Edge Finder
Find your edge on live prediction markets
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This trade, once
Markets
1
Runs
While you're awake
Protection
None
This strategy, on 10 markets
Markets
10 simultaneously
Runs
24/7, automated
Protection
If you're right
If you're wrong
you lose your bet
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Show formulas
Full Kelly
Fractional Kelly
f* × fraction
Contracts
f × bank / price
At risk
contracts × price
Expected return
edge / price
Expected profit
EV × contracts
Monte Carlo
Orderbook Depth
Kelly Frontier
Arbitrage
--
Profit probability
--
Median return
--
Max drawdown
--
2x chance
5,000 simulated portfolios across 50 trades at this edge · quarter-Kelly sizing
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Quarter Kelly (you)
Half Kelly
Full Kelly
2x Kelly (danger)
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