {PS: Political Science and Politics},
	Pages = {747--751},
	Title = {The fundamentals, the polls, and the presidential vote},
	Volume = {37},
	Year = {2004}}

@book{Woolridge:2001,
	Address = {Cambridge, Mass.},
	Author = {Woolridge, J. M.},
	Publisher = {MIT Press},
	Title = {Econometric Analysis of Cross Section and Panel Data},
	Year = {2001}}

@article{Wright:1989,
	Author = {Wright, G. C.},
	Journal = {British Journal of Political Science},
	Pages = {381--398},
	Title = {Level-of-analysis effects on explanations of voting: the case of the 1982 U.S. Senate elections},
	Volume = {19},
	Year = {1989}}

@article{Xu:2003,
	Author = {Xu, R.},
	Journal = {Statistics in Medicine},
	Pages = {3527--3541},
	Title = {Measuring explained variation in linear mixed effects models},
	Volume = {22},
	Year = {2003}}

@inproceedings{Yates:1967,
	Address = {Berkeley},
	Author = {Yates, F.},
	Booktitle = {Proceedings of the Fifth Berkeley Symposium on Mathematical Statistics and Probability},
	Pages = {777--790},
	Publisher = {University of California Press},
	Title = {A fresh look at the basic principles of the design and analysis of experiments},
	Volume = {4},
	Year = {1967}}

@article{YusufPetoLewisEtAl:1985,
	Author = {Yusuf, S.and Peto, R. and Lewis, J. and Collins, R. and Sleight, P.},
	Journal = {Progress in Cardiovascular Diseases},
	Pages = {335--371},
	Title = {Beta blockade during and after myocardial infarction: an overview of the randomized trials},
	Volume = {27},
	Year = {1985}}

@article{Zaslavsky:1993,
	Author = {Zaslavsky, A. M.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {1092--1105},
	Title = {Combining census, dual-system, and evaluation study data to estimate population shares},
	Volume = {88},
	Year = {1993}}

@article{ZegerKarim:1991,
	Author = {Zeger, S. L. and Karim, M. R.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {79--86},
	Title = {Generalized linear models with random effects; a Gibbs sampling approach},
	Volume = {86},
	Year = {1991}}

@article{Zellner:1976,
	Author = {Zellner, A.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {400--405},
	Title = {Bayesian and non-Bayesian analysis of the regression model with multivariate Student-$t$ error terms},
	Volume = {71},
	Year = {1976}}

@article{ZhengLittle:2005,
	Author = {Zheng, H. and Little, R.J.A.},
	Journal = {Journal of Official Statistics},
	Pages = {1-20},
	Title = {Inference for the population total from probability-proportional-to-size samples based on predictions from a penalized spline nonparametric model},
	Volume = {21},
	Year = {2005}}

@article{ZhengLittle:2003,
	Author = {Zheng, H. and Little, R.J.A.},
	Issn = {0282-423X},
	Journal = {Journal of Official Statistics},
	Number = {2},
	Pages = {99--118},
	Publisher = {ALMQVIST \& WIKSELL INTERNATIONAL},
	Title = {Penalized spline model-based estimation of the finite populations total from probability-proportional-to-size samples},
	Volume = {19},
	Year = {2003}}

@article{ZhengSalganikGelman:2006,
	Author = {Zheng, T. and Salganik, M. J. and Gelman, A.},
	Journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	Pages = {409--423},
	Title = {How many people do you know in prison?: Using overdispersion in count data to estimate social structure},
	Volume = {101},
	Year = {2006}}

@unpublished{ZhouBafumiGelman:2006,
	Author = {Zhou, S. and Bafumi, J. and Gelman, A.},
	Institution = {Department of Statistics, Columbia University},
	Title = {State-level time series from national polls, with application to public opinion on the death penalty},
	Year = {2006}}

@article{Zorn:2005,
	Author = {Zorn, C.},
	Journal = {Political Analysis},
	Pages = {157--170},
	Title = {A solution to separation in binary response models},
	Volume = {13},
	Year = {2005}}

@book{Bock:1989,
	Address = {New York},
	Editor = {Bock, R. D.},
	Publisher = {Academic Press},
	Title = {Multilevel Analysis of Educational Data},
	Year = {1989}}

@book{GilksRichardsonSpiegelhalter:1996,
	Address = {London},
	Editor = {Gilks, W. R. and Richardson, S. and Spiegelhalter, D.},
	Publisher = {Chapman and Hall},
	Title = {Practical Markov Chain Monte Carlo},
	Year = {1996}}

@article{KedarShively:2005,
	Editor = {Kedar, O. and Shively, W. P},
	Journal = {Political Analysis},
	Note = {Editors, not Authors},
	Number = {4},
	Title = {Special Issue on Multilevel Modeling for Large Clusters},
	Volume = {13},
	Year = {2005}}

@book{LeylandGoldstein:2001,
	Address = {Chichester},
	Editor = {Leyland, A. H. and Goldstein, H.},
	Publisher = {Wiley},
	Title = {Multilevel Modelling of Health Statistics},
	Year = {2001}}

@book{ManzaCookPage:2002,
	Address = {Oxford},
	Editor = {Manza, Jeff and Fay Lomax Cook and Benjamin I. Page},
	Publisher = {Oxford University Press},
	Title = {Navigating Public Opinion: Polls, Policy, and the Future of American Democracy},
	Year = {2002}}

@book{Van-der-LindenHambelton:1997,
	Address = {New York},
	Editor = {Van-der-Linden, W. J. and Hambelton, R. K.},
	Publisher = {Springer-Verlag},
	Title = {Handbook of Modern Item Response Theory},
	Year = {1997}}

@article{ZyczkowskiSommers:2001,
  title={Induced measures in the space of mixed quantum states},
  author={Zyczkowski, K. and Sommers, H.J.},
  journal={Journal of Physics A: Mathematical and General},
  volume={34},
  number={35},
  pages={7111},
  year={2001},
  publisher={IOP Publishing}
}
