"""
Risk Planning Strategy Implementation for AGOR.

This module provides comprehensive risk assessment and management capabilities,
enabling systematic risk identification, analysis, mitigation planning, and monitoring.
"""

from datetime import datetime


def plan_risks(
    project_name: str = "Current Project",
    risk_scope: str = "comprehensive",
    assessment_depth: str = "medium",
) -> str:
    """Plan and assess project risks (rp hotkey)."""

    # Create implementation details
    implementation_details = f"""
## RISK PLANNING IMPLEMENTATION

### Project: {project_name}
### Risk Scope: {risk_scope}
### Assessment Depth: {assessment_depth}
### Generated: {datetime.now().strftime('%Y-%m-%d %H:%M:%S')}

## RISK IDENTIFICATION

{_generate_risk_identification(risk_scope)}

## RISK ANALYSIS

{_generate_risk_analysis(assessment_depth)}

## RISK MITIGATION STRATEGIES

{_generate_risk_mitigation_strategies()}

## RISK MONITORING PROTOCOLS

{_generate_risk_monitoring_protocols()}

## NEXT STEPS

1. **Complete Risk Assessment**: Identify and document all potential risks
2. **Prioritize Risks**: Rank risks by probability and impact
3. **Develop Mitigation Plans**: Create specific mitigation strategies for high-priority risks
4. **Establish Monitoring**: Set up risk monitoring and early warning systems
5. **Regular Reviews**: Schedule periodic risk assessment updates

## RISK COORDINATION

### Daily Risk Monitoring:
```
RISK_STATUS: [timestamp] - Daily risk monitoring check
- High-priority risks: [status-updates]
- New risks identified: [count]
- Mitigation actions taken: [summary]
- Risk indicators: [metrics]
```

### Weekly Risk Review:
```
RISK_REVIEW: [timestamp] - Weekly risk assessment
- Risk register updates: [changes]
- Mitigation progress: [status]
- New risk assessments: [completed]
- Risk trend analysis: [insights]
```

### Risk Incident Response:
```
RISK_INCIDENT: [timestamp] - [risk-name] - [materialization-level]
- Impact assessment: [actual-vs-predicted]
- Response actions: [immediate-steps]
- Mitigation effectiveness: [evaluation]
- Lessons learned: [insights]
```
"""

    return implementation_details


def _generate_risk_identification(risk_scope: str) -> str:
    """Generate risk identification framework."""

    if risk_scope == "comprehensive":
        return """
### Comprehensive Risk Identification

#### Technical Risks
- **Architecture Risks**:
  - Scalability limitations
  - Performance bottlenecks
  - Security vulnerabilities
  - Technology obsolescence
  - Integration complexity

- **Development Risks**:
  - Code quality issues
  - Technical debt accumulation
  - Dependency vulnerabilities
  - Testing coverage gaps
  - Deployment failures

- **Infrastructure Risks**:
  - Hardware failures
  - Network outages
  - Cloud provider issues
  - Data center problems
  - Capacity limitations

#### Business Risks
- **Market Risks**:
  - Competitive threats
  - Market demand changes
  - Economic downturns
  - Regulatory changes
  - Customer behavior shifts

- **Operational Risks**:
  - Process failures
  - Quality issues
  - Compliance violations
  - Vendor dependencies
  - Supply chain disruptions

- **Financial Risks**:
  - Budget overruns
  - Revenue shortfalls
  - Cost escalations
  - Currency fluctuations
  - Investment risks

#### Project Risks
- **Schedule Risks**:
  - Timeline delays
  - Milestone slippages
  - Resource conflicts
  - Dependency delays
  - Scope creep

- **Resource Risks**:
  - Key person dependencies
  - Skill shortages
  - Team turnover
  - Budget constraints
  - Tool limitations

- **Communication Risks**:
  - Stakeholder misalignment
  - Requirements ambiguity
  - Information silos
  - Decision delays
  - Change management issues

#### External Risks
- **Environmental Risks**:
  - Natural disasters
  - Pandemic impacts
  - Political instability
  - Social unrest
  - Climate events

- **Legal Risks**:
  - Intellectual property disputes
  - Contract breaches
  - Regulatory compliance
  - Data privacy violations
  - Litigation exposure
"""

    elif risk_scope == "technical":
        return """
### Technical Risk Focus

#### Development Risks
- **Code Quality**: Technical debt, maintainability issues
- **Architecture**: Scalability, performance, security concerns
- **Dependencies**: Third-party library risks, version conflicts
- **Testing**: Coverage gaps, quality assurance issues

#### Infrastructure Risks
- **Availability**: Downtime, service interruptions
- **Performance**: Capacity, response time issues
- **Security**: Vulnerabilities, data breaches
- **Scalability**: Growth limitations, resource constraints
"""

    else:  # basic
        return """
### Basic Risk Overview

#### High-Impact Risks
- **Technical Failures**: System outages, critical bugs
- **Resource Issues**: Key person unavailability, budget constraints
- **Timeline Risks**: Major delays, missed deadlines
- **External Dependencies**: Vendor issues, third-party failures
"""


def _generate_risk_analysis(assessment_depth: str) -> str:
    """Generate risk analysis framework."""

    if assessment_depth == "deep":
        return """
### Deep Risk Analysis

#### Risk Assessment Matrix
For each identified risk, evaluate:

**Probability Assessment (1-5 scale):**
- 1: Very Low (0-5% chance)
- 2: Low (6-25% chance)
- 3: Medium (26-50% chance)
- 4: High (51-75% chance)
- 5: Very High (76-100% chance)

**Impact Assessment (1-5 scale):**
- 1: Minimal (minor inconvenience)
- 2: Low (small delays or costs)
- 3: Medium (moderate impact on timeline/budget)
- 4: High (significant impact on project success)
- 5: Critical (project failure or major business impact)

**Risk Score Calculation:**
Risk Score = Probability × Impact

**Risk Categorization:**
- 20-25: Critical Risk (immediate attention required)
- 15-19: High Risk (priority mitigation needed)
- 10-14: Medium Risk (mitigation planning required)
- 5-9: Low Risk (monitoring sufficient)
- 1-4: Minimal Risk (acknowledge and document)

#### Risk Interdependency Analysis
- **Cascading Risks**: How one risk can trigger others
- **Risk Clusters**: Groups of related risks
- **Amplification Effects**: Risks that magnify other risks
- **Risk Correlation**: Risks that tend to occur together

#### Temporal Risk Analysis
- **Risk Timeline**: When risks are most likely to occur
- **Risk Evolution**: How risks change over time
- **Critical Periods**: Project phases with highest risk exposure
- **Risk Windows**: Time-sensitive risk factors

#### Quantitative Risk Analysis
- **Monte Carlo Simulation**: Probabilistic risk modeling
- **Expected Value Calculation**: Financial impact estimation
- **Risk Exposure Calculation**: Total risk exposure assessment
- **Sensitivity Analysis**: Impact of risk parameter changes
"""

    elif assessment_depth == "medium":
        return """
### Standard Risk Analysis

#### Risk Scoring (1-3 scale)
**Probability:**
- 1: Low (unlikely to occur)
- 2: Medium (possible occurrence)
- 3: High (likely to occur)

**Impact:**
- 1: Low (minor impact)
- 2: Medium (moderate impact)
- 3: High (major impact)

**Risk Priority:**
- 6-9: High Priority (immediate action)
- 4-5: Medium Priority (planned mitigation)
- 1-3: Low Priority (monitoring)

#### Risk Categories
- **Critical Risks**: High probability and high impact
- **Watch List**: Medium probability or impact
- **Monitored Risks**: Low probability and impact

#### Risk Relationships
- **Dependent Risks**: Risks that depend on other risks
- **Independent Risks**: Standalone risk factors
- **Compound Risks**: Multiple risks affecting same area
"""

    else:  # basic
        return """
### Basic Risk Analysis

#### Simple Risk Assessment
**Risk Level:**
- High: Likely to occur with significant impact
- Medium: Possible occurrence with moderate impact
- Low: Unlikely or minimal impact

#### Risk Priority
- **Immediate**: Requires immediate attention
- **Planned**: Needs mitigation planning
- **Monitor**: Watch for changes
"""


def _generate_risk_mitigation_strategies() -> str:
    """Generate risk mitigation strategies."""

    return """
### Risk Mitigation Strategies

#### Mitigation Approaches

**1. Risk Avoidance**
- Eliminate the risk by changing approach
- Choose alternative technologies or methods
- Avoid high-risk activities or dependencies
- Redesign to remove risk factors

**2. Risk Reduction**
- Implement controls to reduce probability
- Add safeguards to minimize impact
- Improve processes and procedures
- Enhance monitoring and detection

**3. Risk Transfer**
- Insurance coverage for financial risks
- Vendor contracts with liability clauses
- Outsourcing to specialized providers
- Shared responsibility agreements

**4. Risk Acceptance**
- Accept low-impact risks
- Document decision rationale
- Establish monitoring procedures
- Prepare contingency responses

#### Specific Mitigation Strategies

**Technical Risk Mitigations:**
- Code reviews and quality gates
- Automated testing and CI/CD
- Security scanning and audits
- Performance monitoring and optimization
- Backup and disaster recovery plans
- Redundancy and failover systems

**Project Risk Mitigations:**
- Detailed project planning
- Regular milestone reviews
- Resource cross-training
- Buffer time in schedules
- Clear communication protocols
- Change management processes

**Business Risk Mitigations:**
- Market research and validation
- Diversified revenue streams
- Financial reserves and contingencies
- Regulatory compliance programs
- Customer relationship management
- Competitive intelligence

**Operational Risk Mitigations:**
- Process documentation and training
- Quality assurance programs
- Vendor management and contracts
- Business continuity planning
- Incident response procedures
- Regular audits and assessments

#### Contingency Planning

**Contingency Plan Components:**
1. **Trigger Conditions**: When to activate the plan
2. **Response Team**: Who is responsible for execution
3. **Action Steps**: Specific actions to take
4. **Resources Required**: What resources are needed
5. **Communication Plan**: How to communicate the response
6. **Success Criteria**: How to measure plan effectiveness

**Example Contingency Plans:**
- Key person unavailability
- Major system outage
- Security breach response
- Budget overrun management
- Schedule delay recovery
- Vendor failure backup
"""


def _generate_risk_monitoring_protocols() -> str:
    """Generate risk monitoring protocols."""

    return """
### Risk Monitoring Protocols

#### Continuous Risk Monitoring

**Risk Indicators and Metrics:**
- **Leading Indicators**: Early warning signs
  - Code quality metrics declining
  - Team velocity decreasing
  - Stakeholder satisfaction dropping
  - Budget burn rate increasing

- **Lagging Indicators**: Outcome measures
  - Actual incidents occurred
  - Impact measurements
  - Recovery time metrics
  - Cost of risk materialization

**Monitoring Frequency:**
- **Daily**: Critical and high-priority risks
- **Weekly**: Medium-priority risks
- **Monthly**: Low-priority risks and risk register review
- **Quarterly**: Comprehensive risk assessment update

#### Risk Reporting

**Daily Risk Dashboard:**
- Risk status summary
- New risks identified
- Risk indicator trends
- Mitigation actions taken

**Weekly Risk Report:**
- Risk register updates
- Mitigation progress
- Risk trend analysis
- Escalation recommendations

**Monthly Risk Review:**
- Comprehensive risk assessment
- Risk mitigation effectiveness
- New risk identification
- Risk strategy adjustments

**Quarterly Risk Audit:**
- Risk management process review
- Risk register validation
- Mitigation strategy assessment
- Risk management improvements

#### Risk Response Procedures

**Risk Escalation Matrix:**
- **Level 1**: Team-level risks (managed by project team)
- **Level 2**: Project-level risks (escalated to project manager)
- **Level 3**: Program-level risks (escalated to program manager)
- **Level 4**: Organizational risks (escalated to executive team)

**Risk Response Timeline:**
- **Immediate** (0-24 hours): Critical risk materialization
- **Short-term** (1-7 days): High-priority risk response
- **Medium-term** (1-4 weeks): Medium-priority risk mitigation
- **Long-term** (1-3 months): Low-priority risk planning

#### Risk Communication

**Stakeholder Communication:**
- **Executive Summary**: High-level risk overview for leadership
- **Detailed Reports**: Comprehensive risk analysis for managers
- **Team Updates**: Relevant risk information for team members
- **Customer Communication**: External risk communication as needed

**Communication Triggers:**
- New critical or high-priority risks identified
- Significant changes in risk probability or impact
- Risk mitigation milestones achieved
- Risk materialization or near-miss events

#### Risk Learning and Improvement

**Post-Incident Analysis:**
- Root cause analysis of materialized risks
- Evaluation of mitigation effectiveness
- Identification of process improvements
- Update of risk assessment methodologies

**Risk Management Maturity:**
- Regular assessment of risk management capabilities
- Benchmarking against industry best practices
- Training and skill development programs
- Tool and process improvement initiatives

**Knowledge Management:**
- Risk database and historical analysis
- Lessons learned documentation
- Best practices sharing
- Risk management training materials
"""
