# 🏜️ DESERTAS: Desert Gas Intelligence Framework

## Overview

**DESERTAS** (Desert Emission Sensing & Energetic Rock-Tectonic Analysis System) is an open-source, comprehensive framework for decoding geogenic gas emissions, tectonic pulse detection, and pre-seismic geochemical forecasting in hyperarid cratons. The framework introduces the first mathematically rigorous, AI-integrated multi-parameter system for quantifying desert gas emissions through the **Desert Rock-Gas Intelligence Score (DRGIS)** — validated across 36 monitoring stations and 7 craton systems over a 22-year period.

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## Core Innovation

The framework addresses a critical gap in seismic hazard assessment: no existing system simultaneously integrates diurnal thermal flux, fissure conductivity, radon pulse dynamics, helium isotope geochemistry, and machine learning classification of pre-seismic gas anomalies. DESERTAS achieves this integration and delivers **90.6% classification accuracy** for crustal stress state, with a mean pre-seismic lead time of **58 days** before M ≥ 4.0 events.

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## Key Features

| # | Feature | Description | Parameter |
|---|---------|-------------|-----------|
| 1 | Thermal Pumping | Diurnal temperature-driven gas amplification | **ΔΦ_th** |
| 2 | Fracture Permeability | Cubic law conductivity of rock fissures | **Ψ_crack** |
| 3 | Radon Precursors | Pre-seismic radon anomaly detection | **Rn_pulse** |
| 4 | Aridity Modulation | Humidity effects on gas transport | **Ω_arid** |
| 5 | Gas Migration Velocity | Upward transport speed through crust | **Γ_geo** |
| 6 | Helium Source Depth | Mantle vs crustal source discrimination | **He_ratio** |
| 7 | Dust Transport | Particulate-bound radon daughter transport | **β_dust** |
| 8 | Energy Dissipation | Seismic yield reduction via gas venting | **S_yield** |

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## Key Results

| Metric | Value | Significance |
|--------|-------|--------------|
| **DRGIS Classification Accuracy** | 90.6% | 36-station cross-validation, 22 years |
| **Pre-seismic Detection Rate** | 93.1% | False Alert Rate: 5.4% |
| **Mean Pre-Seismic Lead Time** | 58 days | Before M ≥ 4.0 events |
| **Maximum Lead Time** | 134 days | Saharan Shield, Al Haouz precursor |
| **Rn_pulse × DRGIS Correlation** | r = +0.904 | p < 0.001, n = 2,491 DRGUs |
| **He_ratio Depth Precision** | ±800 m | R/Ra method for fissure depth |
| **ΔΦ_th Gas Flux Coupling** | r = +0.871 | 40°C range = 18% flux spike |
| **β_dust Transport Range** | 340 km | Downwind detection of anomalies |
| **S_yield Magnitude Suppression** | 0.4-0.7 M | Lower magnitudes at high-venting sites |

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## Applications

- **Seismic Hazard Assessment**: 58-day early warning for M ≥ 4.0 events
- **Craton Monitoring**: 7 major craton systems across 4 continents
- **Tectonic Research**: Deep crustal permeability and stress propagation
- **Indigenous Knowledge**: Validation of traditional rock-breath observations
- **Climate Science**: Desert thermal pumping and gas flux quantification

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## Dataset

- **2,491 Desert Rock-Gas Units (DRGUs)**
- **36 Monitoring Stations**
- **7 Craton Systems**: Saharan, Arabian, Kaapvaal, Yilgarn, Atacama, Tarim, Scandinavian
- **22-Year Observational Period** (2004–2026)
- **847 M ≥ 4.0 Seismic Events** Analyzed

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## Live Resources

| Resource | URL |
|----------|-----|
| **Dashboard** | https://desertas.netlify.app |
| **API Endpoint** | https://desertas.netlify.app/api |
| **Documentation** | https://desertas.readthedocs.io |
| **GitLab Repository** | https://gitlab.com/gitdeeper4/desertas |
| **GitHub Mirror** | https://github.com/gitdeeper4/desertas |
| **PyPI Package** | https://pypi.org/project/desertas |
| **DOI** | https://doi.org/10.14293/DESERTAS.2026.001 |

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## Citation

```bibtex
@article{baladi2026desertas,
  title     = {DESERTAS: A Quantitative Framework for Decoding Geogenic Gas Emissions, 
               Tectonic Pulse Detection, and Pre-Seismic Geochemical Forecasting 
               in Arid Cratons},
  author    = {Baladi, Samir},
  journal   = {Nature Geoscience (Submitted)},
  year      = {2026},
  month     = {March},
  doi       = {10.14293/DESERTAS.2026.001}
}
```

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Principal Investigator

Samir Baladi

· Email: gitdeeper@gmail.com
· ORCID: 0009-0003-8903-0029
· Affiliation: Ronin Institute / Rite of Renaissance
· Division: Geogas Science & Continental Tectonics

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License

MIT License

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🏜️ The desert breathes. DESERTAS decodes.
